This paper studies continuous-time stochastic control problems whose controlled states are fully non-Markovian and depend on unknown model parameters. Such problems arise naturally in path-dependent stochastic differential equations, rough-volatility hedging, and systems driven by fractional Brownian motion. Building on the discrete skeleton approach developed in earlier work, we propose a Monte Carlo learning methodology for the associated embedded backward dynamic programming equation. Our main contribution is twofold. First, we construct explicit dominating training laws and Radon--Nikodym weights for several representative classes of non-Markovian controlled systems. This yields an off-model training architecture in which a fixed synthetic dataset is generated under a reference law, while the dynamic programming operators associated with a target model are recovered by importance sampling. Second, we use this structure to design an adaptive update mechanism under parametric model uncertainty, so that repeated recalibration can be performed by reweighting the same training sample rather than regenerating new trajectories. For fixed parameters, we establish non-asymptotic error bounds for the approximation of the embedded dynamic programming equation via deep neural networks. For adaptive learning, we derive quantitative estimates that separate Monte Carlo approximation error from model-risk error. Numerical experiments illustrate both the off-model training mechanism and the adaptive importance-sampling update in structured linear-quadratic examples.

The statistical essence of the Transformer architecture has long remained elusive: Is it a universal approximator, or a neural network version of known computational algorithms? Through rigorous algebraic proof, we show that the latter better describes Transformer's basic nature: Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is a special case of the single-layer Linear Transformer. Using the spectral decomposition of the empirical covariance matrix, we construct a specific parameter setting where the attention mechanism's forward pass becomes mathematically equivalent to the OLS closed-form projection. This means attention can solve the problem in one forward pass, not by iterating. Building upon this prototypical case, we further uncover a decoupled slow and fast memory mechanism within Transformers. Finally, the evolution from our established linear prototype to standard Transformers is discussed. This progression facilitates the transition of the Hopfield energy function from linear to exponential memory capacity, thereby establishing a clear continuity between modern deep architectures and classical statistical inference.

Background: Single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) enables gene expression profiling at cellular resolution but is inherently affected by sparsity caused by dropout events, where expressed genes are recorded as zeros due to technical limitations. These artifacts distort gene expression distributions and compromise downstream analyses. Numerous imputation methods have been proposed to recover latent transcriptional signals. These methods range from traditional statistical models to deep learning (DL)-based methods. However, their comparative performance remains unclear, as existing benchmarks evaluate only a limited subset of methods, datasets, and downstream analyses. Results: We present a comprehensive benchmark of 15 scRNA-seq imputation methods spanning 7 methodological categories, including traditional and DL-based methods. Methods are evaluated across 30 datasets from 10 experimental protocols on 6 downstream analyses. Results show that traditional methods, such as model-based, smoothing-based, and low-rank matrix-based methods, generally outperform DL-based methods, including diffusion-based, GAN-based, GNN-based, and autoencoder-based methods. In addition, strong performance in numerical gene expression recovery does not necessarily translate into improved biological interpretability in downstream analyses, including cell clustering, differential expression analysis, marker gene analysis, trajectory analysis, and cell type annotation. Furthermore, method performance varies substantially across datasets, protocols, and downstream analyses, with no single method consistently outperforming others. Conclusions: Our findings provide practical guidance for selecting imputation methods tailored to specific analytical objectives and underscore the importance of task-specific evaluation when assessing imputation performance in scRNA-seq data analysis.

Adversarial training (AT) is an effective defense for large language models (LLMs) against jailbreak attacks, but performing AT on LLMs is costly. To improve the efficiency of AT for LLMs, recent studies propose continuous AT (CAT) that searches for adversarial inputs within the continuous embedding space of LLMs during AT. While CAT has achieved empirical success, its underlying mechanism, i.e., why adversarial perturbations in the embedding space can help LLMs defend against jailbreak prompts synthesized in the input token space, remains unknown. This paper presents the first theoretical analysis of CAT on LLMs based on in-context learning (ICL) theory. For linear transformers trained with adversarial examples from the embedding space on in-context linear regression tasks, we prove a robust generalization bound that has a negative correlation with the perturbation radius in the embedding space. This clearly explains why CAT can defend against jailbreak prompts from the LLM's token space. Further, the robust bound shows that the robustness of an adversarially trained LLM is closely related to the singular values of its embedding matrix. Based on this, we propose to improve LLM CAT by introducing an additional regularization term, which depends on singular values of the LLM's embedding matrix, into the objective function of CAT. Experiments on real-world LLMs demonstrate that our method can help LLMs achieve a better jailbreak robustness-utility tradeoff. The code is available at https://github.com/fshp971/continuous-adv-icl.

Predicting counterfactual outcomes in longitudinal data, where sequential treatment decisions heavily depend on evolving patient states, is critical yet notoriously challenging due to complex time-dependent confounding and inadequate uncertainty quantification in existing methods. We introduce the Causal Diffusion Model (CDM), the first denoising diffusion probabilistic approach explicitly designed to generate full probabilistic distributions of counterfactual outcomes under sequential interventions. CDM employs a novel residual denoising architecture with relational self-attention, capturing intricate temporal dependencies and multimodal outcome trajectories without requiring explicit adjustments (e.g., inverse-probability weighting or adversarial balancing) for confounding. In rigorous evaluation on a pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic tumor-growth simulator widely adopted in prior work, CDM consistently outperforms state-of-the-art longitudinal causal inference methods, achieving a 15-30% relative improvement in distributional accuracy (1-Wasserstein distance) while maintaining competitive or superior point-estimate accuracy (RMSE) under high-confounding regimes. By unifying uncertainty quantification and robust counterfactual prediction in complex, sequentially confounded settings, without tailored deconfounding, CDM offers a flexible, high-impact tool for decision support in medicine, policy evaluation, and other longitudinal domains.

The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical systems necessitates reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ). A practical and widespread strategy for UQ is repurposing stochastic regularizers as scalable approximate Bayesian inference methods, such as Monte Carlo Dropout (MCD) and MC-DropBlock (MCDB). However, this paradigm remains under-explored for Stochastic Depth (SD), a regularizer integral to the residual-based backbones of most modern architectures. While prior work demonstrated its empirical promise for segmentation, a formal theoretical connection to Bayesian variational inference and a benchmark on complex, multi-task problems like object detection are missing. In this paper, we first provide theoretical insights connecting Monte Carlo Stochastic Depth (MCSD) to principled approximate variational inference. We then present the first comprehensive empirical benchmark of MCSD against MCD and MCDB on state-of-the-art detectors (YOLO, RT-DETR) using the COCO and COCO-O datasets. Our results position MCSD as a robust and computationally efficient method that achieves highly competitive predictive accuracy (mAP), notably yielding slight improvements in calibration (ECE) and uncertainty ranking (AUARC) compared to MCD. We thus establish MCSD as a theoretically-grounded and empirically-validated tool for efficient Bayesian approximation in modern deep learning.

It involves 4chan, of all places. In July 2020, 4chan's video-game discussion board looked much like the rest of the notorious online forum. There were elaborate, libidinal fantasies involving "whores" and "dragon cum," and comments on how long a gamer had to wait "before my dick can get up for another beating," as one put it. And yet, as the gamers discussed such things, they were also making a discovery of significance to the AI industry. Some of them were playing, a new text-based role-playing game that was essentially an AI version of .

As generative models enable rapid creation of high-fidelity images, societal concerns about misinformation and authenticity have intensified. A promising remedy is multi-bit image watermarking, which embeds a multi-bit message into an image so that a verifier can later detect whether the image is generated by someone and further identify the source by decoding the embedded message. Existing approaches often fall short in capacity, resilience to common image distortions, and theoretical justification. To address these limitations, we propose ADD (Add, Dot, Decode), a multi-bit image watermarking method with two stages: learning a watermark to be linearly combined with the multi-bit message and added to the image, and decoding through inner products between the watermarked image and the learned watermark. On the standard MS-COCO benchmark, we demonstrate that for the challenging task of 48-bit watermarking, ADD achieves 100\% decoding accuracy, with performance dropping by at most 2\% under a wide range of image distortions, substantially smaller than the 14\% average drop of state-of-the-art methods. In addition, ADD achieves substantial computational gains, with 2-fold faster embedding and 7.4-fold faster decoding than the fastest existing method. We further provide a theoretical analysis explaining why the learned watermark and the corresponding decoding rule are effective.

Deep learning underpins a wide range of applications in MRI, including reconstruction, artifact removal, and segmentation. However, progress has been driven largely by public datasets focused on brain and knee imaging, shaping how models are trained and evaluated. As a result, careful studies of the reliability of these models across diverse anatomical settings remain limited. In this work, we introduce MosaicMRI, a large and diverse collection of fully sampled raw musculoskeletal (MSK) MR measurements designed for training and evaluating machine-learning-based methods. MosaicMRI is the largest open-source raw MSK MRI dataset to date, comprising 2,671 volumes and 80,156 slices. The dataset offers substantial diversity in volume orientation (e.g., axial, sagittal), imaging contrasts (e.g., PD, T1, T2), anatomies (e.g., spine, knee, hip, ankle, and others), and numbers of acquisition coils. Using VarNet as a baseline for accelerated reconstruction task, we perform a comprehensive set of experiments to study scaling behavior with respect to both model capacity and dataset size. Interestingly, models trained on the combined anatomies significantly outperform anatomy-specific models in low-sample regimes, highlighting the benefits of anatomical diversity and the presence of exploitable cross-anatomical correlations. We further evaluate robustness and cross-anatomy generalization by training models on one anatomy (e.g., spine) and testing them on another (e.g., knee). Notably, we identify groups of body parts (e.g., foot and elbow) that generalize well with each other, and highlight that performance under domain shifts depends on both training set size, anatomy, and protocol-specific factors.

Classical information-theoretic generalization bounds typically control the generalization gap through KL-based mutual information and therefore rely on boundedness or sub-Gaussian tails via the moment generating function (MGF). In many modern pipelines, such as robust learning, RLHF, and stochastic optimization, losses and rewards can be heavy-tailed, and MGFs may not exist, rendering KL-based tools ineffective. We develop a tail-dependent information-theoretic framework for sub-Weibull data, where the tail parameter $θ$ controls the tail heaviness: $θ=2$ corresponds to sub-Gaussian, $θ=1$ to sub-exponential, and $0<θ<1$ to genuinely heavy tails. Our key technical ingredient is a decorrelation lemma that bounds change-of-measure expectations using a shifted-log $f_θ$-divergence, which admits explicit comparisons to Rényi divergence without MGF arguments. On the empirical-process side, we establish sharp maximal inequalities and a Dudley-type chaining bound for sub-Weibull processes with tail index $θ$, with complexity scaling as $\log^{1/θ}$ and entropy$^{1/θ}$. These tools yield expected and high-probability PAC-Bayes generalization bounds, as well as an information-theoretic chaining inequality based on multiscale Rényi mutual information. We illustrate the consequences in Rényi-regularized RLHF under heavy-tailed rewards and in stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics with heavy-tailed gradient noise.