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 Statistical Learning


Alleviating Performance Disparity in Adversarial Spatiotemporal Graph Learning Under Zero-Inflated Distribution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Spatiotemporal Graph Learning (SGL) under Zero-Inflated Distribution (ZID) is crucial for urban risk management tasks, including crime prediction and traffic accident profiling. However, SGL models are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, compromising their practical utility. While adversarial training (A T) has been widely used to bolster model robustness, our study finds that traditional A T exacerbates performance disparities between majority and minority classes under ZID, potentially leading to irreparable losses due to un-derreporting critical risk events. In this paper, we first demonstrate the smaller top-k gradients and lower separability of minority class are key factors contributing to this disparity. To address these issues, we propose MinGRE, a framework for Min ority Class G radients and R epresentations E nhancement. MinGRE employs a multi-dimensional attention mechanism to reweight spatiotemporal gradients, minimizing the gradient distribution discrepancies across classes. Additionally, we introduce an uncertainty-guided contrastive loss to improve the inter-class separability and intra-class compactness of minority representations with higher uncertainty. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the MinGRE framework not only significantly reduces the performance disparity across classes but also achieves enhanced robustness compared to existing baselines. These findings underscore the potential of our method in fostering the development of more equitable and robust models.


Gradient-free Continual Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Continual learning (CL) presents a fundamental challenge in training neural networks on sequential tasks without experiencing catastrophic forgetting. Traditionally, the dominant approach in CL has been gradient-based optimization, where updates to the network parameters are performed using stochastic gradient descent (SGD) or its variants. However, a major limitation arises when previous data is no longer accessible, as is often assumed in CL settings. In such cases, there is no gradient information available for past data, leading to uncontrolled parameter changes and consequently severe forgetting of previously learned tasks. By shifting focus from data availability to gradient availability, this work opens up new avenues for addressing forgetting in CL. We explore the hypothesis that gradient-free optimization methods can provide a robust alternative to conventional gradient-based continual learning approaches. We discuss the theoretical underpinnings of such method, analyze their potential advantages and limitations, and present empirical evidence supporting their effectiveness. By reconsidering the fundamental cause of forgetting, this work aims to contribute a fresh perspective to the field of continual learning and inspire novel research directions.


Enhancing stroke disease classification through machine learning models via a novel voting system by feature selection techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Heart disease remains a leading cause of mortality and morbidity worldwide, necessitating the development of accurate and reliable predictive models to facilitate early detection and intervention. While state of the art work has focused on various machine learning approaches for predicting heart disease, but they could not able to achieve remarkable accuracy. In response to this need, we applied nine machine learning algorithms XGBoost, logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, k-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), gaussian na\"ive bayes (NB gaussian), adaptive boosting, and linear regression to predict heart disease based on a range of physiological indicators. Our approach involved feature selection techniques to identify the most relevant predictors, aimed at refining the models to enhance both performance and interpretability. The models were trained, incorporating processes such as grid search hyperparameter tuning, and cross-validation to minimize overfitting. Additionally, we have developed a novel voting system with feature selection techniques to advance heart disease classification. Furthermore, we have evaluated the models using key performance metrics including accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC). Among the models, XGBoost demonstrated exceptional performance, achieving 99% accuracy, precision, F1-Score, 98% recall, and 100% ROC AUC. This study offers a promising approach to early heart disease diagnosis and preventive healthcare.


Privacy-Preserving Transfer Learning for Community Detection using Locally Distributed Multiple Networks

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This paper develops a new spectral clustering-based method called TransNet for transfer learning in community detection of network data. Our goal is to improve the clustering performance of the target network using auxiliary source networks, which are heterogeneous, privacy-preserved, and locally stored across various sources. The edges of each locally stored network are perturbed using the randomized response mechanism to achieve differential privacy. Notably, we allow the source networks to have distinct privacy-preserving and heterogeneity levels as often desired in practice. To better utilize the information from the source networks, we propose a novel adaptive weighting method to aggregate the eigenspaces of the source networks multiplied by adaptive weights chosen to incorporate the effects of privacy and heterogeneity. We propose a regularization method that combines the weighted average eigenspace of the source networks with the eigenspace of the target network to achieve an optimal balance between them. Theoretically, we show that the adaptive weighting method enjoys the error-bound-oracle property in the sense that the error bound of the estimated eigenspace only depends on informative source networks. We also demonstrate that TransNet performs better than the estimator using only the target network and the estimator using only the weighted source networks.


Feature Subset Weighting for Distance-based Supervised Learning through Choquet Integration

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper introduces feature subset weighting using monotone measures for distance-based supervised learning. The Choquet integral is used to define a distance metric that incorporates these weights. This integration enables the proposed distances to effectively capture non-linear relationships and account for interactions both between conditional and decision attributes and among conditional attributes themselves, resulting in a more flexible distance measure. In particular, we show how this approach ensures that the distances remain unaffected by the addition of duplicate and strongly correlated features. Another key point of this approach is that it makes feature subset weighting computationally feasible, since only $m$ feature subset weights should be calculated each time instead of calculating all feature subset weights ($2^m$), where $m$ is the number of attributes. Next, we also examine how the use of the Choquet integral for measuring similarity leads to a non-equivalent definition of distance. The relationship between distance and similarity is further explored through dual measures. Additionally, symmetric Choquet distances and similarities are proposed, preserving the classical symmetry between similarity and distance. Finally, we introduce a concrete feature subset weighting distance, evaluate its performance in a $k$-nearest neighbors (KNN) classification setting, and compare it against Mahalanobis distances and weighted distance methods.


Random feature-based double Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth algorithm for online multi-kernel learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a novel multi-kernel learning algorithm, VAW$^2$, for online least squares regression in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). VAW$^2$ leverages random Fourier feature-based functional approximation and the Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth (VAW) method in a two-level procedure: VAW is used to construct expert strategies from random features generated for each kernel at the first level, and then again to combine their predictions at the second level. A theoretical analysis yields a regret bound of $O(T^{1/2}\ln T)$ in expectation with respect to artificial randomness, when the number of random features scales as $T^{1/2}$. Empirical results on some benchmark datasets demonstrate that VAW$^2$ achieves superior performance compared to the existing online multi-kernel learning algorithms: Raker and OMKL-GF, and to other theoretically grounded method methods involving convex combination of expert predictions at the second level.


Automated Feature Labeling with Token-Space Gradient Descent

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a novel approach to feature labeling using gradient descent in token-space. While existing methods typically use language models to generate hypotheses about feature meanings, our method directly optimizes label representations by using a language model as a discriminator to predict feature activations. We formulate this as a multi-objective optimization problem in token-space, balancing prediction accuracy, entropy minimization, and linguistic naturalness. Our proof-of-concept experiments demonstrate successful convergence to interpretable single-token labels across diverse domains, including features for detecting animals, mammals, Chinese text, and numbers. Although our current implementation is constrained to single-token labels and relatively simple features, the results suggest that token-space gradient descent could become a valuable addition to the interpretability researcher's toolkit. Recent work in mechanistic interpretability has made significant progress in decomposing neural networks into interpretable features.


Training Frozen Feature Pyramid DINOv2 for Eyelid Measurements with Infinite Encoding and Orthogonal Regularization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurate measurement of eyelid parameters such as Margin Reflex Distances (MRD1, MRD2) and Levator Function (LF) is critical in oculoplastic diagnostics but remains limited by manual, inconsistent methods. This study evaluates deep learning models: SE-ResNet, EfficientNet, and the vision transformer-based DINOv2 for automating these measurements using smartphone-acquired images. We assess performance across frozen and fine-tuned settings, using MSE, MAE, and R2 metrics. DINOv2, pretrained through self-supervised learning, demonstrates superior scalability and robustness, especially under frozen conditions ideal for mobile deployment. Lightweight regressors such as MLP and Deep Ensemble offer high precision with minimal computational overhead. To address class imbalance and improve generalization, we integrate focal loss, orthogonal regularization, and binary encoding strategies. Our results show that DINOv2 combined with these enhancements delivers consistent, accurate predictions across all tasks, making it a strong candidate for real-world, mobile-friendly clinical applications. This work highlights the potential of foundation models in advancing AI-powered ophthalmic care.


Evaluating and Designing Sparse Autoencoders by Approximating Quasi-Orthogonality

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sparse autoencoders (SAEs) have emerged as a workhorse of modern mechanistic interpretability, but leading SAE approaches with top-$k$ style activation functions lack theoretical grounding for selecting the hyperparameter $k$. SAEs are based on the linear representation hypothesis (LRH), which assumes that the representations of large language models (LLMs) are linearly encoded, and the superposition hypothesis (SH), which states that there can be more features in the model than its dimensionality. We show that, based on the formal definitions of the LRH and SH, the magnitude of sparse feature vectors (the latent representations learned by SAEs of the dense embeddings of LLMs) can be approximated using their corresponding dense vector with a closed-form error bound. To visualize this, we propose the ZF plot, which reveals a previously unknown relationship between LLM hidden embeddings and SAE feature vectors, allowing us to make the first empirical measurement of the extent to which feature vectors of pre-trained SAEs are over- or under-activated for a given input. Correspondingly, we introduce Approximate Feature Activation (AFA), which approximates the magnitude of the ground-truth sparse feature vector, and propose a new evaluation metric derived from AFA to assess the alignment between inputs and activations. We also leverage AFA to introduce a novel SAE architecture, the top-AFA SAE, leading to SAEs that: (a) are more in line with theoretical justifications; and (b) obviate the need to tune SAE sparsity hyperparameters. Finally, we empirically demonstrate that top-AFA SAEs achieve reconstruction loss comparable to that of state-of-the-art top-k SAEs, without requiring the hyperparameter $k$ to be tuned. Our code is available at: https://github.com/SewoongLee/top-afa-sae.


New Statistical Framework for Extreme Error Probability in High-Stakes Domains for Reliable Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning is vital in high-stakes domains, yet conventional validation methods rely on averaging metrics like mean squared error (MSE) or mean absolute error (MAE), which fail to quantify extreme errors. Worst-case prediction failures can have substantial consequences, but current frameworks lack statistical foundations for assessing their probability. In this work a new statistical framework, based on Extreme Value Theory (EVT), is presented that provides a rigorous approach to estimating worst-case failures. Applying EVT to synthetic and real-world datasets, this method is shown to enable robust estimation of catastrophic failure probabilities, overcoming the fundamental limitations of standard cross-validation. This work establishes EVT as a fundamental tool for assessing model reliability, ensuring safer AI deployment in new technologies where uncertainty quantification is central to decision-making or scientific analysis.