Deep Learning
Granger Causality: A Review and Recent Advances
There is a range of applications where the interest is in understanding interactions between a set of time series, including in neuroscience, genomics, econometrics, climate science, and social media analysis. For example, in neuroscience, one may seek to understand whether activity in one brain region correlates with later activity in another region, or to decipher instantaneous correlations between regions--both notions of functional connectivity. In genomics, there is an analogous study of gene regulatory networks. In econometrics, one may be interested in how various macroeconomic indicators predict one another. We also have unprecedented levels of data on people's actions--whether they be social media posts, purchase histories, or political voting records--and want to understand the dependencies between the actions of these individuals. Modern recording modalities and the ability to store and process large amounts of data have escalated the scale at which we seek to do such analyses. In many cases, one may seek notions of causal interactions amongst the time series, but be limited to drawing inferences from observational data without opportunities for experimentation and without known mechanistic models for the observed phenomena.
Reducing Streaming ASR Model Delay with Self Alignment
Kim, Jaeyoung, Lu, Han, Tripathi, Anshuman, Zhang, Qian, Sak, Hasim
Reducing prediction delay for streaming end-to-end ASR models with minimal performance regression is a challenging problem. Constrained alignment is a well-known existing approach that penalizes predicted word boundaries using external low-latency acoustic models. On the contrary, recently proposed FastEmit is a sequence-level delay regularization scheme encouraging vocabulary tokens over blanks without any reference alignments. Although all these schemes are successful in reducing delay, ASR word error rate (WER) often severely degrades after applying these delay constraining schemes. In this paper, we propose a novel delay constraining method, named self alignment. Self alignment does not require external alignment models. Instead, it utilizes Viterbi forced-alignments from the trained model to find the lower latency alignment direction. From LibriSpeech evaluation, self alignment outperformed existing schemes: 25% and 56% less delay compared to FastEmit and constrained alignment at the similar word error rate. For Voice Search evaluation,12% and 25% delay reductions were achieved compared to FastEmit and constrained alignment with more than 2% WER improvements.
fAshIon after fashion: A Report of AI in Fashion
In this independent report fAshIon after fashion, we examine the development of fAshIon (artificial intelligence (AI) in fashion) and explore its potentiality to become a major disruptor of the fashion industry in the near future. To do this, we investigate AI technologies used in the fashion industry through several lenses. We summarise fAshIon studies conducted over the past decade and categorise them into seven groups: Overview, Evaluation, Basic Tech, Selling, Styling, Design, and Buying. The datasets mentioned in fAshIon research have been consolidated on one GitHub page for ease of use. We analyse the authors' backgrounds and the geographic regions treated in these studies to determine the landscape of fAshIon research. The results of our analysis are presented with an aim to provide researchers with a holistic view of research in fAshIon. As part of our primary research, we also review a wide range of cases of applied fAshIon in the fashion industry and analyse their impact on the industry, markets and individuals. We also identify the challenges presented by fAshIon and suggest that these may form the basis for future research. We finally exhibit that many potential opportunities exist for the use of AI in fashion which can transform the fashion industry embedded with AI technologies and boost profits.
A Multivariate Density Forecast Approach for Online Power System Security Assessment
Meng, Zichao, Guo, Ye, Tang, Wenjun, Sun, Hongbin, Huang, Wenqi
A multivariate density forecast model based on deep learning is designed in this paper to forecast the joint cumulative distribution functions (JCDFs) of multiple security margins in power systems. Differing from existing multivariate density forecast models, the proposed method requires no a priori hypotheses on the distribution of forecasting targets. In addition, based on the universal approximation capability of neural networks, the value domain of the proposed approach has been proven to include all continuous JCDFs. The forecasted JCDF is further employed to calculate the deterministic security assessment index evaluating the security level of future power system operations. Numerical tests verify the superiority of the proposed method over current multivariate density forecast models. The deterministic security assessment index is demonstrated to be more informative for operators than security margins as well.
GANTL: Towards Practical and Real-Time Topology Optimization with Conditional GANs and Transfer Learning
Behzadi, Mohammad Mahdi, Ilies, Horea T.
Many machine learning methods have been recently developed to circumvent the high computational cost of the gradient-based topology optimization. These methods typically require extensive and costly datasets for training, have a difficult time generalizing to unseen boundary and loading conditions and to new domains, and do not take into consideration topological constraints of the predictions, which produces predictions with inconsistent topologies. We present a deep learning method based on generative adversarial networks for generative design exploration. The proposed method combines the generative power of conditional GANs with the knowledge transfer capabilities of transfer learning methods to predict optimal topologies for unseen boundary conditions. We also show that the knowledge transfer capabilities embedded in the design of the proposed algorithm significantly reduces the size of the training dataset compared to the traditional deep learning neural or adversarial networks. Moreover, we formulate a topological loss function based on the bottleneck distance obtained from the persistent diagram of the structures and demonstrate a significant improvement in the topological connectivity of the predicted structures. We use numerous examples to explore the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed approach for both seen and unseen boundary conditions in 2D.
Utilizing Skipped Frames in Action Repeats via Pseudo-Actions
Hashimoto, Taisei, Tsuruoka, Yoshimasa
In many deep reinforcement learning settings, when an agent takes an action, it repeats the same action a predefined number of times without observing the states until the next action-decision point. This technique of action repetition has several merits in training the agent, but the data between action-decision points (i.e., intermediate frames) are, in effect, discarded. Since the amount of training data is inversely proportional to the interval of action repeats, they can have a negative impact on the sample efficiency of training. In this paper, we propose a simple but effective approach to alleviate to this problem by introducing the concept of pseudo-actions. The key idea of our method is making the transition between action-decision points usable as training data by considering pseudo-actions. Pseudo-actions for continuous control tasks are obtained as the average of the action sequence straddling an action-decision point. For discrete control tasks, pseudo-actions are computed from learned action embeddings. This method can be combined with any model-free reinforcement learning algorithm that involves the learning of Q-functions. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on both continuous and discrete control tasks in OpenAI Gym.
Noether's Learning Dynamics: The Role of Kinetic Symmetry Breaking in Deep Learning
Tanaka, Hidenori, Kunin, Daniel
In nature, symmetry governs regularities, while symmetry breaking brings texture. Here, we reveal a novel role of symmetry breaking behind efficiency and stability in learning, a critical issue in machine learning. Recent experiments suggest that the symmetry of the loss function is closely related to the learning performance. This raises a fundamental question. Is such symmetry beneficial, harmful, or irrelevant to the success of learning? Here, we demystify this question and pose symmetry breaking as a new design principle by considering the symmetry of the learning rule in addition to the loss function. We model the discrete learning dynamics using a continuous-time Lagrangian formulation, in which the learning rule corresponds to the kinetic energy and the loss function corresponds to the potential energy. We identify kinetic asymmetry unique to learning systems, where the kinetic energy often does not have the same symmetry as the potential (loss) function reflecting the non-physical symmetries of the loss function and the non-Euclidean metric used in learning rules. We generalize Noether's theorem known in physics to explicitly take into account this kinetic asymmetry and derive the resulting motion of the Noether charge. Finally, we apply our theory to modern deep networks with normalization layers and reveal a mechanism of implicit adaptive optimization induced by the kinetic symmetry breaking.
Consistency of mechanistic causal discovery in continuous-time using Neural ODEs
Bellot, Alexis, Branson, Kim, van der Schaar, Mihaela
The discovery of causal mechanisms from time series data is a key problem in fields working with complex systems. Most identifiability results and learning algorithms assume the underlying dynamics to be discrete in time. Comparatively few, in contrast, explicitly define causal associations in infinitesimal intervals of time, independently of the scale of observation and of the regularity of sampling. In this paper, we consider causal discovery in continuous-time for the study of dynamical systems. We prove that for vector fields parameterized in a large class of neural networks, adaptive regularization schemes consistently recover causal graphs in systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Using this insight, we propose a causal discovery algorithm based on penalized Neural ODEs that we show to be applicable to the general setting of irregularly-sampled multivariate time series and to strongly outperform the state of the art.
Generalized Multimodal ELBO
Sutter, Thomas M., Daunhawer, Imant, Vogt, Julia E.
Multiple data types naturally co-occur when describing real-world phenomena and learning from them is a long-standing goal in machine learning research. However, existing self-supervised generative models approximating an ELBO are not able to fulfill all desired requirements of multimodal models: their posterior approximation functions lead to a trade-off between the semantic coherence and the ability to learn the joint data distribution. We propose a new, generalized ELBO formulation for multimodal data that overcomes these limitations. The new objective encompasses two previous methods as special cases and combines their benefits without compromises. In extensive experiments, we demonstrate the advantage of the proposed method compared to state-of-the-art models in self-supervised, generative learning tasks.
Contextual Bandits with Sparse Data in Web setting
This paper is a scoping study to identify current methods used in handling sparse data with contextual bandits in web settings. The area is highly current and state of the art methods are identified. The years 2017-2020 are investigated, and 19 method articles are identified, and two review articles. Five categories of methods are described, making it easy to choose how to address sparse data using contextual bandits with a method available for modification in the specific setting of concern. In addition, each method has multiple techniques to choose from for future evaluation. The problem areas are also mentioned that each article covers. An overall updated understanding of sparse data problems using contextual bandits in web settings is given. The identified methods are policy evaluation (off-line and on-line) , hybrid-method, model representation (clusters and deep neural networks), dimensionality reduction, and simulation.