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 Statistical Learning


Online Learning and Information Exponents: On The Importance of Batch size, and Time/Complexity Tradeoffs

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the impact of the batch size $n_b$ on the iteration time $T$ of training two-layer neural networks with one-pass stochastic gradient descent (SGD) on multi-index target functions of isotropic covariates. We characterize the optimal batch size minimizing the iteration time as a function of the hardness of the target, as characterized by the information exponents. We show that performing gradient updates with large batches $n_b \lesssim d^{\frac{\ell}{2}}$ minimizes the training time without changing the total sample complexity, where $\ell$ is the information exponent of the target to be learned \citep{arous2021online} and $d$ is the input dimension. However, larger batch sizes than $n_b \gg d^{\frac{\ell}{2}}$ are detrimental for improving the time complexity of SGD. We provably overcome this fundamental limitation via a different training protocol, \textit{Correlation loss SGD}, which suppresses the auto-correlation terms in the loss function. We show that one can track the training progress by a system of low-dimensional ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Finally, we validate our theoretical results with numerical experiments.


Variable importance measure for spatial machine learning models with application to air pollution exposure prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Exposure assessment is fundamental to air pollution cohort studies. The objective is to predict air pollution exposures for study subjects at locations without data in order to optimize our ability to learn about health effects of air pollution. In addition to generating accurate predictions to minimize exposure measurement error, understanding the mechanism captured by the model is another crucial aspect that may not always be straightforward due to the complex nature of machine learning methods, as well as the lack of unifying notions of variable importance. This is further complicated in air pollution modeling by the presence of spatial correlation. We tackle these challenges in two datasets: sulfur (S) from regulatory United States national PM2.5 sub-species data and ultrafine particles (UFP) from a new Seattle-area traffic-related air pollution dataset. Our key contribution is a leave-one-out approach for variable importance that leads to interpretable and comparable measures for a broad class of models with separable mean and covariance components. We illustrate our approach with several spatial machine learning models, and it clearly highlights the difference in model mechanisms, even for those producing similar predictions. We leverage insights from this variable importance measure to assess the relative utilities of two exposure models for S and UFP that have similar out-of-sample prediction accuracies but appear to draw on different types of spatial information to make predictions.


MLIP: Efficient Multi-Perspective Language-Image Pretraining with Exhaustive Data Utilization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) has achieved remarkable success, leading to rapid advancements in multimodal studies. However, CLIP faces a notable challenge in terms of inefficient data utilization. It relies on a single contrastive supervision for each image-text pair during representation learning, disregarding a substantial amount of valuable information that could offer richer supervision. Additionally, the retention of non-informative tokens leads to increased computational demands and time costs, particularly in CLIP's ViT image encoder. To address these issues, we propose Multi-Perspective Language-Image Pretraining (MLIP). In MLIP, we leverage the frequency transform's sensitivity to both high and low-frequency variations, which complements the spatial domain's sensitivity limited to low-frequency variations only. By incorporating frequency transforms and token-level alignment, we expand CILP's single supervision into multi-domain and multi-level supervision, enabling a more thorough exploration of informative image features. Additionally, we introduce a token merging method guided by comprehensive semantics from the frequency and spatial domains. This allows us to merge tokens to multi-granularity tokens with a controllable compression rate to accelerate CLIP. Extensive experiments validate the effectiveness of our design.


KG-FIT: Knowledge Graph Fine-Tuning Upon Open-World Knowledge

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Knowledge Graph Embedding (KGE) techniques are crucial in learning compact representations of entities and relations within a knowledge graph, facilitating efficient reasoning and knowledge discovery. While existing methods typically focus either on training KGE models solely based on graph structure or fine-tuning pre-trained language models with classification data in KG, KG-FIT leverages LLM-guided refinement to construct a semantically coherent hierarchical structure of entity clusters. By incorporating this hierarchical knowledge along with textual information during the fine-tuning process, KG-FIT effectively captures both global semantics from the LLM and local semantics from the KG. Extensive experiments on the benchmark datasets FB15K-237, YAGO3-10, and PrimeKG demonstrate the superiority of KG-FIT over state-of-the-art pre-trained language model-based methods, achieving improvements of 14.4%, 13.5%, and 11.9% in the Hits@10 metric for the link prediction task, respectively. Furthermore, KG-FIT yields substantial performance gains of 12.6%, 6.7%, and 17.7% compared to the structure-based base models upon which it is built. These results highlight the effectiveness of KG-FIT in incorporating open-world knowledge from LLMs to significantly enhance the expressiveness and informativeness of KG embeddings.


Contextual Dynamic Pricing: Algorithms, Optimality, and Local Differential Privacy Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We study the contextual dynamic pricing problem where a firm sells products to $T$ sequentially arriving consumers that behave according to an unknown demand model. The firm aims to maximize its revenue, i.e. minimize its regret over a clairvoyant that knows the model in advance. The demand model is a generalized linear model (GLM), allowing for a stochastic feature vector in $\mathbb R^d$ that encodes product and consumer information. We first show that the optimal regret upper bound is of order $\sqrt{dT}$, up to a logarithmic factor, improving upon existing upper bounds in the literature by a $\sqrt{d}$ factor. This sharper rate is materialised by two algorithms: a confidence bound-type (supCB) algorithm and an explore-then-commit (ETC) algorithm. A key insight of our theoretical result is an intrinsic connection between dynamic pricing and the contextual multi-armed bandit problem with many arms based on a careful discretization. We further study contextual dynamic pricing under the local differential privacy (LDP) constraints. In particular, we propose a stochastic gradient descent based ETC algorithm that achieves an optimal regret upper bound of order $d\sqrt{T}/\epsilon$, up to a logarithmic factor, where $\epsilon>0$ is the privacy parameter. The regret upper bounds with and without LDP constraints are accompanied by newly constructed minimax lower bounds, which further characterize the cost of privacy. Extensive numerical experiments and a real data application on online lending are conducted to illustrate the efficiency and practical value of the proposed algorithms in dynamic pricing.


Long Range Propagation on Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Learning Continuous-Time Dynamic Graphs (C-TDGs) requires accurately modeling spatio-temporal information on streams of irregularly sampled events. While many methods have been proposed recently, we find that most message passing-, recurrent- or self-attention-based methods perform poorly on long-range tasks. These tasks require correlating information that occurred "far" away from the current event, either spatially (higher-order node information) or along the time dimension (events occurred in the past). To address long-range dependencies, we introduce Continuous-Time Graph Anti-Symmetric Network (CTAN). Grounded within the ordinary differential equations framework, our method is designed for efficient propagation of information. In this paper, we show how CTAN's (i) long-range modeling capabilities are substantiated by theoretical findings and how (ii) its empirical performance on synthetic long-range benchmarks and real-world benchmarks is superior to other methods. Our results motivate CTAN's ability to propagate long-range information in C-TDGs as well as the inclusion of long-range tasks as part of temporal graph models evaluation.


Certifiably Byzantine-Robust Federated Conformal Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Conformal prediction has shown impressive capacity in constructing statistically rigorous prediction sets for machine learning models with exchangeable data samples. The siloed datasets, coupled with the escalating privacy concerns related to local data sharing, have inspired recent innovations extending conformal prediction into federated environments with distributed data samples. However, this framework for distributed uncertainty quantification is susceptible to Byzantine failures. A minor subset of malicious clients can significantly compromise the practicality of coverage guarantees. To address this vulnerability, we introduce a novel framework Rob-FCP, which executes robust federated conformal prediction, effectively countering malicious clients capable of reporting arbitrary statistics with the conformal calibration process. We theoretically provide the conformal coverage bound of Rob-FCP in the Byzantine setting and show that the coverage of Rob-FCP is asymptotically close to the desired coverage level. We also propose a malicious client number estimator to tackle a more challenging setting where the number of malicious clients is unknown to the defender and theoretically shows its effectiveness. We empirically demonstrate the robustness of Rob-FCP against diverse proportions of malicious clients under a variety of Byzantine attacks on five standard benchmark and real-world healthcare datasets.


DPDR: Gradient Decomposition and Reconstruction for Differentially Private Deep Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Differentially Private Stochastic Gradients Descent (DP-SGD) is a prominent paradigm for preserving privacy in deep learning. It ensures privacy by perturbing gradients with random noise calibrated to their entire norm at each training step. However, this perturbation suffers from a sub-optimal performance: it repeatedly wastes privacy budget on the general converging direction shared among gradients from different batches, which we refer as common knowledge, yet yields little information gain. Motivated by this, we propose a differentially private training framework with early gradient decomposition and reconstruction (DPDR), which enables more efficient use of the privacy budget. In essence, it boosts model utility by focusing on incremental information protection and recycling the privatized common knowledge learned from previous gradients at early training steps. Concretely, DPDR incorporates three steps. First, it disentangles common knowledge and incremental information in current gradients by decomposing them based on previous noisy gradients. Second, most privacy budget is spent on protecting incremental information for higher information gain. Third, the model is updated with the gradient reconstructed from recycled common knowledge and noisy incremental information. Theoretical analysis and extensive experiments show that DPDR outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on both convergence rate and accuracy.


Soft Partitioning of Latent Space for Semantic Channel Equalization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Semantic channel equalization has emerged as a solution to address language mismatch in multi-user semantic communications. This approach aims to align the latent spaces of an encoder and a decoder which were not jointly trained and it relies on a partition of the semantic (latent) space into atoms based on the the semantic meaning. In this work we explore the role of the semantic space partition in scenarios where the task structure involves a one-to-many mapping between the semantic space and the action space. In such scenarios, partitioning based on hard inference results results in loss of information which degrades the equalization performance. We propose a soft criterion to derive the atoms of the partition which leverages the soft decoder's output and offers a more comprehensive understanding of the semantic space's structure. Through empirical validation, we demonstrate that soft partitioning yields a more descriptive and regular partition of the space, consequently enhancing the performance of the equalization algorithm.


Looks Too Good To Be True: An Information-Theoretic Analysis of Hallucinations in Generative Restoration Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The pursuit of high perceptual quality in image restoration has driven the development of revolutionary generative models, capable of producing results often visually indistinguishable from real data. However, as their perceptual quality continues to improve, these models also exhibit a growing tendency to generate hallucinations - realistic-looking details that do not exist in the ground truth images. The presence of hallucinations introduces uncertainty regarding the reliability of the models' predictions, raising major concerns about their practical application. In this paper, we employ information-theory tools to investigate this phenomenon, revealing a fundamental tradeoff between uncertainty and perception. We rigorously analyze the relationship between these two factors, proving that the global minimal uncertainty in generative models grows in tandem with perception. In particular, we define the inherent uncertainty of the restoration problem and show that attaining perfect perceptual quality entails at least twice this uncertainty. Additionally, we establish a relation between mean squared-error distortion, uncertainty and perception, through which we prove the aforementioned uncertainly-perception tradeoff induces the well-known perception-distortion tradeoff. This work uncovers fundamental limitations of generative models in achieving both high perceptual quality and reliable predictions for image restoration. We demonstrate our theoretical findings through an analysis of single image super-resolution algorithms. Our work aims to raise awareness among practitioners about this inherent tradeoff, empowering them to make informed decisions and potentially prioritize safety over perceptual performance.