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How a fiery attack on Sam Altman's home unfolded

The Guardian

Sam Altman speaks during the BlackRock infrastructure summit on 11 March in Washington DC. Sam Altman speaks during the BlackRock infrastructure summit on 11 March in Washington DC. How a fiery attack on Sam Altman's home unfolded Molotov cocktail attack on OpenAI CEO's home comes amid growing discontent against artificial intelligence I n the early hours of 10 April, a man approached the gate of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman's house in San Francisco and hurled a molotov cocktail at the building before fleeing. Federal and California state authorities have charged Moreno-Gama with a range of crimes including attempted arson and attempted murder. His parents issued a statement this week saying that their son had recently suffered a mental health crisis.


Panic says the Playdate Catalog won't accept games made with generative AI

Engadget

Panic says the Playdate Catalog won't accept games made with generative AI Using it for coding assistance is still OK, but you can't generate art, music, text or story elements. Panic's Playdate console displaying Season Two games. Panic, the company behind the tiny and excellent Playdate console, is taking a stand on generative AI. The company has published an AI disclosure that says as of this month, the Playdate Catalog "will no longer accept titles that use'Generative AI' for art, audio, music, text, or dialog." Panic does allow for developers to use AI assistance for coding, but also says that "we will flag any title as such and specify the extent that it was used (for example, "Lua debugging") so the customer can decide whether to support it or not."


Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Multiplicative gating is widely used in neural architectures and has recently been applied to attention layers to improve performance and training stability in large language models. Despite the success of gated attention, the mathematical implications of gated attention mechanisms remain poorly understood. We study attention through the geometry of its representations by modeling outputs as mean parameters of Gaussian distributions and analyzing the induced Fisher--Rao geometry. We show that ungated attention operator is restricted to intrinsically flat statistical manifolds due to its affine structure, while multiplicative gating enables non-flat geometries, including positively curved manifolds that are unattainable in the ungated setting. These results establish a geometric expressivity gap between ungated and gated attention. Empirically, we show that gated models exhibit higher representation curvature and improved performance on tasks requiring nonlinear decision boundaries whereas they provide no consistent advantage on tasks with linear decision boundaries. Furthermore, we identify a structured regime in which curvature accumulates under composition, yielding a systematic depth amplification effect.


Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Zeroth-order (ZO) methods are widely used when gradients are unavailable or prohibitively expensive, including black-box learning and memory-efficient fine-tuning of large models, yet their optimization dynamics in deep learning remain underexplored. In this work, we provide an explicit step size condition that exactly captures the (mean-square) linear stability of a family of ZO methods based on the standard two-point estimator. Our characterization reveals a sharp contrast with first-order (FO) methods: whereas FO stability is governed solely by the largest Hessian eigenvalue, mean-square stability of ZO methods depends on the entire Hessian spectrum. Since computing the full Hessian spectrum is infeasible in practical neural network training, we further derive tractable stability bounds that depend only on the largest eigenvalue and the Hessian trace. Empirically, we find that full-batch ZO methods operate at the edge of stability: ZO-GD, ZO-GDM, and ZO-Adam consistently stabilize near the predicted stability boundary across a range of deep learning training problems. Our results highlight an implicit regularization effect specific to ZO methods, where large step sizes primarily regularize the Hessian trace, whereas in FO methods they regularize the top eigenvalue.


Generative Augmented Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Data-driven operations management often relies on parameters estimated from costly human-generated labels. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) and other AI systems offer inexpensive auxiliary data, but introduce a new challenge: AI outputs are not direct observations of the target outcomes, but could involve high-dimensional representations with complex and unknown relationships to human labels. Conventional methods leverage AI predictions as direct proxies for true labels, which can be inefficient or unreliable when this relationship is weak or misspecified. We propose Generative Augmented Inference (GAI), a general framework that incorporates AI-generated outputs as informative features for estimating models of human-labeled outcomes. GAI uses an orthogonal moment construction that enables consistent estimation and valid inference with flexible, nonparametric relationship between LLM-generated outputs and human labels. We establish asymptotic normality and show a "safe default" property: relative to human-data-only estimators, GAI weakly improves estimation efficiency under arbitrary auxiliary signals and yields strict gains whenever the auxiliary information is predictive. Empirically, GAI outperforms benchmarks across diverse settings. In conjoint analysis with weak auxiliary signals, GAI reduces estimation error by about 50% and lowers human labeling requirements by over 75%. In retail pricing, where all methods access the same auxiliary inputs, GAI consistently outperforms alternative estimators, highlighting the value of its construction rather than differences in information. In health insurance choice, it cuts labeling requirements by over 90% while maintaining decision accuracy. Across applications, GAI improves confidence interval coverage without inflating width. Overall, GAI provides a principled and scalable approach to integrating AI-generated information.


CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Lion optimizer is a popular learning-based optimization algorithm in machine learning, which shows impressive performance in training many deep learning models. Although convergence property of the Lion optimizer has been studied, its generalization analysis is still missing. To fill this gap, we study generalization property of the Lion via algorithmic stability based on the mathematical induction. Specifically, we prove that the Lion has a generalization error of $O(\frac{1}{Nτ^T})$, where $N$ is training sample size, and $τ>0$ denotes the smallest absolute value of non-zero element in gradient estimator, and $T$ is the total iteration number. In addition, we obtain an interesting byproduct that the SignSGD algorithm has the same generalization error as the Lion. To enhance generalization of the Lion, we design a novel efficient Cautious Lion (i.e., CLion) optimizer by cautiously using sign function. Moreover, we prove that our CLion has a lower generalization error of $O(\frac{1}{N})$ than $O(\frac{1}{Nτ^T})$ of the Lion, since the parameter $τ$ generally is very small. Meanwhile, we study convergence property of our CLion optimizer, and prove that our CLion has a fast convergence rate of $O(\frac{\sqrt{d}}{T^{1/4}})$ under $\ell_1$-norm of gradient for nonconvex stochastic optimization, where $d$ denotes the model dimension. Extensive numerical experiments demonstrate effectiveness of our CLion optimizer.


AI's Next Frontier: People Skills

The Atlantic - Technology

Imagine a chatbot that actually knows how to talk to you. Earlier this year, when I walked into a renovated loft in downtown San Francisco, the couches and tables were littered with flyers advertising an "emotionally intelligent real-time AI coach." They were for Amotions AI--one of several start-ups that had gathered that day to pitch investors, entrepreneurs, and tech workers. Pianpian Xu Guthrie, Amotions AI's founder, was eager to tell me more. The AI model observes video calls on your computer, she said, and gives you real-time tips based on the other person's tone and facial expression.


BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Antibody lead optimization is inherently a multi-objective challenge in drug discovery. Achieving a balance between different drug-like properties is crucial for the development of viable candidates, and this search becomes exponentially challenging as desired properties grow. The ever-growing zoo of sophisticated in silico tools for predicting antibody properties calls for an efficient joint optimization procedure to overcome resource-intensive sequential filtering pipelines. We present BOAT, a versatile Bayesian optimization framework for multi-property antibody engineering. Our `plug-and-play' framework couples uncertainty-aware surrogate modeling with a genetic algorithm to jointly optimize various predicted antibody traits while enabling efficient exploration of sequence space. Through systematic benchmarking against genetic algorithms and newer generative learning approaches, we demonstrate competitive performance with state-of-the-art methods for multi-objective protein optimization. We identify clear regimes where surrogate-driven optimization outperforms expensive generative approaches and establish practical limits imposed by sequence dimensionality and oracle costs.


Spectral methods: crucial for machine learning, natural for quantum computers?

arXiv.org Machine Learning

This article presents an argument for why quantum computers could unlock new methods for machine learning. We argue that spectral methods, in particular those that learn, regularise, or otherwise manipulate the Fourier spectrum of a machine learning model, are often natural for quantum computers. For example, if a generative machine learning model is represented by a quantum state, the Quantum Fourier Transform allows us to manipulate the Fourier spectrum of the state using the entire toolbox of quantum routines, an operation that is usually prohibitive for classical models. At the same time, spectral methods are surprisingly fundamental to machine learning: A spectral bias has recently been hypothesised to be the core principle behind the success of deep learning; support vector machines have been known for decades to regularise in Fourier space, and convolutional neural nets build filters in the Fourier space of images. Could, then, quantum computing open fundamentally different, much more direct and resource-efficient ways to design the spectral properties of a model? We discuss this potential in detail here, hoping to stimulate a direction in quantum machine learning research that puts the question of ``why quantum?'' first.


Forecasting Multivariate Time Series under Predictive Heterogeneity: A Validation-Driven Clustering Framework

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive specialization can induce negative transfer. We formulate adaptive pooling as a statistical decision problem and propose a validation-driven framework that determines when and how specialization should be applied. Rather than grouping series based on representation similarity, we define partitions through out-of-sample predictive performance, thereby aligning data organization with predictive risk, defined as expected out-of-sample loss and approximated via validation error. Cluster assignments are iteratively updated using validation losses for both point (Huber) and probabilistic (pinball) forecasting, improving robustness to heavy-tailed errors and local anomalies. To ensure reliability, we introduce a leakage-free fallback mechanism that reverts to a global model whenever specialization fails to improve validation performance, providing a safeguard against performance degradation under a strict training-validation-test protocol. Experiments on large-scale traffic datasets demonstrate consistent improvements over strong baselines while avoiding degradation when heterogeneity is weak. Overall, the proposed framework provides a principled and practically reliable approach to adaptive pooling in high-dimensional forecasting problems.