Learning Graphical Models
Plant Leaf Disease Detection and Classification Using Deep Learning: A Review and A Proposed System on Bangladesh's Perspective
Chowdhury, Md. Jalal Uddin, Mou, Zumana Islam, Afrin, Rezwana, Kibria, Shafkat
A very crucial part of Bangladeshi people's employment, GDP contribution, and mainly livelihood is agriculture. It plays a vital role in decreasing poverty and ensuring food security. Plant diseases are a serious stumbling block in agricultural production in Bangladesh. At times, humans can't detect the disease from an infected leaf with the naked eye. Using inorganic chemicals or pesticides in plants when it's too late leads in vain most of the time, deposing all the previous labor. The deep-learning technique of leaf-based image classification, which has shown impressive results, can make the work of recognizing and classifying all diseases trouble-less and more precise. In this paper, we've mainly proposed a better model for the detection of leaf diseases. Our proposed paper includes the collection of data on three different kinds of crops: bell peppers, tomatoes, and potatoes. For training and testing the proposed CNN model, the plant leaf disease dataset collected from Kaggle is used, which has 17,430 images. The images are labeled with 14 separate classes of damage. The developed CNN model performs efficiently and could successfully detect and classify the tested diseases. The proposed CNN model may have great potency in crop disease management.
CALM: Curiosity-Driven Auditing for Large Language Models
Zheng, Xiang, Wang, Longxiang, Liu, Yi, Ma, Xingjun, Shen, Chao, Wang, Cong
Auditing Large Language Models (LLMs) is a crucial and challenging task. In this study, we focus on auditing black-box LLMs without access to their parameters, only to the provided service. We treat this type of auditing as a black-box optimization problem where the goal is to automatically uncover input-output pairs of the target LLMs that exhibit illegal, immoral, or unsafe behaviors. For instance, we may seek a non-toxic input that the target LLM responds to with a toxic output or an input that induces the hallucinative response from the target LLM containing politically sensitive individuals. This black-box optimization is challenging due to the scarcity of feasible points, the discrete nature of the prompt space, and the large search space. To address these challenges, we propose Curiosity-Driven Auditing for Large Language Models (CALM), which uses intrinsically motivated reinforcement learning to finetune an LLM as the auditor agent to uncover potential harmful and biased input-output pairs of the target LLM. CALM successfully identifies derogatory completions involving celebrities and uncovers inputs that elicit specific names under the black-box setting. This work offers a promising direction for auditing black-box LLMs. Our code is available at https://github.com/x-zheng16/CALM.git.
Learn A Flexible Exploration Model for Parameterized Action Markov Decision Processes
Wang, Zijian, Wang, Bin, Shao, Mingwen, Dou, Hongbo, Tao, Boxiang
Hybrid action models are widely considered an effective approach to reinforcement learning (RL) modeling. The current mainstream method is to train agents under Parameterized Action Markov Decision Processes (PAMDPs), which performs well in specific environments. Unfortunately, these models either exhibit drastic low learning efficiency in complex PAMDPs or lose crucial information in the conversion between raw space and latent space. To enhance the learning efficiency and asymptotic performance of the agent, we propose a model-based RL (MBRL) algorithm, FLEXplore. FLEXplore learns a parameterized-action-conditioned dynamics model and employs a modified Model Predictive Path Integral control. Unlike conventional MBRL algorithms, we carefully design the dynamics loss function and reward smoothing process to learn a loose yet flexible model. Additionally, we use the variational lower bound to maximize the mutual information between the state and the hybrid action, enhancing the exploration effectiveness of the agent. We theoretically demonstrate that FLEXplore can reduce the regret of the rollout trajectory through the Wasserstein Metric under given Lipschitz conditions. Our empirical results on several standard benchmarks show that FLEXplore has outstanding learning efficiency and asymptotic performance compared to other baselines.
Information Design with Unknown Prior
Classical information design models (e.g., Bayesian persuasion and cheap talk) require players to have perfect knowledge of the prior distribution of the state of the world. Our paper studies repeated persuasion problems in which the information designer does not know the prior. The information designer learns to design signaling schemes from repeated interactions with the receiver. We design learning algorithms for the information designer to achieve no regret compared to using the optimal signaling scheme with known prior, under two models of the receiver's decision-making. (1) The first model assumes that the receiver knows the prior and can perform posterior update and best respond to signals. In this model, we design a learning algorithm for the information designer with $O(\log T)$ regret in the general case, and another algorithm with $\Theta(\log \log T)$ regret in the case where the receiver has only two actions. (2) The second model assumes that the receiver does not know the prior and employs a no-regret learning algorithm to take actions. We show that the information designer can achieve regret $O(\sqrt{\mathrm{rReg}(T) T})$, where $\mathrm{rReg}(T)=o(T)$ is an upper bound on the receiver's learning regret. Our work thus provides a learning foundation for the problem of information design with unknown prior.
Large Language Models for Market Research: A Data-augmentation Approach
Wang, Mengxin, Zhang, Dennis J., Zhang, Heng
Large Language Models (LLMs) have transformed artificial intelligence by excelling in complex natural language processing tasks. Their ability to generate human-like text has opened new possibilities for market research, particularly in conjoint analysis, where understanding consumer preferences is essential but often resource-intensive. Traditional survey-based methods face limitations in scalability and cost, making LLM-generated data a promising alternative. However, while LLMs have the potential to simulate real consumer behavior, recent studies highlight a significant gap between LLM-generated and human data, with biases introduced when substituting between the two. In this paper, we address this gap by proposing a novel statistical data augmentation approach that efficiently integrates LLM-generated data with real data in conjoint analysis. Our method leverages transfer learning principles to debias the LLM-generated data using a small amount of human data. This results in statistically robust estimators with consistent and asymptotically normal properties, in contrast to naive approaches that simply substitute human data with LLM-generated data, which can exacerbate bias. We validate our framework through an empirical study on COVID-19 vaccine preferences, demonstrating its superior ability to reduce estimation error and save data and costs by 24.9% to 79.8%. In contrast, naive approaches fail to save data due to the inherent biases in LLM-generated data compared to human data. Another empirical study on sports car choices validates the robustness of our results. Our findings suggest that while LLM-generated data is not a direct substitute for human responses, it can serve as a valuable complement when used within a robust statistical framework.
Re-examining Granger Causality from Causal Bayesian Networks Perspective
The emergence of machine learning (ML) has been phenomenal, with ML-based models outperforming human intelligence, as in the case of AlphaGo [1] and, more recently, large language models (LLMs). With these advances, ML became state-of-the-art for scientific discovery in various fields of study [2]. However, ML algorithms fail to answer the crucial question "what" brings about an effect and "what if" questions i.e., ML cannot identify causal relationships in data and counterfactual questions. Hence, the need for causality and causal inference a field that focuses on unravelling causal interactions in data. Characterising these interactions in complex dynamical systems is a fundamental question in science [3]. Causal structure learning (CSL)--a computational causal discovery field, taking advantage of statistics and machine learning (ML) to unravel causal relations in data--is particularly appealing because it enables us to answer counterfactual questions [4, 5, 6, 7]. We adopt Pearl's causality framework.
IRIS: A Bayesian Approach for Image Reconstruction in Radio Interferometry with expressive Score-Based priors
Dia, Noé, Yantovski-Barth, M. J., Adam, Alexandre, Bowles, Micah, Perreault-Levasseur, Laurence, Hezaveh, Yashar, Scaife, Anna
Inferring sky surface brightness distributions from noisy interferometric data in a principled statistical framework has been a key challenge in radio astronomy. In this work, we introduce Imaging for Radio Interferometry with Score-based models (IRIS). We use score-based models trained on optical images of galaxies as an expressive prior in combination with a Gaussian likelihood in the uv-space to infer images of protoplanetary disks from visibility data of the DSHARP survey conducted by ALMA. We demonstrate the advantages of this framework compared with traditional radio interferometry imaging algorithms, showing that it produces plausible posterior samples despite the use of a misspecified galaxy prior. Through coverage testing on simulations, we empirically evaluate the accuracy of this approach to generate calibrated posterior samples.
From Aleatoric to Epistemic: Exploring Uncertainty Quantification Techniques in Artificial Intelligence
Wang, Tianyang, Wang, Yunze, Zhou, Jun, Peng, Benji, Song, Xinyuan, Zhang, Charles, Sun, Xintian, Niu, Qian, Liu, Junyu, Chen, Silin, Chen, Keyu, Li, Ming, Feng, Pohsun, Bi, Ziqian, Liu, Ming, Zhang, Yichao, Fei, Cheng, Yin, Caitlyn Heqi, Yan, Lawrence KQ
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a critical aspect of artificial intelligence (AI) systems, particularly in high-risk domains such as healthcare, autonomous systems, and financial technology, where decision-making processes must account for uncertainty. This review explores the evolution of uncertainty quantification techniques in AI, distinguishing between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, and discusses the mathematical foundations and methods used to quantify these uncertainties. We provide an overview of advanced techniques, including probabilistic methods, ensemble learning, sampling-based approaches, and generative models, while also highlighting hybrid approaches that integrate domain-specific knowledge. Furthermore, we examine the diverse applications of UQ across various fields, emphasizing its impact on decision-making, predictive accuracy, and system robustness. The review also addresses key challenges such as scalability, efficiency, and integration with explainable AI, and outlines future directions for research in this rapidly developing area. Through this comprehensive survey, we aim to provide a deeper understanding of UQ's role in enhancing the reliability, safety, and trustworthiness of AI systems.
Holistic Semantic Representation for Navigational Trajectory Generation
Cao, Ji, Zheng, Tongya, Guo, Qinghong, Wang, Yu, Dai, Junshu, Liu, Shunyu, Yang, Jie, Song, Jie, Song, Mingli
Trajectory generation has garnered significant attention from researchers in the field of spatio-temporal analysis, as it can generate substantial synthesized human mobility trajectories that enhance user privacy and alleviate data scarcity. However, existing trajectory generation methods often focus on improving trajectory generation quality from a singular perspective, lacking a comprehensive semantic understanding across various scales. Consequently, we are inspired to develop a HOlistic SEmantic Representation (HOSER) framework for navigational trajectory generation. Given an origin-and-destination (OD) pair and the starting time point of a latent trajectory, we first propose a Road Network Encoder to expand the receptive field of road- and zone-level semantics. Second, we design a Multi-Granularity Trajectory Encoder to integrate the spatio-temporal semantics of the generated trajectory at both the point and trajectory levels. Finally, we employ a Destination-Oriented Navigator to seamlessly integrate destination-oriented guidance. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate that HOSER outperforms state-of-the-art baselines by a significant margin. Moreover, the model's performance in few-shot learning and zero-shot learning scenarios further verifies the effectiveness of our holistic semantic representation.
Markov Decision Processes for Satellite Maneuver Planning and Collision Avoidance
Kuhl, William, Wang, Jun, Eddy, Duncan, Kochenderfer, Mykel
This paper presents a decentralized, online planning approach for scalable maneuver planning for large constellations. While decentralized, rule-based strategies have facilitated efficient scaling, optimal decision-making algorithms for satellite maneuvers remain underexplored. As commercial satellite constellations grow, there are benefits of online maneuver planning, such as using real-time trajectory predictions to improve state knowledge, thereby reducing maneuver frequency and conserving fuel. We address this gap in the research by treating the satellite maneuver planning problem as a Markov decision process (MDP). This approach enables the generation of optimal maneuver policies online with low computational cost. This formulation is applied to the low Earth orbit collision avoidance problem, considering the problem of an active spacecraft deciding to maneuver to avoid a non-maneuverable object. We test the policies we generate in a simulated low Earth orbit environment, and compare the results to traditional rule-based collision avoidance techniques.