Statistical Learning
Modelling Visual Semantics via Image Captioning to extract Enhanced Multi-Level Cross-Modal Semantic Incongruity Representation with Attention for Multimodal Sarcasm Detection
Aggarwal, Sajal, Pandey, Ananya, Vishwakarma, Dinesh Kumar
Sarcasm is a type of irony, characterized by an inherent mismatch between the literal interpretation and the intended connotation. Though sarcasm detection in text has been extensively studied, there are situations in which textual input alone might be insufficient to perceive sarcasm. The inclusion of additional contextual cues, such as images, is essential to recognize sarcasm in social media data effectively. This study presents a novel framework for multimodal sarcasm detection that can process input triplets. Two components of these triplets comprise the input text and its associated image, as provided in the datasets. Additionally, a supplementary modality is introduced in the form of descriptive image captions. The motivation behind incorporating this visual semantic representation is to more accurately capture the discrepancies between the textual and visual content, which are fundamental to the sarcasm detection task. The primary contributions of this study are: (1) a robust textual feature extraction branch that utilizes a cross-lingual language model; (2) a visual feature extraction branch that incorporates a self-regulated residual ConvNet integrated with a lightweight spatially aware attention module; (3) an additional modality in the form of image captions generated using an encoder-decoder architecture capable of reading text embedded in images; (4) distinct attention modules to effectively identify the incongruities between the text and two levels of image representations; (5) multi-level cross-domain semantic incongruity representation achieved through feature fusion. Compared with cutting-edge baselines, the proposed model achieves the best accuracy of 92.89% and 64.48%, respectively, on the Twitter multimodal sarcasm and MultiBully datasets.
On Probabilistic Embeddings in Optimal Dimension Reduction
Dimension reduction algorithms are a crucial part of many data science pipelines, including data exploration, feature creation and selection, and denoising. Despite their wide utilization, many non-linear dimension reduction algorithms are poorly understood from a theoretical perspective. In this work we consider a generalized version of multidimensional scaling, which is posed as an optimization problem in which a mapping from a high-dimensional feature space to a lower-dimensional embedding space seeks to preserve either inner products or norms of the distribution in feature space, and which encompasses many commonly used dimension reduction algorithms. We analytically investigate the variational properties of this problem, leading to the following insights: 1) Solutions found using standard particle descent methods may lead to non-deterministic embeddings, 2) A relaxed or probabilistic formulation of the problem admits solutions with easily interpretable necessary conditions, 3) The globally optimal solutions to the relaxed problem actually must give a deterministic embedding. This progression of results mirrors the classical development of optimal transportation, and in a case relating to the Gromov-Wasserstein distance actually gives explicit insight into the structure of the optimal embeddings, which are parametrically determined and discontinuous. Finally, we illustrate that a standard computational implementation of this task does not learn deterministic embeddings, which means that it learns sub-optimal mappings, and that the embeddings learned in that context have highly misleading clustering structure, underscoring the delicate nature of solving this problem computationally.
Evaluating Posterior Probabilities: Decision Theory, Proper Scoring Rules, and Calibration
Ferrer, Luciana, Ramos, Daniel
Most machine learning classifiers are designed to output posterior probabilities for the classes given the input sample. These probabilities may be used to make the categorical decision on the class of the sample; provided as input to a downstream system; or provided to a human for interpretation. Evaluating the quality of the posteriors generated by these system is an essential problem which was addressed decades ago with the invention of proper scoring rules (PSRs). Unfortunately, much of the recent machine learning literature uses calibration metrics -- most commonly, the expected calibration error (ECE) -- as a proxy to assess posterior performance. The problem with this approach is that calibration metrics reflect only one aspect of the quality of the posteriors, ignoring the discrimination performance. For this reason, we argue that calibration metrics should play no role in the assessment of posterior quality. Expected PSRs should instead be used for this job, preferably normalized for ease of interpretation. In this work, we first give a brief review of PSRs from a practical perspective, motivating their definition using Bayes decision theory. We discuss why expected PSRs provide a principled measure of the quality of a system's posteriors and why calibration metrics are not the right tool for this job. We argue that calibration metrics, while not useful for performance assessment, may be used as diagnostic tools during system development. With this purpose in mind, we discuss a simple and practical calibration metric, called calibration loss, derived from a decomposition of expected PSRs. We compare this metric with the ECE and with the expected score divergence calibration metric from the PSR literature and argue, using theoretical and empirical evidence, that calibration loss is superior to these two metrics.
Graphical Modelling without Independence Assumptions for Uncentered Data
Andrew, Bailey, Westhead, David R., Cutillo, Luisa
The independence assumption is a useful tool to increase the tractability of one's modelling framework. However, this assumption does not match reality; failing to take dependencies into account can cause models to fail dramatically. The field of multi-axis graphical modelling (also called multi-way modelling, Kronecker-separable modelling) has seen growth over the past decade, but these models require that the data have zero mean. In the multi-axis case, inference is typically done in the single sample scenario, making mean inference impossible. In this paper, we demonstrate how the zero-mean assumption can cause egregious modelling errors, as well as propose a relaxation to the zero-mean assumption that allows the avoidance of such errors. Specifically, we propose the "Kronecker-sum-structured mean" assumption, which leads to models with nonconvex-but-unimodal log-likelihoods that can be solved efficiently with coordinate descent.
Exploiting Hankel-Toeplitz Structures for Fast Computation of Kernel Precision Matrices
Viset, Frida, Kullberg, Anton, Wesel, Frederiek, Solin, Arno
The Hilbert-space Gaussian Process (HGP) approach offers a hyperparameter-independent basis function approximation for speeding up Gaussian Process (GP) inference by projecting the GP onto M basis functions. These properties result in a favorable data-independent $\mathcal{O}(M^3)$ computational complexity during hyperparameter optimization but require a dominating one-time precomputation of the precision matrix costing $\mathcal{O}(NM^2)$ operations. In this paper, we lower this dominating computational complexity to $\mathcal{O}(NM)$ with no additional approximations. We can do this because we realize that the precision matrix can be split into a sum of Hankel-Toeplitz matrices, each having $\mathcal{O}(M)$ unique entries. Based on this realization we propose computing only these unique entries at $\mathcal{O}(NM)$ costs. Further, we develop two theorems that prescribe sufficient conditions for the complexity reduction to hold generally for a wide range of other approximate GP models, such as the Variational Fourier Feature (VFF) approach. The two theorems do this with no assumptions on the data and no additional approximations of the GP models themselves. Thus, our contribution provides a pure speed-up of several existing, widely used, GP approximations, without further approximations.
Optimizing Cox Models with Stochastic Gradient Descent: Theoretical Foundations and Practical Guidances
Zeng, Lang, Tang, Weijing, Ren, Zhao, Ding, Ying
Optimizing Cox regression and its neural network variants poses substantial computational challenges in large-scale studies. Stochastic gradient descent (SGD), known for its scalability in model optimization, has recently been adapted to optimize Cox models. Unlike its conventional application, which typically targets a sum of independent individual loss, SGD for Cox models updates parameters based on the partial likelihood of a subset of data. Despite its empirical success, the theoretical foundation for optimizing Cox partial likelihood with SGD is largely underexplored. In this work, we demonstrate that the SGD estimator targets an objective function that is batch-size-dependent. We establish that the SGD estimator for the Cox neural network (Cox-NN) is consistent and achieves the optimal minimax convergence rate up to a polylogarithmic factor. For Cox regression, we further prove the $\sqrt{n}$-consistency and asymptotic normality of the SGD estimator, with variance depending on the batch size. Furthermore, we quantify the impact of batch size on Cox-NN training and its effect on the SGD estimator's asymptotic efficiency in Cox regression. These findings are validated by extensive numerical experiments and provide guidance for selecting batch sizes in SGD applications. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of SGD in a real-world application where GD is unfeasible due to the large scale of data.
Classification of Raw MEG/EEG Data with Detach-Rocket Ensemble: An Improved ROCKET Algorithm for Multivariate Time Series Analysis
Solana, Adrià, Fransén, Erik, Uribarri, Gonzalo
Multivariate Time Series Classification (MTSC) is a ubiquitous problem in science and engineering, particularly in neuroscience, where most data acquisition modalities involve the simultaneous time-dependent recording of brain activity in multiple brain regions. In recent years, Random Convolutional Kernel models such as ROCKET and MiniRocket have emerged as highly effective time series classification algorithms, capable of achieving state-of-the-art accuracy results with low computational load. Despite their success, these types of models face two major challenges when employed in neuroscience: 1) they struggle to deal with high-dimensional data such as EEG and MEG, and 2) they are difficult to interpret. In this work, we present a novel ROCKET-based algorithm, named Detach-Rocket Ensemble, that is specifically designed to address these two problems in MTSC. Our algorithm leverages pruning to provide an integrated estimation of channel importance, and ensembles to achieve better accuracy and provide a label probability. Using a synthetic multivariate time series classification dataset in which we control the amount of information carried by each of the channels, we first show that our algorithm is able to correctly recover the channel importance for classification. Then, using two real-world datasets, a MEG dataset and an EEG dataset, we show that Detach-Rocket Ensemble is able to provide both interpretable channel relevance and competitive classification accuracy, even when applied directly to the raw brain data, without the need for feature engineering.
DRFormer: Multi-Scale Transformer Utilizing Diverse Receptive Fields for Long Time-Series Forecasting
Ding, Ruixin, Chen, Yuqi, Lan, Yu-Ting, Zhang, Wei
Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) has been widely applied in finance, traffic prediction, and other domains. Recently, patch-based transformers have emerged as a promising approach, segmenting data into sub-level patches that serve as input tokens. However, existing methods mostly rely on predetermined patch lengths, necessitating expert knowledge and posing challenges in capturing diverse characteristics across various scales. Moreover, time series data exhibit diverse variations and fluctuations across different temporal scales, which traditional approaches struggle to model effectively. In this paper, we propose a dynamic tokenizer with a dynamic sparse learning algorithm to capture diverse receptive fields and sparse patterns of time series data. In order to build hierarchical receptive fields, we develop a multi-scale Transformer model, coupled with multi-scale sequence extraction, capable of capturing multi-resolution features. Additionally, we introduce a group-aware rotary position encoding technique to enhance intra- and inter-group position awareness among representations across different temporal scales. Our proposed model, named DRFormer, is evaluated on various real-world datasets, and experimental results demonstrate its superiority compared to existing methods. Our code is available at: https://github.com/ruixindingECNU/DRFormer.
On the influence of dependent features in classification problems: a game-theoretic perspective
Davila-Pena, Laura, Saavedra-Nieves, Alejandro, Casas-Méndez, Balbina
Within this framework, we consider a sample of individuals characterized by specific features, each feature encompassing a finite range of values, and classified based on a binary response variable. This measure turns out to be an influence measure explored in existing literature and related to cooperative game theory. We provide an axiomatic characterization of our proposed influence measure by tailoring properties from the cooperative game theory to our specific context. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our influence measure becomes a general characterization of the well-known Banzhaf-Owen value for games with a priori unions, from the perspective of classification problems. The definitions and results presented herein are illustrated through numerical examples and various applications, offering practical insights into our methodologies.
KAN we improve on HEP classification tasks? Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks applied to an LHC physics example
Erdmann, Johannes, Mausolf, Florian, Späh, Jan Lukas
Recently, Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) have been proposed as an alternative to multilayer perceptrons, suggesting advantages in performance and interpretability. We study a typical binary event classification task in high-energy physics including high-level features and comment on the performance and interpretability of KANs in this context. We find that the learned activation functions of a one-layer KAN resemble the log-likelihood ratio of the input features. In deeper KANs, the activations in the first KAN layer differ from those in the one-layer KAN, which indicates that the deeper KANs learn more complex representations of the data. We study KANs with different depths and widths and we compare them to multilayer perceptrons in terms of performance and number of trainable parameters. For the chosen classification task, we do not find that KANs are more parameter efficient. However, small KANs may offer advantages in terms of interpretability that come at the cost of only a moderate loss in performance.