Statistical Learning
CIPHER: Scalable Time Series Analysis for Physical Sciences with Application to Solar Wind Phenomena
Kobayashi, Jasmine R., Martin, Daniela, Filho, Valmir P Moraes, O'Brien, Connor, Hong, Jinsu, Saikia, Sudeshna Boro, Lamdouar, Hala, Miles, Nathan D., Scoczynski, Marcella, Stone, Mavis, Sundaresan, Sairam, Jungbluth, Anna, Muñoz-Jaramillo, Andrés, Samara, Evangelia, Gallego, Joseph
Labeling or classifying time series is a persistent challenge in the physical sciences, where expert annotations are scarce, costly, and often inconsistent. Yet robust labeling is essential to enable machine learning models for understanding, prediction, and forecasting. We present the \textit{Clustering and Indexation Pipeline with Human Evaluation for Recognition} (CIPHER), a framework designed to accelerate large-scale labeling of complex time series in physics. CIPHER integrates \textit{indexable Symbolic Aggregate approXimation} (iSAX) for interpretable compression and indexing, density-based clustering (HDBSCAN) to group recurring phenomena, and a human-in-the-loop step for efficient expert validation. Representative samples are labeled by domain scientists, and these annotations are propagated across clusters to yield systematic, scalable classifications. We evaluate CIPHER on the task of classifying solar wind phenomena in OMNI data, a central challenge in space weather research, showing that the framework recovers meaningful phenomena such as coronal mass ejections and stream interaction regions. Beyond this case study, CIPHER highlights a general strategy for combining symbolic representations, unsupervised learning, and expert knowledge to address label scarcity in time series across the physical sciences. The code and configuration files used in this study are publicly available to support reproducibility.
Fair Representation Learning with Controllable High Confidence Guarantees via Adversarial Inference
Luo, Yuhong, Hoag, Austin, Wang, Xintong, Thomas, Philip S., Grabowicz, Przemyslaw A.
Representation learning is increasingly applied to generate representations that generalize well across multiple downstream tasks. Ensuring fairness guarantees in representation learning is crucial to prevent unfairness toward specific demographic groups in downstream tasks. In this work, we formally introduce the task of learning representations that achieve high-confidence fairness. We aim to guarantee that demographic disparity in every downstream prediction remains bounded by a *user-defined* error threshold $ε$, with *controllable* high probability. To this end, we propose the ***F**air **R**epresentation learning with high-confidence **G**uarantees (FRG)* framework, which provides these high-confidence fairness guarantees by leveraging an optimized adversarial model. We empirically evaluate FRG on three real-world datasets, comparing its performance to six state-of-the-art fair representation learning methods. Our results demonstrate that FRG consistently bounds unfairness across a range of downstream models and tasks.
Neural Mutual Information Estimation with Vector Copulas
Chen, Yanzhi, Ou, Zijing, Weller, Adrian, Gutmann, Michael U.
Estimating mutual information (MI) is a fundamental task in data science and machine learning. Existing estimators mainly rely on either highly flexible models (e.g., neural networks), which require large amounts of data, or overly simplified models (e.g., Gaussian copula), which fail to capture complex distributions. Drawing upon recent vector copula theory, we propose a principled interpolation between these two extremes to achieve a better trade-off between complexity and capacity. Experiments on state-of-the-art synthetic benchmarks and real-world data with diverse modalities demonstrate the advantages of the proposed estimator.
An Ensembled Penalized Federated Learning Framework for Falling People Detection
Rao, Sizhe, Zhang, Runqiu, Saha, Sajal, Chen, Liang
Abstract--Falls among elderly and disabled individuals remain a leading cause of injury and mortality worldwide, necessitating robust, accurate, and privacy-aware fall detection systems. Traditional fall detection approaches, whether centralized or point-wise, often struggle with key challenges such as limited gener-alizability, data privacy concerns, and variability in individual movement behaviors. T o address these limitations, we propose EPFL--an Ensembled Penalized Federated Learning framework that integrates continual learning, personalized modeling, and a novel Specialized Weighted Aggregation (SW A) strategy. EPFL leverages wearable sensor data to capture sequential motion patterns while preserving user privacy through homomorphic encryption and federated training. Unlike existing federated models, EPFL incorporates both penalized local training and ensemble-based inference to improve inter-client consistency and adaptability to behavioral differences. Extensive experiments on a benchmark fall detection dataset demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, achieving a Recall of 88.31% and an F1-score of 89.94%, significantly outperforming both centralized and baseline models. This work presents a scalable, secure, and accurate solution for real-world fall detection in healthcare settings, with strong potential for continuous improvement via its adaptive feedback mechanism. Due to changes in traditional family structures, the number of older individuals living alone has significantly increased over the past few decades [1]. According to the report from World Health Organization (WHO) [2], falls are the second leading cause of unintentional injury deaths worldwide, with particularly high morbidity among individuals aged 60 and older. Resulting in severe injuries, including fractures, head trauma, and even death, falls can significantly decline the quality of life of older adults [3]. Considering this, the need for effective monitoring and fall detection systems has been raised by this change aiming to ensure the safety of seniors. Falls can have long-term impacts on individuals, including significant disability-adjusted life years (DAL Ys) and high financial costs. According to the report [2], falls cause over 38 million DAL Ys lost annually worldwide. In Canada, a 20% reduction in falls could save approximately US$120 million each year. Considering the severe injuries, potential fatalities and other additional costs resulting from sudden falls [4], fall detection is a critical research area, especially for the elderly and individuals with disabilities.
Knowledge Distillation of Uncertainty using Deep Latent Factor Model
Park, Sehyun, Lee, Jongjin, Shin, Yunseop, Ohn, Ilsang, Kim, Yongdai
Deep ensembles deliver state-of-the-art, reliable uncertainty quantification, but their heavy computational and memory requirements hinder their practical deployments to real applications such as on-device AI. Knowledge distillation compresses an ensemble into small student models, but existing techniques struggle to preserve uncertainty partly because reducing the size of DNNs typically results in variation reduction. To resolve this limitation, we introduce a new method of distribution distillation (i.e. compressing a teacher ensemble into a student distribution instead of a student ensemble) called Gaussian distillation, which estimates the distribution of a teacher ensemble through a special Gaussian process called the deep latent factor model (DLF) by treating each member of the teacher ensemble as a realization of a certain stochastic process. The mean and covariance functions in the DLF model are estimated stably by using the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. By using multiple benchmark datasets, we demonstrate that the proposed Gaussian distillation outperforms existing baselines. In addition, we illustrate that Gaussian distillation works well for fine-tuning of language models and distribution shift problems.
Interpret Policies in Deep Reinforcement Learning using SILVER with RL-Guided Labeling: A Model-level Approach to High-dimensional and Multi-action Environments
Qian, Yiyu, Nguyen, Su, Chen, Chao, Zhou, Qinyue, Zhao, Liyuan
Deep reinforcement learning (RL) achieves remarkable performance but lacks interpretability, limiting trust in policy behavior. The existing SIL VER framework (Li, Siddique, and Cao 2025) explains RL policy via Shapley-based regression but remains restricted to low-dimensional, binary-action domains. We propose SIL VER with RL-guided labeling, an enhanced variant that extends SIL VER to multi-action and high-dimensional environments by incorporating the RL policy's own action outputs into the boundary points identification. Our method first extracts compact feature representations from image observations, performs SHAP-based feature attribution, and then employs RL-guided labeling to generate behaviorally consistent boundary datasets. Surrogate models, such as decision trees and regression-based functions, are subsequently trained to interpret RL policy's decision structure. We evaluate the proposed framework on two Atari environments using three deep RL algorithms and conduct human-subject study to assess the clarity and trustworthiness of the derived interpretable policy. Results show that our approach maintains competitive task performance while substantially improving transparency and human understanding of agent behavior.
DePass: Unified Feature Attributing by Simple Decomposed Forward Pass
Hong, Xiangyu, Jiang, Che, Tian, Kai, Qi, Biqing, Sun, Youbang, Ding, Ning, Zhou, Bowen
Attributing the behavior of Transformer models to internal computations is a central challenge in mechanistic interpretability. We introduce DePass, a unified framework for feature attribution based on a single decomposed forward pass. DePass decomposes hidden states into customized additive components, then propagates them with attention scores and MLP's activations fixed. It achieves faithful, fine-grained attribution without requiring auxiliary training. We validate DePass across token-level, model component-level, and subspace-level attribution tasks, demonstrating its effectiveness and fidelity. Our experiments highlight its potential to attribute information flow between arbitrary components of a Transformer model. We hope DePass serves as a foundational tool for broader applications in interpretability.
RockNet: Distributed Learning on Ultra-Low-Power Devices
Gräfe, Alexander, Mager, Fabian, Zimmerling, Marco, Trimpe, Sebastian
As Machine Learning (ML) becomes integral to Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), there is growing interest in shifting training from traditional cloud-based to on-device processing (TinyML), for example, due to privacy and latency concerns. However, CPS often comprise ultra-low-power microcontrollers, whose limited compute resources make training challenging. This paper presents RockNet, a new TinyML method tailored for ultra-low-power hardware that achieves state-of-the-art accuracy in timeseries classification, such as fault or malware detection, without requiring offline pretraining. By leveraging that CPS consist of multiple devices, we design a distributed learning method that integrates ML and wireless communication. RockNet leverages all devices for distributed training of specialized compute efficient classifiers that need minimal communication overhead for parallelization. Combined with tailored and efficient wireless multi-hop communication protocols, our approach overcomes the communication bottleneck that often occurs in distributed learning. Hardware experiments on a testbed with 20 ultra-low-power devices demonstrate RockNet's effectiveness. It successfully learns timeseries classification tasks from scratch, surpassing the accuracy of the latest approach for neural network microcontroller training by up to 2x. RockNet's distributed ML architecture reduces memory, latency and energy consumption per device by up to 90 % when scaling from one central device to 20 devices. Our results show that a tight integration of distributed ML, distributed computing, and communication enables, for the first time, training on ultra-low-power hardware with state-of-the-art accuracy.
Panorama: Fast-Track Nearest Neighbors
Ramani, Vansh, Schlomer, Alexis, Nayar, Akash, Ranu, Sayan, Patel, Jignesh M., Karras, Panagiotis
Approximate Nearest-Neighbor Search (ANNS) efficiently finds data items whose embeddings are close to that of a given query in a high-dimensional space, aiming to balance accuracy with speed. Used in recommendation systems, image and video retrieval, natural language processing, and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), ANNS algorithms such as IVFPQ, HNSW graphs, Annoy, and MRPT utilize graph, tree, clustering, and quantization techniques to navigate large vector spaces. Despite this progress, ANNS systems spend up to 99% of query time to compute distances in their final refinement phase. Such transforms compact over 90% of signal energy into the first half of dimensions, enabling early candidate pruning with partial distance computations. Experiments across diverse datasets--from image-based CIFAR-10 and GIST to modern embedding spaces including OpenAI's Ada 2 and Large 3--demonstrate that P The proliferation of large-scale neural embeddings has transformed machine learning applications, from computer vision and recommendation systems (Lowe, 2004; Koren et al., 2009) to bioinformat-ics (Altschul et al., 1990) and modern retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems (Lewis et al., 2020; Gao et al., 2023). As embedding models evolve from hundreds to thousands of dimensions-- exemplified by OpenAI's text-embedding-3-large (Neelakantan et al., 2022)--the demand for efficient and scalable real-time Approximate Nearest-Neighbor Search (ANNS) intensifies.Figure 1: Common ANNS operations on vector databases. Current ANNS methods fall into four major categories: graph-based, clustering-based, tree-based, and hash-based. Tree-based methods, including kd-trees (Bentley, 1975) and FLANN (Muja & Lowe, 2014), recursively divide the space but degrade in high dimensions due to the curse of dimensionality. Finally, hash-based methods, such as LSH (Indyk & Motwani, 1998; Andoni & Indyk, 2006) and multi-probe LSH (Lv et al., 2007), map points into buckets so that similar points are likely to collide. Despite this diversity, all such methods operate in two phases (Babenko & Lempitsky, 2016): filtering and refinement (or verification).
CLASP: Adaptive Spectral Clustering for Unsupervised Per-Image Segmentation
We introduce CLASP (Clustering via Adaptive Spectral Processing), a lightweight framework for unsupervised image segmentation that operates without any labeled data or finetuning. CLASP first extracts per patch features using a self supervised ViT encoder (DINO); then, it builds an affinity matrix and applies spectral clustering. To avoid manual tuning, we select the segment count automatically with a eigen-gap silhouette search, and we sharpen the boundaries with a fully connected DenseCRF.