This study introduces novel superior scoring rules called Penalized Brier Score (PBS) and Penalized Logarithmic Loss (PLL) to improve model evaluation for probabilistic classification. Traditional scoring rules like Brier Score and Logarithmic Loss sometimes assign better scores to misclassifications in comparison with correct classifications. This discrepancy from the actual preference for rewarding correct classifications can lead to suboptimal model selection. By integrating penalties for misclassifications, PBS and PLL modify traditional proper scoring rules to consistently assign better scores to correct predictions. Formal proofs demonstrate that PBS and PLL satisfy strictly proper scoring rule properties while also preferentially rewarding accurate classifications. Experiments showcase the benefits of using PBS and PLL for model selection, model checkpointing, and early stopping. PBS exhibits a higher negative correlation with the F1 score compared to the Brier Score during training. Thus, PBS more effectively identifies optimal checkpoints and early stopping points, leading to improved F1 scores. Comparative analysis verifies models selected by PBS and PLL achieve superior F1 scores. Therefore, PBS and PLL address the gap between uncertainty quantification and accuracy maximization by encapsulating both proper scoring principles and explicit preference for true classifications. The proposed metrics can enhance model evaluation and selection for reliable probabilistic classification.

Predictive machine learning models are becoming increasingly deployed in high-stakes contexts involving sensitive personal data; in these contexts, there is a trade-off between model explainability and data privacy. In this work, we push the boundaries of this trade-off: with a focus on foundation models for image classification fine-tuning, we reveal unforeseen privacy risks of post-hoc model explanations and subsequently offer mitigation strategies for such risks. First, we construct VAR-LRT and L1/L2-LRT, two new membership inference attacks based on feature attribution explanations that are significantly more successful than existing explanation-leveraging attacks, particularly in the low false-positive rate regime that allows an adversary to identify specific training set members with confidence. Second, we find empirically that optimized differentially private fine-tuning substantially diminishes the success of the aforementioned attacks, while maintaining high model accuracy. We carry out a systematic empirical investigation of our 2 new attacks with 5 vision transformer architectures, 5 benchmark datasets, 4 state-of-the-art post-hoc explanation methods, and 4 privacy strength settings.

Initially, IT operations were predominantly manual, relying heavily on human intervention for system monitoring, troubleshooting, and problem resolution. However, with the escalating scale and complexity of systems, the efficacy and precision of manual operations have been increasingly challenged. Subsequently, DevOps was introduced, building upon manual operations and fostering a synergistic collaboration between development and operations. Through automated deployment and continuous integration, DevOps has the capability to expedite the release of new features and rectify issues with greater speed and reliability. Nonetheless, DevOps still necessitates manual involvement in certain complex decision-making processes and tasks. To further mitigate this challenge and enhance cost-effectiveness and efficiency, AIOps leverages machine learning and data analysis to automatically collect and scrutinize vast amounts of IT operation data, enabling real-time monitoring, anomaly detection, fault localization, and automated processing of IT systems. AIOps not only augments the efficiency and accuracy of IT operations but also equips IT operations with the capacity to adapt more effectively to complex and dynamic IT environments, utilizing artificial intelligence and big data technologies.

Despite the evolution of language models, they continue to portray harmful societal biases and stereotypes inadvertently learned from training data. These inherent biases often result in detrimental effects in various applications. Counterfactual Data Augmentation (CDA), which seeks to balance demographic attributes in training data, has been a widely adopted approach to mitigate bias in natural language processing. However, many existing CDA approaches rely on word substitution techniques using manually compiled word-pair dictionaries. These techniques often lead to out-of-context substitutions, resulting in potential quality issues. The advancement of model-based techniques, on the other hand, has been challenged by the need for parallel training data. Works in this area resort to manually generated parallel data that are expensive to collect and are consequently limited in scale. This paper proposes FairFlow, an automated approach to generating parallel data for training counterfactual text generator models that limits the need for human intervention. Furthermore, we show that FairFlow significantly overcomes the limitations of dictionary-based word-substitution approaches whilst maintaining good performance.

Differentially private federated learning (DP-FL) is a promising technique for collaborative model training while ensuring provable privacy for clients. However, optimizing the tradeoff between privacy and accuracy remains a critical challenge. To our best knowledge, we propose the first DP-FL framework (namely UDP-FL), which universally harmonizes any randomization mechanism (e.g., an optimal one) with the Gaussian Moments Accountant (viz. DP-SGD) to significantly boost accuracy and convergence. Specifically, UDP-FL demonstrates enhanced model performance by mitigating the reliance on Gaussian noise. The key mediator variable in this transformation is the R\'enyi Differential Privacy notion, which is carefully used to harmonize privacy budgets. We also propose an innovative method to theoretically analyze the convergence for DP-FL (including our UDP-FL ) based on mode connectivity analysis. Moreover, we evaluate our UDP-FL through extensive experiments benchmarked against state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, demonstrating superior performance on both privacy guarantees and model performance. Notably, UDP-FL exhibits substantial resilience against different inference attacks, indicating a significant advance in safeguarding sensitive data in federated learning environments.

Graph contrastive learning (GCL) is an effective paradigm for node representation learning in graphs. The key components hidden behind GCL are data augmentation and positive-negative pair selection. Typical data augmentations in GCL, such as uniform deletion of edges, are generally blind and resort to local perturbation, which is prone to producing under-diversity views. Additionally, there is a risk of making the augmented data traverse to other classes. Moreover, most methods always treat all other samples as negatives. Such a negative pairing naturally results in sampling bias and likewise may make the learned representation suffer from semantic drift. Therefore, to increase the diversity of the contrastive view, we propose two simple and effective global topological augmentations to compensate current GCL. One is to mine the semantic correlation between nodes in the feature space. The other is to utilize the algebraic properties of the adjacency matrix to characterize the topology by eigen-decomposition. With the help of both, we can retain important edges to build a better view. To reduce the risk of semantic drift, a prototype-based negative pair selection is further designed which can filter false negative samples. Extensive experiments on various tasks demonstrate the advantages of the model compared to the state-of-the-art methods.

Machine learning models have the potential to identify cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) early and accurately in primary healthcare settings, which is crucial for delivering timely treatment and management. Although population-based CVD risk models have been used traditionally, these models often do not consider variations in lifestyles, socioeconomic conditions, or genetic predispositions. Therefore, we aimed to develop machine learning models for CVD detection using primary healthcare data, compare the performance of different models, and identify the best models. We used data from the UK Biobank study, which included over 500,000 middle-aged participants from different primary healthcare centers in the UK. Data collected at baseline (2006--2010) and during imaging visits after 2014 were used in this study. Baseline characteristics, including sex, age, and the Townsend Deprivation Index, were included. Participants were classified as having CVD if they reported at least one of the following conditions: heart attack, angina, stroke, or high blood pressure. Cardiac imaging data such as electrocardiogram and echocardiography data, including left ventricular size and function, cardiac output, and stroke volume, were also used. We used 9 machine learning models (LSVM, RBFSVM, GP, DT, RF, NN, AdaBoost, NB, and QDA), which are explainable and easily interpretable. We reported the accuracy, precision, recall, and F-1 scores; confusion matrices; and area under the curve (AUC) curves.

Researchers in the political and social sciences often rely on classification models to analyze trends in information consumption by examining browsing histories of millions of webpages. Automated scalable methods are necessary due to the impracticality of manual labeling. In this paper, we model the detection of topic-related content as a binary classification task and compare the accuracy of fine-tuned pre-trained encoder models against in-context learning strategies. Using only a few hundred annotated data points per topic, we detect content related to three German policies in a database of scraped webpages. We compare multilingual and monolingual models, as well as zero and few-shot approaches, and investigate the impact of negative sampling strategies and the combination of URL & content-based features. Our results show that a small sample of annotated data is sufficient to train an effective classifier. Fine-tuning encoder-based models yields better results than in-context learning. Classifiers using both URL & content-based features perform best, while using URLs alone provides adequate results when content is unavailable.

Long-running machine learning models face the issue of concept drift (CD), whereby the data distribution changes over time, compromising prediction performance. Updating the model requires detecting drift by monitoring the data and/or the model for unexpected changes. We show that, however, spurious correlations (SCs) can spoil the statistics tracked by detection algorithms. Motivated by this, we introduce ebc-exstream, a novel detector that leverages model explanations to identify potential SCs and human feedback to correct for them. It leverages an entropy-based heuristic to reduce the amount of necessary feedback, cutting annotation costs. Our preliminary experiments on artificially confounded data highlight the promise of ebc-exstream for reducing the impact of SCs on detection.

--The increasing popularity of online services has made Internet Traffic Classification a critical field of study. However, the rapid development of internet protocols and encryption limits usable data availability. This paper addresses the challenges of classifying encrypted internet traffic, focusing on the scarcity of open-source datasets and limitations of existing ones. We propose two Data Augmentation (DA) techniques to synthetically generate data based on real samples: Average augmentation and MTU augmentation. Both augmentations are aimed to improve the performance of the classifier, each from a different perspective: The Average augmentation aims to increase dataset size by generating new synthetic samples, while the MTU augmentation enhances classifier robustness to varying Maximum Transmission Units (MTUs). Our experiments, conducted on two well-known academic datasets and a commercial dataset, demonstrate the effectiveness of these approaches in improving model performance and mitigating constraints associated with limited and homogeneous datasets. Our findings underscore the potential of data augmentation in addressing the challenges of modern internet traffic classification. Specifically, we show that our augmentation techniques significantly enhance encrypted traffic classification models. This improvement can positively impact user Quality of Experience (QoE) by more accurately classifying traffic as video streaming (e.g., Y ouT ube) or chat (e.g., Google Chat). Additionally, it can enhance Quality of Service (QoS) for file downloading activities (e.g., Google Docs).