Monitoring tools for anticipatory action are increasingly gaining traction to improve the efficiency and timeliness of humanitarian responses. Whilst predictive models can now forecast conflicts with high accuracy, translating these predictions into potential forced displacement movements remains challenging because it is often unclear which precise events will trigger significant population movements. This paper presents a novel monitoring approach for refugee and asylum seeker flows that addresses this challenge. Using gradient boosting classification, we combine conflict forecasts with a comprehensive set of economic, political, and demographic variables to assess two distinct risks at the country of origin: the likelihood of significant displacement flows and the probability of sudden increases in these flows. The model generates country-specific monthly risk indices for these two events with prediction horizons of one, three, and six months. Our analysis shows high accuracy in predicting significant displacement flows and good accuracy in forecasting sudden increases in displacement--the latter being inherently more difficult to predict, given the complexity of displacement triggers. We achieve these results by including predictive factors beyond conflict, thereby demonstrating that forced displacement risks can be assessed through an integrated analysis of multiple country-level indicators. Whilst these risk indices provide valuable quantitative support for humanitarian planning, they should always be understood as decision-support tools within a broader analytical framework.

Road accidents significantly threaten public safety and require in-depth analysis for effective prevention and mitigation strategies. This paper focuses on predicting accidents through the examination of a comprehensive traffic dataset covering 49 states in the United States. The dataset integrates information from diverse sources, including transportation departments, law enforcement, and traffic sensors. This paper specifically emphasizes predicting the number of accidents, utilizing advanced machine learning models such as regression analysis and time series analysis. The inclusion of various factors, ranging from environmental conditions to human behavior and infrastructure, ensures a holistic understanding of the dynamics influencing road safety. Temporal and spatial analysis further allows for the identification of trends, seasonal variations, and high-risk areas. The implications of this research extend to proactive decision-making for policymakers and transportation authorities. By providing accurate predictions and quantifiable insights into expected accident rates under different conditions, the paper aims to empower authorities to allocate resources efficiently and implement targeted interventions. The goal is to contribute to the development of informed policies and interventions that enhance road safety, creating a safer environment for all road users. Keywords: Machine Learning, Random Forest, Accident Prediction, AutoML, LSTM.

In recent years, significant progress has been made in molecular representation learning methods, among which multi-modal molecular representation methods based on images, and 2D/3D topologies have become increasingly mainstream. However, existing these multi-modal approaches often directly fuse information from different modalities, overlooking the potential of intermodal interactions and failing to adequately capture the complex higher-order relationships and invariant features between molecules. T o overcome these challenges, we propose a structure-awareness-based multi-modal self-supervised molecular representation pre-training framework (MMSA) designed to enhance molecular graph representations by leveraging invariant knowledge between molecules. The framework consists of two main modules: the multi-modal molecular representation learning module and the structure-awareness module. The multi-modal molecular representation learning module collaboratively processes information from different modalities of the same molecule to overcome intermodal differences and generate a unified molecular embedding. Subsequently, the structure-awareness module enhances the molecular representation by constructing a hypergraph structure to model higher-order correlations between molecules. This module also introduces a memory mechanism for storing typical molecular representations, aligning them with memory anchors in the memory bank to integrate invariant knowledge, thereby improving the model's generalization ability. Compared to existing multi-modal approaches, MMSA can be seamlessly integrated with any graph-based method and supports multiple molecular data modalities, ensuring both versatility and compatibility. Extensive experiments have demonstrated the effectiveness of MMSA, which achieves state-of-the-art performance on the MoleculeNet benchmark, with average ROC-AUC improvements ranging from 1.8% to 9.6% over baseline methods.

Graph contrastive learning (GCL) has achieved remarkable success by following the computer vision paradigm of preserving absolute similarity between augmented views. However, this approach faces fundamental challenges in graphs due to their discrete, non-Euclidean nature -- view generation often breaks semantic validity and similarity verification becomes unreliable. Through analyzing 11 real-world graphs, we discover a universal pattern transcending the homophily-heterophily dichotomy: label consistency systematically diminishes as structural distance increases, manifesting as smooth decay in homophily graphs and oscillatory decay in heterophily graphs. We establish theoretical guarantees for this pattern through random walk theory, proving label distribution convergence and characterizing the mechanisms behind different decay behaviors. This discovery reveals that graphs naturally encode relative similarity patterns, where structurally closer nodes exhibit collectively stronger semantic relationships. Leveraging this insight, we propose RELGCL, a novel GCL framework with complementary pairwise and listwise implementations that preserve these inherent patterns through collective similarity objectives. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method consistently outperforms 20 existing approaches across both homophily and heterophily graphs, validating the effectiveness of leveraging natural relative similarity over artificial absolute similarity.

Regression-based predictive analytics used in modern kidney transplantation is known to inherit biases from training data. This leads to social discrimination and inefficient organ utilization, particularly in the context of a few social groups. Despite this concern, there is limited research on fairness in regression and its impact on organ utilization and placement. This paper introduces three novel divergence-based group fairness notions: ( i) independence, ( ii) separation, and ( iii) sufficiency to assess the fairness of regression-based analytics tools. In addition, fairness preferences are investigated from crowd feedback, in order to identify a socially accepted group fairness criterion for evaluating these tools. A total of 85 participants were recruited from the Prolific crowdsourcing platform, and a Mixed-Logit discrete choice model was used to model fairness feedback and estimate social fairness preferences. The findings clearly depict a strong preference towards the separation and sufficiency fairness notions, and that the predictive analytics is deemed fair with respect to gender and race groups, but unfair in terms of age groups.

Given that data-dependent algorithmic systems have become impactful in more domains of life, the need for individuals to promote their own interests and hold algorithms accountable has grown. To have meaningful influence, individuals must band together to engage in collective action. Groups that engage in such algorithmic collective action are likely to vary in size, membership characteristics, and crucially, objectives. In this work, we introduce a first of a kind framework for studying collective action with two or more collectives that strategically behave to manipulate data-driven systems. With more than one collective acting on a system, unexpected interactions may occur. We use this framework to conduct experiments with language model-based classifiers and recommender systems where two collectives each attempt to achieve their own individual objectives. We examine how differing objectives, strategies, sizes, and homogeneity can impact a collective's efficacy. We find that the unintentional interactions between collectives can be quite significant; a collective acting in isolation may be able to achieve their objective (e.g., improve classification outcomes for themselves or promote a particular item), but when a second collective acts simultaneously, the efficacy of the first group drops by as much as $75\%$. We find that, in the recommender system context, neither fully heterogeneous nor fully homogeneous collectives stand out as most efficacious and that heterogeneity's impact is secondary compared to collective size. Our results signal the need for more transparency in both the underlying algorithmic models and the different behaviors individuals or collectives may take on these systems. This approach also allows collectives to hold algorithmic system developers accountable and provides a framework for people to actively use their own data to promote their own interests.

Molecular generation plays an important role in drug discovery and materials science, especially in data-scarce scenarios where traditional generative models often struggle to achieve satisfactory conditional generalization. To address this challenge, we propose MetaMolGen, a first-order meta-learning-based molecular generator designed for few-shot and property-conditioned molecular generation. MetaMolGen standardizes the distribution of graph motifs by mapping them to a normalized latent space, and employs a lightweight autoregressive sequence model to generate SMILES sequences that faithfully reflect the underlying molecular structure. In addition, it supports conditional generation of molecules with target properties through a learnable property projector integrated into the generative process.Experimental results demonstrate that MetaMolGen consistently generates valid and diverse SMILES sequences under low-data regimes, outperforming conventional baselines. This highlights its advantage in fast adaptation and efficient conditional generation for practical molecular design.

In tackling frequent batch anomalies in high-speed stamping processes, this study introduces a novel semi-supervised in-process anomaly monitoring framework, utilizing accelerometer signals and physics information, to capture the process anomaly effectively. The proposed framework facilitates the construction of a monitoring model with imbalanced sample distribution, which enables in-process condition monitoring in real-time to prevent batch anomalies, which helps to reduce batch defects risk and enhance production yield. Firstly, to effectively capture key features from raw data containing redundant information, a hybrid feature extraction algorithm is proposed to utilize data-driven methods and physical mechanisms simultaneously. Secondly, to address the challenge brought by imbalanced sample distribution, a semi-supervised anomaly detection model is established, which merely employs normal samples to build a golden baseline model, and a novel deviation score is proposed to quantify the anomaly level of each online stamping stroke. The effectiveness of the proposed feature extraction method is validated with various classification algorithms. A real-world in-process dataset from stamping manufacturing workshop is employed to illustrate the superiority of proposed semi-supervised framework with enhance performance for process anomaly monitoring.

Unlike raw scalp EEG-based models, SeizureFormer leverages structured, clinically relevant features and integrates CNN-based patch embedding, multi-head self-attention, and squeeze-and-excitation blocks to model both short-term dynamics and long-term seizure cycles. Tested across five patients and multiple prediction windows (1-14 days), SeizureFormer achieved state-of-the-art performance with mean ROC AUC of 79.44% and mean PR AUC of 76.29% . Compared to statistical, machine learning, and deep learning baselines, it demonstrates enhanced generaliz-ability and seizure risk forecasting performance under class imbalance. This work supports future clinical integration of interpretable and robust seizure forecasting tools for personalized epilepsy management. Introduction Epilepsy is a chronic neurological disorder affecting around 50 million people worldwide, marked by recurrent and unpredictable seizures that significantly disrupt daily life.

--This paper introduces a novel approach to the power system security assessment using Multi-T ask Learning (MTL), and reformulating the problem as a multi-label classification task. The proposed MTL framework simultaneously assesses static, voltage, transient, and small-signal stability, improving both accuracy and interpretability with respect to the most state of the art machine learning methods. It consists of a shared encoder and multiple decoders, enabling knowledge transfer between stability tasks. Experiments on the IEEE 68-bus system demonstrate a measurable superior performance of the proposed method compared to the extant state-of-the-art approaches. The power system security assessment (PSSA) is essential power application in energy management systems [1] apparatus that ensures the reliability and stability of energy delivery [2]. Power system operators routinely perform security assessments to ensure the system can withstand disturbances, typically involving steady-state and dynamic simulations every 15 minutes to prepare contingency plans for critical scenarios [3]. In recent years, mainly due to the ongoing changing landscape in the energy mix of electricity grids around the globe, conducting real-time PSSA has become more complex to the point that many power utilities may abandon this critical function. Instead, they rely solely on static security assessment, risking blackout as a result of dynamic instabilities.