Energy-based models are a simple yet powerful class of probabilistic models, but their widespread adoption has been limited by the computational burden of training them. We propose a novel loss function called Energy Discrepancy (ED) which does not rely on the computation of scores or expensive Markov chain Monte Carlo. We show that ED approaches the explicit score matching and negative log-likelihood loss under different limits, effectively interpolating between both. Consequently, minimum ED estimation overcomes the problem of nearsightedness encountered in score-based estimation methods, while also enjoying theoretical guarantees. Through numerical experiments, we demonstrate that ED learns low-dimensional data distributions faster and more accurately than explicit score matching or contrastive divergence. For high-dimensional image data, we describe how the manifold hypothesis puts limitations on our approach and demonstrate the effectiveness of energy discrepancy by training the energy-based model as a prior of a variational decoder model.

Car following (CF) models are fundamental to describing traffic dynamics. However, the CF behavior of human drivers is highly stochastic and nonlinear. As a result, identifying the "best" CF model has been challenging and controversial despite decades of research. Introduction of automated vehicles has further complicated this matter as their CF controllers remain proprietary, though their behavior appears different than human drivers. This paper develops a stochastic learning approach to integrate multiple CF models, rather than relying on a single model. The framework is based on approximate Bayesian computation that probabilistically concatenates a pool of CF models based on their relative likelihood of describing observed behavior. The approach, while data-driven, retains physical tractability and interpretability. Evaluation results using two datasets show that the proposed approach can better reproduce vehicle trajectories for both human-driven and automated vehicles than any single CF model considered.

Electroanatomical mapping is a technique used in cardiology to create a detailed 3D map of the electrical activity in the heart. It is useful for diagnosis, treatment planning and real time guidance in cardiac ablation procedures to treat arrhythmias like atrial fibrillation. A probabilistic machine learning model trained on a library of CT/MRI scans of the heart can be used during electroanatomical mapping to generate a patient-specific 3D model of the chamber being mapped. The use of probabilistic machine learning models under a Bayesian framework provides a way to quantify uncertainty in results and provide a natural framework of interpretability of the model. Here we introduce a Bayesian approach to surface reconstruction of cardiac chamber models from a sparse 3D point cloud data acquired during electroanatomical mapping. We show how probabilistic graphical models trained on segmented CT/MRI data can be used to generate cardiac chamber models from few acquired locations thereby reducing procedure time and x-ray exposure. We show how they provide insight into what the neural network learns from the segmented CT/MRI images used to train the network, which provides explainability to the resulting cardiac chamber models generated by the model.

Early diagnosis of diseases holds the potential for deep transformation in healthcare by enabling better treatment options, improving long-term survival and quality of life, and reducing overall cost. With the advent of medical big data, advances in diagnostic tests as well as in machine learning and statistics, early or timely diagnosis seems within reach. Early diagnosis research often neglects the potential for optimizing individual diagnostic paths. To enable personalized early diagnosis, a foundational framework is needed that delineates the diagnosis process and systematically identifies the time-dependent value of various diagnostic tests for an individual patient given their unique characteristics. Here, we propose the first foundational framework for early and timely diagnosis. It builds on decision-theoretic approaches to outline the diagnosis process and integrates machine learning and statistical methodology for estimating the optimal personalized diagnostic path. To describe the proposed framework as well as possibly other frameworks, we provide essential definitions. The development of a foundational framework is necessary for several reasons: 1) formalism provides clarity for the development of decision support tools; 2) observed information can be complemented with estimates of the future patient trajectory; 3) the net benefit of counterfactual diagnostic paths and associated uncertainties can be modeled for individuals 4) 'early' and 'timely' diagnosis can be clearly defined; 5) a mechanism emerges for assessing the value of technologies in terms of their impact on personalized early diagnosis, resulting health outcomes and incurred costs. Finally, we hope that this foundational framework will unlock the long-awaited potential of timely diagnosis and intervention, leading to improved outcomes for patients and higher cost-effectiveness for healthcare systems.

Hand gestures play a significant role in human interactions where non-verbal intentions, thoughts and commands are conveyed. In Human-Robot Interaction (HRI), hand gestures offer a similar and efficient medium for conveying clear and rapid directives to a robotic agent. However, state-of-the-art vision-based methods for gesture recognition have been shown to be effective only up to a user-camera distance of seven meters. Such a short distance range limits practical HRI with, for example, service robots, search and rescue robots and drones. In this work, we address the Ultra-Range Gesture Recognition (URGR) problem by aiming for a recognition distance of up to 25 meters and in the context of HRI. We propose a novel deep-learning framework for URGR using solely a simple RGB camera. First, a novel super-resolution model termed HQ-Net is used to enhance the low-resolution image of the user. Then, we propose a novel URGR classifier termed Graph Vision Transformer (GViT) which takes the enhanced image as input. GViT combines the benefits of a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) and a modified Vision Transformer (ViT). Evaluation of the proposed framework over diverse test data yields a high recognition rate of 98.1%. The framework has also exhibited superior performance compared to human recognition in ultra-range distances. With the framework, we analyze and demonstrate the performance of an autonomous quadruped robot directed by human gestures in complex ultra-range indoor and outdoor environments.

In March 2020, the World Health Organisation declared COVID-19 a global pandemic as it spread to nearly every country. By mid-2021, India had introduced three vaccines: Covishield, Covaxin, and Sputnik. To ensure successful vaccination in a densely populated country like India, understanding public sentiment was crucial. Social media, particularly Reddit with over 430 million users, played a vital role in disseminating information. This study employs data mining techniques to analyze Reddit data and gauge Indian sentiments towards COVID-19 vaccines. Using Python's Text Blob library, comments are annotated to assess general sentiments. Results show that most Reddit users in India expressed neutrality about vaccination, posing a challenge for the Indian government's efforts to vaccinate a significant portion of the population.

Countries with access to large bodies of water often aim to protect their maritime transport by employing maritime surveillance systems. However, the number of available sensors (e.g., cameras) is typically small compared to the to-be-monitored targets, and their Field of View (FOV) and range are often limited. This makes improving the situational awareness of maritime transports challenging. To this end, we propose a method that not only distributes multiple sensors but also plans paths for them to observe multiple targets, while minimizing the time needed to achieve situational awareness. In particular, we provide a formulation of this sensor allocation and path planning problem which considers the partial awareness of the targets' state, as well as the unawareness of the targets' trajectories. To solve the problem we present two algorithms: 1) a greedy algorithm for assigning sensors to targets, and 2) a distributed multi-agent path planning algorithm based on regret-matching learning. Because a quick convergence is a requirement for algorithms developed for high mobility environments, we employ a forgetting factor to quickly converge to correlated equilibrium solutions. Experimental results show that our combined approach achieves situational awareness more quickly than related work.

Even after fine-tuning and reinforcement learning, large language models (LLMs) can be difficult, if not impossible, to control reliably with prompts alone. We propose a new inference-time approach to enforcing syntactic and semantic constraints on the outputs of LLMs, called sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) steering. The key idea is to specify language generation tasks as posterior inference problems in a class of discrete probabilistic sequence models, and replace standard decoding with sequential Monte Carlo inference. For a computational cost similar to that of beam search, SMC can steer LLMs to solve diverse tasks, including infilling, generation under syntactic constraints, and prompt intersection. To facilitate experimentation with SMC steering, we present a probabilistic programming library, LLaMPPL, for concisely specifying new generation tasks as language model probabilistic programs, and automating steering of LLaMA-family Transformers.

Computational models are powerful tools for understanding human cognition and behavior. They let us express our theories clearly and precisely, and offer predictions that can be subtle and often counter-intuitive. However, this same richness and ability to surprise means our scientific intuitions and traditional tools are ill-suited to designing experiments to test and compare these models. To avoid these pitfalls and realize the full potential of computational modeling, we require tools to design experiments that provide clear answers about what models explain human behavior and the auxiliary assumptions those models must make. Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) formalizes the search for optimal experimental designs by identifying experiments that are expected to yield informative data. In this work, we provide a tutorial on leveraging recent advances in BOED and machine learning to find optimal experiments for any kind of model that we can simulate data from, and show how by-products of this procedure allow for quick and straightforward evaluation of models and their parameters against real experimental data. As a case study, we consider theories of how people balance exploration and exploitation in multi-armed bandit decision-making tasks. We validate the presented approach using simulations and a real-world experiment. As compared to experimental designs commonly used in the literature, we show that our optimal designs more efficiently determine which of a set of models best account for individual human behavior, and more efficiently characterize behavior given a preferred model. At the same time, formalizing a scientific question such that it can be adequately addressed with BOED can be challenging and we discuss several potential caveats and pitfalls that practitioners should be aware of. We provide code and tutorial notebooks to replicate all analyses.

Navigating dynamic physical environments without obstructing or damaging human assets is of quintessential importance for social robots. In this work, we solve autonomous drone navigation's sub-problem of predicting out-of-domain human and agent trajectories using a deep generative model. Our method: General-PECNet or G-PECNet observes an improvement of 9.5\% on the Final Displacement Error (FDE) on 2020's benchmark: PECNet through a combination of architectural improvements inspired by periodic activation functions and synthetic trajectory (data) augmentations using Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and Reinforcement Learning (RL). Additionally, we propose a simple geometry-inspired metric for trajectory non-linearity and outlier detection, helpful for the task. Code available at $\href{https://github.com/Aryan-Garg/PECNet-Pedestrian-Trajectory-Prediction.git}{GitHub}$