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 Directed Networks


MPE: A Mobility Pattern Embedding Model for Predicting Next Locations

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The wide spread use of positioning and photographing devices gives rise to a deluge of traffic trajectory data (e.g., vehicle passage records and taxi trajectory data), with each record having at least three attributes: object ID, location ID, and time-stamp. In this paper, we propose a novel mobility pattern embedding model called MPE to shed the light on people's mobility patterns in traffic trajectory data from multiple aspects, including sequential, personal, and temporal factors. MPE has two salient features: (1) it is capable of casting various types of information (object, location and time) to an integrated low-dimensional latent space; (2) it considers the effect of ``phantom transitions'' arising from road networks in traffic trajectory data. This embedding model opens the door to a wide range of applications such as next location prediction and visualization. Experimental results on two real-world datasets show that MPE is effective and outperforms the state-of-the-art methods significantly in a variety of tasks.


TraLFM: Latent Factor Modeling of Traffic Trajectory Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The widespread use of positioning devices (e.g., GPS) has given rise to a vast body of human movement data, often in the form of trajectories. Understanding human mobility patterns could benefit many location-based applications. In this paper, we propose a novel generative model called TraLFM via latent factor modeling to mine human mobility patterns underlying traffic trajectories. TraLFM is based on three key observations: (1) human mobility patterns are reflected by the sequences of locations in the trajectories; (2) human mobility patterns vary with people; and (3) human mobility patterns tend to be cyclical and change over time. Thus, TraLFM models the joint action of sequential, personal and temporal factors in a unified way, and brings a new perspective to many applications such as latent factor analysis and next location prediction. We perform thorough empirical studies on two real datasets, and the experimental results confirm that TraLFM outperforms the state-of-the-art methods significantly in these applications.


Directionally Dependent Multi-View Clustering Using Copula Model

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In recent biomedical scientific problems, it is a fundamental issue to integratively cluster a set of objects from multiple sources of datasets. Such problems are mostly encountered in genomics, where data is collected from various sources, and typically represent distinct yet complementary information. Integrating these data sources for multi-source clustering is challenging due to their complex dependence structure including directional dependency. Particularly in genomics studies, it is known that there is certain directional dependence between DNA expression, DNA methylation, and RNA expression, widely called The Central Dogma. Most of the existing multi-view clustering methods either assume an independent structure or pair-wise (non-directional) dependency, thereby ignoring the directional relationship. Motivated by this, we propose a copula-based multi-view clustering model where a copula enables the model to accommodate the directional dependence existing in the datasets. We conduct a simulation experiment where the simulated datasets exhibiting inherent directional dependence: it turns out that ignoring the directional dependence negatively affects the clustering performance. As a real application, we applied our model to the breast cancer tumor samples collected from The Cancer Genome Altas (TCGA).


GAMI-Net: An Explainable Neural Network based on Generalized Additive Models with Structured Interactions

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The lack of interpretability is an inevitable problem when using neural network models in real applications. In this paper, a new explainable neural network called GAMI-Net, based on generalized additive models with structured interactions, is proposed to pursue a good balance between prediction accuracy and model interpretability. The GAMI-Net is a disentangled feedforward network with multiple additive subnetworks, where each subnetwork is designed for capturing either one main effect or one pairwise interaction effect. It takes into account three kinds of interpretability constraints, including a) sparsity constraint for selecting the most significant effects for parsimonious representations; b) heredity constraint such that a pairwise interaction could only be included when at least one of its parent effects exists; and c) marginal clarity constraint, in order to make the main and pairwise interaction effects mutually distinguishable. For model estimation, we develop an adaptive training algorithm that firstly fits the main effects to the responses, then fits the structured pairwise interactions to the residuals. Numerical experiments on both synthetic functions and real-world datasets show that the proposed explainable GAMI-Net enjoys superior interpretability while maintaining competitive prediction accuracy in comparison to the explainable boosting machine and other benchmark machine learning models.


Characterising hot stellar systems with confidence

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hot stellar systems (HSS) are a collection of stars bound together by gravitational attraction. These systems hold clues to many mysteries of outer space so understanding their origin, evolution and physical properties is important but remains a huge challenge. We used multivariate $t$-mixtures model-based clustering to analyze 13456 hot stellar systems from Misgeld & Hilker (2011) that included 12763 candidate globular clusters and found eight homogeneous groups using the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). A nonparametric bootstrap procedure was used to estimate the confidence of each of our clustering assignments. The eight obtained groups can be characterized in terms of the correlation, mass, effective radius and surface density. Using conventional correlation-mass-effective radius-surface density notation, the largest group, Group 1, can be described as having positive-low-low-moderate characteristics. The other groups, numbered in decreasing sizes are similarly characterised, with Group 2 having positive-low-low-high characteristics, Group 3 displaying positive-low-low-moderate characteristics, Group 4 having positive-low-low-high characteristic, Group 5 displaying positive-low-moderate-moderate characteristic and Group 6 showing positive-moderate-low-high characteristic. The smallest group (Group 8) shows negative-low-moderate-moderate characteristic. Group 7 has no candidate clusters and so cannot be similarly labeled but the mass, effective radius correlation for these non-candidates indicates that they zare larger than typical globular clusters. Assertions drawn for each group are ambiguous for a few HSS having low confidence in classification. Our analysis identifies distinct kinds of HSS with varying confidence and provides novel insight into their physical and evolutionary properties.


Singular Value Decomposition of Operators on Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs) play an important role in many statistics and machine learning applications ranging from support vector machines to Gaussian processes and kernel embeddings of distributions. Operators acting on such spaces are, for instance, required to embed conditional probability distributions in order to implement the kernel Bayes rule and build sequential data models. It was recently shown that transfer operators such as the Perron-Frobenius or Koopman operator can also be approximated in a similar fashion using covariance and cross-covariance operators and that eigenfunctions of these operators can be obtained by solving associated matrix eigenvalue problems. The goal of this paper is to provide a solid functional analytic foundation for the eigenvalue decomposition of RKHS operators and to extend the approach to the singular value decomposition. The results are illustrated with simple guiding examples.


AutoCogniSys: IoT Assisted Context-Aware Automatic Cognitive Health Assessment

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Cognitive impairment has become epidemic in older adult population. The recent advent of tiny wearable and ambient devices, a.k.a Internet of Things (IoT) provides ample platforms for continuous functional and cognitive health assessment of older adults. In this paper, we design, implement and evaluate AutoCogniSys, a context-aware automated cognitive health assessment system, combining the sensing powers of wearable physiological (Electrodermal Activity, Photoplethysmography) and physical (Accelerometer, Object) sensors in conjunction with ambient sensors. We design appropriate signal processing and machine learning techniques, and develop an automatic cognitive health assessment system in a natural older adults living environment. We validate our approaches using two datasets: (i) a naturalistic sensor data streams related to Activities of Daily Living and mental arousal of 22 older adults recruited in a retirement community center, individually living in their own apartments using a customized inexpensive IoT system (IRB #HP-00064387) and (ii) a publicly available dataset for emotion detection. The performance of AutoCogniSys attests max. 93\% of accuracy in assessing cognitive health of older adults.


Deep Adaptive Semantic Logic (DASL): Compiling Declarative Knowledge into Deep Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce Deep Adaptive Semantic Logic (DASL), a novel framework for automating the generation of deep neural networks that incorporates user-provided formal knowledge to improve learning from data. We provide formal semantics that demonstrate that our knowledge representation captures all of first order logic and that finite sampling from infinite domains converges to correct truth values. DASL's representation improves on prior neural-symbolic work by avoiding vanishing gradients, allowing deeper logical structure, and enabling richer interactions between the knowledge and learning components. We illustrate DASL through a toy problem in which we add structure to an image classification problem and demonstrate that knowledge of that structure reduces data requirements by a factor of $1000$. We then evaluate DASL on a visual relationship detection task and demonstrate that the addition of commonsense knowledge improves performance by $10.7\%$ in a data scarce setting.


Semi-Modular Inference: enhanced learning in multi-modular models by tempering the influence of components

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Bayesian statistical inference loses predictive optimality when generative models are misspecified. Working within an existing coherent loss-based generalisation of Bayesian inference, we show existing Modular/Cut-model inference is coherent, and write down a new family of Semi-Modular Inference (SMI) schemes, indexed by an influence parameter, with Bayesian inference and Cut-models as special cases. We give a meta-learning criterion and estimation procedure to choose the inference scheme. This returns Bayesian inference when there is no misspecification. The framework applies naturally to Multi-modular models. Cut-model inference allows directed information flow from well-specified modules to misspecified modules, but not vice versa. An existing alternative power posterior method gives tunable but undirected control of information flow, improving prediction in some settings. In contrast, SMI allows tunable and directed information flow between modules. We illustrate our methods on two standard test cases from the literature and a motivating archaeological data set.


Artificial Intelligence vs. Machine Learning vs. Deep Learning

#artificialintelligence

In this article, we are going to discuss we difference between Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning. Furthermore, we will address the question of why Deep Learning as a young emerging field is far superior to traditional Machine Learning. Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning are popular buzzwords that everyone seems to use nowadays. But still, there is a big misconception among many people about the meaning of these terms. In the worst case, one may think that these terms describe the same thing -- which is simply false.