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Neural Information Processing Systems

First provide a summary of the paper, and then address the following criteria: Quality, clarity, originality and significance. This paper presents two very natural methods for searching for Bayesian networks of treewidth <= k. The exact method uses a MILP to search jointly over (Bayesian network, elimination order, chordal graph induced by elimination on the moralized network). The approximate method repeatedly samples a random k-tree and then uses dynamic programming or sampling to find the best network whose moralization is a subgraph of the k-tree (any network of treewidth <= k can be obtained in this way). The paper is clear and the methods seem like textbook material.





Posterior Re-calibration for Imbalanced Datasets

Neural Information Processing Systems

Neural Networks can perform poorly when the training label distribution is heavily imbalanced, as well as when the testing data differs from the training distribution. In order to deal with shift in the testing label distribution, which imbalance causes, we motivate the problem from the perspective of an optimal Bayes classifier and derive a post-training prior rebalancing technique that can be solved through a KL-divergence based optimization. This method allows a flexible post-training hyper-parameter to be efficiently tuned on a validation set and effectively modify the classifier margin to deal with this imbalance. We further combine this method with existing likelihood shift methods, re-interpreting them from the same Bayesian perspective, and demonstrating that our method can deal with both problems in a unified way.



Distributionally Robust Parametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Neural Information Processing Systems

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited training sample size, is sensitive to noise and may perform poorly on downstream predictive tasks. To mitigate these issues, we propose a distributionally robust maximum likelihood estimator that minimizes the worst-case expected log-loss uniformly over a parametric Kullback-Leibler ball around a parametric nominal distribution. Leveraging the analytical expression of the Kullback-Leibler divergence between two distributions in the same natural exponential family, we show that the min-max estimation problem is tractable in a broad setting, including the robust training of generalized linear models. Our novel robust estimator also enjoys statistical consistency and delivers promising empirical results in both regression and classification tasks.



Inferring Optical Tissue Properties from Photoplethysmography using Hybrid Amortized Inference

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Smart wearables enable continuous tracking of established biomarkers such as heart rate, heart rate variability, and blood oxygen saturation via photoplethysmography (PPG). Beyond these metrics, PPG waveforms contain richer physiological information, as recent deep learning (DL) studies demonstrate. However, DL models often rely on features with unclear physiological meaning, creating a tension between predictive power, clinical interpretability, and sensor design. We address this gap by introducing PPGen, a biophysical model that relates PPG signals to interpretable physiological and optical parameters. Building on PPGen, we propose hybrid amortized inference (HAI), enabling fast, robust, and scalable estimation of relevant physiological parameters from PPG signals while correcting for model misspecification. In extensive in-silico experiments, we show that HAI can accurately infer physiological parameters under diverse noise and sensor conditions. Our results illustrate a path toward PPG models that retain the fidelity needed for DL-based features while supporting clinical interpretation and informed hardware design.