We present a hierarchical Bayesian model for learning efficient codes of higher-order structure in natural images. The model, a nonlinear generalization of independent component analysis, replaces the standard assumption of independence for the joint distribution of coefficients with a distribution that is adapted to the variance structure of the coefficients of an efficient image basis. This offers a novel description of higherorder image structure and provides a way to learn coarse-coded, sparsedistributed representations of abstract image properties such as object location, scale, and texture.

Well-known applications include part-of-speech (POS) tagging, named entity classification, information extraction, text segmentation and phoneme classification in text and speech processing [7] as well as problems like protein homology detection, secondary structure prediction or gene classification in computational biology [3]. Up to now, the predominant formalism for modeling and predicting label sequences has been based on Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and variations thereof. Yet, despite its success, generative probabilistic models - of which HMMs are a special case - have two major shortcomings, which this paper is not the first one to point out. First, generative probabilistic models are typically trained using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for a joint sampling model of observation and label sequences. As has been emphasized frequently, MLE based on the joint probability model is inherently non-discriminative and thus may lead to suboptimal prediction accuracy. Secondly, efficient inference and learning in this setting often requires to make questionable conditional independence assumptions.

We focus on the problem of efficient learning of dependency trees. It is well-known that given the pairwise mutual information coefficients, a minimum-weight spanning tree algorithm solves this problem exactly and in polynomial time. However, for large data-sets it is the construction of the correlation matrix that dominates the running time. We have developed a new spanning-tree algorithm which is capable of exploiting partial knowledge about edge weights. The partial knowledge we maintain is a probabilistic confidence interval on the coefficients, which we derive by examining just a small sample of the data. The algorithm is able to flag the need to shrink an interval, which translates to inspection of more data for the particular attribute pair. Experimental results show running time that is near-constant in the number of records, without significant loss in accuracy of the generated trees. Interestingly, our spanning-tree algorithm is based solely on Tarjan's red-edge rule, which is generally considered a guaranteed recipe for bad performance.

In the Bayesian approach, regularization is achieved by specifying a prior distribution over the parameters and subsequently averaging over the posterior distribution. This regularization provides not only smoother estimates of the parameters compared to maximum likelihood but also guides the selection of model structures. It was pointed out in [6] that a very large scale parameter of the Dirichlet prior can degrade predictive accuracy due to severe regularization of the parameter estimates. We complement this discussion here and show that a very small scale parameter can lead to poor over-regularized structures when a product of (conjugate) Dirichlet priors is used over multinomial conditional distributions (Section 3). Section 4 demonstrates the effect of the scale parameter and how it can be calibrated. We focus on the class of Bayesian network models throughout this paper.

The problem of super-resolution involves generating feasible higher resolution images, which are pleasing to the eye and realistic, from a given low resolution image. This might be attempted by using simple filters for smoothing out the high resolution blocks or through applications where substantial prior information is used to imply the textures and shapes which will occur in the images. In this paper we describe an approach which lies between the two extremes. It is a generic unsupervised method which is usable in all domains, but goes beyond simple smoothing methods in what it achieves. We use a dynamic treelike architecture to model the high resolution data. Approximate conditioning on the low resolution image is achieved through a mean field approach.

Machine learning has reached a point where many probabilistic methods can be understood as variations, extensions and combinations of a much smaller set of abstract themes, e.g., as different instances of the EM algorithm. This enables the systematic derivation of algorithms customized for different models.

This paper focuses on people's short-run behavior by examining dynamical versions of these three theories, and comparing their predictions to a real-world dataset.

Greedy importance sampling is an unbiased estimation technique that reduces the variance of standard importance sampling by explicitly searching for modes in the estimation objective. Previous work has demonstrated the feasibility of implementing this method and proved that the technique is unbiased in both discrete and continuous domains. In this paper we present a reformulation of greedy importance sampling that eliminates the free parameters from the original estimator, and introduces a new regularization strategy that further reduces variance without compromising unbiasedness. The resulting estimator is shown to be effective for difficult estimation problems arising in Markov random field inference. In particular, improvements are achieved over standard MCMC estimators when the distribution has multiple peaked modes.

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian framework, which constructs shared-state triphone HMMs based on a variational Bayesian approach, and recognizes speech based on the Bayesian prediction classification; variational Bayesian estimation and clustering for speech recognition (VBEC). An appropriate model structure with high recognition performance can be found within a VBEC framework. Unlike conventional methods, including BIC or MDL criterion based on the maximum likelihood approach, the proposed model selection is valid in principle, even when there are insufficient amounts of data, because it does not use an asymptotic assumption. In isolated word recognition experiments, we show the advantage of VBEC over conventional methods, especially when dealing with small amounts of data.

Classification trees are one of the most popular types of classifiers, with ease of implementation and interpretation being among their attractive features. Despite the widespread use of classification trees, theoretical analysis of their performance is scarce. In this paper, we show that a new family of classification trees, called dyadic classification trees (DCTs), are near optimal (in a minimax sense) for a very broad range of classification problems. This demonstrates that other schemes (e.g., neural networks, support vector machines) cannot perform significantly better than DCTs in many cases. We also show that this near optimal performance is attained with linear (in the number of training data) complexity growing and pruning algorithms. Moreover, the performance of DCTs on benchmark datasets compares favorably to that of standard CART, which is generally more computationally intensive and which does not possess similar near optimality properties. Our analysis stems from theoretical results on structural risk minimization, on which the pruning rule for DCTs is based.