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Intelligent Spatial Interpolation-based Frost Prediction Methodology using Artificial Neural Networks with Limited Local Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The weather phenomenon of frost poses great threats to agriculture. As recent frost prediction methods are based on on-site historical data and sensors, extra development and deployment time are required for data collection in any new site. The aim of this article is to eliminate the dependency on on-site historical data and sensors for frost prediction methods. In this article, a frost prediction method based on spatial interpolation is proposed. The models use climate data from existing weather stations, digital elevation models surveys, and normalized difference vegetation index data to estimate a target site's next hour minimum temperature. The proposed method utilizes ensemble learning to increase the model accuracy. Climate datasets are obtained from 75 weather stations across New South Wales and Australian Capital Territory areas of Australia. The results show that the proposed method reached a detection rate up to 92.55%.


Differentiating Viral and Bacterial Infections: A Machine Learning Model Based on Routine Blood Test Values

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this study, a Virus vs. Bacteria machine learning model was developed to discern between these infection types using 16 routine blood test results, C-reactive protein levels, biological sex, and age. With a dataset of 44,120 cases from a single medical center, the Virus vs. Bacteria model demonstrated remarkable accuracy of 82.2%, a Brier score of 0.129, and an area under the ROC curve of 0.91, surpassing the performance of traditional CRP decision rule models. The model demonstrates substantially improved accuracy within the CRP range of 10-40 mg/L, an interval in which CRP alone offers limited diagnostic value for distinguishing between bacterial and viral infections. These findings underscore the importance of considering multiple blood parameters for diagnostic decision-making and suggest that the Virus vs. Bacteria model could contribute to the creation of innovative diagnostic tools. Such tools would harness machine learning and relevant biomarkers to support enhanced clinical decision-making in managing infections.


Investigating the Sensitivity of Automatic Speech Recognition Systems to Phonetic Variation in L2 Englishes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) systems exhibit the best performance on speech that is similar to that on which it was trained. As such, underrepresented varieties including regional dialects, minority-speakers, and low-resource languages, see much higher word error rates (WERs) than those varieties seen as 'prestigious', 'mainstream', or 'standard'. This can act as a barrier to incorporating ASR technology into the annotation process for large-scale linguistic research since the manual correction of the erroneous automated transcripts can be just as time and resource consuming as manual transcriptions. A deeper understanding of the behaviour of an ASR system is thus beneficial from a speech technology standpoint, in terms of improving ASR accuracy, and from an annotation standpoint, where knowing the likely errors made by an ASR system can aid in this manual correction. This work demonstrates a method of probing an ASR system to discover how it handles phonetic variation across a number of L2 Englishes. Specifically, how particular phonetic realisations which were rare or absent in the system's training data can lead to phoneme level misrecognitions and contribute to higher WERs. It is demonstrated that the behaviour of the ASR is systematic and consistent across speakers with similar spoken varieties (in this case the same L1) and phoneme substitution errors are typically in agreement with human annotators. By identifying problematic productions specific weaknesses can be addressed by sourcing such realisations for training and fine-tuning thus making the system more robust to pronunciation variation.


On the Optimality of Misspecified Kernel Ridge Regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the misspecified kernel ridge regression problem, researchers usually assume the underground true function $f_{\rho}^{*} \in [\mathcal{H}]^{s}$, a less-smooth interpolation space of a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) $\mathcal{H}$ for some $s\in (0,1)$. The existing minimax optimal results require $\|f_{\rho}^{*}\|_{L^{\infty}}<\infty$ which implicitly requires $s > \alpha_{0}$ where $\alpha_{0}\in (0,1)$ is the embedding index, a constant depending on $\mathcal{H}$. Whether the KRR is optimal for all $s\in (0,1)$ is an outstanding problem lasting for years. In this paper, we show that KRR is minimax optimal for any $s\in (0,1)$ when the $\mathcal{H}$ is a Sobolev RKHS.


Agile gesture recognition for capacitive sensing devices: adapting on-the-job

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Automated hand gesture recognition has been a focus of the AI community for decades. Traditionally, work in this domain revolved largely around scenarios assuming the availability of the flow of images of the user hands. This has partly been due to the prevalence of camera-based devices and the wide availability of image data. However, there is growing demand for gesture recognition technology that can be implemented on low-power devices using limited sensor data instead of high-dimensional inputs like hand images. In this work, we demonstrate a hand gesture recognition system and method that uses signals from capacitive sensors embedded into the etee hand controller. The controller generates real-time signals from each of the wearer five fingers. We use a machine learning technique to analyse the time series signals and identify three features that can represent 5 fingers within 500 ms. The analysis is composed of a two stage training strategy, including dimension reduction through principal component analysis and classification with K nearest neighbour. Remarkably, we found that this combination showed a level of performance which was comparable to more advanced methods such as supervised variational autoencoder. The base system can also be equipped with the capability to learn from occasional errors by providing it with an additional adaptive error correction mechanism. The results showed that the error corrector improve the classification performance in the base system without compromising its performance. The system requires no more than 1 ms of computing time per input sample, and is smaller than deep neural networks, demonstrating the feasibility of agile gesture recognition systems based on this technology.


Efficient Neural Network based Classification and Outlier Detection for Image Moderation using Compressed Sensing and Group Testing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Popular social media platforms employ neural network based image moderation engines to classify images uploaded on them as having potentially objectionable content. Such moderation engines must answer a large number of queries with heavy computational cost, even though the actual number of images with objectionable content is usually a tiny fraction. Inspired by recent work on Neural Group Testing, we propose an approach which exploits this fact to reduce the overall computational cost of such engines using the technique of Compressed Sensing (CS). We present the quantitative matrix-pooled neural network (QMPNN), which takes as input $n$ images, and a $m \times n$ binary pooling matrix with $m < n$, whose rows indicate $m$ pools of images i.e. selections of $r$ images out of $n$. The QMPNN efficiently outputs the product of this matrix with the unknown sparse binary vector indicating whether each image is objectionable or not, i.e. it outputs the number of objectionable images in each pool. For suitable matrices, this is decoded using CS decoding algorithms to predict which images were objectionable. The computational cost of running the QMPNN and the CS algorithms is significantly lower than the cost of using a neural network with the same number of parameters separately on each image to classify the images, which we demonstrate via extensive experiments. Our technique is inherently resilient to moderate levels of errors in the prediction from the QMPNN. Furthermore, we present pooled deep outlier detection, which brings CS and group testing techniques to deep outlier detection, to provide for the case when the objectionable images do not belong to a set of pre-defined classes. This technique enables efficient automated moderation of off-topic images shared on topical forums dedicated to sharing images of a certain single class, many of which are currently human-moderated.


Sparse Bayesian Lasso via a Variable-Coefficient $\ell_1$ Penalty

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Modern statistical learning algorithms are capable of amazing flexibility, but struggle with interpretability. One possible solution is sparsity: making inference such that many of the parameters are estimated as being identically 0, which may be imposed through the use of nonsmooth penalties such as the $\ell_1$ penalty. However, the $\ell_1$ penalty introduces significant bias when high sparsity is desired. In this article, we retain the $\ell_1$ penalty, but define learnable penalty weights $\lambda_p$ endowed with hyperpriors. We start the article by investigating the optimization problem this poses, developing a proximal operator associated with the $\ell_1$ norm. We then study the theoretical properties of this variable-coefficient $\ell_1$ penalty in the context of penalized likelihood. Next, we investigate application of this penalty to Variational Bayes, developing a model we call the Sparse Bayesian Lasso which allows for behavior qualitatively like Lasso regression to be applied to arbitrary variational models. In simulation studies, this gives us the Uncertainty Quantification and low bias properties of simulation-based approaches with an order of magnitude less computation. Finally, we apply our methodology to a Bayesian lagged spatiotemporal regression model of internal displacement that occurred during the Iraqi Civil War of 2013-2017.


A Survey on Intersectional Fairness in Machine Learning: Notions, Mitigation, and Challenges

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The widespread adoption of Machine Learning systems, especially in more decision-critical applications such as criminal sentencing and bank loans, has led to increased concerns about fairness implications. Algorithms and metrics have been developed to mitigate and measure these discriminations. More recently, works have identified a more challenging form of bias called intersectional bias, which encompasses multiple sensitive attributes, such as race and gender, together. In this survey, we review the state-of-the-art in intersectional fairness. We present a taxonomy for intersectional notions of fairness and mitigation. Finally, we identify the key challenges and provide researchers with guidelines for future directions.


Data quality dimensions for fair AI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

AI systems are not intrinsically neutral and biases trickle in any type of technological tool. In particular when dealing with people, AI algorithms reflect technical errors originating with mislabeled data. As they feed wrong and discriminatory classifications, perpetuating structural racism and marginalization, these systems are not systematically guarded against bias. In this article we consider the problem of bias in AI systems from the point of view of Information Quality dimensions. We illustrate potential improvements of a bias mitigation tool in gender classification errors, referring to two typically difficult contexts: the classification of non-binary individuals and the classification of transgender individuals. The identification of data quality dimensions to implement in bias mitigation tool may help achieve more fairness. Hence, we propose to consider this issue in terms of completeness, consistency, timeliness and reliability, and offer some theoretical results.


Multi-Task Learning based Video Anomaly Detection with Attention

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-task learning based video anomaly detection methods combine multiple proxy tasks in different branches to detect video anomalies in different situations. Most existing methods either do not combine complementary tasks to effectively cover all motion patterns, or the class of the objects is not explicitly considered. To address the aforementioned shortcomings, we propose a novel multi-task learning based method that combines complementary proxy tasks to better consider the motion and appearance features. We combine the semantic segmentation and future frame prediction tasks in a single branch to learn the object class and consistent motion patterns, and to detect respective anomalies simultaneously. In the second branch, we added several attention mechanisms to detect motion anomalies with attention to object parts, the direction of motion, and the distance of the objects from the camera. Our qualitative results show that the proposed method considers the object class effectively and learns motion with attention to the aforementioned important factors which results in a precise motion modeling and a better motion anomaly detection. Additionally, quantitative results show the superiority of our method compared with state-of-the-art methods.