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Moderating Model Marketplaces: Platform Governance Puzzles for AI Intermediaries

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The AI development community is increasingly making use of hosting intermediaries such as Hugging Face provide easy access to user-uploaded models and training data. These model marketplaces lower technical deployment barriers for hundreds of thousands of users, yet can be used in numerous potentially harmful and illegal ways. In this article, we explain ways in which AI systems, which can both `contain' content and be open-ended tools, present one of the trickiest platform governance challenges seen to date. We provide case studies of several incidents across three illustrative platforms -- Hugging Face, GitHub and Civitai -- to examine how model marketplaces moderate models. Building on this analysis, we outline important (and yet nevertheless limited) practices that industry has been developing to respond to moderation demands: licensing, access and use restrictions, automated content moderation, and open policy development. While the policy challenge at hand is a considerable one, we conclude with some ideas as to how platforms could better mobilize resources to act as a careful, fair, and proportionate regulatory access point.


Machine-learning-accelerated simulations to enable automatic surface reconstruction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding material surfaces and interfaces is vital in applications like catalysis or electronics. By combining energies from electronic structure with statistical mechanics, ab initio simulations can in principle predict the structure of material surfaces as a function of thermodynamic variables. However, accurate energy simulations are prohibitive when coupled to the vast phase space that must be statistically sampled. Here, we present a bi-faceted computational loop to predict surface phase diagrams of multi-component materials that accelerates both the energy scoring and statistical sampling methods. Fast, scalable, and data-efficient machine learning interatomic potentials are trained on high-throughput density-functional theory calculations through closed-loop active learning. Markov-chain Monte Carlo sampling in the semi-grand canonical ensemble is enabled by using virtual surface sites. The predicted surfaces for GaN(0001), Si(111), and SrTiO3(001) are in agreement with past work and suggest that the proposed strategy can model complex material surfaces and discover previously unreported surface terminations.


Learning and Controlling Silicon Dopant Transitions in Graphene using Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sub-atomically focused electron beams in scanning transmission electron microscopes (STEMs) can induce a broad spectrum of chemical changes, including defect formation, reconfiguration of chemical bonds, and dopant insertion. Several groups have shown the feasibility of direct atomic manipulation via electron beam stimulation, which holds great promise for a number of downstream applications such as material design, solid-state quantum computers, and others (Jesse et al, 2018; Susi et al, 2017b; Dyck et al, 2017; Tripathi et al, 2018; Dyck et al, 2018). One of the challenges for advances in this space is that these types of atomic manipulation rely on manual control by highly-trained experts, which is expensive and slow. The ability to accurately automate this type of beam control could thereby result in tremendous impact on the feasibility of atomic manipulation for real use cases. A critical requirement for this automation is accurate estimation of the transition dynamics of atoms when stimulated by focused electron beams.


Deep State-Space Model for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Our work presents two fundamental contributions. On the application side, we tackle the challenging problem of predicting day-ahead crypto-currency prices. On the methodological side, a new dynamical modeling approach is proposed. Our approach keeps the probabilistic formulation of the state-space model, which provides uncertainty quantification on the estimates, and the function approximation ability of deep neural networks. We call the proposed approach the deep state-space model. The experiments are carried out on established cryptocurrencies (obtained from Yahoo Finance). The goal of the work has been to predict the price for the next day. Benchmarking has been done with both state-of-the-art and classical dynamical modeling techniques. Results show that the proposed approach yields the best overall results in terms of accuracy. Preprint submitted to XXX November 28, 2023 1. Introduction Investopedia defines crypto-currency as "a digital or virtual currency that is secured by cryptography, which makes it nearly impossible to counterfeit or double-spend" and is built on "decentralized networks based on block-chain technology--a distributed ledger enforced by a disparate network of computers". A defining feature of crypto-currencies is that they are usually not issued by central banking agencies like the Federal Reserve System in US, Bank of Canada, European Central Bank, or the People's Bank of China; this makes cryptocurrencies (theoretically) immune to government interventions. The introduction of Bitcoin around 2009 and its meteoric rise led to investors infuse their funds in crypto-currencies.


Synaptic Sampling of Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify uncertainty by well-understood methods such as Monte Carlo sampling has been limited by the high costs of stochastic sampling on deterministic computing hardware. Emerging computing systems that are amenable to hardware-level probabilistic computing, such as those that leverage stochastic devices, may make probabilistic neural networks more feasible in the not-too-distant future. This paper describes the scANN technique -- \textit{sampling (by coinflips) artificial neural networks} -- which enables neural networks to be sampled directly by treating the weights as Bernoulli coin flips. This method is natively well suited for probabilistic computing techniques that focus on tunable stochastic devices, nearly matches fully deterministic performance while also describing the uncertainty of correct and incorrect neural network outputs.


Real-Time Distributed Infrastructure-free Searching and Target Tracking via Virtual Pheromones

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Actively searching for targets using a multi-agent system in an unknown environment poses a two-pronged problem, where on the one hand we need agents to cover as much of the environment as possible with little overlap and on the other hand the agents must coordinate among themselves to select and track targets thereby maximizing detection performance. This paper proposes a fully distributed solution for an ad hoc network of agents to cooperatively search for targets and monitor them in an unknown infrastructure-free environment. The solution combines a distributed pheromone-based coverage control strategy with a distributed target selection mechanism. We further expand the scope to show the implementation of the proposed algorithm on a Lighter Than Air (LTA) multi-robotic system that can search and track objects in priori unknown locations.


Orca 2: Teaching Small Language Models How to Reason

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Orca 1 learns from rich signals, such as explanation traces, allowing it to outperform conventional instruction-tuned models on benchmarks like BigBench Hard and AGIEval. In Orca 2, we continue exploring how improved training signals can enhance smaller LMs' reasoning abilities. Research on training small LMs has often relied on imitation learning to replicate the output of more capable models. We contend that excessive emphasis on imitation may restrict the potential of smaller models. We seek to teach small LMs to employ different solution strategies for different tasks, potentially different from the one used by the larger model. For example, while larger models might provide a direct answer to a complex task, smaller models may not have the same capacity. In Orca 2, we teach the model various reasoning techniques (step-by-step, recall then generate, recall-reason-generate, direct answer, etc.). More crucially, we aim to help the model learn to determine the most effective solution strategy for each task. We evaluate Orca 2 using a comprehensive set of 15 diverse benchmarks (corresponding to approximately 100 tasks and over 36,000 unique prompts). Orca 2 significantly surpasses models of similar size and attains performance levels similar or better to those of models 5-10x larger, as assessed on complex tasks that test advanced reasoning abilities in zero-shot settings. make Orca 2 weights publicly available at aka.ms/orca-lm to support research on the development, evaluation, and alignment of smaller LMs


Managing ML-Based Application Non-Functional Behavior: A Multi-Model Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern applications are increasingly driven by Machine Learning (ML) models whose non-deterministic behavior is affecting the entire application life cycle from design to operation. The pervasive adoption of ML is urgently calling for approaches that guarantee a stable non-functional behavior of ML-based applications over time and across model changes. To this aim, non-functional properties of ML models, such as privacy, confidentiality, fairness, and explainability, must be monitored, verified, and maintained. This need is even more pressing when modern applications operate in the edge-cloud continuum, increasing their complexity and dynamicity. Existing approaches mostly focus on i) implementing classifier selection solutions according to the functional behavior of ML models, ii) finding new algorithmic solutions to this need, such as continuous re-training. In this paper, we propose a multi-model approach built on dynamic classifier selection, where multiple ML models showing similar non-functional properties are made available to the application and one model is selected over time according to (dynamic and unpredictable) contextual changes. Our solution goes beyond the state of the art by providing an architectural and methodological approach that continuously guarantees a stable non-functional behavior of ML-based applications, is applicable to different ML models, and is driven by non-functional properties assessed on the models themselves. It consists of a two-step process working during application operation, where model assessment verifies non-functional properties of ML models trained and selected at development time, and model substitution guarantees a continuous and stable support of non-functional properties. We experimentally evaluate our solution in a real-world scenario focusing on non-functional property fairness.


ALPHA: AnomaLous Physiological Health Assessment Using Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This study concentrates on evaluating the efficacy of Large Language Models (LLMs) in healthcare, with a specific focus on their application in personal anomalous health monitoring. Our research primarily investigates the capabilities of LLMs in interpreting and analyzing physiological data obtained from FDA-approved devices. We conducted an extensive analysis using anomalous physiological data gathered in a simulated low-air-pressure plateau environment. This allowed us to assess the precision and reliability of LLMs in understanding and evaluating users' health status with notable specificity. Our findings reveal that LLMs exhibit exceptional performance in determining medical indicators, including a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of less than 1 beat per minute for heart rate and less than 1% for oxygen saturation (SpO2). Furthermore, the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for these evaluations remained below 1%, with the overall accuracy of health assessments surpassing 85%. In image analysis tasks, such as interpreting photoplethysmography (PPG) data, our specially adapted GPT models demonstrated remarkable proficiency, achieving less than 1 bpm error in cycle count and 7.28 MAE for heart rate estimation. This study highlights LLMs' dual role as health data analysis tools and pivotal elements in advanced AI health assistants, offering personalized health insights and recommendations within the future health assistant framework.


Designing Long-term Group Fair Policies in Dynamical Systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Neglecting the effect that decisions have on individuals (and thus, on the underlying data distribution) when designing algorithmic decision-making policies may increase inequalities and unfairness in the long term--even if fairness considerations were taken in the policy design process. In this paper, we propose a novel framework for achieving long-term group fairness in dynamical systems, in which current decisions may affect an individual's features in the next step, and thus, future decisions. Specifically, our framework allows us to identify a time-independent policy that converges, if deployed, to the targeted fair stationary state of the system in the long-term, independently of the initial data distribution. We model the system dynamics with a time-homogeneous Markov chain and optimize the policy leveraging the Markov chain convergence theorem to ensure unique convergence. We provide examples of different targeted fair states of the system, encompassing a range of long-term goals for society and policy makers. Furthermore, we show how our approach facilitates the evaluation of different long-term targets by examining their impact on the group-conditional population distribution in the long term and how it evolves until convergence.