Markov Models
Deflated Dynamics Value Iteration
Lee, Jongmin, Rakhsha, Amin, Ryu, Ernest K., Farahmand, Amir-massoud
The Value Iteration (VI) algorithm is an iterative procedure to compute the value function of a Markov decision process, and is the basis of many reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms as well. As the error convergence rate of VI as a function of iteration $k$ is $O(\gamma^k)$, it is slow when the discount factor $\gamma$ is close to $1$. To accelerate the computation of the value function, we propose Deflated Dynamics Value Iteration (DDVI). DDVI uses matrix splitting and matrix deflation techniques to effectively remove (deflate) the top $s$ dominant eigen-structure of the transition matrix $\mathcal{P}^{\pi}$. We prove that this leads to a $\tilde{O}(\gamma^k |\lambda_{s+1}|^k)$ convergence rate, where $\lambda_{s+1}$is $(s+1)$-th largest eigenvalue of the dynamics matrix. We then extend DDVI to the RL setting and present Deflated Dynamics Temporal Difference (DDTD) algorithm. We empirically show the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms.
Walking the Values in Bayesian Inverse Reinforcement Learning
Bajgar, Ondrej, Abate, Alessandro, Gatsis, Konstantinos, Osborne, Michael A.
The goal of Bayesian inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) is recovering a posterior distribution over reward functions using a set of demonstrations from an expert optimizing for a reward unknown to the learner. The resulting posterior over rewards can then be used to synthesize an apprentice policy that performs well on the same or a similar task. A key challenge in Bayesian IRL is bridging the computational gap between the hypothesis space of possible rewards and the likelihood, often defined in terms of Q values: vanilla Bayesian IRL needs to solve the costly forward planning problem - going from rewards to the Q values - at every step of the algorithm, which may need to be done thousands of times. We propose to solve this by a simple change: instead of focusing on primarily sampling in the space of rewards, we can focus on primarily working in the space of Q-values, since the computation required to go from Q-values to reward is radically cheaper. Furthermore, this reversion of the computation makes it easy to compute the gradient allowing efficient sampling using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo. We propose ValueWalk - a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method based on this insight - and illustrate its advantages on several tasks.
Intelligent Cross-Organizational Process Mining: A Survey and New Perspectives
Yang, Yiyuan, Wu, Zheshun, Chu, Yong, Chen, Zhenghua, Xu, Zenglin, Wen, Qingsong
Process mining, as a high-level field in data mining, plays a crucial role in enhancing operational efficiency and decision-making across organizations. In this survey paper, we delve into the growing significance and ongoing trends in the field of process mining, advocating a specific viewpoint on its contents, application, and development in modern businesses and process management, particularly in cross-organizational settings. We first summarize the framework of process mining, common industrial applications, and the latest advances combined with artificial intelligence, such as workflow optimization, compliance checking, and performance analysis. Then, we propose a holistic framework for intelligent process analysis and outline initial methodologies in cross-organizational settings, highlighting both challenges and opportunities. This particular perspective aims to revolutionize process mining by leveraging artificial intelligence to offer sophisticated solutions for complex, multi-organizational data analysis. By integrating advanced machine learning techniques, we can enhance predictive capabilities, streamline processes, and facilitate real-time decision-making. Furthermore, we pinpoint avenues for future investigations within the research community, encouraging the exploration of innovative algorithms, data integration strategies, and privacy-preserving methods to fully harness the potential of process mining in diverse, interconnected business environments.
Collision Avoidance for Multiple UAVs in Unknown Scenarios with Causal Representation Disentanglement
Zhuang, Jiafan, Xia, Zihao, Han, Gaofei, Wang, Boxi, Li, Wenji, Wang, Dongliang, Hao, Zhifeng, Cai, Ruichu, Fan, Zhun
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved remarkable progress in online path planning tasks for multi-UAV systems. However, existing DRL-based methods often suffer from performance degradation when tackling unseen scenarios, since the non-causal factors in visual representations adversely affect policy learning. To address this issue, we propose a novel representation learning approach, \ie, causal representation disentanglement, which can identify the causal and non-causal factors in representations. After that, we only pass causal factors for subsequent policy learning and thus explicitly eliminate the influence of non-causal factors, which effectively improves the generalization ability of DRL models. Experimental results show that our proposed method can achieve robust navigation performance and effective collision avoidance especially in unseen scenarios, which significantly outperforms existing SOTA algorithms.
Explicit Modelling of Theory of Mind for Belief Prediction in Nonverbal Social Interactions
Bortoletto, Matteo, Ruhdorfer, Constantin, Shi, Lei, Bulling, Andreas
We propose MToMnet - a Theory of Mind (ToM) neural network for predicting beliefs and their dynamics during human social interactions from multimodal input. ToM is key for effective nonverbal human communication and collaboration, yet, existing methods for belief modelling have not included explicit ToM modelling or have typically been limited to one or two modalities. MToMnet encodes contextual cues (scene videos and object locations) and integrates them with person-specific cues (human gaze and body language) in a separate MindNet for each person. Inspired by prior research on social cognition and computational ToM, we propose three different MToMnet variants: two involving fusion of latent representations and one involving re-ranking of classification scores. We evaluate our approach on two challenging real-world datasets, one focusing on belief prediction, while the other examining belief dynamics prediction. Our results demonstrate that MToMnet surpasses existing methods by a large margin while at the same time requiring a significantly smaller number of parameters. Taken together, our method opens up a highly promising direction for future work on artificial intelligent systems that can robustly predict human beliefs from their non-verbal behaviour and, as such, more effectively collaborate with humans.
Robust Policy Learning for Multi-UAV Collision Avoidance with Causal Feature Selection
Zhuang, Jiafan, Han, Gaofei, Xia, Zihao, Wang, Boxi, Li, Wenji, Wang, Dongliang, Hao, Zhifeng, Cai, Ruichu, Fan, Zhun
In unseen and complex outdoor environments, collision avoidance navigation for unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) swarms presents a challenging problem. It requires UAVs to navigate through various obstacles and complex backgrounds. Existing collision avoidance navigation methods based on deep reinforcement learning show promising performance but suffer from poor generalization abilities, resulting in performance degradation in unseen environments. To address this issue, we investigate the cause of weak generalization ability in DRL and propose a novel causal feature selection module. This module can be integrated into the policy network and effectively filters out non-causal factors in representations, thereby reducing the influence of spurious correlations between non-causal factors and action predictions. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed method can achieve robust navigation performance and effective collision avoidance especially in scenarios with unseen backgrounds and obstacles, which significantly outperforms existing state-of-the-art algorithms.
Affordance-Guided Reinforcement Learning via Visual Prompting
Lee, Olivia Y., Xie, Annie, Fang, Kuan, Pertsch, Karl, Finn, Chelsea
Robots equipped with reinforcement learning (RL) have the potential to learn a wide range of skills solely from a reward signal. However, obtaining a robust and dense reward signal for general manipulation tasks remains a challenge. Existing learning-based approaches require significant data, such as demonstrations or examples of success and failure, to learn task-specific reward functions. Recently, there is also a growing adoption of large multi-modal foundation models for robotics. These models can perform visual reasoning in physical contexts and generate coarse robot motions for various manipulation tasks. Motivated by this range of capability, in this work, we propose and study rewards shaped by vision-language models (VLMs). State-of-the-art VLMs have demonstrated an impressive ability to reason about affordances through keypoints in zero-shot, and we leverage this to define dense rewards for robotic learning. On a real-world manipulation task specified by natural language description, we find that these rewards improve the sample efficiency of autonomous RL and enable successful completion of the task in 20K online finetuning steps. Additionally, we demonstrate the robustness of the approach to reductions in the number of in-domain demonstrations used for pretraining, reaching comparable performance in 35K online finetuning steps.
Learning to Represent Surroundings, Anticipate Motion and Take Informed Actions in Unstructured Environments
Contemporary robots have become exceptionally skilled at achieving specific tasks in structured environments. However, they often fail when faced with the limitless permutations of real-world unstructured environments. This motivates robotics methods which learn from experience, rather than follow a pre-defined set of rules. In this thesis, we present a range of learning-based methods aimed at enabling robots, operating in dynamic and unstructured environments, to better understand their surroundings, anticipate the actions of others, and take informed actions accordingly. In the first part of the thesis, we investigate methods which leverage learning to represent the structure and motion in a robot's operating environment, in a continuous manner.
Weighted Aggregation of Conformity Scores for Classification
Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for constructing prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees in multi-class classification. However, existing methods often rely on a single score function, which can limit their efficiency and informativeness. We propose a novel approach that combines multiple score functions to improve the performance of conformal predictors by identifying optimal weights that minimize prediction set size. Our theoretical analysis establishes a connection between the weighted score functions and subgraph classes of functions studied in Vapnik-Chervonenkis theory, providing a rigorous mathematical basis for understanding the effectiveness of the proposed method. Experiments demonstrate that our approach consistently outperforms single-score conformal predictors while maintaining valid coverage, offering a principled and data-driven way to enhance the efficiency and practicality of conformal prediction in classification tasks.
Generating In-store Customer Journeys from Scratch with GPT Architectures
Horikomi, Taizo, Mizuno, Takayuki
We propose a method that can generate customer trajectories and purchasing behaviors in retail stores simultaneously using Transformer-based deep learning structure. Utilizing customer trajectory data, layout diagrams, and retail scanner data obtained from a retail store, we trained a GPT-2 architecture from scratch to generate indoor trajectories and purchase actions. Additionally, we explored the effectiveness of fine-tuning the pre-trained model with data from another store. Results demonstrate that our method reproduces in-store trajectories and purchase behaviors more accurately than LSTM and SVM models, with fine-tuning significantly reducing the required training data.