Density estimation is a fundamental technique employed in various fields to model and to understand the underlying distribution of data. The primary objective of density estimation is to estimate the probability density function of a random variable. This process is particularly valuable when dealing with univariate or multivariate data and is essential for tasks such as clustering, anomaly detection, and generative modeling. In this paper we propose the mono-variate approximation of the density using spline quasi interpolation and we applied it in the context of clustering modeling. The clustering technique used is based on the construction of suitable multivariate distributions which rely on the estimation of the monovariate empirical densities (marginals). Such an approximation is achieved by using the proposed spline quasi-interpolation, while the joint distributions to model the sought clustering partition is constructed with the use of copulas functions. In particular, since copulas can capture the dependence between the features of the data independently from the marginal distributions, a finite mixture copula model is proposed. The presented algorithm is validated on artificial and real datasets.

In the age of the Internet, people's lives are increasingly dependent on today's network technology. Maintaining network integrity and protecting the legitimate interests of users is at the heart of network construction. Threat detection is an important part of a complete and effective defense system. How to effectively detect unknown threats is one of the concerns of network protection. Currently, network threat detection is usually based on rules and traditional machine learning methods, which create artificial rules or extract common spatiotemporal features, which cannot be applied to large-scale data applications, and the emergence of unknown risks causes the detection accuracy of the original model to decline. With this in mind, this paper uses deep learning for advanced threat detection to improve protective measures in the financial industry. Many network researchers have shifted their focus to exception-based intrusion detection techniques. The detection technology mainly uses statistical machine learning methods - collecting normal program and network behavior data, extracting multidimensional features, and training decision machine learning models on this basis (commonly used include naive Bayes, decision trees, support vector machines, random forests, etc.).

Images are ambiguous at each of many levels of a contextual hi(cid:173) erarchy. Nevertheless, the high-level interpretation of most scenes is unambiguous, as evidenced by the superior performance of hu(cid:173) mans. This observation argues for global vision models, such as de(cid:173) formable templates. Unfortunately, such models are computation(cid:173) ally intractable for unconstrained problems. We propose a composi(cid:173) tional model in which primitives are recursively composed, subject to syntactic restrictions, to form tree-structured objects and object groupings.

In previous work [6, 9, 10], we advanced a new technique for direct visual matching of images for the purposes of face recognition and image retrieval, using a probabilistic measure of similarity based primarily on a Bayesian (MAP) analysis of image differ(cid:173) ences, leading to a "dual" basis similar to eigenfaces [13]. The performance advantage of this probabilistic matching technique over standard Euclidean nearest-neighbor eigenface matching was recently demonstrated using results from DARPA's 1996 "FERET" face recognition competition, in which this probabilistic matching algorithm was found to be the top performer. We have further developed a simple method of replacing the costly com put ion of nonlinear (online) Bayesian similarity measures by the relatively inexpensive computation of linear (offline) subspace projections and simple (online) Euclidean norms, thus resulting in a significant computational speed-up for implementation with very large image databases as typically encountered in real-world applications.

We describe Maximum-Likelihood Continuity Mapping (MALCOM), an alternative to hidden Markov models (HMMs) for processing sequence data such as speech. While HMMs have a discrete "hidden" space con(cid:173) strained by a fixed finite-automaton architecture, MALCOM has a con(cid:173) tinuous hidden space-a continuity map-that is constrained only by a smoothness requirement on paths through the space. MALCOM fits into the same probabilistic framework for speech recognition as HMMs, but it represents a more realistic model of the speech production process. To evaluate the extent to which MALCOM captures speech production information, we generated continuous speech continuity maps for three speakers and used the paths through them to predict measured speech articulator data. The median correlation between the MALCOM paths obtained from only the speech acoustics and articulator measurements was 0.77 on an independent test set not used to train MALCOM or the predictor.

This survey paper presents a comprehensive analysis of crime prediction methodologies, exploring the various techniques and technologies utilized in this area. The paper covers the statistical methods, machine learning algorithms, and deep learning techniques employed to analyze crime data, while also examining their effectiveness and limitations. We propose a methodological taxonomy that classifies crime prediction algorithms into specific techniques. This taxonomy is structured into four tiers, including methodology category, methodology sub-category, methodology techniques, and methodology sub-techniques. Empirical and experimental evaluations are provided to rank the different techniques. The empirical evaluation assesses the crime prediction techniques based on four criteria, while the experimental evaluation ranks the algorithms that employ the same sub-technique, the different sub-techniques that employ the same technique, the different techniques that employ the same methodology sub-category, the different methodology sub-categories within the same category, and the different methodology categories. The combination of methodological taxonomy, empirical evaluations, and experimental comparisons allows for a nuanced and comprehensive understanding of crime prediction algorithms, aiding researchers in making informed decisions. Finally, the paper provides a glimpse into the future of crime prediction techniques, highlighting potential advancements and opportunities for further research in this field

The standard approach to Computational Learning Theory is usually formulated within the so-called frequentist approach to Statistics. Within this paradigm one is interested in constructing an estimator, based on a flnite sample, which possesses a small loss (generalization error). While many algorithms have been constructed and analyzed within this context, it is not clear how these approaches relate to standard optimality criteria within the frequentist framework. Two classic optimality criteria within the latter approach are the minimax and admissibility criteria, which charac- terize optimality of estimators in a rigorous and precise fashion [9]. Except in some special cases [12], it is not known whether any of the approaches used within the Learning community lead to optimality in either of the above senses of the word. On the other hand, it is known that under certain regularity conditions, Bayesian estimators lead to either minimax or admissible estimators, and thus to well-deflned optimality in the classical (frequentist) sense. In fact, it can be shown that Bayes estimators are essentially the only estimators which can achieve optimality in the above senses [9]. This optimality feature provides strong motivation for the study of Bayesian approaches in a frequentist setting.

Machine learning has reached a point where many probabilistic meth- ods can be understood as variations, extensions and combinations of a much smaller set of abstract themes, e.g., as different instances of the EM algorithm. This enables the systematic derivation of algorithms cus- tomized for different models. Here, we describe the AUTO BAYES sys- tem which takes a high-level statistical model specification, uses power- ful symbolic techniques based on schema-based program synthesis and computer algebra to derive an efficient specialized algorithm for learning that model, and generates executable code implementing that algorithm. This capability is far beyond that of code collections such as Matlab tool- boxes or even tools for model-independent optimization such as BUGS for Gibbs sampling: complex new algorithms can be generated with- out new programming, algorithms can be highly specialized and tightly crafted for the exact structure of the model and data, and efficient and commented code can be generated for different languages or systems. We describe a symbolic program synthesis system which works as a "statistical algorithm compiler:" it compiles a statistical model specification into a custom algorithm design and from that further down into a working program implementing the algorithm design.

We present a computational Bayesian approach for Wiener diffusion models, which are prominent accounts of response time distributions in decision-making. We first develop a general closed-form analytic approximation to the response time distributions for one-dimensional diffusion processes, and derive the required Wiener diffusion as a special case. We use this result to undertake Bayesian modeling of benchmark data, using posterior sampling to draw inferences about the interesting psychological parameters. With the aid of the benchmark data, we show the Bayesian account has several advantages, including dealing naturally with the parameter variation needed to account for some key features of the data, and providing quantitative measures to guide decisions about model construction.

Directed graphical models such as Bayesian networks are a favored formalism to model the dependency structures in complex multivariate systems such as those encountered in biology and neural sciences. When the system is undergoing dynamic transformation, often a temporally rewiring network is needed for capturing the dynamic causal influences between covariates. In this paper, we propose a time-varying dynamic Bayesian network (TV-DBN) for modeling the structurally varying directed dependency structures underlying non-stationary biological/neural time series. This is a challenging problem due the non-stationarity and sample scarcity of the time series. We present a kernel reweighted \ell_1 regularized auto-regressive procedure for learning the TV-DBN model.