Statistical Learning
Machine Learning Meets Transparency in Osteoporosis Risk Assessment: A Comparative Study of ML and Explainability Analysis
Elias, Farhana, Reza, Md Shihab, Mahmud, Muhammad Zawad, Islam, Samiha, Alve, Shahran Rahman
The present research tackles the difficulty of predicting osteoporosis risk via machine learning (ML) approaches, emphasizing the use of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) to improve model transparency. Osteoporosis is a significant public health concern, sometimes remaining untreated owing to its asymptomatic characteristics, and early identification is essential to avert fractures. The research assesses six machine learning classifiers: Random Forest, Logistic Regression, XGBoost, AdaBoost, LightGBM, and Gradient Boosting and utilizes a dataset based on clinical, demographic, and lifestyle variables. The models are refined using GridSearchCV to calibrate hyperparameters, with the objective of enhancing predictive efficacy. XGBoost had the greatest accuracy (91%) among the evaluated models, surpassing others in precision (0.92), recall (0.91), and F1-score (0.90). The research further integrates XAI approaches, such as SHAP, LIME, and Permutation Feature Importance, to elucidate the decision-making process of the optimal model. The study indicates that age is the primary determinant in forecasting osteoporosis risk, followed by hormonal alterations and familial history. These results corroborate clinical knowledge and affirm the models' therapeutic significance. The research underscores the significance of explainability in machine learning models for healthcare applications, guaranteeing that physicians can rely on the system's predictions. The report ultimately proposes directions for further research, such as validation across varied populations and the integration of supplementary biomarkers for enhanced predictive accuracy.
Robust Blind Channel Estimation for Bursty Impulsive Noise with a Constrained EM Approach
Chen, Chin-Hung, Nikoloska, Ivana, van Houtum, Wim, Wu, Yan, Karanov, Boris, Alvarado, Alex
Impulsive noise (IN) commonly generated by power devices can severely degrade the performance of high sensitivity wireless receivers. Accurate channel state information (CSI) knowledge is essential for designing optimal maximum a posteriori detectors. This paper examines blind channel estimation methods based on the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm tailored for scenarios impacted by bursty IN, which can be described by the Markov-Middleton model. We propose a constrained EM algorithm that exploits the trellis structure of the IN model and the transmitted binary phase shift keying (BPSK) symbols. By enforcing shared variance among specific trellis states and symmetry in the transition matrix, the proposed constrained EM algorithm adapted for the bursty IN channel has an almost two times faster convergence rate and better estimation performance than the standard EM approach. We comprehensively evaluate the robustness of both standard and constrained EM estimators under different types of CSI uncertainties. The results indicate that the final estimations of both EM estimators are robust enough to mismatch Markov-Middleton model parameters. However, as the level of CSI uncertainty increases, the convergence rate decreases.
Grammar-based Ordinary Differential Equation Discovery
Yu, Karin L., Chatzi, Eleni, Kissas, Georgios
The understanding and modeling of complex physical phenomena through dynamical systems has historically driven scientific progress, as it provides the tools for predicting the behavior of different systems under diverse conditions through time. The discovery of dynamical systems has been indispensable in engineering, as it allows for the analysis and prediction of complex behaviors for computational modeling, diagnostics, prognostics, and control of engineered systems. Joining recent efforts that harness the power of symbolic regression in this domain, we propose a novel framework for the end-to-end discovery of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), termed Grammar-based ODE Discovery Engine (GODE). The proposed methodology combines formal grammars with dimensionality reduction and stochastic search for efficiently navigating high-dimensional combinatorial spaces. Grammars allow us to seed domain knowledge and structure for both constraining, as well as, exploring the space of candidate expressions. GODE proves to be more sample- and parameter-efficient than state-of-the-art transformer-based models and to discover more accurate and parsimonious ODE expressions than both genetic programming- and other grammar-based methods for more complex inference tasks, such as the discovery of structural dynamics. Thus, we introduce a tool that could play a catalytic role in dynamics discovery tasks, including modeling, system identification, and monitoring tasks.
Robust Tangent Space Estimation via Laplacian Eigenvector Gradient Orthogonalization
Kohli, Dhruv, Robertson, Sawyer J., Mishne, Gal, Cloninger, Alexander
Estimating the tangent spaces of a data manifold is a fundamental problem in data analysis. The standard approach, Local Principal Component Analysis (LPCA), struggles in high-noise settings due to a critical trade-off in choosing the neighborhood size. Selecting an optimal size requires prior knowledge of the geometric and noise characteristics of the data that are often unavailable. In this paper, we propose a spectral method, Laplacian Eigenvector Gradient Orthogonalization (LEGO), that utilizes the global structure of the data to guide local tangent space estimation. Instead of relying solely on local neighborhoods, LEGO estimates the tangent space at each data point by orthogonalizing the gradients of low-frequency eigenvectors of the graph Laplacian. We provide two theoretical justifications of our method. First, a differential geometric analysis on a tubular neighborhood of a manifold shows that gradients of the low-frequency Laplacian eigenfunctions of the tube align closely with the manifold's tangent bundle, while an eigenfunction with high gradient in directions orthogonal to the manifold lie deeper in the spectrum. Second, a random matrix theoretic analysis also demonstrates that low-frequency eigenvectors are robust to sub-Gaussian noise. Through comprehensive experiments, we demonstrate that LEGO yields tangent space estimates that are significantly more robust to noise than those from LPCA, resulting in marked improvements in downstream tasks such as manifold learning, boundary detection, and local intrinsic dimension estimation.
PUL-Inter-slice Defender: An Anomaly Detection Solution for Distributed Slice Mobility Attacks
Molina, Ricardo Misael Ayala, Alameddine, Hyame Assem, Pourzandi, Makan, Assi, Chadi
Network Slices (NSs) are virtual networks operating over a shared physical infrastructure, each designed to meet specific application requirements while maintaining consistent Quality of Service (QoS). In Fifth Generation (5G) networks, User Equipment (UE) can connect to and seamlessly switch between multiple NSs to access diverse services. However, this flexibility, known as Inter-Slice Switching (ISS), introduces a potential vulnerability that can be exploited to launch Distributed Slice Mobility (DSM) attacks, a form of Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attack. To secure 5G networks and their NSs against DSM attacks, we present in this work, PUL-Inter-Slice Defender; an anomaly detection solution that leverages Positive Unlabeled Learning (PUL) and incorporates a combination of Long Short-Term Memory Autoencoders and K-Means clustering. PUL-Inter-Slice Defender leverages the Third Generation Partnership Project (3GPP) key performance indicators and performance measurement counters as features for its machine learning models to detect DSM attack variants while maintaining robustness in the presence of contaminated training data. When evaluated on data collected from our 5G testbed based on the open-source free5GC and UERANSIM, a UE/ Radio Access Network (RAN) simulator; PUL-Inter-Slice Defender achieved F1-scores exceeding 98.50% on training datasets with 10% to 40% attack contamination, consistently outperforming its counterpart Inter-Slice Defender and other PUL based solutions combining One-Class Support Vector Machine (OCSVM) with Random Forest and XGBoost.
GeoPurify: A Data-Efficient Geometric Distillation Framework for Open-Vocabulary 3D Segmentation
Dou, Weijia, Zhang, Xu, Bin, Yi, Liu, Jian, Peng, Bo, Wang, Guoqing, Yang, Yang, Shen, Heng Tao
Recent attempts to transfer features from 2D Vision-Language Models (VLMs) to 3D semantic segmentation expose a persistent trade-off. Directly projecting 2D features into 3D yields noisy and fragmented predictions, whereas enforcing geometric coherence necessitates costly training pipelines and large-scale annotated 3D data. We argue that this limitation stems from the dominant segmentation-and-matching paradigm, which fails to reconcile 2D semantics with 3D geometric structure. The geometric cues are not eliminated during the 2D-to-3D transfer but remain latent within the noisy and view-aggregated features. To exploit this property, we propose GeoPurify that applies a small Student Affinity Network to purify 2D VLM-generated 3D point features using geometric priors distilled from a 3D self-supervised teacher model. During inference, we devise a Geometry-Guided Pooling module to further denoise the point cloud and ensure the semantic and structural consistency. Benefiting from latent geometric information and the learned affinity network, GeoPurify effectively mitigates the trade-off and achieves superior data efficiency. Extensive experiments on major 3D benchmarks demonstrate that GeoPurify achieves or surpasses state-of-the-art performance while utilizing only about 1.5% of the training data. Our codes and checkpoints are available at [https://github.com/tj12323/GeoPurify](https://github.com/tj12323/GeoPurify).
SCANS: A Soft Gripper with Curvature and Spectroscopy Sensors for In-Hand Material Differentiation
Hanson, Nathaniel, Allison, Austin, DiMarzio, Charles, Padฤฑr, Taลkฤฑn, Dorsey, Kristen L.
We introduce the soft curvature and spectroscopy (SCANS) system: a versatile, electronics-free, fluidically actuated soft manipulator capable of assessing the spectral properties of objects either in hand or through pre-touch caging. This platform offers a wider spectral sensing capability than previous soft robotic counterparts. We perform a material analysis to explore optimal soft substrates for spectral sensing, and evaluate both pre-touch and in-hand performance. Experiments demonstrate explainable, statistical separation across diverse object classes and sizes (metal, wood, plastic, organic, paper, foam), with large spectral angle differences between items. Through linear discriminant analysis, we show that sensitivity in the near-infrared wavelengths is critical to distinguishing visually similar objects. These capabilities advance the potential of optics as a multi-functional sensory modality for soft robots. The complete parts list, assembly guidelines, and processing code for the SCANS gripper are accessible at: https://parses-lab.github.io/scans/.
NoMod: A Non-modular Attack on Module Learning With Errors
Bassotto, Cristian, Franch, Ermes, Krฤek, Marina, Picek, Stjepan
The advent of quantum computing threatens classical public-key cryptography, motivating NIST's adoption of post-quantum schemes such as those based on the Module Learning With Errors (Module-LWE) problem. We present NoMod ML-Attack, a hybrid white-box cryptanalytic method that circumvents the challenge of modeling modular reduction by treating wrap-arounds as statistical corruption and casting secret recovery as robust linear estimation. Our approach combines optimized lattice preprocessing--including reduced-vector saving and algebraic amplification--with robust estimators trained via Tukey's Biweight loss. Experiments show NoMod achieves full recovery of binary secrets for dimension n = 350, recovery of sparse binomial secrets for n = 256, and successful recovery of sparse secrets in CRYST ALS-Kyber settings with parameters (n, k) = (128, 3) and (256, 2). We release our implementation in an anonymous repository https://anonymous.4open.science/r/NoMod-3BD4. The dawn of quantum computing presents a significant and growing threat to current cryptographic systems, many of which may be vulnerable to decryption through quantum-based attacks. At the heart of this risk is Shor's algorithm, a quantum-based algorithm developed in 1994 by Peter Shor, which can efficiently factor large integers and compute discrete logarithms. These two mathematical problems are computationally challenging for classical computers when the input size is large. In particular, while classical algorithms to factor integers, such as the General Number Field Sieve (GNFS), run in sub-exponential time, Shor's algorithm could run in polynomial time, when implemented on a sufficiently robust quantum computer Shor (1994; 1997). This development poses a significant threat to the security assumptions underlying widely used public-key cryptographic schemes, such as RSA, Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), and the Diffie-Hellman key exchange. These algorithms are central to the Public Key Infrastructure (PKI) that secures virtually all modern digital communications.
Small is Sufficient: Reducing the World AI Energy Consumption Through Model Selection
Barros, Tiago da Silva, Giroire, Frรฉdรฉric, Aparicio-Pardo, Ramon, Moulierac, Joanna
The energy consumption and carbon footprint of Artificial Intelligence (AI) have become critical concerns due to rising costs and environmental impacts. In response, a new trend in green AI is emerging, shifting from the "bigger is better" paradigm, which prioritizes large models, to "small is sufficient", emphasizing energy sobriety through smaller, more efficient models. We explore how the AI community can adopt energy sobriety today by focusing on model selection during inference. Model selection consists of choosing the most appropriate model for a given task, a simple and readily applicable method, unlike approaches requiring new hardware or architectures. Our hypothesis is that, as in many industrial activities, marginal utility gains decrease with increasing model size. Thus, applying model selection can significantly reduce energy consumption while maintaining good utility for AI inference. We conduct a systematic study of AI tasks, analyzing their popularity, model size, and efficiency. We examine how the maturity of different tasks and model adoption patterns impact the achievable energy savings, ranging from 1% to 98% for different tasks. Our estimates indicate that applying model selection could reduce AI energy consumption by 27.8%, saving 31.9 TWh worldwide in 2025 - equivalent to the annual output of five nuclear power reactors.
Pre-Hoc Predictions in AutoML: Leveraging LLMs to Enhance Model Selection and Benchmarking for Tabular datasets
Belkhiter, Yannis, Tirupathi, Seshu, Zizzo, Giulio, Sharma, Sachin, Kelleher, John D.
The field of AutoML has made remarkable progress in post-hoc model selection, with libraries capable of automatically identifying the most performing models for a given dataset. Nevertheless, these methods often rely on exhaustive hyperparameter searches, where methods automatically train and test different types of models on the target dataset. Contrastingly, pre-hoc prediction emerges as a promising alternative, capable of bypassing exhaustive search through intelligent pre-selection of models. Despite its potential, pre-hoc prediction remains under-explored in the literature. This paper explores the intersection of AutoML and pre-hoc model selection by leveraging traditional models and Large Language Model (LLM) agents to reduce the search space of AutoML libraries. By relying on dataset descriptions and statistical information, we reduce the AutoML search space. Our methodology is applied to the AWS AutoGluon portfolio dataset, a state-of-the-art AutoML benchmark containing 175 tabular classification datasets available on OpenML. The proposed approach offers a shift in AutoML workflows, significantly reducing computational overhead, while still selecting the best model for the given dataset.