An efficient system of a queue control and regulation in public spaces is very important in order to avoid the traffic jams and to improve the customer satisfaction. This article offers a detailed road map based on a merger of intelligent systems and creating an efficient systems of queues in public places. Through the utilization of different technologies i.e. computer vision, machine learning algorithms, deep learning our system provide accurate information about the place is crowded or not and the necessary efforts to be taken.

Intervention intuition is often used in model explanation where the intervention effect of a feature on the outcome is quantified by the difference of a model prediction when the feature value is changed from the current value to the baseline value. Such a model intervention effect of a feature is inherently association. In this paper, we will study the conditions when an intuitive model intervention effect has a causal interpretation, i.e., when it indicates whether a feature is a direct cause of the outcome. This work links the model intervention effect to the causal interpretation of a model. Such an interpretation capability is important since it indicates whether a machine learning model is trustworthy to domain experts. The conditions also reveal the limitations of using a model intervention effect for causal interpretation in an environment with unobserved features. Experiments on semi-synthetic datasets have been conducted to validate theorems and show the potential for using the model intervention effect for model interpretation.

Company fundamentals are key to assessing companies' financial and overall success and stability. Forecasting them is important in multiple fields, including investing and econometrics. While statistical and contemporary machine learning methods have been applied to many time series tasks, there is a lack of comparison of these approaches on this particularly challenging data regime. To this end, we try to bridge this gap and thoroughly evaluate the theoretical properties and practical performance of 22 deterministic and probabilistic company fundamentals forecasting models on real company data. We observe that deep learning models provide superior forcasting performance to classical models, in particular when considering uncertainty estimation. To validate the findings, we compare them to human analyst expectations and find that their accuracy is comparable to the automatic forecasts. We further show how these high-quality forecasts can benefit automated stock allocation. We close by presenting possible ways of integrating domain experts to further improve performance and increase reliability.

We study large deviations and mean-squared error (MSE) guarantees of a general framework of nonlinear stochastic gradient methods in the online setting, in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. Unlike existing works that rely on the closed form of a nonlinearity (typically clipping), our framework treats the nonlinearity in a black-box manner, allowing us to provide unified guarantees for a broad class of bounded nonlinearities, including many popular ones, like sign, quantization, normalization, as well as component-wise and joint clipping. We provide several strong results for a broad range of step-sizes in the presence of heavy-tailed noise with symmetric probability density function, positive in a neighbourhood of zero and potentially unbounded moments. In particular, for non-convex costs we provide a large deviation upper bound for the minimum norm-squared of gradients, showing an asymptotic tail decay on an exponential scale, at a rate $\sqrt{t} / \log(t)$. We establish the accompanying rate function, showing an explicit dependence on the choice of step-size, nonlinearity, noise and problem parameters. Next, for non-convex costs and the minimum norm-squared of gradients, we derive the optimal MSE rate $\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(t^{-1/2})$. Moreover, for strongly convex costs and the last iterate, we provide an MSE rate that can be made arbitrarily close to the optimal rate $\mathcal{O}(t^{-1})$, improving on the state-of-the-art results in the presence of heavy-tailed noise. Finally, we establish almost sure convergence of the minimum norm-squared of gradients, providing an explicit rate, which can be made arbitrarily close to $o(t^{-1/4})$.

For example, if the initial study was an RCT, it may have failed to measure practically important Many applications of causal inference require covariates [Kahan et al., 2014] such as social using treatment effects estimated on a study determinants of health [Huang et al., 2024]. Since the population to make decisions in a separate intervention has not previously been used by the health target population. We consider the challenging system, no outcome data linked to these new covariates setting where there are covariates that are is available. However, treatment decisions would observed in the target population that were ideally reflect whether the intervention is likely to be not seen in the original study. Our goal is to beneficial to a patient conditional on all information estimate the tightest possible bounds on heterogeneous available, not just covariates that happened to be in the treatment effects conditioned on original study. This paper studies the question: how such newly observed covariates. We introduce precisely can we identify treatment effects conditional a novel partial identification strategy based on such new covariates? If precise estimates are available, on ideas from ecological inference; the main the decision maker can proceed confidently with idea is that estimates of conditional treatment deployment. Conversely, if considerable uncertainty remains effects for the full covariate set must about an important subgroup, a decision maker marginalize correctly when restricted to only may exercise more caution or invest more resources in the covariates observed in both populations.

Multi-Output Regression (MOR) has been widely used in scientific data analysis for decision-making. Unlike traditional regression models, MOR aims to simultaneously predict multiple real-valued outputs given an input. However, the increasing dimensionality of the outputs poses significant challenges regarding interpretability and computational scalability for modern MOR applications. As a first step to address these challenges, this paper proposes a Sparse \& High-dimensional-Output REgression (SHORE) model by incorporating additional sparsity requirements to resolve the output interpretability, and then designs a computationally efficient two-stage optimization framework capable of solving SHORE with provable accuracy via compression on outputs. Theoretically, we show that the proposed framework is computationally scalable while maintaining the same order of training loss and prediction loss before-and-after compression under arbitrary or relatively weak sample set conditions. Empirically, numerical results further validate the theoretical findings, showcasing the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed framework.

Visualizing high-dimensional data is an important routine for understanding biomedical data and interpreting deep learning models. Neighbor embedding methods, such as t-SNE, UMAP, and LargeVis, among others, are a family of popular visualization methods which reduce high-dimensional data to two dimensions. However, recent studies suggest that these methods often produce visual artifacts, potentially leading to incorrect scientific conclusions. Recognizing that the current limitation stems from a lack of data-independent notions of embedding maps, we introduce a novel conceptual and computational framework, LOO-map, that learns the embedding maps based on a classical statistical idea known as the leave-one-out. LOO-map extends the embedding over a discrete set of input points to the entire input space, enabling a systematic assessment of map continuity, and thus the reliability of the visualizations. We find for many neighbor embedding methods, their embedding maps can be intrinsically discontinuous. The discontinuity induces two types of observed map distortion: ``overconfidence-inducing discontinuity," which exaggerates cluster separation, and ``fracture-inducing discontinuity," which creates spurious local structures. Building upon LOO-map, we propose two diagnostic point-wise scores -- perturbation score and singularity score -- to address these limitations. These scores can help identify unreliable embedding points, detect out-of-distribution data, and guide hyperparameter selection. Our approach is flexible and works as a wrapper around many neighbor embedding algorithms. We test our methods across multiple real-world datasets from computer vision and single-cell omics to demonstrate their effectiveness in enhancing the interpretability and accuracy of visualizations.

While the majority of time series classification research has focused on modeling fixed-length sequences, variable-length time series classification (VTSC) remains critical in healthcare, where sequence length may vary among patients and events. To address this challenge, we propose $\textbf{S}$tochastic $\textbf{S}$parse $\textbf{S}$ampling (SSS), a novel VTSC framework developed for medical time series. SSS manages variable-length sequences by sparsely sampling fixed windows to compute local predictions, which are then aggregated and calibrated to form a global prediction. We apply SSS to the task of seizure onset zone (SOZ) localization, a critical VTSC problem requiring identification of seizure-inducing brain regions from variable-length electrophysiological time series. We evaluate our method on the Epilepsy iEEG Multicenter Dataset, a heterogeneous collection of intracranial electroencephalography (iEEG) recordings obtained from four independent medical centers. SSS demonstrates superior performance compared to state-of-the-art (SOTA) baselines across most medical centers, and superior performance on all out-of-distribution (OOD) unseen medical centers. Additionally, SSS naturally provides post-hoc insights into local signal characteristics related to the SOZ, by visualizing temporally averaged local predictions throughout the signal.

Regularization, whether explicit in terms of a penalty in the loss or implicit in the choice of algorithm, is a cornerstone of modern machine learning. Indeed, controlling the complexity of the model class is particularly important when data is scarce, noisy or contaminated, as it translates a statistical belief on the underlying structure of the data. This work investigates the question of how to choose the regularization norm $\lVert \cdot \rVert$ in the context of high-dimensional adversarial training for binary classification. To this end, we first derive an exact asymptotic description of the robust, regularized empirical risk minimizer for various types of adversarial attacks and regularization norms (including non-$\ell_p$ norms). We complement this analysis with a uniform convergence analysis, deriving bounds on the Rademacher Complexity for this class of problems. Leveraging our theoretical results, we quantitatively characterize the relationship between perturbation size and the optimal choice of $\lVert \cdot \rVert$, confirming the intuition that, in the data scarce regime, the type of regularization becomes increasingly important for adversarial training as perturbations grow in size.

We study the problem of conditional two-sample testing, which aims to determine whether two populations have the same distribution after accounting for confounding factors. This problem commonly arises in various applications, such as domain adaptation and algorithmic fairness, where comparing two groups is essential while controlling for confounding variables. We begin by establishing a hardness result for conditional two-sample testing, demonstrating that no valid test can have significant power against any single alternative without proper assumptions. We then introduce two general frameworks that implicitly or explicitly target specific classes of distributions for their validity and power. Our first framework allows us to convert any conditional independence test into a conditional two-sample test in a black-box manner, while preserving the asymptotic properties of the original conditional independence test. The second framework transforms the problem into comparing marginal distributions with estimated density ratios, which allows us to leverage existing methods for marginal two-sample testing. We demonstrate this idea in a concrete manner with classification and kernel-based methods. Finally, simulation studies are conducted to illustrate the proposed frameworks in finite-sample scenarios.