Markov Models
A Song of Ice and Fire: Analyzing Textual Autotelic Agents in ScienceWorld
Teodorescu, Laetitia, Yuan, Xingdi, Cรดtรฉ, Marc-Alexandre, Oudeyer, Pierre-Yves
Building open-ended agents that can autonomously discover a diversity of behaviours is one of the long-standing goals of artificial intelligence. This challenge can be studied in the framework of autotelic RL agents, i.e. agents that learn by selecting and pursuing their own goals, self-organizing a learning curriculum. Recent work identified language as a key dimension of autotelic learning, in particular because it enables abstract goal sampling and guidance from social peers for hindsight relabelling. Within this perspective, we study the following open scientific questions: What is the impact of hindsight feedback from a social peer (e.g. selective vs. exhaustive)? How can the agent learn from very rare language goal examples in its experience replay? How can multiple forms of exploration be combined, and take advantage of easier goals as stepping stones to reach harder ones? To address these questions, we use ScienceWorld, a textual environment with rich abstract and combinatorial physics. We show the importance of selectivity from the social peer's feedback; that experience replay needs to over-sample examples of rare goals; and that following self-generated goal sequences where the agent's competence is intermediate leads to significant improvements in final performance.
Retrieved Sequence Augmentation for Protein Representation Learning
Ma, Chang, Zhao, Haiteng, Zheng, Lin, Xin, Jiayi, Li, Qintong, Wu, Lijun, Deng, Zhihong, Lu, Yang, Liu, Qi, Kong, Lingpeng
Protein language models have excelled in a variety of tasks, ranging from structure prediction to protein engineering. However, proteins are highly diverse in functions and structures, and current state-of-the-art models including the latest version of AlphaFold rely on Multiple Sequence Alignments (MSA) to feed in the evolutionary knowledge. Despite their success, heavy computational overheads, as well as the de novo and orphan proteins remain great challenges in protein representation learning. In this work, we show that MSAaugmented models inherently belong to retrievalaugmented methods. Motivated by this finding, we introduce Retrieved Sequence Augmentation(RSA) for protein representation learning without additional alignment or pre-processing. RSA links query protein sequences to a set of sequences with similar structures or properties in the database and combines these sequences for downstream prediction. We show that protein language models benefit from the retrieval enhancement on both structure prediction and property prediction tasks, with a 5% improvement on MSA Transformer on average while being 373 times faster. In addition, we show that our model can transfer to new protein domains better and outperforms MSA Transformer on de novo protein prediction. Our study fills a much-encountered gap in protein prediction and brings us a step closer to demystifying the domain knowledge needed to understand protein sequences. Code is available on https://github.com/HKUNLP/RSA.
Introduction to the Special Track on Artificial Intelligence and COVID-19
Michalowski, Martin (University of Minnesota) | Moskovitch, Robert | Chawla, Nitesh V.
The human race is facing one of the most meaningful public health emergencies in the modern era caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This pandemic introduced various challenges, from lock-downs with significant economic costs to fundamentally altering the way of life for many people around the world. The battle to understand and control the virus is still at its early stages yet meaningful insights have already been made. The uncertainty of why some patients are infected and experience severe symptoms, while others are infected but asymptomatic, and others are not infected at all, makes managing this pandemic very challenging. Furthermore, the development of treatments and vaccines relies on knowledge generated from an ever evolving and expanding information space. Given the availability of digital data in the modern era, artificial intelligence (AI) is a meaningful tool for addressing the various challenges introduced by this unexpected pandemic. Some of the challenges include: outbreak prediction, risk modeling including infection and symptom development, testing strategy optimization, drug development, treatment repurposing, vaccine development, and others.
Concept Learning for Interpretable Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning
Zabounidis, Renos, Campbell, Joseph, Stepputtis, Simon, Hughes, Dana, Sycara, Katia
Multi-agent robotic systems are increasingly operating in real-world environments in close proximity to humans, yet are largely controlled by policy models with inscrutable deep neural network representations. We introduce a method for incorporating interpretable concepts from a domain expert into models trained through multi-agent reinforcement learning, by requiring the model to first predict such concepts then utilize them for decision making. This allows an expert to both reason about the resulting concept policy models in terms of these high-level concepts at run-time, as well as intervene and correct mispredictions to improve performance. We show that this yields improved interpretability and training stability, with benefits to policy performance and sample efficiency in a simulated and real-world cooperative-competitive multi-agent game.
A Deep Neural Network Based Approach to Building Budget-Constrained Models for Big Data Analysis
Ming, Rui, Xu, Haiping, Gibbs, Shannon E., Yan, Donghui, Shao, Ming
Deep learning approaches require collection of data on many different input features or variables for accurate model training and prediction. Since data collection on input features could be costly, it is crucial to reduce the cost by selecting a subset of features and developing a budget-constrained model (BCM). In this paper, we introduce an approach to eliminating less important features for big data analysis using Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). Once a DNN model has been developed, we identify the weak links and weak neurons, and remove some input features to bring the model cost within a given budget. The experimental results show our approach is feasible and supports user selection of a suitable BCM within a given budget.
Asymptotically Unbiased Off-Policy Policy Evaluation when Reusing Old Data in Nonstationary Environments
Liu, Vincent, Chandak, Yash, Thomas, Philip, White, Martha
In this work, we consider the off-policy policy evaluation problem for contextual bandits and finite horizon reinforcement learning in the nonstationary setting. Reusing old data is critical for policy evaluation, but existing estimators that reuse old data introduce large bias such that we can not obtain a valid confidence interval. Inspired from a related field called survey sampling, we introduce a variant of the doubly robust (DR) estimator, called the regression-assisted DR estimator, that can incorporate the past data without introducing a large bias. The estimator unifies several existing off-policy policy evaluation methods and improves on them with the use of auxiliary information and a regression approach. We prove that the new estimator is asymptotically unbiased, and provide a consistent variance estimator to a construct a large sample confidence interval. Finally, we empirically show that the new estimator improves estimation for the current and future policy values, and provides a tight and valid interval estimation in several nonstationary recommendation environments.
Discrete Langevin Sampler via Wasserstein Gradient Flow
Sun, Haoran, Dai, Hanjun, Dai, Bo, Zhou, Haomin, Schuurmans, Dale
It is known that gradient-based MCMC samplers for continuous spaces, such as Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC), can be derived as particle versions of a gradient flow that minimizes KL divergence on a Wasserstein manifold. The superior efficiency of such samplers has motivated several recent attempts to generalize LMC to discrete spaces. However, a fully principled extension of Langevin dynamics to discrete spaces has yet to be achieved, due to the lack of well-defined gradients in the sample space. In this work, we show how the Wasserstein gradient flow can be generalized naturally to discrete spaces. Given the proposed formulation, we demonstrate how a discrete analogue of Langevin dynamics can subsequently be developed. With this new understanding, we reveal how recent gradient-based samplers in discrete spaces can be obtained as special cases by choosing particular discretizations. More importantly, the framework also allows for the derivation of novel algorithms, one of which, \textit{Discrete Langevin Monte Carlo} (DLMC), is obtained by a factorized estimate of the transition matrix. The DLMC method admits a convenient parallel implementation and time-uniform sampling that achieves larger jump distances. We demonstrate the advantages of DLMC on various binary and categorical distributions.
Intermittently Observable Markov Decision Processes
Chen, Gongpu, Liew, Soung-Chang
This paper investigates MDPs with intermittent state information. We consider a scenario where the controller perceives the state information of the process via an unreliable communication channel. The transmissions of state information over the whole time horizon are modeled as a Bernoulli lossy process. Hence, the problem is finding an optimal policy for selecting actions in the presence of state information losses. We first formulate the problem as a belief MDP to establish structural results. The effect of state information losses on the expected total discounted reward is studied systematically. Then, we reformulate the problem as a tree MDP whose state space is organized in a tree structure. Two finite-state approximations to the tree MDP are developed to find near-optimal policies efficiently. Finally, we put forth a nested value iteration algorithm for the finite-state approximations, which is proved to be faster than standard value iteration. Numerical results demonstrate the effectiveness of our methods.
Whittle Index based Q-Learning for Wireless Edge Caching with Linear Function Approximation
Xiong, Guojun, Wang, Shufan, Li, Jian, Singh, Rahul
We consider the problem of content caching at the wireless edge to serve a set of end users via unreliable wireless channels so as to minimize the average latency experienced by end users due to the constrained wireless edge cache capacity. We formulate this problem as a Markov decision process, or more specifically a restless multi-armed bandit problem, which is provably hard to solve. We begin by investigating a discounted counterpart, and prove that it admits an optimal policy of the threshold-type. We then show that this result also holds for average latency problem. Using this structural result, we establish the indexability of our problem, and employ the Whittle index policy to minimize average latency. Since system parameters such as content request rates and wireless channel conditions are often unknown and time-varying, we further develop a model-free reinforcement learning algorithm dubbed as Q^{+}-Whittle that relies on Whittle index policy. However, Q^{+}-Whittle requires to store the Q-function values for all state-action pairs, the number of which can be extremely large for wireless edge caching. To this end, we approximate the Q-function by a parameterized function class with a much smaller dimension, and further design a Q^{+}-Whittle algorithm with linear function approximation, which is called Q^{+}-Whittle-LFA. We provide a finite-time bound on the mean-square error of Q^{+}-Whittle-LFA. Simulation results using real traces demonstrate that Q^{+}-Whittle-LFA yields excellent empirical performance.
Risk Aware Adaptive Belief-dependent Probabilistically Constrained Continuous POMDP Planning
Zhitnikov, Andrey, Indelman, Vadim
Although risk awareness is fundamental to an online operating agent, it has received less attention in the challenging continuous domain and under partial observability. This paper presents a novel formulation and solution for risk-averse belief-dependent probabilistically constrained continuous POMDP. We tackle a demanding setting of belief-dependent reward and constraint operators. The probabilistic confidence parameter makes our formulation genuinely risk-averse and much more flexible than the state-of-the-art chance constraint. Our rigorous analysis shows that in the stiffest probabilistic confidence case, our formulation is very close to chance constraint. However, our probabilistic formulation allows much faster and more accurate adaptive acceptance or pruning of actions fulfilling or violating the constraint. In addition, with an arbitrary confidence parameter, we did not find any analogs to our approach. We present algorithms for the solution of our formulation in continuous domains. We also uplift the chance-constrained approach to continuous environments using importance sampling. Moreover, all our presented algorithms can be used with parametric and nonparametric beliefs represented by particles. Last but not least, we contribute, rigorously analyze and simulate an approximation of chance-constrained continuous POMDP. The simulations demonstrate that our algorithms exhibit unprecedented celerity compared to the baseline, with the same performance in terms of collisions.