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Multi-class real-time crash risk forecasting using convolutional neural network: Istanbul case study

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The performance of an artificial neural network (ANN) in forecasting crash risk is shown in this paper. To begin, some traffic and weather data are acquired as raw data. This data is then analyzed, and relevant characteristics are chosen to utilize as input data based on additional tree and Pearson correlation. Furthermore, crash and non-crash time data are separated; then, feature values for crash and non-crash events are written in three four-minute intervals prior to the crash and non-crash events using the average of all available values for that period. The number of non-crash samples was lowered after calculating crash likelihood for each period based on accident labeling. The proposed CNN model is capable of learning from recorded, processed, and categorized input characteristics such as traffic characteristics and meteorological conditions. The goal of this work is to forecast the chance of a real-time crash based on three periods before events. The area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve), as well as sensitivity as the true positive rate and specificity as the false positive rate, are shown and compared with three typical machine learning and neural network models. Finally, when it comes to the error value, AUC, sensitivity, and specificity parameters as performance variables, the executed model outperforms other models. The findings of this research suggest applying the CNN model as a multi-class prediction model for real-time crash risk prediction. Our emphasis is on multi-class prediction, while prior research used this for binary (two-class) categorization like crash and non-crash.


Taking Class Imbalance Into Account in Open Set Recognition Evaluation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years Deep Neural Network-based systems are not only increasing in popularity but also receive growing user trust. However, due to the closed-world assumption of such systems, they cannot recognize samples from unknown classes and often induce an incorrect label with high confidence. Presented work looks at the evaluation of methods for Open Set Recognition, focusing on the impact of class imbalance, especially in the dichotomy between known and unknown samples. As an outcome of problem analysis, we present a set of guidelines for evaluation of methods in this field.


Multimodal Interpretable Data-Driven Models for Early Prediction of Antimicrobial Multidrug Resistance Using Multivariate Time-Series

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Electronic health records (EHR) is an inherently multimodal register of the patient's health status characterized by static data and multivariate time series (MTS). While MTS are a valuable tool for clinical prediction, their fusion with other data modalities can possibly result in more thorough insights and more accurate results. Deep neural networks (DNNs) have emerged as fundamental tools for identifying and defining underlying patterns in the healthcare domain. However, fundamental improvements in interpretability are needed for DNN models to be widely used in the clinical setting. In this study, we present an approach built on a collection of interpretable multimodal data-driven models that may anticipate and understand the emergence of antimicrobial multidrug resistance (AMR) germs in the intensive care unit (ICU) of the University Hospital of Fuenlabrada (Madrid, Spain). The profile and initial health status of the patient are modeled using static variables, while the evolution of the patient's health status during the ICU stay is modeled using several MTS, including mechanical ventilation and antibiotics intake. The multimodal DNNs models proposed in this paper include interpretable principles in addition to being effective at predicting AMR and providing an explainable prediction support system for AMR in the ICU. Furthermore, our proposed methodology based on multimodal models and interpretability schemes can be leveraged in additional clinical problems dealing with EHR data, broadening the impact and applicability of our results.


Evaluating Membership Inference Attacks and Defenses in Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Membership Inference Attacks (MIAs) pose a growing threat to privacy preservation in federated learning. The semi-honest attacker, e.g., the server, may determine whether a particular sample belongs to a target client according to the observed model information. This paper conducts an evaluation of existing MIAs and corresponding defense strategies. Our evaluation on MIAs reveals two important findings about the trend of MIAs. Firstly, combining model information from multiple communication rounds (Multi-temporal) enhances the overall effectiveness of MIAs compared to utilizing model information from a single epoch. Secondly, incorporating models from non-target clients (Multi-spatial) significantly improves the effectiveness of MIAs, particularly when the clients' data is homogeneous. This highlights the importance of considering the temporal and spatial model information in MIAs. Next, we assess the effectiveness via privacy-utility tradeoff for two type defense mechanisms against MIAs: Gradient Perturbation and Data Replacement. Our results demonstrate that Data Replacement mechanisms achieve a more optimal balance between preserving privacy and maintaining model utility. Therefore, we recommend the adoption of Data Replacement methods as a defense strategy against MIAs. Our code is available in https://github.com/Liar-Mask/FedMIA.


AI, Meet Human: Learning Paradigms for Hybrid Decision Making Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Everyday we increasingly rely on machine learning models to automate and support high-stake tasks and decisions. This growing presence means that humans are now constantly interacting with machine learning-based systems, training and using models everyday. Several different techniques in computer science literature account for the human interaction with machine learning systems, but their classification is sparse and the goals varied. This survey proposes a taxonomy of Hybrid Decision Making Systems, providing both a conceptual and technical framework for understanding how current computer science literature models interaction between humans and machines.


Adaptive Experiment Design with Synthetic Controls

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Clinical trials are typically run in order to understand the effects of a new treatment on a given population of patients. However, patients in large populations rarely respond the same way to the same treatment. This heterogeneity in patient responses necessitates trials that investigate effects on multiple subpopulations - especially when a treatment has marginal or no benefit for the overall population but might have significant benefit for a particular subpopulation. Motivated by this need, we propose Syntax, an exploratory trial design that identifies subpopulations with positive treatment effect among many subpopulations. Syntax is sample efficient as it (i) recruits and allocates patients adaptively and (ii) estimates treatment effects by forming synthetic controls for each subpopulation that combines control samples from other subpopulations. We validate the performance of Syntax and provide insights into when it might have an advantage over conventional trial designs through experiments.


Domain Generalization with Small Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we propose to tackle the problem of domain generalization in the context of \textit{insufficient samples}. Instead of extracting latent feature embeddings based on deterministic models, we propose to learn a domain-invariant representation based on the probabilistic framework by mapping each data point into probabilistic embeddings. Specifically, we first extend empirical maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) to a novel probabilistic MMD that can measure the discrepancy between mixture distributions (i.e., source domains) consisting of a series of latent distributions rather than latent points. Moreover, instead of imposing the contrastive semantic alignment (CSA) loss based on pairs of latent points, a novel probabilistic CSA loss encourages positive probabilistic embedding pairs to be closer while pulling other negative ones apart. Benefiting from the learned representation captured by probabilistic models, our proposed method can marriage the measurement on the \textit{distribution over distributions} (i.e., the global perspective alignment) and the distribution-based contrastive semantic alignment (i.e., the local perspective alignment). Extensive experimental results on three challenging medical datasets show the effectiveness of our proposed method in the context of insufficient data compared with state-of-the-art methods.


FL-NAS: Towards Fairness of NAS for Resource Constrained Devices via Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neural Architecture Search (NAS) has become the de fecto tools in the industry in automating the design of deep neural networks for various applications, especially those driven by mobile and edge devices with limited computing resources. The emerging large language models (LLMs), due to their prowess, have also been incorporated into NAS recently and show some promising results. This paper conducts further exploration in this direction by considering three important design metrics simultaneously, i.e., model accuracy, fairness, and hardware deployment efficiency. We propose a novel LLM-based NAS framework, FL-NAS, in this paper, and show experimentally that FL-NAS can indeed find high-performing DNNs, beating state-of-the-art DNN models by orders-of-magnitude across almost all design considerations.


Multiple Instance Learning for Cheating Detection and Localization in Online Examinations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The spread of the Coronavirus disease-2019 epidemic has caused many courses and exams to be conducted online. The cheating behavior detection model in examination invigilation systems plays a pivotal role in guaranteeing the equality of long-distance examinations. However, cheating behavior is rare, and most researchers do not comprehensively take into account features such as head posture, gaze angle, body posture, and background information in the task of cheating behavior detection. In this paper, we develop and present CHEESE, a CHEating detection framework via multiplE inStancE learning. The framework consists of a label generator that implements weak supervision and a feature encoder to learn discriminative features. In addition, the framework combines body posture and background features extracted by 3D convolution with eye gaze, head posture and facial features captured by OpenFace 2.0. These features are fed into the spatio-temporal graph module by stitching to analyze the spatio-temporal changes in video clips to detect the cheating behaviors. Our experiments on three datasets, UCF-Crime, ShanghaiTech and Online Exam Proctoring (OEP), prove the effectiveness of our method as compared to the state-of-the-art approaches, and obtain the frame-level AUC score of 87.58% on the OEP dataset.


Exploring Visual Culture Awareness in GPT-4V: A Comprehensive Probing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pretrained large Vision-Language models have drawn considerable interest in recent years due to their remarkable performance. Despite considerable efforts to assess these models from diverse perspectives, the extent of visual cultural awareness in the state-of-the-art GPT-4V model remains unexplored. To tackle this gap, we extensively probed GPT-4V using the MaRVL benchmark dataset, aiming to investigate its capabilities and limitations in visual understanding with a focus on cultural aspects. Specifically, we introduced three visual related tasks, i.e. caption classification, pairwise captioning, and culture tag selection, to systematically delve into fine-grained visual cultural evaluation. Experimental results indicate that GPT-4V excels at identifying cultural concepts but still exhibits weaker performance in low-resource languages, such as Tamil and Swahili. Notably, through human evaluation, GPT-4V proves to be more culturally relevant in image captioning tasks than the original MaRVL human annotations, suggesting a promising solution for future visual cultural benchmark construction.