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 Statistical Learning


High-dimensional Statistics Applications to Batch Effects in Metabolomics

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Batch effects are inevitable in large-scale metabolomics. Prior to formal data analysis, batch effect correction (BEC) is applied to prevent from obscuring biological variations, and batch effect evaluation (BEE) is used for correction assessment. However, existing BEE algorithms neglect covariances between the variables, and existing BEC algorithms might fail to adequately correct the covariances. Therefore, we resort to recent advancements in high-dimensional statistics, and respectively propose "quality control-based simultaneous tests (QC-ST)" and "covariance correction (CoCo)". Validated by the simulation data, QC-ST can simultaneously detect the statistical significance of QC samples' mean vectors and covariance matrices across different batches, and has a satisfactory statistical performance in empirical sizes, empirical powers, and computational speed. Then, we apply four QC-based BEC algorithms to two large cohort datasets, and find that extreme gradient boost (XGBoost) performs best in relative standard deviation (RSD) and dispersion-ratio (D-ratio). After prepositive BEC, if QC-ST still suggests that batch effects between some two batches are significant, CoCo should be implemented. And after CoCo (if necessary), the four metrics (i.e., RSD, D-ratio, classification performance, and QC-ST) might be further improved. In summary, under the guidance of QC-ST, we can develop a matching strategy to integrate multiple BEC algorithms more rationally and flexibly, and minimize batch effects for reliable biological conclusions.


Predictive Query-based Pipeline for Graph Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the context of the DOING project, funded by APR-IA and based in the Val de Loire region of France, we've been developing a methodology (pipeline) to extract meaningful information from graph data. So, this work was funded by the DOING project. Our primary goal is to structure this information into a graph database, creating a knowledge graph that can be intelligently manipulated. To ensure practical application, we've focused on the health sector as our domain of interest. The DOING project is dedicated to developing data science queries that can facilitate informed decision-making by specialist professionals.


Hidden Biases of End-to-End Driving Datasets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

End-to-end driving systems have made rapid progress, but have so far not been applied to the challenging new CARLA Leaderboard 2.0. Further, while there is a large body of literature on end-to-end architectures and training strategies, the impact of the training dataset is often overlooked. In this work, we make a first attempt at end-to-end driving for Leaderboard 2.0. Instead of investigating architectures, we systematically analyze the training dataset, leading to new insights: (1) Expert style significantly affects downstream policy performance. (2) In complex data sets, the frames should not be weighted on the basis of simplistic criteria such as class frequencies. (3) Instead, estimating whether a frame changes the target labels compared to previous frames can reduce the size of the dataset without removing important information. By incorporating these findings, our model ranks first and second respectively on the map and sensors tracks of the 2024 CARLA Challenge, and sets a new state-of-the-art on the Bench2Drive test routes. Finally, we uncover a design flaw in the current evaluation metrics and propose a modification for future challenges. Our dataset, code, and pre-trained models are publicly available at https://github.com/autonomousvision/carla_garage.


Enhanced Speech Emotion Recognition with Efficient Channel Attention Guided Deep CNN-BiLSTM Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Speech emotion recognition (SER) is crucial for enhancing affective computing and enriching the domain of human-computer interaction. However, the main challenge in SER lies in selecting relevant feature representations from speech signals with lower computational costs. In this paper, we propose a lightweight SER architecture that integrates attention-based local feature blocks (ALFBs) to capture high-level relevant feature vectors from speech signals. We also incorporate a global feature block (GFB) technique to capture sequential, global information and long-term dependencies in speech signals. By aggregating attention-based local and global contextual feature vectors, our model effectively captures the internal correlation between salient features that reflect complex human emotional cues. To evaluate our approach, we extracted four types of spectral features from speech audio samples: mel-frequency cepstral coefficients, mel-spectrogram, root mean square value, and zero-crossing rate. Through a 5-fold cross-validation strategy, we tested the proposed method on five multi-lingual standard benchmark datasets: TESS, RAVDESS, BanglaSER, SUBESCO, and Emo-DB, and obtained a mean accuracy of 99.65%, 94.88%, 98.12%, 97.94%, and 97.19% respectively. The results indicate that our model achieves state-of-the-art (SOTA) performance compared to most existing methods.


Towards Fair Graph Neural Networks via Graph Counterfactual without Sensitive Attributes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Graph-structured data is ubiquitous in today's connected world, driving extensive research in graph analysis. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown great success in this field, leading to growing interest in developing fair GNNs for critical applications. However, most existing fair GNNs focus on statistical fairness notions, which may be insufficient when dealing with statistical anomalies. Hence, motivated by causal theory, there has been growing attention to mitigating root causes of unfairness utilizing graph counterfactuals. Unfortunately, existing methods for generating graph counterfactuals invariably require the sensitive attribute. Nevertheless, in many real-world applications, it is usually infeasible to obtain sensitive attributes due to privacy or legal issues, which challenge existing methods. In this paper, we propose a framework named Fairwos (improving Fairness without sensitive attributes). In particular, we first propose a mechanism to generate pseudo-sensitive attributes to remedy the problem of missing sensitive attributes, and then design a strategy for finding graph counterfactuals from the real dataset. To train fair GNNs, we propose a method to ensure that the embeddings from the original data are consistent with those from the graph counterfactuals, and dynamically adjust the weight of each pseudo-sensitive attribute to balance its contribution to fairness and utility. Furthermore, we theoretically demonstrate that minimizing the relation between these pseudo-sensitive attributes and the prediction can enable the fairness of GNNs. Experimental results on six real-world datasets show that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art methods in balancing utility and fairness.


Who's the (Multi-)Fairest of Them \textsc{All}: Rethinking Interpolation-Based Data Augmentation Through the Lens of Multicalibration

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data augmentation methods, especially SoTA interpolation-based methods such as Fair Mixup, have been widely shown to increase model fairness. However, this fairness is evaluated on metrics that do not capture model uncertainty and on datasets with only one, relatively large, minority group. As a remedy, multicalibration has been introduced to measure fairness while accommodating uncertainty and accounting for multiple minority groups. However, existing methods of improving multicalibration involve reducing initial training data to create a holdout set for post-processing, which is not ideal when minority training data is already sparse. This paper uses multicalibration to more rigorously examine data augmentation for classification fairness. We stress-test four versions of Fair Mixup on two structured data classification problems with up to 81 marginalized groups, evaluating multicalibration violations and balanced accuracy. We find that on nearly every experiment, Fair Mixup \textit{worsens} baseline performance and fairness, but the simple vanilla Mixup \textit{outperforms} both Fair Mixup and the baseline, especially when calibrating on small groups. \textit{Combining} vanilla Mixup with multicalibration post-processing, which enforces multicalibration through post-processing on a holdout set, further increases fairness.


Finite Sample Analysis of Tensor Decomposition for Learning Mixtures of Linear Systems

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study the problem of learning mixtures of linear dynamical systems (MLDS) from input-output data. This mixture setting allows us to leverage observations from related dynamical systems to improve the estimation of individual models. Building on spectral methods for mixtures of linear regressions, we propose a moment-based estimator that uses tensor decomposition to estimate the impulse response of component models of the mixture. The estimator improves upon existing tensor decomposition approaches for MLDS by utilizing the entire length of the observed trajectories. We provide sample complexity bounds for estimating MLDS in the presence of noise, in terms of both $N$ (number of trajectories) and $T$ (trajectory length), and demonstrate the performance of our estimator through simulations.


Data-Driven Transfer Learning Framework for Estimating Turning Movement Counts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Urban transportation networks are vital for the efficient movement of people and goods, necessitating effective traffic management and planning. An integral part of traffic management is understanding the turning movement counts (TMCs) at intersections, Accurate TMCs at intersections are crucial for traffic signal control, congestion mitigation, and road safety. In general, TMCs are obtained using physical sensors installed at intersections, but this approach can be cost-prohibitive and technically challenging, especially for cities with extensive road networks. Recent advancements in machine learning and data-driven approaches have offered promising alternatives for estimating TMCs. Traffic patterns can vary significantly across different intersections due to factors such as road geometry, traffic signal settings, and local driver behaviors. This domain discrepancy limits the generalizability and accuracy of machine learning models when applied to new or unseen intersections. In response to these limitations, this research proposes a novel framework leveraging transfer learning (TL) to estimate TMCs at intersections by using traffic controller event-based data, road infrastructure data, and point-of-interest (POI) data. Evaluated on 30 intersections in Tucson, Arizona, the performance of the proposed TL model was compared with eight state-of-the-art regression models and achieved the lowest values in terms of Mean Absolute Error and Root Mean Square Error.


Class flipping for uplift modeling and Heterogeneous Treatment Effect estimation on imbalanced RCT data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In this paper, we focus on data from Randomized Controlled Experiments which guarantee causal interpretation of the outcomes. Class and treatment imbalance are important problems in uplift modeling/HTE, but classical undersampling or oversampling based approaches are hard to apply in this case since they distort the predicted effect. Calibration methods have been proposed in the past, however, they do not guarantee correct predictions. In this work, we propose an approach alternative to undersampling, based on flipping the class value of selected records. We show that the proposed approach does not distort the predicted effect and does not require calibration. The method is especially useful for models based on class variable transformation (modified outcome models). We address those models separately, designing a transformation scheme which guarantees correct predictions and addresses also the problem of treatment imbalance which is especially important for those models. Experiments fully confirm our theoretical results. Additionally, we demonstrate that our method is a viable alternative also for standard classification problems.


Buzz to Broadcast: Predicting Sports Viewership Using Social Media Engagement

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurately predicting sports viewership is crucial for optimizing ad sales and revenue forecasting. Social media platforms, such as Reddit, provide a wealth of user-generated content that reflects audience engagement and interest. In this study, we propose a regression-based approach to predict sports viewership using social media metrics, including post counts, comments, scores, and sentiment analysis from TextBlob and VADER. Through iterative improvements, such as focusing on major sports subreddits, incorporating categorical features, and handling outliers by sport, the model achieved an $R^2$ of 0.99, a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 1.27 million viewers, and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 2.33 million viewers on the full dataset. These results demonstrate the model's ability to accurately capture patterns in audience behavior, offering significant potential for pre-event revenue forecasting and targeted advertising strategies.