Ensemble Learning
Safety in Traffic Management Systems: A Comprehensive Survey
Du, Wenlu, Dash, Ankan, Li, Jing, Wei, Hua, Wang, Guiling
Traffic management systems play a vital role in ensuring safe and efficient transportation on roads. However, the use of advanced technologies in traffic management systems has introduced new safety challenges. Therefore, it is important to ensure the safety of these systems to prevent accidents and minimize their impact on road users. In this survey, we provide a comprehensive review of the literature on safety in traffic management systems. Specifically, we discuss the different safety issues that arise in traffic management systems, the current state of research on safety in these systems, and the techniques and methods proposed to ensure the safety of these systems. We also identify the limitations of the existing research and suggest future research directions.
Symmetry Defense Against XGBoost Adversarial Perturbation Attacks
We examine whether symmetry can be used to defend tree-based ensemble classifiers such as gradient-boosting decision trees (GBDTs) against adversarial perturbation attacks. The idea is based on a recent symmetry defense for convolutional neural network classifiers (CNNs) that utilizes CNNs' lack of invariance with respect to symmetries. CNNs lack invariance because they can classify a symmetric sample, such as a horizontally flipped image, differently from the original sample. CNNs' lack of invariance also means that CNNs can classify symmetric adversarial samples differently from the incorrect classification of adversarial samples. Using CNNs' lack of invariance, the recent CNN symmetry defense has shown that the classification of symmetric adversarial samples reverts to the correct sample classification. In order to apply the same symmetry defense to GBDTs, we examine GBDT invariance and are the first to show that GBDTs also lack invariance with respect to symmetries. We apply and evaluate the GBDT symmetry defense for nine datasets against six perturbation attacks with a threat model that ranges from zero-knowledge to perfect-knowledge adversaries. Using the feature inversion symmetry against zero-knowledge adversaries, we achieve up to 100% accuracy on adversarial samples even when default and robust classifiers have 0% accuracy. Using the feature inversion and horizontal flip symmetries against perfect-knowledge adversaries, we achieve up to over 95% accuracy on adversarial samples for the GBDT classifier of the F-MNIST dataset even when default and robust classifiers have 0% accuracy.
Unleashing the Power of Extra-Tree Feature Selection and Random Forest Classifier for Improved Survival Prediction in Heart Failure Patients
Talukder, Md. Simul Hasan, Sulaiman, Rejwan Bin, Angon, Mouli Bardhan Paul
Heart failure is a life-threatening condition that affects millions of people worldwide. The ability to accurately predict patient survival can aid in early intervention and improve patient outcomes. In this study, we explore the potential of utilizing data pre-processing techniques and the Extra-Tree (ET) feature selection method in conjunction with the Random Forest (RF) classifier to improve survival prediction in heart failure patients. By leveraging the strengths of ET feature selection, we aim to identify the most significant predictors associated with heart failure survival. Using the public UCL Heart failure (HF) survival dataset, we employ the ET feature selection algorithm to identify the most informative features. These features are then used as input for grid search of RF. Finally, the tuned RF Model was trained and evaluated using different matrices. The approach was achieved 98.33% accuracy that is the highest over the exiting work.
A machine-learning sleep-wake classification model using a reduced number of features derived from photoplethysmography and activity signals
Almeida, Douglas A., Dias, Felipe M., Toledo, Marcelo A. F., Cardenas, Diego A. C., Oliveira, Filipe A. C., Ribeiro, Estela, Krieger, Jose E., Gutierrez, Marco A.
Sleep is a crucial aspect of our overall health and well-being. It plays a vital role in regulating our mental and physical health, impacting our mood, memory, and cognitive function to our physical resilience and immune system. The classification of sleep stages is a mandatory step to assess sleep quality, providing the metrics to estimate the quality of sleep and how well our body is functioning during this essential period of rest. Photoplethysmography (PPG) has been demonstrated to be an effective signal for sleep stage inference, meaning it can be used on its own or in a combination with others signals to determine sleep stage. This information is valuable in identifying potential sleep issues and developing strategies to improve sleep quality and overall health. In this work, we present a machine learning sleep-wake classification model based on the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithm and features extracted from PPG signal and activity counts. The performance of our method was comparable to current state-of-the-art methods with a Sensitivity of 91.15 $\pm$ 1.16%, Specificity of 53.66 $\pm$ 1.12%, F1-score of 83.88 $\pm$ 0.56%, and Kappa of 48.0 $\pm$ 0.86%. Our method offers a significant improvement over other approaches as it uses a reduced number of features, making it suitable for implementation in wearable devices that have limited computational power.
SecureBoost Hyperparameter Tuning via Multi-Objective Federated Learning
Ren, Ziyao, Kang, Yan, Fan, Lixin, Yang, Linghua, Tong, Yongxin, Yang, Qiang
SecureBoost is a tree-boosting algorithm leveraging homomorphic encryption to protect data privacy in vertical federated learning setting. It is widely used in fields such as finance and healthcare due to its interpretability, effectiveness, and privacy-preserving capability. However, SecureBoost suffers from high computational complexity and risk of label leakage. To harness the full potential of SecureBoost, hyperparameters of SecureBoost should be carefully chosen to strike an optimal balance between utility, efficiency, and privacy. Existing methods either set hyperparameters empirically or heuristically, which are far from optimal. To fill this gap, we propose a Constrained Multi-Objective SecureBoost (CMOSB) algorithm to find Pareto optimal solutions that each solution is a set of hyperparameters achieving optimal tradeoff between utility loss, training cost, and privacy leakage. We design measurements of the three objectives. In particular, the privacy leakage is measured using our proposed instance clustering attack. Experimental results demonstrate that the CMOSB yields not only hyperparameters superior to the baseline but also optimal sets of hyperparameters that can support the flexible requirements of FL participants.
Privacy-Preserving Tree-Based Inference with TFHE
Frery, Jordan, Stoian, Andrei, Bredehoft, Roman, Montero, Luis, Kherfallah, Celia, Chevallier-Mames, Benoit, Meyre, Arthur
Privacy enhancing technologies (PETs) have been proposed as a way to protect the privacy of data while still allowing for data analysis. In this work, we focus on Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE), a powerful tool that allows for arbitrary computations to be performed on encrypted data. FHE has received lots of attention in the past few years and has reached realistic execution times and correctness. More precisely, we explain in this paper how we apply FHE to tree-based models and get state-of-the-art solutions over encrypted tabular data. We show that our method is applicable to a wide range of tree-based models, including decision trees, random forests, and gradient boosted trees, and has been implemented within the Concrete-ML library, which is open-source at https://github.com/zama-ai/concrete-ml. With a selected set of use-cases, we demonstrate that our FHE version is very close to the unprotected version in terms of accuracy.
Assessing the impact of emergency department short stay units using length-of-stay prediction and discrete event simulation
Cevik, Mucahit, Kavaklioglu, Can, Razak, Fahad, Verma, Amol, Basar, Ayse
Accurately predicting hospital length-of-stay at the time a patient is admitted to hospital may help guide clinical decision making and resource allocation. In this study we aim to build a decision support system that predicts hospital length-of-stay for patients admitted to general internal medicine from the emergency department. We conduct an exploratory data analysis and employ feature selection methods to identify the attributes that result in the best predictive performance. We also develop a discrete-event simulation model to assess the performances of the prediction models in a practical setting. Our results show that the recommendation performances of the proposed approaches are generally acceptable and do not benefit from the feature selection. Further, the results indicate that hospital length-of-stay could be predicted with reasonable accuracy (e.g., AUC value for classifying short and long stay patients is 0.69) using patient admission demographics, laboratory test results, diagnostic imaging, vital signs and clinical documentation.
How Good Are SOTA Fake News Detectors
Automatic fake news detection with machine learning can prevent the dissemination of false statements before they gain many views. Several datasets labeling statements as legitimate or false have been created since the 2016 United States presidential election for the prospect of training machine learning models. We evaluate the robustness of both traditional and deep state-of-the-art models to gauge how well they may perform in the real world. We find that traditional models tend to generalize better to data outside the distribution it was trained on compared to more recently-developed large language models, though the best model to use may depend on the specific task at hand.
A Machine Learning Method for Predicting Traffic Signal Timing from Probe Vehicle Data
Ugirumurera, Juliette, Severino, Joseph, Bensen, Erik A., Wang, Qichao, Macfarlane, Jane
Traffic signals play an important role in transportation by enabling traffic flow management, and ensuring safety at intersections. In addition, knowing the traffic signal phase and timing data can allow optimal vehicle routing for time and energy efficiency, eco-driving, and the accurate simulation of signalized road networks. In this paper, we present a machine learning (ML) method for estimating traffic signal timing information from vehicle probe data. To the authors best knowledge, very few works have presented ML techniques for determining traffic signal timing parameters from vehicle probe data. In this work, we develop an Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model to estimate signal cycle lengths and a neural network model to determine the corresponding red times per phase from probe data. The green times are then be derived from the cycle length and red times. Our results show an error of less than 0.56 sec for cycle length, and red times predictions within 7.2 sec error on average.
Merging satellite and gauge-measured precipitation using LightGBM with an emphasis on extreme quantiles
Tyralis, Hristos, Papacharalampous, Georgia, Doulamis, Nikolaos, Doulamis, Anastasios
Knowing the actual precipitation in space and time is critical in hydrological modelling applications, yet the spatial coverage with rain gauge stations is limited due to economic constraints. Gridded satellite precipitation datasets offer an alternative option for estimating the actual precipitation by covering uniformly large areas, albeit related estimates are not accurate. To improve precipitation estimates, machine learning is applied to merge rain gauge-based measurements and gridded satellite precipitation products. In this context, observed precipitation plays the role of the dependent variable, while satellite data play the role of predictor variables. Random forests is the dominant machine learning algorithm in relevant applications. In those spatial predictions settings, point predictions (mostly the mean or the median of the conditional distribution) of the dependent variable are issued. The aim of the manuscript is to solve the problem of probabilistic prediction of precipitation with an emphasis on extreme quantiles in spatial interpolation settings. Here we propose, issuing probabilistic spatial predictions of precipitation using Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM). LightGBM is a boosting algorithm, highlighted by prize-winning entries in prediction and forecasting competitions. To assess LightGBM, we contribute a large-scale application that includes merging daily precipitation measurements in contiguous US with PERSIANN and GPM-IMERG satellite precipitation data. We focus on extreme quantiles of the probability distribution of the dependent variable, where LightGBM outperforms quantile regression forests (QRF, a variant of random forests) in terms of quantile score at extreme quantiles. Our study offers understanding of probabilistic predictions in spatial settings using machine learning.