Performance Analysis
Evaluation of Protein-protein Interaction Predictors with Noisy Partially Labeled Data Sets
Wang, Haohan, Ganapathiraju, Madhavi K.
Protein-protein interaction (PPI) prediction is an important problem in machine learning and computational biology. However, there is no data set for training or evaluation purposes, where all the instances are accurately labeled. Instead, what is available are instances of positive class (with possibly noisy labels) and no instances of negative class. The non-availability of negative class data is typically handled with the observation that randomly chosen protein-pairs have a nearly 100% chance of being negative class, as only 1 in 1,500 protein pairs expected is expected to be an interacting pair. In this paper, we focused on the problem that non-availability of accurately labeled testing data sets in the domain of protein-protein interaction (PPI) prediction may lead to biased evaluation results. We first showed that not acknowledging the inherent skew in the interactome (i.e. rare occurrence of positive instances) leads to an over-estimated accuracy of the predictor. Then we show that, with the belief that positive interactions are a rare category, sampling random pairs of proteins excluding known interacting proteins set as the negative testing data set could lead to an under-estimated evaluation result. We formalized those two problems to validate the above claim, and based on the formalization, we proposed a balancing method to cancel out the over-estimation with under-estimation. Finally, our experiments validated the theoretical aspects and showed that this balancing evaluation could evaluate the exact performance without availability of golden standard data sets.
Sparse Fisher's Linear Discriminant Analysis for Partially Labeled Data
Classification is an important tool with many useful applications. Among the many classification methods, Fisher's Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) is a traditional model-based approach which makes use of the covariance information. However, in the high-dimensional, low-sample size setting, LDA cannot be directly deployed because the sample covariance is not invertible. While there are modern methods designed to deal with high-dimensional data, they may not fully use the covariance information as LDA does. Hence in some situations, it is still desirable to use a model-based method such as LDA for classification. This article exploits the potential of LDA in more complicated data settings. In many real applications, it is costly to manually place labels on observations; hence it is often that only a small portion of labeled data is available while a large number of observations are left without a label. It is a great challenge to obtain good classification performance through the labeled data alone, especially when the dimension is greater than the size of the labeled data. In order to overcome this issue, we propose a semi-supervised sparse LDA classifier to take advantage of the seemingly useless unlabeled data. They provide additional information which helps to boost the classification performance in some situations. A direct estimation method is used to reconstruct LDA and achieve the sparsity; meanwhile we employ the difference-convex algorithm to handle the non-convex loss function associated with the unlabeled data. Theoretical properties of the proposed classifier are studied. Our simulated examples help to understand when and how the information extracted from the unlabeled data can be useful. A real data example further illustrates the usefulness of the proposed method.
A Practioner's Guide to Evaluating Entity Resolution Results
Entity resolution (ER) is the task of identifying records belonging to the same entity (e.g. individual, group) across one or multiple databases. Ironically, it has multiple names: deduplication and record linkage, among others. In this paper we survey metrics used to evaluate ER results in order to iteratively improve performance and guarantee sufficient quality prior to deployment. Some of these metrics are borrowed from multi-class classification and clustering domains, though some key differences exist differentiating entity resolution from general clustering. Menestrina et al. empirically showed rankings from these metrics often conflict with each other, thus our primary motivation for studying them. This paper provides practitioners the basic knowledge to begin evaluating their entity resolution results.
Markov Boundary Discovery with Ridge Regularized Linear Models
Strobl, Eric V., Visweswaran, Shyam
Ridge regularized linear models (RRLMs), such as ridge regression and the SVM, are a popular group of methods that are used in conjunction with coefficient hypothesis testing to discover explanatory variables with a significant multivariate association to a response. However, many investigators are reluctant to draw causal interpretations of the selected variables due to the incomplete knowledge of the capabilities of RRLMs in causal inference. Under reasonable assumptions, we show that a modified form of RRLMs can get very close to identifying a subset of the Markov boundary by providing a worst-case bound on the space of possible solutions. The results hold for any convex loss, even when the underlying functional relationship is nonlinear, and the solution is not unique. Our approach combines ideas in Markov boundary and sufficient dimension reduction theory. Experimental results show that the modified RRLMs are competitive against state-of-the-art algorithms in discovering part of the Markov boundary from gene expression data.
A More Powerful Two-Sample Test in High Dimensions using Random Projection
Lopes, Miles E., Jacob, Laurent J., Wainwright, Martin J.
We consider the hypothesis testing problem of detecting a shift between the means of two multivariate normal distributions in the high-dimensional setting, allowing for the data dimension p to exceed the sample size n. Specifically, we propose a new test statistic for the two-sample test of means that integrates a random projection with the classical Hotelling T^2 statistic. Working under a high-dimensional framework with (p,n) tending to infinity, we first derive an asymptotic power function for our test, and then provide sufficient conditions for it to achieve greater power than other state-of-the-art tests. Using ROC curves generated from synthetic data, we demonstrate superior performance against competing tests in the parameter regimes anticipated by our theoretical results. Lastly, we illustrate an advantage of our procedure's false positive rate with comparisons on high-dimensional gene expression data involving the discrimination of different types of cancer.
Performance Bounds for Pairwise Entity Resolution
Barnes, Matt, Miller, Kyle, Dubrawski, Artur
One significant challenge to scaling entity resolution algorithms to massive datasets is understanding how performance changes after moving beyond the realm of small, manually labeled reference datasets. Unlike traditional machine learning tasks, when an entity resolution algorithm performs well on small hold-out datasets, there is no guarantee this performance holds on larger hold-out datasets. We prove simple bounding properties between the performance of a match function on a small validation set and the performance of a pairwise entity resolution algorithm on arbitrarily sized datasets. Thus, our approach enables optimization of pairwise entity resolution algorithms for large datasets, using a small set of labeled data.
Quantifying Uncertainty in Random Forests via Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Tests
This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but fail to provide a framework in which distributional results can be easily determined. Instead of aggregating full bootstrap samples, we consider predicting by averaging over trees built on subsamples of the training set and demonstrate that the resulting estimator takes the form of a U-statistic. As such, predictions for individual feature vectors are asymptotically normal, allowing for confidence intervals to accompany predictions. In practice, a subset of subsamples is used for computational speed; here our estimators take the form of incomplete U-statistics and equivalent results are derived. We further demonstrate that this setup provides a framework for testing the significance of features. Moreover, the internal estimation method we develop allows us to estimate the variance parameters and perform these inference procedures at no additional computational cost. Simulations and illustrations on a real dataset are provided.
Supervised Collective Classification for Crowdsourcing
Chen, Pin-Yu, Lien, Chia-Wei, Chu, Fu-Jen, Ting, Pai-Shun, Cheng, Shin-Ming
Crowdsourcing utilizes the wisdom of crowds for collective classification via information (e.g., labels of an item) provided by labelers. Current crowdsourcing algorithms are mainly unsupervised methods that are unaware of the quality of crowdsourced data. In this paper, we propose a supervised collective classification algorithm that aims to identify reliable labelers from the training data (e.g., items with known labels). The reliability (i.e., weighting factor) of each labeler is determined via a saddle point algorithm. The results on several crowdsourced data show that supervised methods can achieve better classification accuracy than unsupervised methods, and our proposed method outperforms other algorithms.
On Graphical Models via Univariate Exponential Family Distributions
Yang, Eunho, Ravikumar, Pradeep, Allen, Genevera I., Liu, Zhandong
Undirected graphical models, or Markov networks, are a popular class of statistical models, used in a wide variety of applications. Popular instances of this class include Gaussian graphical models and Ising models. In many settings, however, it might not be clear which subclass of graphical models to use, particularly for non-Gaussian and non-categorical data. In this paper, we consider a general sub-class of graphical models where the node-wise conditional distributions arise from exponential families. This allows us to derive multivariate graphical model distributions from univariate exponential family distributions, such as the Poisson, negative binomial, and exponential distributions. Our key contributions include a class of M-estimators to fit these graphical model distributions; and rigorous statistical analysis showing that these M-estimators recover the true graphical model structure exactly, with high probability. We provide examples of genomic and proteomic networks learned via instances of our class of graphical models derived from Poisson and exponential distributions.
Predicting SLA Violations in Real Time using Online Machine Learning
Ahmed, Jawwad, Johnsson, Andreas, Yanggratoke, Rerngvit, Ardelius, John, Flinta, Christofer, Stadler, Rolf
Detecting faults and SLA violations in a timely manner is critical for telecom providers, in order to avoid loss in business, revenue and reputation. At the same time predicting SLA violations for user services in telecom environments is difficult, due to time-varying user demands and infrastructure load conditions. In this paper, we propose a service-agnostic online learning approach, whereby the behavior of the system is learned on the fly, in order to predict client-side SLA violations. The approach uses device-level metrics, which are collected in a streaming fashion on the server side. Our results show that the approach can produce highly accurate predictions (>90% classification accuracy and < 10% false alarm rate) in scenarios where SLA violations are predicted for a video-on-demand service under changing load patterns. The paper also highlight the limitations of traditional offline learning methods, which perform significantly worse in many of the considered scenarios.