Generative models for time-series imputation achieve strong reconstruction accuracy, yet provide no finite-sample reliability guarantees, a critical limitation in power systems where imputed values inform dispatch and planning. We introduce SPLICE (Self-supervised Predictive Latent Inpainting with Conformal Envelopes), a modular framework coupling latent generative imputation with distribution-free, online-adaptive prediction intervals. A JEPA encoder maps daily load segments into a 64-dimensional latent space; a conditional latent bridge with four sampling modes generates candidate gap trajectories; an hourly-conditioned decoder maps back to signal space; and Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) wraps the output with coverage-guaranteed prediction bands. The flow-matching variant achieves comparable quality to DDIM in 5--10 ODE steps (5-10x speedup). On thirteen load datasets (nine proprietary, three UCI Electricity, ETTh1), SPLICE achieves the lowest mean Load-only MSE (0.056), winning 9/12 non-degenerate datasets at 91-day gaps and 18/32 across all gap lengths vs. five established baselines, and produces the best CRPS (0.161, -18.3% vs. the strongest competitor). ACI delivers 93--95% empirical coverage, correcting under-coverage failures of up to 7.5 pp observed with static conformal prediction. A pooled JEPA encoder trained on nine feeds transfers to four unseen domains, matching or exceeding per-dataset oracles with only a quick bridge fine-tuning.

In this paper, we study norm-based regularization methods for neural networks. We compare existing penalization approaches and introduce two regularization strategies that extend classical ridge- and lasso-type penalties to neural network models. The first strategy modifies weight decay by incorporating the covariance structure of the input features into a ridge-type $\ell_2$ penalty, allowing regularization to account for feature dependence. The second combines an $\ell_1$ sparsity penalty with covariance-aware $\ell_2$ regularization, producing neural network weights that are both sparse and structurally informed. Monte Carlo simulations are used to evaluate these methods under different data-generating settings, followed by two real-data applications on building cooling-load prediction and leukemia cell-type classification from high-dimensional gene expression data. Across simulated and real-data examples, the proposed regularizers improve predictive performance on unseen data and provide more effective complexity control than standard norm-based penalties, particularly when features are correlated or high-dimensional.

Double-machine-learning pipelines for the Average Dose-Response Function rely on kernel-weighted local-linear smoothers, which inherit unbounded functional influence: a single outlier within a kernel window biases the curve across the entire window. We introduce SHIFT (Self-calibrated Heavy-tail Inlier-Fit with Tempering), a robust DML estimator combining cross-fit nuisance orthogonalization with a kernel-local Welsch-loss second stage optimized by Graduated Non-Convexity, and -- the principal design choice -- a defensive OLS refit whose inlier cutoff is scaled by post-GNC residual MAD rather than the raw-outcome MAD. On a localized-contamination stress test at $p=0.25$ this design choice drops level-RMSE from 1.03 to 0.33 while leaving clean and uniformly-contaminated runs unchanged. Across 1,400 main-sweep fits, SHIFT has competitive worst-case shape recovery (RMSE $0.325$ at $p=0.25$, second to Huber-DML's $0.276$); among the three methods with worst-case RMSE below $0.35$, only SHIFT emits a non-uniform per-sample weight vector, recovering the ground-truth outlier mask at mean $F_1 \approx 0.96$ (range $0.945$--$0.968$) on Gaussian-jump DGPs. We pair the estimator with a six-technique Extreme Value Theory diagnostic suite (Hill, GPD-MLE/PWM, GEV, Mean Excess, parameter stability, causal tail coefficient) that lets a practitioner distinguish Frechet from Weibull regimes and choose between SHIFT and L1 alternatives on empirical grounds. Extensions to binary-treatment CATE (Huber pseudo-outcome X-Learner) and time-series ADRF (block-CV + rolling MAD) are included. A counter-intuitive ablation: linear nuisance models (Ridge, Lasso) outperform gradient-boosted nuisances for robust DML under uniform contamination, inverting the usual more-flexible-is-better heuristic.

Standard diffusion models for graph generation typically rely on uniform time-stepping, an approach that overlooks the non-homogeneous dynamics of distributional evolution on complex manifolds. In this paper, we present an information-geometric framework that reinterprets the diffusion sampling trajectory as a parametric curve on a Riemannian manifold. Our key observation is that the Fisher-Rao metric provides a principled measure of the intrinsic distance. By analyzing this metric, we derive the Drift Variation Score (DVS), a geometry-aware indicator that quantifies the instantaneous rate of distributional change. Unlike prior heuristic-based adaptive samplers, our DVS solver enforces a constant informational speed on the statistical manifold, automatically maintaining a uniform rate of distributional change along the sampling trajectory. This equal arc-length strategy ensures that each discretization step contributes equally to the information speed. Theoretical analysis verifies that DVS characterizes the local stiffness of the sampling dynamics in the Fisher-Rao sense. Experimental results on molecule and social network generation show that DVS significantly improves structural fidelity and sampling efficiency. Code is at https://github.com/kunzhan/DVS

Online Conformal Prediction (CP) struggles to balance temporal adaptability and structural stability. Feedback-driven methods (e.g., Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI)) suffer from systemic marginal under-coverage and high interval variance during abrupt shifts, while temporally discounted Bayesian CP suffers from severe structural lag and uncalibrated interval bloat. We propose State-Adaptive Bayesian Conformal Prediction (SA-BCP) to achieve optimal spatio-temporal decoupling. By gating long-term temporal inertia with spatial kernel-density evidence, SA-BCP proactively expands intervals for recognized historical regimes while maintaining tight efficiency during stable states. We rigorously prove this mechanism's optimality, identifying a minimax bias-variance tradeoff governed by an evidence threshold $K$. Extensive benchmarks on volatile financial datasets (2016--2026), including AMD, Gold, and GBP/USD, demonstrate that SA-BCP consistently minimizes the strictly proper Winkler score across diverse confidence levels. Specifically, SA-BCP resolves the systematic under-coverage inherent to ACI variants while simultaneously reducing the uncalibrated interval bloat of Bayesian CP by 10\% to 37\% under high-confidence requests. By elegantly navigating this tradeoff, SA-BCP achieves an optimal balance between conditional reliability and predictive efficiency.

Randomized-subspace methods reduce the cost of first-order optimization by using only low-dimensional projected-gradient information, a feature that is attractive in forward-mode automatic differentiation and communication-limited settings. While Nesterov acceleration is well understood for full-gradient and coordinate-based methods, obtaining accelerated methods for general subspace sketches that use only projected-gradient information and can improve over full-dimensional Nesterov acceleration in oracle complexity is technically nontrivial. We develop randomized-subspace Nesterov accelerated gradient methods for smooth convex and smooth strongly convex optimization under matrix smoothness and generic sketch moment assumptions. The key technical ingredient is a three-sequence formulation tailored to matrix smoothness, which recovers the corresponding classical Nesterov methods in the full-dimensional case. The resulting theory establishes accelerated oracle-complexity guarantees and makes explicit how matrix smoothness and the sketch distribution enter the complexity. It also provides a unified basis for comparing sketch families and identifying when randomized-subspace acceleration improves over full-dimensional Nesterov acceleration in oracle complexity.

The UAE says it will integrate agentic AI across half of its government operations within two years, making one of the most aggressive moves in the global AI race.

How does live facial recognition work and how many police forces use it? Britain's biometrics watchdogs have warned that national oversight of AI-powered face scanning to catch criminals is lagging far behind the technology's rapid growth. With the Metropolitan police almost doubling the number of faces they scan in London over the past 12 months and a rising use of the technology by retailers in the UK, Prof William Webster, the biometrics commissioner for England and Wales, said the "slow pace of legislation was trying to catch up with the real world" and "the horse had gone before the cart". Dr Brian Plastow, who holds the same role in Scotland, warned the technology was "nowhere near as effective as the police claim it is" and said there was a "patchwork legal framework" throughout the UK. He said in England and Wales, police were "really just marking their own homework".

Varun Chandra advises Keir Starmer on trade negotiations including AI investment. Varun Chandra advises Keir Starmer on trade negotiations including AI investment. Exclusive: Varun Chandra's talks with Google, Meta, Apple and others raise fears of'lobbying behind closed doors' An influential government adviser close to Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves held 16 undisclosed meetings with top US tech executives, the Guardian can reveal. The No 10 business aide Varun Chandra discussed regulatory changes, AI and Donald Trump's second administration with tech corporations during confidential meetings between October 2024 and October 2025. In one meeting he offered to help a top executive meet the prime minister directly.

Things to Do in L.A. Tap to enable a layout that focuses on the article. Cole Allen's journey from young athlete and Caltech grad to accused gunman in D.C. attack Cole Tomas Allen selfie before the attack in Washington, D.C., according to a pretrial detention memo filed by prosecutors Wednesday. This is read by an automated voice. Please report any issues or inconsistencies here . A quiet, respected tutor and engineer from Southern California with a "godly" upbringing allegedly attempted to assassinate President Trump at the White House correspondents' dinner, shocking those who knew him. Allen's social media accounts under the handle "coldForce" show years of posts criticizing Trump and supporting Ukraine, but contain no indication of violent intent despite the alleged assassination plot.