When finetuning multiple tasks altogether, it is important to carefully weigh them to get a good performance, but searching for good weights can be difficult and costly. Here, we propose to aid the search with fast previews to quickly get a rough idea of different reweighting options. We use model merging to create previews by simply reusing and averaging parameters of models trained on each task separately (no retraining required). To improve the quality of previews, we propose a Bayesian approach to design new merging strategies by using more flexible posteriors. We validate our findings on vision and natural-language transformers. Our work shows the benefits of model merging via Bayes to improve multitask finetuning.

The rapid advancements in Artificial Intelligence, specifically Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL), have opened new prospects in medical sciences for improved diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment of severe health conditions. This paper focuses on the development of an ML model with high predictive accuracy to classify arrhythmic electrocardiogram (ECG) signals. The ECG signals datasets utilized in this study were sourced from the PhysioNet and MIT-BIH databases. The research commenced with binary classification, where an optimized Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) model yielded excellent results in differentiating normal and atrial fibrillation signals. A pivotal aspect of this research was a survey among medical professionals, which not only validated the practicality of AI-based ECG classifiers but also identified areas for improvement, including accuracy and the inclusion of more arrhythmia types. These insights drove the development of an advanced Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) system capable of classifying five different types of ECG signals with better accuracy and precision. The CNN model's robust performance was ensured through rigorous stratified 5-fold cross validation. A web portal was also developed to demonstrate real-world utility, offering access to the trained model for real-time classification. This study highlights the potential applications of such models in remote health monitoring, predictive healthcare, assistive diagnostic tools, and simulated environments for educational training and interdisciplinary collaboration between data scientists and medical personnel.

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a standard model for sequential decision-making problems and are widely used across many scientific areas, including formal methods and artificial intelligence (AI). MDPs do, however, come with the restrictive assumption that the transition probabilities need to be precisely known. Robust MDPs (RMDPs) overcome this assumption by instead defining the transition probabilities to belong to some uncertainty set. We present a gentle survey on RMDPs, providing a tutorial covering their fundamentals. In particular, we discuss RMDP semantics and how to solve them by extending standard MDP methods such as value iteration and policy iteration. We also discuss how RMDPs relate to other models and how they are used in several contexts, including reinforcement learning and abstraction techniques. We conclude with some challenges for future work on RMDPs. Keywords: Robust Markov decision processes Dynamic programming Formal verification Reinforcement learning.

This perspective article aims at providing an outline of the state of the art and future developments towards the integration of cutting-edge predictive language models with BCI. A synthetic overview of early and more recent linguistic models, from natural language processing (NLP) models to recent LLM, that to a varying extent improved predictive writing systems, is first provided. Second, a summary of previous BCI implementations integrating language models is presented. The few preliminary studies investigating the possible combination of LLM with BCI spellers to efficiently support fast communication and control are then described. Finally, current challenges and limitations towards the full integration of LLM with BCI systems are discussed. Recent investigations suggest that the combination of LLM with BCI might drastically improve human-computer interaction in patients with motor or language disorders as well as in healthy individuals. In particular, the pretrained autoregressive transformer models, such as GPT, that capitalize from parallelization, learning through pre-training and fine-tuning, promise a substantial improvement of BCI for communication with respect to previous systems incorporating simpler language models. Indeed, among various models, the GPT-2 was shown to represent an excellent candidate for its integration into BCI although testing was only perfomed on simulated conversations and not on real BCI scenarios. Prospectively, the full integration of LLM with advanced BCI systems might lead to a big leap forward towards fast, efficient and user-adaptive neurotechnology.

Diffusion models generate samples by incrementally reversing a process that turns data into noise. We show that when the step size goes to zero, the reversed process is invariant to the distribution of these increments. This reveals a previously unconsidered parameter in the design of diffusion models: the distribution of the diffusion step $\Delta x_k := x_{k} - x_{k + 1}$. This parameter is implicitly set by default to be normally distributed in most diffusion models. By lifting this assumption, we generalize the framework for designing diffusion models and establish an expanded class of diffusion processes with greater flexibility in the choice of loss function used during training. We demonstrate the effectiveness of these models on density estimation and generative modeling tasks on standard image datasets, and show that different choices of the distribution of $\Delta x_k$ result in qualitatively different generated samples.

Label distribution learning (LDL) provides a framework wherein a distribution over categories rather than a single category is predicted, with the aim of addressing ambiguity in labeled data. Existing research on LDL mainly focuses on the task of point estimation, i.e., pinpointing an optimal distribution in the probability simplex conditioned on the input sample. In this paper, we estimate a probability distribution of all possible label distributions over the simplex, by unleashing the expressive power of the recently introduced Squared Neural Family (SNEFY). With the modeled distribution, label distribution prediction can be achieved by performing the expectation operation to estimate the mean of the distribution of label distributions. Moreover, more information about the label distribution can be inferred, such as the prediction reliability and uncertainties. We conduct extensive experiments on the label distribution prediction task, showing that our distribution modeling based method can achieve very competitive label distribution prediction performance compared with the state-of-the-art baselines. Additional experiments on active learning and ensemble learning demonstrate that our probabilistic approach can effectively boost the performance in these settings, by accurately estimating the prediction reliability and uncertainties.

In today's world, stress is a big problem that affects people's health and happiness. More and more people are feeling stressed out, which can lead to lots of health issues like breathing problems, feeling overwhelmed, heart attack, diabetes, etc. This work endeavors to forecast stress and non-stress occurrences among college students by applying various machine learning algorithms: Decision Trees, Random Forest, Support Vector Machines, AdaBoost, Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, and K-nearest Neighbors. The primary objective of this work is to leverage a research study to predict and mitigate stress and non-stress based on the collected questionnaire dataset. We conducted a workshop with the primary goal of studying the stress levels found among the students. This workshop was attended by Approximately 843 students aged between 18 to 21 years old. A questionnaire was given to the students validated under the guidance of the experts from the All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) Raipur, Chhattisgarh, India, on which our dataset is based. The survey consists of 28 questions, aiming to comprehensively understand the multidimensional aspects of stress, including emotional well-being, physical health, academic performance, relationships, and leisure. This work finds that Support Vector Machines have a maximum accuracy for Stress, reaching 95\%. The study contributes to a deeper understanding of stress determinants. It aims to improve college student's overall quality of life and academic success, addressing the multifaceted nature of stress.

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have led to the development of artificial intelligence (AI)-powered tutoring chatbots, showing promise in providing broad access to high-quality personalized education. Existing works have studied how to make LLMs follow tutoring principles, but have not studied broader uses of LLMs for supporting tutoring. Up until now, tracing student knowledge and analyzing misconceptions has been difficult and time-consuming to implement for open-ended dialogue tutoring. In this work, we investigate whether LLMs can be supportive of this task: we first use LLM prompting methods to identify the knowledge components/skills involved in each dialogue turn, i.e., a tutor utterance posing a task or a student utterance that responds to it. We also evaluate whether the student responds correctly to the tutor and verify the LLM's accuracy using human expert annotations. We then apply a range of knowledge tracing (KT) methods on the resulting labeled data to track student knowledge levels over an entire dialogue. We conduct experiments on two tutoring dialogue datasets, and show that a novel yet simple LLM-based method, LLMKT, significantly outperforms existing KT methods in predicting student response correctness in dialogues. We perform extensive qualitative analyses to highlight the challenges in dialogueKT and outline multiple avenues for future work.

This paper addresses the trajectory planning problem for automated vehicle on-ramp highway merging. To tackle this challenge, we extend our previous work on trajectory planning at unsignalized intersections using Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs). The method utilizes the Adaptive Belief Tree (ABT) algorithm, an approximate sampling-based approach to solve POMDPs efficiently. We outline the POMDP formulation process, beginning with discretizing the highway topology to reduce problem complexity. Additionally, we describe the dynamics and measurement models used to predict future states and establish the relationship between available noisy measurements and predictions. Building on our previous work, the dynamics model is expanded to account for lateral movements necessary for lane changes during the merging process. We also define the reward function, which serves as the primary mechanism for specifying the desired behavior of the automated vehicle, combining multiple goals such as avoiding collisions or maintaining appropriate velocity. Our simulation results, conducted on three scenarios based on real-life traffic data from German highways, demonstrate the method's ability to generate safe, collision-free, and efficient merging trajectories. This work shows the versatility of this POMDP-based approach in tackling various automated driving problems.

We propose to quantify dependence between two systems $X$ and $Y$ in a dataset $D$ based on the Bayesian comparison of two models: one, $H_0$, of statistical independence and another one, $H_1$, of dependence. In this framework, dependence between $X$ and $Y$ in $D$, denoted $B(X,Y|D)$, is quantified as $P(H_1|D)$, the posterior probability for the model of dependence given $D$, or any strictly increasing function thereof. It is therefore a measure of the evidence for dependence between $X$ and $Y$ as modeled by $H_1$ and observed in $D$. We review several statistical models and reconsider standard results in the light of $B(X,Y|D)$ as a measure of dependence. Using simulations, we focus on two specific issues: the effect of noise and the behavior of $B(X,Y|D)$ when $H_1$ has a parameter coding for the intensity of dependence. We then derive some general properties of $B(X,Y|D)$, showing that it quantifies the information contained in $D$ in favor of $H_1$ versus $H_0$. While some of these properties are typical of what is expected from a valid measure of dependence, others are novel and naturally appear as desired features for specific measures of dependence, which we call inferential. We finally put these results in perspective; in particular, we discuss the consequences of using the Bayesian framework as well as the similarities and differences between $B(X,Y|D)$ and mutual information.