Department of Cognitive Science Department of Cognitive Science University of California, San Diego University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA 92092-0515 La Jolla, CA 92092-0515 Abstract We discuss the problem of catastrophic fusion in multimodal recognition systems. This problem arises in systems that need to fuse different channels in non-stationary environments. Practice shows that when recognition modules within each modality are tested in contexts inconsistent with their assumptions, their influence on the fused product tends to increase, with catastrophic results. We explore a principled solution to this problem based upon Bayesian ideas of competitive models and inference robustification: each sensory channel is provided with simple white-noise context models, and the perceptual hypothesis and context are jointly estimated. Consequently, context deviations are interpreted as changes in white noise contamination strength, automatically adjusting the influence of the module.

We address the problem oflearning structure in nonlinear Markov networks with continuous variables. This can be viewed as non-Gaussian multidimensional density estimation exploiting certain conditional independencies in the variables. Markov networks are a graphical way of describing conditional independencies well suited to model relationships which do not exhibit a natural causal ordering. We use neural network structures to model the quantitative relationships between variables. The main focus in this paper will be on learning the structure for the purpose of gaining insight into the underlying process. Using two data sets we show that interesting structures can be found using our approach. Inference will be briefly addressed.

Bayesian methods have been successfully applied to regression and classification problems in multi-layer perceptrons. We present a novel application of Bayesian techniques to Radial Basis Function networks by developing a Gaussian approximation to the posterior distribution which, for fixed basis function widths, is analytic in the parameters. The setting of regularization constants by crossvalidation is wasteful as only a single optimal parameter estimate is retained. We treat this issue by assigning prior distributions to these constants, which are then adapted in light of the data under a simple re-estimation formula. 1 Introduction Radial Basis Function networks are popular regression and classification tools[lO]. For fixed basis function centers, RBFs are linear in their parameters and can therefore be trained with simple one shot linear algebra techniques[lO]. The use of unsupervised techniques to fix the basis function centers is, however, not generally optimal since setting the basis function centers using density estimation on the input data alone takes no account of the target values associated with that data. Ideally, therefore, we should include the target values in the training procedure[7, 3, 9]. Unfortunately, allowing centers to adapt to the training targets leads to the RBF being a nonlinear function of its parameters, and training becomes more problematic. Most methods that perform supervised training of RBF parameters minimize the ·Present address: SNN, University of Nijmegen, Geert Grooteplein 21, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

Exact inference in densely connected Bayesian networks is computationally intractable, and so there is considerable interest in developing effective approximation schemes. One approach which has been adopted is to bound the log likelihood using a mean-field approximating distribution. While this leads to a tractable algorithm, the mean field distribution is assumed to be factorial and hence unimodal. In this paper we demonstrate the feasibility of using a richer class of approximating distributions based on mixtures of mean field distributions. We derive an efficient algorithm for updating the mixture parameters and apply it to the problem of learning in sigmoid belief networks. Our results demonstrate a systematic improvement over simple mean field theory as the number of mixture components is increased.

Prioritized sweeping is a model-based reinforcement learning method that attempts to focus an agent's limited computational resources to achieve a good estimate of the value of environment states. To choose effectively where to spend a costly planning step, classic prioritized sweeping uses a simple heuristic to focus computation on the states that are likely to have the largest errors. In this paper, we introduce generalized prioritized sweeping, a principled method for generating such estimates in a representation-specific manner. This allows us to extend prioritized sweeping beyond an explicit, state-based representation to deal with compact representations that are necessary for dealing with large state spaces. We apply this method for generalized model approximators (such as Bayesian networks), and describe preliminary experiments that compare our approach with classical prioritized sweeping.

This paper introduces a probability model, the mixture of trees that can account for sparse, dynamically changing dependence relationships. We present a family of efficient algorithms that use EM and the Minimum Spanning Tree algorithm to find the ML and MAP mixture of trees for a variety of priors, including the Dirichlet and the MDL priors.

This paper describes a new approach to extracting 3D perspective structure from 2D point-sets. The novel feature is to unify the tasks of estimating transformation geometry and identifying pointcorrespondence matches. Unification is realised by constructing a mixture model over the bipartite graph representing the correspondence match and by effecting optimisation using the EM algorithm. According to our EM framework the probabilities of structural correspondence gate contributions to the expected likelihood function used to estimate maximum likelihood perspective pose parameters. This provides a means of rejecting structural outliers.

Department of Mathematics University of California, San Diego La Jolla, CA 92093-0112 Abstract We propose diffusion networks, a type of recurrent neural network with probabilistic dynamics, as models for learning natural signals that are continuous in time and space. We give a formula for the gradient of the log-likelihood of a path with respect to the drift parameters for a diffusion network. This gradient can be used to optimize diffusion networks in the nonequilibrium regime for a wide variety of problems paralleling techniques which have succeeded in engineering fields such as system identification, state estimation and signal filtering. An aspect of this work which is of particular interest to computational neuroscience and hardware design is that with a suitable choice of activation function, e.g., quasi-linear sigmoidal, the gradient formula is local in space and time. 1 Introduction Many natural signals, like pixel gray-levels, line orientations, object position, velocity and shape parameters, are well described as continuous-time continuous-valued stochastic processes; however, the neural network literature has seldom explored the continuous stochastic case. Since the solutions to many decision theoretic problems of interest are naturally formulated using probability distributions, it is desirable to have a flexible framework for approximating probability distributions on continuous path spaces.

In contrast to the maximum likelihood approach which finds only a single estimate for the regression parameters, the Bayesian approach yields a distribution of weight parameters, p(wID), conditional on the training data D, and predictions are ex- ·Present address: SNN, University of Nijmegen, Geert Grooteplein 21, Nijmegen, The Netherlands.

Applications of Gaussian mixture models occur frequently in the fields of statistics and artificial neural networks.