Ensemble Learning
Federated Boosted Decision Trees with Differential Privacy
Maddock, Samuel, Cormode, Graham, Wang, Tianhao, Maple, Carsten, Jha, Somesh
There is great demand for scalable, secure, and efficient privacy-preserving machine learning models that can be trained over distributed data. While deep learning models typically achieve the best results in a centralized non-secure setting, different models can excel when privacy and communication constraints are imposed. Instead, tree-based approaches such as XGBoost have attracted much attention for their high performance and ease of use; in particular, they often achieve state-of-the-art results on tabular data. Consequently, several recent works have focused on translating Gradient Boosted Decision Tree (GBDT) models like XGBoost into federated settings, via cryptographic mechanisms such as Homomorphic Encryption (HE) and Secure Multi-Party Computation (MPC). However, these do not always provide formal privacy guarantees, or consider the full range of hyperparameters and implementation settings. In this work, we implement the GBDT model under Differential Privacy (DP). We propose a general framework that captures and extends existing approaches for differentially private decision trees. Our framework of methods is tailored to the federated setting, and we show that with a careful choice of techniques it is possible to achieve very high utility while maintaining strong levels of privacy.
Digital Asset Valuation: A Study on Domain Names, Email Addresses, and NFTs
Existing works on valuing digital assets on the Internet typically focus on a single asset class. To promote the development of automated valuation techniques, preferably those that are generally applicable to multiple asset classes, we construct DASH, the first Digital Asset Sales History dataset that features multiple digital asset classes spanning from classical to blockchain-based ones. Consisting of 280K transactions of domain names (DASH_DN), email addresses (DASH_EA), and non-fungible token (NFT)-based identifiers (DASH_NFT), such as Ethereum Name Service names, DASH advances the field in several aspects: the subsets DASH_DN, DASH_EA, and DASH_NFT are the largest freely accessible domain name transaction dataset, the only publicly available email address transaction dataset, and the first NFT transaction dataset that focuses on identifiers, respectively. We build strong conventional feature-based models as the baselines for DASH. We next explore deep learning models based on fine-tuning pre-trained language models, which have not yet been explored for digital asset valuation in the previous literature. We find that the vanilla fine-tuned model already performs reasonably well, outperforming all but the best-performing baselines. We further propose improvements to make the model more aware of the time sensitivity of transactions and the popularity of assets. Experimental results show that our improved model consistently outperforms all the other models across all asset classes on DASH.
Location-aware green energy availability forecasting for multiple time frames in smart buildings: The case of Estonia
Hatamian, Mehdi, Panigrahi, Bivas, Dehury, Chinmaya Kumar
Renewable Energies (RE) have gained more attention in recent years since they offer clean and sustainable energy. One of the major sustainable development goals (SDG-7) set by the United Nations (UN) is to achieve affordable and clean energy for everyone. Among the world's all renewable resources, solar energy is considered as the most abundant and can certainly fulfill the target of SDGs. Solar energy is converted into electrical energy through Photovoltaic (PV) panels with no greenhouse gas emissions. However, power generated by PV panels is highly dependent on solar radiation received at a particular location over a given time period. Therefore, it is challenging to forecast the amount of PV output power. Predicting the output power of PV systems is essential since several public or private institutes generate such green energy, and need to maintain the balance between demand and supply. This research aims to forecast PV system output power based on weather and derived features using different machine learning models. The objective is to obtain the best-fitting model to precisely predict output power by inspecting the data. Moreover, different performance metrics are used to compare and evaluate the accuracy under different machine learning models such as random forest, XGBoost, KNN, etc.
Bank Customer Churn Prediction Using Machine Learning
This article was published as a part of the Data Science Blogathon. Customer Churn prediction means knowing which customers are likely to leave or unsubscribe from your service. For many companies, this is an important prediction. This is because acquiring new customers often costs more than retaining existing ones. Once you've identified customers at risk of churn, you need to know exactly what marketing efforts you should make with each customer to maximize their likelihood of staying.
OpBoost: A Vertical Federated Tree Boosting Framework Based on Order-Preserving Desensitization
Li, Xiaochen, Hu, Yuke, Liu, Weiran, Feng, Hanwen, Peng, Li, Hong, Yuan, Ren, Kui, Qin, Zhan
Vertical Federated Learning (FL) is a new paradigm that enables users with non-overlapping attributes of the same data samples to jointly train a model without directly sharing the raw data. Nevertheless, recent works show that it's still not sufficient to prevent privacy leakage from the training process or the trained model. This paper focuses on studying the privacy-preserving tree boosting algorithms under the vertical FL. The existing solutions based on cryptography involve heavy computation and communication overhead and are vulnerable to inference attacks. Although the solution based on Local Differential Privacy (LDP) addresses the above problems, it leads to the low accuracy of the trained model. This paper explores to improve the accuracy of the widely deployed tree boosting algorithms satisfying differential privacy under vertical FL. Specifically, we introduce a framework called OpBoost. Three order-preserving desensitization algorithms satisfying a variant of LDP called distance-based LDP (dLDP) are designed to desensitize the training data. In particular, we optimize the dLDP definition and study efficient sampling distributions to further improve the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed algorithms. The proposed algorithms provide a trade-off between the privacy of pairs with large distance and the utility of desensitized values. Comprehensive evaluations show that OpBoost has a better performance on prediction accuracy of trained models compared with existing LDP approaches on reasonable settings. Our code is open source.
Diagnosis of Parkinson's Disease Based on Voice Signals Using SHAP and Hard Voting Ensemble Method
Ghaheri, Paria, Nasiri, Hamid, Shateri, Ahmadreza, Homafar, Arman
Background and Objective: Parkinson's disease (PD) is the second most common progressive neurological condition after Alzheimer's, characterized by motor and non-motor symptoms. Developing a method to diagnose the condition in its beginning phases is essential because of the significant number of individuals afflicting with this illness. PD is typically identified using motor symptoms or other Neuroimaging techniques, such as DATSCAN and SPECT. These methods are expensive, time-consuming, and unavailable to the general public; furthermore, they are not very accurate. These constraints encouraged us to develop a novel technique using SHAP and Hard Voting Ensemble Method based on voice signals. Methods: In this article, we used Pearson Correlation Coefficients to understand the relationship between input features and the output, and finally, input features with high correlation were selected. These selected features were classified by the Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Gradient Boosting, and Bagging. Moreover, the Hard Voting Ensemble Method was determined based on the performance of the four classifiers. At the final stage, we proposed Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) to rank the features according to their significance in diagnosing Parkinson's disease. Results and Conclusion: The proposed method achieved 85.42% accuracy, 84.94% F1-score, 86.77% precision, 87.62% specificity, and 83.20% sensitivity. The study's findings demonstrated that the proposed method outperformed state-of-the-art approaches and can assist physicians in diagnosing Parkinson's cases.
LEAPER: Fast and Accurate FPGA-based System Performance Prediction via Transfer Learning
Singh, Gagandeep, Diamantopoulos, Dionysios, Gómez-Luna, Juan, Stuijk, Sander, Corporaal, Henk, Mutlu, Onur
Machine learning has recently gained traction as a way to overcome the slow accelerator generation and implementation process on an FPGA. It can be used to build performance and resource usage models that enable fast early-stage design space exploration. First, training requires large amounts of data (features extracted from design synthesis and implementation tools), which is cost-inefficient because of the time-consuming accelerator design and implementation process. Second, a model trained for a specific environment cannot predict performance or resource usage for a new, unknown environment. In a cloud system, renting a platform for data collection to build an ML model can significantly increase the total-cost-ownership (TCO) of a system. Third, ML-based models trained using a limited number of samples are prone to overfitting. To overcome these limitations, we propose LEAPER, a transfer learning-based approach for prediction of performance and resource usage in FPGA-based systems. The key idea of LEAPER is to transfer an ML-based performance and resource usage model trained for a low-end edge environment to a new, high-end cloud environment to provide fast and accurate predictions for accelerator implementation. Experimental results show that LEAPER (1) provides, on average across six workloads and five FPGAs, 85% accuracy when we use our transferred model for prediction in a cloud environment with 5-shot learning and (2) reduces design-space exploration time for accelerator implementation on an FPGA by 10x, from days to only a few hours.
Computer Vision - Richard Szeliski
As humans, we perceive the three-dimensional structure of the world around us with apparent ease. Think of how vivid the three-dimensional percept is when you look at a vase of flowers sitting on the table next to you. You can tell the shape and translucency of each petal through the subtle patterns of light and shading that play across its surface and effortlessly segment each flower from the background of the scene (Figure 1.1). Looking at a framed group por- trait, you can easily count (and name) all of the people in the picture and even guess at their emotions from their facial appearance. Perceptual psychologists have spent decades trying to understand how the visual system works and, even though they can devise optical illusions1 to tease apart some of its principles (Figure 1.3), a complete solution to this puzzle remains elusive (Marr 1982; Palmer 1999; Livingstone 2008).
A Decision Support System for Safer Airplane Landings: Predicting Runway Conditions Using XGBoost and Explainable AI
Midtfjord, Alise Danielle, De Bin, Riccardo, Huseby, Arne Bang
The presence of snow and ice on runway surfaces reduces the available tire-pavement friction needed for retardation and directional control and causes potential economic and safety threats for the aviation industry during the winter seasons. To activate appropriate safety procedures, pilots need accurate and timely information on the actual runway surface conditions. In this study, XGBoost is used to create a combined runway assessment system, which includes a classification model to identify slippery conditions and a regression model to predict the level of slipperiness. The models are trained on weather data and runway reports. The runway surface conditions are represented by the tire-pavement friction coefficient, which is estimated from flight sensor data from landing aircrafts. The XGBoost models are combined with SHAP approximations to provide a reliable decision support system for airport operators, which can contribute to safer and more economic operations of airport runways. To evaluate the performance of the prediction models, they are compared to several state-of-the-art runway assessment methods. The XGBoost models identify slippery runway conditions with a ROC AUC of 0.95, predict the friction coefficient with a MAE of 0.0254, and outperforms all the previous methods. The results show the strong abilities of machine learning methods to model complex, physical phenomena with a good accuracy. Published version: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2022.103556.
Applying Machine Learning to Life Insurance: some knowledge sharing to master it
Chancel, Antoine, Bradier, Laura, Ly, Antoine, Ionescu, Razvan, Martin, Laurene, Sauce, Marguerite
Machine Learning permeates many industries, which brings new source of benefits for companies. However within the life insurance industry, Machine Learning is not widely used in practice as over the past years statistical models have shown their efficiency for risk assessment. Thus insurers may face difficulties to assess the value of the artificial intelligence. Focusing on the modification of the life insurance industry over time highlights the stake of using Machine Learning for insurers and benefits that it can bring by unleashing data value. This paper reviews traditional actuarial methodologies for survival modeling and extends them with Machine Learning techniques. It points out differences with regular machine learning models and emphasizes importance of specific implementations to face censored data with machine learning models family. In complement to this article, a Python library has been developed. Different open-source Machine Learning algorithms have been adjusted to adapt the specificities of life insurance data, namely censoring and truncation. Such models can be easily applied from this SCOR library to accurately model life insurance risks.