Decision Tree Learning
Incremental XAI: Memorable Understanding of AI with Incremental Explanations
Bo, Jessica Y., Hao, Pan, Lim, Brian Y.
Many explainable AI (XAI) techniques strive for interpretability by providing concise salient information, such as sparse linear factors. However, users either only see inaccurate global explanations, or highly-varying local explanations. We propose to provide more detailed explanations by leveraging the human cognitive capacity to accumulate knowledge by incrementally receiving more details. Focusing on linear factor explanations (factors $\times$ values = outcome), we introduce Incremental XAI to automatically partition explanations for general and atypical instances by providing Base + Incremental factors to help users read and remember more faithful explanations. Memorability is improved by reusing base factors and reducing the number of factors shown in atypical cases. In modeling, formative, and summative user studies, we evaluated the faithfulness, memorability and understandability of Incremental XAI against baseline explanation methods. This work contributes towards more usable explanation that users can better ingrain to facilitate intuitive engagement with AI.
Online Learning of Decision Trees with Thompson Sampling
Chaouki, Ayman, Read, Jesse, Bifet, Albert
Decision Trees are prominent prediction models for interpretable Machine Learning. They have been thoroughly researched, mostly in the batch setting with a fixed labelled dataset, leading to popular algorithms such as C4.5, ID3 and CART. Unfortunately, these methods are of heuristic nature, they rely on greedy splits offering no guarantees of global optimality and often leading to unnecessarily complex and hard-to-interpret Decision Trees. Recent breakthroughs addressed this suboptimality issue in the batch setting, but no such work has considered the online setting with data arriving in a stream. To this end, we devise a new Monte Carlo Tree Search algorithm, Thompson Sampling Decision Trees (TSDT), able to produce optimal Decision Trees in an online setting. We analyse our algorithm and prove its almost sure convergence to the optimal tree. Furthermore, we conduct extensive experiments to validate our findings empirically. The proposed TSDT outperforms existing algorithms on several benchmarks, all while presenting the practical advantage of being tailored to the online setting.
FLEX: FLEXible Federated Learning Framework
Herrera, Francisco, Jiménez-López, Daniel, Argente-Garrido, Alberto, Rodríguez-Barroso, Nuria, Zuheros, Cristina, Aguilera-Martos, Ignacio, Bello, Beatriz, García-Márquez, Mario, Luzón, M. Victoria
In the realm of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the need for privacy and security in data processing has become paramount. As AI applications continue to expand, the collection and handling of sensitive data raise concerns about individual privacy protection. Federated Learning (FL) emerges as a promising solution to address these challenges by enabling decentralized model training on local devices, thus preserving data privacy. This paper introduces FLEX: a FLEXible Federated Learning Framework designed to provide maximum flexibility in FL research experiments. By offering customizable features for data distribution, privacy parameters, and communication strategies, FLEX empowers researchers to innovate and develop novel FL techniques. The framework also includes libraries for specific FL implementations including: (1) anomalies, (2) blockchain, (3) adversarial attacks and defences, (4) natural language processing and (5) decision trees, enhancing its versatility and applicability in various domains. Overall, FLEX represents a significant advancement in FL research, facilitating the development of robust and efficient FL applications.
QRscript: Embedding a Programming Language in QR codes to support Decision and Management
Scanzio, Stefano, Cena, Gianluca, Valenzano, Adriano
Embedding a programming language in a QR code is a new and extremely promising opportunity, as it makes devices and objects smarter without necessarily requiring an Internet connection. In this paper, all the steps needed to translate a program written in a high-level programming language to its binary representation encoded in a QR code, and the opposite process that, starting from the QR code, executes it by means of a virtual machine, have been carefully detailed. The proposed programming language was named QRscript, and can be easily extended so as to integrate new features. One of the main design goals was to produce a very compact target binary code. In particular, in this work we propose a specific sub-language (a dialect) that is aimed at encoding decision trees. Besides industrial scenarios, this is useful in many other application fields. The reported example, related to the configuration of an industrial networked device, highlights the potential of the proposed technology, and permits to better understand all the translation steps.
Predictive Modeling for Breast Cancer Classification in the Context of Bangladeshi Patients: A Supervised Machine Learning Approach with Explainable AI
Islam, Taminul, Sheakh, Md. Alif, Tahosin, Mst. Sazia, Hena, Most. Hasna, Akash, Shopnil, Jardan, Yousef A. Bin, Wondmie, Gezahign Fentahun, Nafidi, Hiba-Allah, Bourhia, Mohammed
Breast cancer has rapidly increased in prevalence in recent years, making it one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide. Among all cancers, it is by far the most common. Diagnosing this illness manually requires significant time and expertise. Since detecting breast cancer is a time-consuming process, preventing its further spread can be aided by creating machine-based forecasts. Machine learning and Explainable AI are crucial in classification as they not only provide accurate predictions but also offer insights into how the model arrives at its decisions, aiding in the understanding and trustworthiness of the classification results. In this study, we evaluate and compare the classification accuracy, precision, recall, and F-1 scores of five different machine learning methods using a primary dataset (500 patients from Dhaka Medical College Hospital). Five different supervised machine learning techniques, including decision tree, random forest, logistic regression, naive bayes, and XGBoost, have been used to achieve optimal results on our dataset. Additionally, this study applied SHAP analysis to the XGBoost model to interpret the model's predictions and understand the impact of each feature on the model's output. We compared the accuracy with which several algorithms classified the data, as well as contrasted with other literature in this field. After final evaluation, this study found that XGBoost achieved the best model accuracy, which is 97%.
Accurate estimation of feature importance faithfulness for tree models
Gajewski, Mateusz, Karczmarz, Adam, Rapicki, Mateusz, Sankowski, Piotr
One of the key challenges in deploying modern machine learning models in such areas as medical diagnosis lies in the ability to indicate why a certain prediction has been made. Such an indication may be of critical importance when a human decides whether the prediction can be relied on. This is one of the reasons various aspects of explainability of machine learning models have been the subject of extensive research lately (see, e.g., [BH21]). For some basic types of models (e.g., single decision trees), the rationale behind a prediction is easy to understand by a human. However, predictions of more complex models (that offer much better accuracy, e.g., based on neural networks or decision tree ensembles) are also much more difficult to interpret. Accurate and concise explanations understandable to humans might not always exist. In such cases, it is still beneficial to have methods giving a flavor of what factors might have influenced the prediction the most.
Site-specific Deterministic Temperature and Humidity Forecasts with Explainable and Reliable Machine Learning
Han, MengMeng, Leeuwenburg, Tennessee, Murphy, Brad
Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the fine-scale detail to capture all important characteristics of localised real-world sites. Instead they provide weather information representing a rectangular gridbox (usually kilometres in size). Even after post-processing and bias correction, area-averaged information is usually not optimal for specific sites. Prior work on site optimised forecasts has focused on linear methods, weighted consensus averaging, time-series methods, and others. Recent developments in machine learning (ML) have prompted increasing interest in applying ML as a novel approach towards this problem. In this study, we investigate the feasibility of optimising forecasts at sites by adopting the popular machine learning model gradient boosting decision tree, supported by the Python version of the XGBoost package. Regression trees have been trained with historical NWP and site observations as training data, aimed at predicting temperature and dew point at multiple site locations across Australia. We developed a working ML framework, named 'Multi-SiteBoost' and initial testing results show a significant improvement compared with gridded values from bias-corrected NWP models. The improvement from XGBoost is found to be comparable with non-ML methods reported in literature. With the insights provided by SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), this study also tests various approaches to understand the ML predictions and increase the reliability of the forecasts generated by ML.
A Novel Approach to Breast Cancer Histopathological Image Classification Using Cross-Colour Space Feature Fusion and Quantum-Classical Stack Ensemble Method
Mallick, Sambit, Paul, Snigdha, Sen, Anindya
Breast cancer classification stands as a pivotal pillar in ensuring timely diagnosis and effective treatment. This study with histopathological images underscores the profound significance of harnessing the synergistic capabilities of colour space ensembling and quantum-classical stacking to elevate the precision of breast cancer classification. By delving into the distinct colour spaces of RGB, HSV and CIE L*u*v, the authors initiated a comprehensive investigation guided by advanced methodologies. Employing the DenseNet121 architecture for feature extraction the authors have capitalized on the robustness of Random Forest, SVM, QSVC, and VQC classifiers. This research encompasses a unique feature fusion technique within the colour space ensemble. This approach not only deepens our comprehension of breast cancer classification but also marks a milestone in personalized medical assessment. The amalgamation of quantum and classical classifiers through stacking emerges as a potent catalyst, effectively mitigating the inherent constraints of individual classifiers, paving a robust path towards more dependable and refined breast cancer identification. Through rigorous experimentation and meticulous analysis, fusion of colour spaces like RGB with HSV and RGB with CIE L*u*v, presents an classification accuracy, nearing the value of unity. This underscores the transformative potential of our approach, where the fusion of diverse colour spaces and the synergy of quantum and classical realms converge to establish a new horizon in medical diagnostics. Thus the implications of this research extend across medical disciplines, offering promising avenues for advancing diagnostic accuracy and treatment efficacy.
An Interpretable Power System Transient Stability Assessment Method with Expert Guiding Neural-Regression-Tree
Wang, Hanxuan, Lu, Na, Wang, Zixuan, Liu, Jiacheng, Liu, Jun
Deep learning based transient stability assessment (TSA) has achieved great success, yet the lack of interpretability hinders its industrial application. Although a great number of studies have tried to explore the interpretability of network solutions, many problems still remain unsolved: (1) the difference between the widely accepted power system knowledge and the generated interpretive rules is large, (2) the probability characteristics of the neural network have not been fully considered during generating the interpretive rules, (3) the cost of the trade-off between accuracy and interpretability is too heavy to take. To address these issues, an interpretable power system Transient Stability Assessment method with Expert guiding Neural-Regression-Tree (TSA-ENRT) is proposed. TSA-ENRT utilizes an expert guiding nonlinear regression tree to approximate the neural network prediction and the neural network can be explained by the interpretive rules generated by the tree model. The nonlinearity of the expert guiding nonlinear regression tree is endowed with the extracted knowledge from a simple two-machine three-bus power system, which forms an expert knowledge base and thus the generated interpretive rules are more consistent with human cognition. Besides, the expert guiding tree model can build a bridge between the interpretive rules and the probability prediction of neural network in a regression way. By regularizing the neural network with the average decision length of ENRT, the association of the neural network and tree model is constructed in the model training level which provides a better trade-off between accuracy and interpretability. Extensive experiments indicate the interpretive rules generated by the proposed TSA-ENRT are highly consistent with the neural network prediction and more agreed with human expert cognition.
Probabilistic Dataset Reconstruction from Interpretable Models
Ferry, Julien, Aïvodji, Ulrich, Gambs, Sébastien, Huguet, Marie-José, Siala, Mohamed
Interpretability is often pointed out as a key requirement for trustworthy machine learning. However, learning and releasing models that are inherently interpretable leaks information regarding the underlying training data. As such disclosure may directly conflict with privacy, a precise quantification of the privacy impact of such breach is a fundamental problem. For instance, previous work have shown that the structure of a decision tree can be leveraged to build a probabilistic reconstruction of its training dataset, with the uncertainty of the reconstruction being a relevant metric for the information leak. In this paper, we propose of a novel framework generalizing these probabilistic reconstructions in the sense that it can handle other forms of interpretable models and more generic types of knowledge. In addition, we demonstrate that under realistic assumptions regarding the interpretable models' structure, the uncertainty of the reconstruction can be computed efficiently. Finally, we illustrate the applicability of our approach on both decision trees and rule lists, by comparing the theoretical information leak associated to either exact or heuristic learning algorithms. Our results suggest that optimal interpretable models are often more compact and leak less information regarding their training data than greedily-built ones, for a given accuracy level.