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Toward the Automated Construction of Probabilistic Knowledge Graphs for the Maritime Domain

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

International maritime crime is becoming increasingly sophisticated, often associated with wider criminal networks. Detecting maritime threats by means of fusing data purely related to physical movement (i.e., those generated by physical sensors, or hard data) is not sufficient. This has led to research and development efforts aimed at combining hard data with other types of data (especially human-generated or soft data). Existing work often assumes that input soft data is available in a structured format, or is focused on extracting certain relevant entities or concepts to accompany or annotate hard data. Much less attention has been given to extracting the rich knowledge about the situations of interest implicitly embedded in the large amount of soft data existing in unstructured formats (such as intelligence reports and news articles). In order to exploit the potentially useful and rich information from such sources, it is necessary to extract not only the relevant entities and concepts but also their semantic relations, together with the uncertainty associated with the extracted knowledge (i.e., in the form of probabilistic knowledge graphs). This will increase the accuracy of and confidence in, the extracted knowledge and facilitate subsequent reasoning and learning. To this end, we propose Maritime DeepDive, an initial prototype for the automated construction of probabilistic knowledge graphs from natural language data for the maritime domain. In this paper, we report on the current implementation of Maritime DeepDive, together with preliminary results on extracting probabilistic events from maritime piracy incidents. This pipeline was evaluated on a manually crafted gold standard, yielding promising results.


Widespread Increases in Future Wildfire Risk to Global Forest Carbon Offset Projects Revealed by Explainable AI

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Carbon offset programs are critical in the fight against climate change. One emerging threat to the long-term stability and viability of forest carbon offset projects is wildfires, which can release large amounts of carbon and limit the efficacy of associated offsetting credits. However, analysis of wildfire risk to forest carbon projects is challenging because existing models for forecasting long-term fire risk are limited in predictive accuracy. Therefore, we propose an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) model trained on 7 million global satellite wildfire observations. Validation results suggest substantial potential for high resolution, enhanced accuracy projections of global wildfire risk, and the model outperforms the U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research's leading fire model. Applied to a collection of 190 global forest carbon projects, we find that fire exposure is projected to increase 55% [37-76%] by 2080 under a mid-range scenario (SSP2-4.5). Our results indicate the large wildfire carbon project damages seen in the past decade are likely to become more frequent as forests become hotter and drier. In response, we hope the model can support wildfire managers, policymakers, and carbon market analysts to preemptively quantify and mitigate long-term permanence risks to forest carbon projects.


fairml: A Statistician's Take on Fair Machine Learning Modelling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The adoption of machine learning in applications where it is crucial to ensure fairness and accountability has led to a large number of model proposals in the literature, largely formulated as optimisation problems with constraints reducing or eliminating the effect of sensitive attributes on the response. While this approach is very flexible from a theoretical perspective, the resulting models are somewhat black-box in nature: very little can be said about their statistical properties, what are the best practices in their applied use, and how they can be extended to problems other than those they were originally designed for. Furthermore, the estimation of each model requires a bespoke implementation involving an appropriate solver which is less than desirable from a software engineering perspective. In this paper, we describe the fairml R package which implements our previous work (Scutari, Panero, and Proissl 2022) and related models in the literature. fairml is designed around classical statistical models (generalised linear models) and penalised regression results (ridge regression) to produce fair models that are interpretable and whose properties are well-known. The constraint used to enforce fairness is orthogonal to model estimation, making it possible to mix-and-match the desired model family and fairness definition for each application. Furthermore, fairml provides facilities for model estimation, model selection and validation including diagnostic plots.


Attention Based Feature Fusion For Multi-Agent Collaborative Perception

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the domain of intelligent transportation systems (ITS), collaborative perception has emerged as a promising approach to overcome the limitations of individual perception by enabling multiple agents to exchange information, thus enhancing their situational awareness. Collaborative perception overcomes the limitations of individual sensors, allowing connected agents to perceive environments beyond their line-of-sight and field of view. However, the reliability of collaborative perception heavily depends on the data aggregation strategy and communication bandwidth, which must overcome the challenges posed by limited network resources. To improve the precision of object detection and alleviate limited network resources, we propose an intermediate collaborative perception solution in the form of a graph attention network (GAT). The proposed approach develops an attention-based aggregation strategy to fuse intermediate representations exchanged among multiple connected agents. This approach adaptively highlights important regions in the intermediate feature maps at both the channel and spatial levels, resulting in improved object detection precision. We propose a feature fusion scheme using attention-based architectures and evaluate the results quantitatively in comparison to other state-of-the-art collaborative perception approaches. Our proposed approach is validated using the V2XSim dataset. The results of this work demonstrate the efficacy of the proposed approach for intermediate collaborative perception in improving object detection average precision while reducing network resource usage.


Real-Time Radiance Fields for Single-Image Portrait View Synthesis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a one-shot method to infer and render a photorealistic 3D representation from a single unposed image (e.g., face portrait) in real-time. Given a single RGB input, our image encoder directly predicts a canonical triplane representation of a neural radiance field for 3D-aware novel view synthesis via volume rendering. Our method is fast (24 fps) on consumer hardware, and produces higher quality results than strong GAN-inversion baselines that require test-time optimization. To train our triplane encoder pipeline, we use only synthetic data, showing how to distill the knowledge from a pretrained 3D GAN into a feedforward encoder. Technical contributions include a Vision Transformer-based triplane encoder, a camera data augmentation strategy, and a well-designed loss function for synthetic data training. We benchmark against the state-of-the-art methods, demonstrating significant improvements in robustness and image quality in challenging real-world settings. We showcase our results on portraits of faces (FFHQ) and cats (AFHQ), but our algorithm can also be applied in the future to other categories with a 3D-aware image generator.


HEAT: A Highly Efficient and Affordable Training System for Collaborative Filtering Based Recommendation on CPUs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Collaborative filtering (CF) has been proven to be one of the most effective techniques for recommendation. Among all CF approaches, SimpleX is the state-of-the-art method that adopts a novel loss function and a proper number of negative samples. However, there is no work that optimizes SimpleX on multi-core CPUs, leading to limited performance. To this end, we perform an in-depth profiling and analysis of existing SimpleX implementations and identify their performance bottlenecks including (1) irregular memory accesses, (2) unnecessary memory copies, and (3) redundant computations. To address these issues, we propose an efficient CF training system (called HEAT) that fully enables the multi-level caching and multi-threading capabilities of modern CPUs. Specifically, the optimization of HEAT is threefold: (1) It tiles the embedding matrix to increase data locality and reduce cache misses (thus reduces read latency); (2) It optimizes stochastic gradient descent (SGD) with sampling by parallelizing vector products instead of matrix-matrix multiplications, in particular the similarity computation therein, to avoid memory copies for matrix data preparation; and (3) It aggressively reuses intermediate results from the forward phase in the backward phase to alleviate redundant computation. Evaluation on five widely used datasets with both x86- and ARM-architecture processors shows that HEAT achieves up to 45.2X speedup over existing CPU solution and 4.5X speedup and 7.9X cost reduction in Cloud over existing GPU solution with NVIDIA V100 GPU.


Text Adversarial Purification as Defense against Adversarial Attacks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Adversarial purification is a successful defense mechanism against adversarial attacks without requiring knowledge of the form of the incoming attack. Generally, adversarial purification aims to remove the adversarial perturbations therefore can make correct predictions based on the recovered clean samples. Despite the success of adversarial purification in the computer vision field that incorporates generative models such as energy-based models and diffusion models, using purification as a defense strategy against textual adversarial attacks is rarely explored. In this work, we introduce a novel adversarial purification method that focuses on defending against textual adversarial attacks. With the help of language models, we can inject noise by masking input texts and reconstructing the masked texts based on the masked language models. In this way, we construct an adversarial purification process for textual models against the most widely used word-substitution adversarial attacks. We test our proposed adversarial purification method on several strong adversarial attack methods including Textfooler and BERT-Attack and experimental results indicate that the purification algorithm can successfully defend against strong word-substitution attacks.


Bayesian Safety Validation for Black-Box Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Accurately estimating the probability of failure for safety-critical systems is important for certification. Estimation is often challenging due to high-dimensional input spaces, dangerous test scenarios, and computationally expensive simulators; thus, efficient estimation techniques are important to study. This work reframes the problem of black-box safety validation as a Bayesian optimization problem and introduces an algorithm, Bayesian safety validation, that iteratively fits a probabilistic surrogate model to efficiently predict failures. The algorithm is designed to search for failures, compute the most-likely failure, and estimate the failure probability over an operating domain using importance sampling. We introduce a set of three acquisition functions that focus on reducing uncertainty by covering the design space, optimizing the analytically derived failure boundaries, and sampling the predicted failure regions. Mainly concerned with systems that only output a binary indication of failure, we show that our method also works well in cases where more output information is available. Results show that Bayesian safety validation achieves a better estimate of the probability of failure using orders of magnitude fewer samples and performs well across various safety validation metrics. We demonstrate the algorithm on three test problems with access to ground truth and on a real-world safety-critical subsystem common in autonomous flight: a neural network-based runway detection system. This work is open sourced and currently being used to supplement the FAA certification process of the machine learning components for an autonomous cargo aircraft.


Ontology-Driven and Weakly Supervised Rare Disease Identification from Clinical Notes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Computational text phenotyping is the practice of identifying patients with certain disorders and traits from clinical notes. Rare diseases are challenging to be identified due to few cases available for machine learning and the need for data annotation from domain experts. We propose a method using ontologies and weak supervision, with recent pre-trained contextual representations from Bi-directional Transformers (e.g. BERT). The ontology-based framework includes two steps: (i) Text-to-UMLS, extracting phenotypes by contextually linking mentions to concepts in Unified Medical Language System (UMLS), with a Named Entity Recognition and Linking (NER+L) tool, SemEHR, and weak supervision with customised rules and contextual mention representation; (ii) UMLS-to-ORDO, matching UMLS concepts to rare diseases in Orphanet Rare Disease Ontology (ORDO). The weakly supervised approach is proposed to learn a phenotype confirmation model to improve Text-to-UMLS linking, without annotated data from domain experts. We evaluated the approach on three clinical datasets, MIMIC-III discharge summaries, MIMIC-III radiology reports, and NHS Tayside brain imaging reports from two institutions in the US and the UK, with annotations. The improvements in the precision were pronounced (by over 30% to 50% absolute score for Text-to-UMLS linking), with almost no loss of recall compared to the existing NER+L tool, SemEHR. Results on radiology reports from MIMIC-III and NHS Tayside were consistent with the discharge summaries. The overall pipeline processing clinical notes can extract rare disease cases, mostly uncaptured in structured data (manually assigned ICD codes). We discuss the usefulness of the weak supervision approach and propose directions for future studies.


MLHOps: Machine Learning for Healthcare Operations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Machine Learning Health Operations (MLHOps) is the combination of processes for reliable, efficient, usable, and ethical deployment and maintenance of machine learning models in healthcare settings. This paper provides both a survey of work in this area and guidelines for developers and clinicians to deploy and maintain their own models in clinical practice. We cover the foundational concepts of general machine learning operations, describe the initial setup of MLHOps pipelines (including data sources, preparation, engineering, and tools). We then describe long-term monitoring and updating (including data distribution shifts and model updating) and ethical considerations (including bias, fairness, interpretability, and privacy). This work therefore provides guidance across the full pipeline of MLHOps from conception to initial and ongoing deployment.