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Three Factors to Improve Out-of-Distribution Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the problem of out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, the usage of auxiliary data as outlier data for fine-tuning has demonstrated encouraging performance. However, previous methods have suffered from a trade-off between classification accuracy (ACC) and OOD detection performance (AUROC, FPR, AUPR). To improve this trade-off, we make three contributions: (i) Incorporating a self-knowledge distillation loss can enhance the accuracy of the network; (ii) Sampling semi-hard outlier data for training can improve OOD detection performance with minimal impact on accuracy; (iii) The introduction of our novel supervised contrastive learning can simultaneously improve OOD detection performance and the accuracy of the network. By incorporating all three factors, our approach enhances both accuracy and OOD detection performance by addressing the trade-off between classification and OOD detection. Our method achieves improvements over previous approaches in both performance metrics.


Graph Neural Networks for Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility with Spillover Effects

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a novel methodology for modeling and forecasting multivariate realized volatilities using customized graph neural networks to incorporate spillover effects across stocks. The proposed model offers the benefits of incorporating spillover effects from multi-hop neighbors, capturing nonlinear relationships, and flexible training with different loss functions. Our empirical findings provide compelling evidence that incorporating spillover effects from multi-hop neighbors alone does not yield a clear advantage in terms of predictive accuracy. However, modeling nonlinear spillover effects enhances the forecasting accuracy of realized volatilities, particularly for short-term horizons of up to one week. Moreover, our results consistently indicate that training with the Quasi-likelihood loss leads to substantial improvements in model performance compared to the commonly-used mean squared error. A comprehensive series of empirical evaluations in alternative settings confirm the robustness of our results.


Identifying Pauli spin blockade using deep learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Pauli spin blockade (PSB) can be employed sive; in the few-charges regime it can be found in as a great resource for spin qubit unexpected gate voltage locations or it might be initialisation and readout even at elevated absent, and in the multi-charge regime it has to temperatures but it can be difficult to be found like the proverbial needle in a haystack. We present a machine learning Its detection is challenging even for experienced algorithm capable of automatically identifying human experimenters since evidence for PSB is PSB using charge transport measurements. Those by training the algorithm with simulated details are affected by fluctuations in the disorder data and by using cross-device validation. The an essential step for realising fully scarcity of available data makes reliable automation automatic qubit tuning, is expected to be tough. In addition, PSB data tends to be employable across all types of quantum dot unbalanced, meaning that there are many more devices. Measurements promising candidates for scalable quantum computation exhibiting PSB are therefore rare in an and simulation [1-3]. They can achieve already scarce body of data. An automatic approach universal quantum computation [4] with gates would also allow us to gather sufficient reaching high fidelity [5, 6].


Fair Models in Credit: Intersectional Discrimination and the Amplification of Inequity

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The increasing usage of new data sources and machine learning (ML) technology in credit modeling raises concerns with regards to potentially unfair decision-making that rely on protected characteristics (e.g., race, sex, age) or other socio-economic and demographic data. The authors demonstrate the impact of such algorithmic bias in the microfinance context. Difficulties in assessing credit are disproportionately experienced among vulnerable groups, however, very little is known about inequities in credit allocation between groups defined, not only by single, but by multiple and intersecting social categories. Drawing from the intersectionality paradigm, the study examines intersectional horizontal inequities in credit access by gender, age, marital status, single parent status and number of children. This paper utilizes data from the Spanish microfinance market as its context to demonstrate how pluralistic realities and intersectional identities can shape patterns of credit allocation when using automated decision-making systems. With ML technology being oblivious to societal good or bad, we find that a more thorough examination of intersectionality can enhance the algorithmic fairness lens to more authentically empower action for equitable outcomes and present a fairer path forward. We demonstrate that while on a high-level, fairness may exist superficially, unfairness can exacerbate at lower levels given combinatorial effects; in other words, the core fairness problem may be more complicated than current literature demonstrates. We find that in addition to legally protected characteristics, sensitive attributes such as single parent status and number of children can result in imbalanced harm. We discuss the implications of these findings for the financial services industry.


Enhancing Machine Learning Performance with Continuous In-Session Ground Truth Scores: Pilot Study on Objective Skeletal Muscle Pain Intensity Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine learning (ML) models trained on subjective self-report scores struggle to objectively classify pain accurately due to the significant variance between real-time pain experiences and recorded scores afterwards. This study developed two devices for acquisition of real-time, continuous in-session pain scores and gathering of ANS-modulated endodermal activity (EDA).The experiment recruited N = 24 subjects who underwent a post-exercise circulatory occlusion (PECO) with stretch, inducing discomfort. Subject data were stored in a custom pain platform, facilitating extraction of time-domain EDA features and in-session ground truth scores. Moreover, post-experiment visual analog scale (VAS) scores were collected from each subject. Machine learning models, namely Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP) and Random Forest (RF), were trained using corresponding objective EDA features combined with in-session scores and post-session scores, respectively. Over a 10-fold cross-validation, the macro-averaged geometric mean score revealed MLP and RF models trained with objective EDA features and in-session scores achieved superior performance (75.9% and 78.3%) compared to models trained with post-session scores (70.3% and 74.6%) respectively. This pioneering study demonstrates that using continuous in-session ground truth scores significantly enhances ML performance in pain intensity characterization, overcoming ground truth sparsity-related issues, data imbalance, and high variance. This study informs future objective-based ML pain system training.


Mapping Computer Science Research: Trends, Influences, and Predictions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper explores the current trending research areas in the field of Computer Science (CS) and investigates the factors contributing to their emergence. Leveraging a comprehensive dataset comprising papers, citations, and funding information, we employ advanced machine learning techniques, including Decision Tree and Logistic Regression models, to predict trending research areas. Our analysis reveals that the number of references cited in research papers (Reference Count) plays a pivotal role in determining trending research areas making reference counts the most relevant factor that drives trend in the CS field. Additionally, the influence of NSF grants and patents on trending topics has increased over time. The Logistic Regression model outperforms the Decision Tree model in predicting trends, exhibiting higher accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. By surpassing a random guess baseline, our data-driven approach demonstrates higher accuracy and efficacy in identifying trending research areas. The results offer valuable insights into the trending research areas, providing researchers and institutions with a data-driven foundation for decision-making and future research direction.


Predicting Early Dropouts of an Active and Healthy Ageing App

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this work, we present a machine learning approach for predicting early dropouts of an active and healthy ageing app. The presented algorithms have been submitted to the IFMBE Scientific Challenge 2022, part of IUPESM WC 2022. We have processed the given database and generated seven datasets. We used pre-processing techniques to construct classification models that predict the adherence of users using dynamic and static features. We submitted 11 official runs and our results show that machine learning algorithms can provide high-quality adherence predictions. Based on the results, the dynamic features positively influence a model's classification performance. Due to the imbalanced nature of the dataset, we employed oversampling methods such as SMOTE and ADASYN to improve the classification performance. The oversampling approaches led to a remarkable improvement of 10\%. Our methods won first place in the IFMBE Scientific Challenge 2022.


A Survey of Time Series Anomaly Detection Methods in the AIOps Domain

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Internet-based services have seen remarkable success, generating vast amounts of monitored key performance indicators (KPIs) as univariate or multivariate time series. Monitoring and analyzing these time series are crucial for researchers, service operators, and on-call engineers to detect outliers or anomalies indicating service failures or significant events. Numerous advanced anomaly detection methods have emerged to address availability and performance issues. This review offers a comprehensive overview of time series anomaly detection in Artificial Intelligence for IT operations (AIOps), which uses AI capabilities to automate and optimize operational workflows. Additionally, it explores future directions for real-world and next-generation time-series anomaly detection based on recent advancements.


GradOrth: A Simple yet Efficient Out-of-Distribution Detection with Orthogonal Projection of Gradients

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data is crucial for ensuring the safe deployment of machine learning models in real-world applications. However, existing OOD detection approaches primarily rely on the feature maps or the full gradient space information to derive OOD scores neglecting the role of most important parameters of the pre-trained network over in-distribution (ID) data. In this study, we propose a novel approach called GradOrth to facilitate OOD detection based on one intriguing observation that the important features to identify OOD data lie in the lower-rank subspace of in-distribution (ID) data. In particular, we identify OOD data by computing the norm of gradient projection on the subspaces considered important for the in-distribution data. A large orthogonal projection value (i.e. a small projection value) indicates the sample as OOD as it captures a weak correlation of the ID data. This simple yet effective method exhibits outstanding performance, showcasing a notable reduction in the average false positive rate at a 95% true positive rate (FPR95) of up to 8% when compared to the current state-of-the-art methods.


Data Collaboration Analysis applied to Compound Datasets and the Introduction of Projection data to Non-IID settings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Given the time and expense associated with bringing a drug to market, numerous studies have been conducted to predict the properties of compounds based on their structure using machine learning. Federated learning has been applied to compound datasets to increase their prediction accuracy while safeguarding potentially proprietary information. However, federated learning is encumbered by low accuracy in not identically and independently distributed (non-IID) settings, i.e., data partitioning has a large label bias, and is considered unsuitable for compound datasets, which tend to have large label bias. To address this limitation, we utilized an alternative method of distributed machine learning to chemical compound data from open sources, called data collaboration analysis (DC). We also proposed data collaboration analysis using projection data (DCPd), which is an improved method that utilizes auxiliary PubChem data. This improves the quality of individual user-side data transformations for the projection data for the creation of intermediate representations. The classification accuracy, i.e., area under the curve in the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and AUC in the precision-recall curve (PR-AUC), of federated averaging (FedAvg), DC, and DCPd was compared for five compound datasets. We determined that the machine learning performance for non-IID settings was in the order of DCPd, DC, and FedAvg, although they were almost the same in identically and independently distributed (IID) settings. Moreover, the results showed that compared to other methods, DCPd exhibited a negligible decline in classification accuracy in experiments with different degrees of label bias. Thus, DCPd can address the low performance in non-IID settings, which is one of the challenges of federated learning.