Ensemble Learning
Non-contact Respiratory Anomaly Detection using Infrared Light-wave Sensing
Islam, Md Zobaer, Martin, Brenden, Gotcher, Carly, Martinez, Tyler, O'Hara, John F., Ekin, Sabit
Human respiratory rate and its pattern convey essential information about the physical and psychological states of the subject. Abnormal breathing can indicate fatal health issues leading to further diagnosis and treatment. Wireless light-wave sensing (LWS) using incoherent infrared light shows promise in safe, discreet, efficient, and non-invasive human breathing monitoring without raising privacy concerns. The respiration monitoring system needs to be trained on different types of breathing patterns to identify breathing anomalies.The system must also validate the collected data as a breathing waveform, discarding any faulty data caused by external interruption, user movement, or system malfunction. To address these needs, this study simulated normal and different types of abnormal respiration using a robot that mimics human breathing patterns. Then, time-series respiration data were collected using infrared light-wave sensing technology. Three machine learning algorithms, decision tree, random forest and XGBoost, were applied to detect breathing anomalies and faulty data. Model performances were evaluated through cross-validation, assessing classification accuracy, precision and recall scores. The random forest model achieved the highest classification accuracy of 96.75% with data collected at a 0.5m distance. In general, ensemble models like random forest and XGBoost performed better than a single model in classifying the data collected at multiple distances from the light-wave sensing setup.
Land use/land cover classification of fused Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 imageries using ensembles of Random Forests
The study explores the synergistic combination of Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) and Visible-Near Infrared-Short Wave Infrared (VNIR-SWIR) imageries for land use/land cover (LULC) classification. Image fusion, employing Bayesian fusion, merges SAR texture bands with VNIR-SWIR imageries. The research aims to investigate the impact of this fusion on LULC classification. Despite the popularity of random forests for supervised classification, their limitations, such as suboptimal performance with fewer features and accuracy stagnation, are addressed. To overcome these issues, ensembles of random forests (RFE) are created, introducing random rotations using the Forest-RC algorithm. Three rotation approaches: principal component analysis (PCA), sparse random rotation (SRP) matrix, and complete random rotation (CRP) matrix are employed. Sentinel-1 SAR data and Sentinel-2 VNIR-SWIR data from the IIT-Kanpur region constitute the training datasets, including SAR, SAR with texture, VNIR-SWIR, VNIR-SWIR with texture, and fused VNIR-SWIR with texture. The study evaluates classifier efficacy, explores the impact of SAR and VNIR-SWIR fusion on classification, and significantly enhances the execution speed of Bayesian fusion code. The SRP-based RFE outperforms other ensembles for the first two datasets, yielding average overall kappa values of 61.80% and 68.18%, while the CRP-based RFE excels for the last three datasets with average overall kappa values of 95.99%, 96.93%, and 96.30%. The fourth dataset achieves the highest overall kappa of 96.93%. Furthermore, incorporating texture with SAR bands results in a maximum overall kappa increment of 10.00%, while adding texture to VNIR-SWIR bands yields a maximum increment of approximately 3.45%.
Confidence and Uncertainty Assessment for Distributional Random Forests
Näf, Jeffrey, Emmenegger, Corinne, Bühlmann, Peter, Meinshausen, Nicolai
The Distributional Random Forest (DRF) is a recently introduced Random Forest algorithm to estimate multivariate conditional distributions. Due to its general estimation procedure, it can be employed to estimate a wide range of targets such as conditional average treatment effects, conditional quantiles, and conditional correlations. However, only results about the consistency and convergence rate of the DRF prediction are available so far. We characterize the asymptotic distribution of DRF and develop a bootstrap approximation of it. This allows us to derive inferential tools for quantifying standard errors and the construction of confidence regions that have asymptotic coverage guarantees. In simulation studies, we empirically validate the developed theory for inference of low-dimensional targets and for testing distributional differences between two populations.
ReConTab: Regularized Contrastive Representation Learning for Tabular Data
Chen, Suiyao, Wu, Jing, Hovakimyan, Naira, Yao, Handong
Representation learning stands as one of the critical machine learning techniques across various domains. Through the acquisition of high-quality features, pre-trained embeddings significantly reduce input space redundancy, benefiting downstream pattern recognition tasks such as classification, regression, or detection. Nonetheless, in the domain of tabular data, feature engineering and selection still heavily rely on manual intervention, leading to time-consuming processes and necessitating domain expertise. In response to this challenge, we introduce ReConTab, a deep automatic representation learning framework with regularized contrastive learning. Agnostic to any type of modeling task, ReConTab constructs an asymmetric autoencoder based on the same raw features from model inputs, producing low-dimensional representative embeddings. Specifically, regularization techniques are applied for raw feature selection. Meanwhile, ReConTab leverages contrastive learning to distill the most pertinent information for downstream tasks. Experiments conducted on extensive real-world datasets substantiate the framework's capacity to yield substantial and robust performance improvements. Furthermore, we empirically demonstrate that pre-trained embeddings can seamlessly integrate as easily adaptable features, enhancing the performance of various traditional methods such as XGBoost and Random Forest.
Development and Evaluation of Ensemble Learning-based Environmental Methane Detection and Intensity Prediction Models
Majumder, Reek, Pollard, Jacquan, Salek, M Sabbir, Werth, David, Comert, Gurcan, Gale, Adrian, Khan, Sakib Mahmud, Darko, Samuel, Chowdhury, Mashrur
The environmental impacts of global warming driven by methane (CH4) emissions have catalyzed significant research initiatives in developing novel technologies that enable proactive and rapid detection of CH4. Several data-driven machine learning (ML) models were tested to determine how well they identified fugitive CH4 and its related intensity in the affected areas. Various meteorological characteristics, including wind speed, temperature, pressure, relative humidity, water vapor, and heat flux, were included in the simulation. We used the ensemble learning method to determine the best-performing weighted ensemble ML models built upon several weaker lower-layer ML models to (i) detect the presence of CH4 as a classification problem and (ii) predict the intensity of CH4 as a regression problem.
Knowledge Trees: Gradient Boosting Decision Trees on Knowledge Neurons as Probing Classifier
To understand how well a large language model captures certain semantic or syntactic features, researchers typically apply probing classifiers. However, the accuracy of these classifiers is critical for the correct interpretation of the results. If a probing classifier exhibits low accuracy, this may be due either to the fact that the language model does not capture the property under investigation, or to shortcomings in the classifier itself, which is unable to adequately capture the characteristics encoded in the internal representations of the model. Consequently, for more effective diagnosis, it is necessary to use the most accurate classifiers possible for a particular type of task. Logistic regression on the output representation of the transformer neural network layer is most often used to probing the syntactic properties of the language model. We show that using gradient boosting decision trees at the Knowledge Neuron layer, i.e., at the hidden layer of the feed-forward network of the transformer as a probing classifier for recognizing parts of a sentence is more advantageous than using logistic regression on the output representations of the transformer layer. This approach is also preferable to many other methods. The gain in error rate, depending on the preset, ranges from 9-54%
Analisis Eksploratif Dan Augmentasi Data NSL-KDD Menggunakan Deep Generative Adversarial Networks Untuk Meningkatkan Performa Algoritma Extreme Gradient Boosting Dalam Klasifikasi Jenis Serangan Siber
Santoso, K. P., Madany, F. A., Suryotrisongko, H.
This study proposes the implementation of Deep Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for augmenting the NSL-KDD dataset. The primary objective is to enhance the efficacy of eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) in the classification of cyber-attacks on the NSL-KDD dataset. As a result, the method proposed in this research achieved an accuracy of 99.53% using the XGBoost model without data augmentation with GAN, and 99.78% with data augmentation using GAN.
Prediction of Crash Injury Severity in Florida's Interstate-95
Anik, B M Tazbiul Hassan, Rashid, Md Mobasshir, Ahsan, Md Jamil
Drivers can sustain serious injuries in traffic accidents. In this study, traffic crashes on Florida's Interstate-95 from 2016 to 2021 were gathered, and several classification methods were used to estimate the severity of driver injuries. In the feature selection method, logistic regression was applied. To compare model performances, various model assessment matrices such as accuracy, recall, and area under curve (AUC) were developed. The Adaboost algorithm outperformed the others in terms of recall and AUC. SHAP values were also generated to explain the classification model's results. This analytical study can be used to examine factors that contribute to the severity of driver injuries in crashes.
Random Forest Variable Importance-based Selection Algorithm in Class Imbalance Problem
Random Forest is a machine learning method that offers many advantages, including the ability to easily measure variable importance. Class balancing technique is a well-known solution to deal with class imbalance problem. However, it has not been actively studied on RF variable importance. In this paper, we study the effect of class balancing on RF variable importance. Our simulation results show that over-sampling is effective in correctly measuring variable importance in class imbalanced situations with small sample size, while under-sampling fails to differentiate important and non-informative variables. We then propose a variable selection algorithm that utilizes RF variable importance and its confidence interval. Through an experimental study using many real and artificial datasets, we demonstrate that our proposed algorithm efficiently selects an optimal feature set, leading to improved prediction performance in class imbalance problem.
FuXi-S2S: An accurate machine learning model for global subseasonal forecasts
Chen, Lei, Zhong, Xiaohui, Wu, Jie, Chen, Deliang, Xie, Shangping, Chao, Qingchen, Lin, Chensen, Hu, Zixin, Lu, Bo, Li, Hao, Qi, Yuan
Skillful subseasonal forecasts beyond 2 weeks are crucial for a wide range of applications across various sectors of society. Recently, state-of-the-art machine learning based weather forecasting models have made significant advancements, outperforming the high-resolution forecast (HRES) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). However, the full potential of machine learning models in subseasonal forecasts has yet to be fully explored. In this study, we introduce FuXi Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (FuXi-S2S), a machine learning based subseasonal forecasting model that provides global daily mean forecasts up to 42 days, covering 5 upper-air atmospheric variables at 13 pressure levels and 11 surface variables. FuXi-S2S integrates an enhanced FuXi base model with a perturbation module for flow-dependent perturbations in hidden features, and incorporates Perlin noise to perturb initial conditions. The model is developed using 72 years of daily statistics from ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis data. When compared to the ECMWF Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) reforecasts, the FuXi-S2S forecasts demonstrate superior deterministic and ensemble forecasts for total precipitation (TP), outgoing longwave radiation (OLR), and geopotential at 500 hPa (Z500). Although it shows slightly inferior performance in predicting 2-meter temperature (T2M), it has clear advantages over land area. Regarding the extreme forecasts, FuXi-S2S outperforms ECMWF S2S globally for TP. Furthermore, FuXi-S2S forecasts surpass the ECMWF S2S reforecasts in predicting the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO), a key source of subseasonal predictability. They extend the skillful prediction of MJO from 30 days to 36 days.