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 Statistical Learning


Meta Clustering of Neural Bandits

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The contextual bandit has been identified as a powerful framework to formulate the recommendation process as a sequential decision-making process, where each item is regarded as an arm and the objective is to minimize the regret of $T$ rounds. In this paper, we study a new problem, Clustering of Neural Bandits, by extending previous work to the arbitrary reward function, to strike a balance between user heterogeneity and user correlations in the recommender system. To solve this problem, we propose a novel algorithm called M-CNB, which utilizes a meta-learner to represent and rapidly adapt to dynamic clusters, along with an informative Upper Confidence Bound (UCB)-based exploration strategy. We provide an instance-dependent performance guarantee for the proposed algorithm that withstands the adversarial context, and we further prove the guarantee is at least as good as state-of-the-art (SOTA) approaches under the same assumptions. In extensive experiments conducted in both recommendation and online classification scenarios, M-CNB outperforms SOTA baselines. This shows the effectiveness of the proposed approach in improving online recommendation and online classification performance.


SRTFD: Scalable Real-Time Fault Diagnosis through Online Continual Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fault diagnosis (FD) is essential for maintaining operational safety and minimizing economic losses by detecting system abnormalities. Recently, deep learning (DL)-driven FD methods have gained prominence, offering significant improvements in precision and adaptability through the utilization of extensive datasets and advanced DL models. Modern industrial environments, however, demand FD methods that can handle new fault types, dynamic conditions, large-scale data, and provide real-time responses with minimal prior information. Although online continual learning (OCL) demonstrates potential in addressing these requirements by enabling DL models to continuously learn from streaming data, it faces challenges such as data redundancy, imbalance, and limited labeled data. To overcome these limitations, we propose SRTFD, a scalable real-time fault diagnosis framework that enhances OCL with three critical methods: Retrospect Coreset Selection (RCS), which selects the most relevant data to reduce redundant training and improve efficiency; Global Balance Technique (GBT), which ensures balanced coreset selection and robust model performance; and Confidence and Uncertainty-driven Pseudo-label Learning (CUPL), which updates the model using unlabeled data for continuous adaptation. Extensive experiments on a real-world dataset and two public simulated datasets demonstrate SRTFD's effectiveness and potential for providing advanced, scalable, and precise fault diagnosis in modern industrial systems.


A Structural Feature-Based Approach for Comprehensive Graph Classification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The increasing prevalence of graph-structured data across various domains has intensified greater interest in graph classification tasks. While numerous sophisticated graph learning methods have emerged, their complexity often hinders practical implementation. In this article, we address this challenge by proposing a method that constructs feature vectors based on fundamental graph structural properties. We demonstrate that these features, despite their simplicity, are powerful enough to capture the intrinsic characteristics of graphs within the same class. We explore the efficacy of our approach using three distinct machine learning methods, highlighting how our feature-based classification leverages the inherent structural similarities of graphs within the same class to achieve accurate classification. A key advantage of our approach is its simplicity, which makes it accessible and adaptable to a broad range of applications, including social network analysis, bioinformatics, and cybersecurity. Furthermore, we conduct extensive experiments to validate the performance of our method, showing that it not only reveals a competitive performance but in some cases surpasses the accuracy of more complex, state-of-the-art techniques. Our findings suggest that a focus on fundamental graph features can provide a robust and efficient alternative for graph classification, offering significant potential for both research and practical applications.


FuXi Weather: An end-to-end machine learning weather data assimilation and forecasting system

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Operational numerical weather prediction systems consist of three fundamental components: the global observing system for data collection, data assimilation for generating initial conditions, and the forecasting model to predict future weather conditions. While NWP have undergone a quiet revolution, with forecast skills progressively improving over the past few decades, their advancement has slowed due to challenges such as high computational costs and the complexities associated with assimilating an increasing volume of observational data and managing finer spatial grids. Advances in machine learning offer an alternative path towards more efficient and accurate weather forecasts. The rise of machine learning based weather forecasting models has also spurred the development of machine learning based DA models or even purely machine learning based weather forecasting systems. This paper introduces FuXi Weather, an end-to-end machine learning based weather forecasting system. FuXi Weather employs specialized data preprocessing and multi-modal data fusion techniques to integrate information from diverse sources under all-sky conditions, including microwave sounders from 3 polar-orbiting satellites and radio occultation data from Global Navigation Satellite System. Operating on a 6-hourly DA and forecasting cycle, FuXi Weather independently generates robust and accurate 10-day global weather forecasts at a spatial resolution of 0.25\textdegree. It surpasses the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts high-resolution forecasts in terms of predictability, extending the skillful forecast lead times for several key weather variables such as the geopotential height at 500 hPa from 9.25 days to 9.5 days. The system's high computational efficiency and robust performance, even with limited observations, demonstrates its potential as a promising alternative to traditional NWP systems.


Tensor Decomposition Meets RKHS: Efficient Algorithms for Smooth and Misaligned Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The canonical polyadic (CP) tensor decomposition decomposes a multidimensional data array into a sum of outer products of finite-dimensional vectors. Instead, we can replace some or all of the vectors with continuous functions (infinite-dimensional vectors) from a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). We refer to tensors with some infinite-dimensional modes as quasitensors, and the approach of decomposing a tensor with some continuous RKHS modes is referred to as CP-HiFi (hybrid infinite and finite dimensional) tensor decomposition. An advantage of CP-HiFi is that it can enforce smoothness in the infinite dimensional modes. Further, CP-HiFi does not require the observed data to lie on a regular and finite rectangular grid and naturally incorporates misaligned data. We detail the methodology and illustrate it on a synthetic example.


Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In causal inference, encouragement designs (EDs) are widely used to analyze causal effects, when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are impractical or compliance to treatment cannot be perfectly enforced. Unlike RCTs, which directly allocate treatments, EDs randomly assign encouragement policies that positively motivate individuals to engage in a specific treatment. These random encouragements act as instrumental variables (IVs), facilitating the identification of causal effects through leveraging exogenous perturbations in discrete treatment scenarios. However, real-world applications of encouragement designs often face challenges such as incomplete randomization, limited experimental data, and significantly fewer encouragements compared to treatments, hindering precise causal effect estimation. To address this, this paper introduces novel theories and algorithms for identifying the Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) using variations in encouragement. Further, by leveraging both observational and encouragement data, we propose a generalized IV estimator, named Encouragement-based Counterfactual Regression (EnCounteR), to effectively estimate the causal effects. Extensive experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of EnCounteR over existing methods.


Efficient Federated Learning Using Dynamic Update and Adaptive Pruning with Momentum on Shared Server Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite achieving remarkable performance, Federated Learning (FL) encounters two important problems, i.e., low training efficiency and limited computational resources. In this paper, we propose a new FL framework, i.e., FedDUMAP, with three original contributions, to leverage the shared insensitive data on the server in addition to the distributed data in edge devices so as to efficiently train a global model. First, we propose a simple dynamic server update algorithm, which takes advantage of the shared insensitive data on the server while dynamically adjusting the update steps on the server in order to speed up the convergence and improve the accuracy. Second, we propose an adaptive optimization method with the dynamic server update algorithm to exploit the global momentum on the server and each local device for superior accuracy. Third, we develop a layer-adaptive model pruning method to carry out specific pruning operations, which is adapted to the diverse features of each layer so as to attain an excellent trade-off between effectiveness and efficiency. Our proposed FL model, FedDUMAP, combines the three original techniques and has a significantly better performance compared with baseline approaches in terms of efficiency (up to 16.9 times faster), accuracy (up to 20.4% higher), and computational cost (up to 62.6% smaller).


Fever Detection with Infrared Thermography: Enhancing Accuracy through Machine Learning Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the necessity for advanced diagnostic tools in global health systems. Infrared Thermography (IRT) has proven to be a crucial non-contact method for measuring body temperature, vital for identifying febrile conditions associated with infectious diseases like COVID-19. Traditional non-contact infrared thermometers (NCITs) often exhibit significant variability in readings. To address this, we integrated machine learning algorithms with IRT to enhance the accuracy and reliability of temperature measurements. Our study systematically evaluated various regression models using heuristic feature engineering techniques, focusing on features' physiological relevance and statistical significance. The Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model, utilizing these techniques, achieved the lowest RMSE of 0.2223, demonstrating superior performance compared to results reported in previous literature. Among non-neural network models, the Binning method achieved the best performance with an RMSE of 0.2296. Our findings highlight the potential of combining advanced feature engineering with machine learning to improve diagnostic tools' effectiveness, with implications extending to other non-contact or remote sensing biomedical applications. This paper offers a comprehensive analysis of these methodologies, providing a foundation for future research in the field of non-invasive medical diagnostics.


Incremental Gauss-Newton Descent for Machine Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is a popular technique used to solve problems arising in machine learning. While very effective, SGD also has some weaknesses and various modifications of the basic algorithm have been proposed in order to at least partially tackle them, mostly yielding accelerated versions of SGD. Filling a gap in the literature, we present a modification of the SGD algorithm exploiting approximate second-order information based on the Gauss-Newton approach. The new method, which we call Incremental Gauss-Newton Descent (IGND), has essentially the same computational burden as standard SGD, appears to converge faster on certain classes of problems, and can also be accelerated. The key intuition making it possible to implement IGND efficiently is that, in the incremental case, approximate second-order information can be condensed into a scalar value that acts as a scaling constant of the update. We derive IGND starting from the theory supporting Gauss-Newton methods in a general setting and then explain how IGND can also be interpreted as a well-scaled version of SGD, which makes tuning the algorithm simpler, and provides increased robustness. Finally, we show how IGND can be used in practice by solving supervised learning tasks as well as reinforcement learning problems. The simulations show that IGND can significantly outperform SGD while performing at least as well as SGD in the worst case.


A Versatile Framework for Attributed Network Clustering via K-Nearest Neighbor Augmentation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Attributed networks containing entity-specific information in node attributes are ubiquitous in modeling social networks, e-commerce, bioinformatics, etc. Their inherent network topology ranges from simple graphs to hypergraphs with high-order interactions and multiplex graphs with separate layers. An important graph mining task is node clustering, aiming to partition the nodes of an attributed network into k disjoint clusters such that intra-cluster nodes are closely connected and share similar attributes, while inter-cluster nodes are far apart and dissimilar. It is highly challenging to capture multi-hop connections via nodes or attributes for effective clustering on multiple types of attributed networks. In this paper, we first present AHCKA as an efficient approach to attributed hypergraph clustering (AHC). AHCKA includes a carefully-crafted K-nearest neighbor augmentation strategy for the optimized exploitation of attribute information on hypergraphs, a joint hypergraph random walk model to devise an effective AHC objective, and an efficient solver with speedup techniques for the objective optimization. The proposed techniques are extensible to various types of attributed networks, and thus, we develop ANCKA as a versatile attributed network clustering framework, capable of attributed graph clustering (AGC), attributed multiplex graph clustering (AMGC), and AHC. Moreover, we devise ANCKA with algorithmic designs tailored for GPU acceleration to boost efficiency. We have conducted extensive experiments to compare our methods with 19 competitors on 8 attributed hypergraphs, 16 competitors on 6 attributed graphs, and 16 competitors on 3 attributed multiplex graphs, all demonstrating the superb clustering quality and efficiency of our methods.