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The AI Risk Repository: A Comprehensive Meta-Review, Database, and Taxonomy of Risks From Artificial Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The risks posed by Artificial Intelligence (AI) are of considerable concern to academics, auditors, policymakers, AI companies, and the public. However, a lack of shared understanding of AI risks can impede our ability to comprehensively discuss, research, and react to them. This paper addresses this gap by creating an AI Risk Repository to serve as a common frame of reference. This comprises a living database of 777 risks extracted from 43 taxonomies, which can be filtered based on two overarching taxonomies and easily accessed, modified, and updated via our website and online spreadsheets. We construct our Repository with a systematic review of taxonomies and other structured classifications of AI risk followed by an expert consultation. We develop our taxonomies of AI risk using a best-fit framework synthesis. Our high-level Causal Taxonomy of AI Risks classifies each risk by its causal factors (1) Entity: Human, AI; (2) Intentionality: Intentional, Unintentional; and (3) Timing: Pre-deployment; Post-deployment. Our mid-level Domain Taxonomy of AI Risks classifies risks into seven AI risk domains: (1) Discrimination & toxicity, (2) Privacy & security, (3) Misinformation, (4) Malicious actors & misuse, (5) Human-computer interaction, (6) Socioeconomic & environmental, and (7) AI system safety, failures, & limitations. These are further divided into 23 subdomains. The AI Risk Repository is, to our knowledge, the first attempt to rigorously curate, analyze, and extract AI risk frameworks into a publicly accessible, comprehensive, extensible, and categorized risk database. This creates a foundation for a more coordinated, coherent, and complete approach to defining, auditing, and managing the risks posed by AI systems.


ONSEP: A Novel Online Neural-Symbolic Framework for Event Prediction Based on Large Language Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the realm of event prediction, temporal knowledge graph forecasting (TKGF) stands as a pivotal technique. Previous approaches face the challenges of not utilizing experience during testing and relying on a single short-term history, which limits adaptation to evolving data. In this paper, we introduce the Online Neural-Symbolic Event Prediction (ONSEP) framework, which innovates by integrating dynamic causal rule mining (DCRM) and dual history augmented generation (DHAG). DCRM dynamically constructs causal rules from real-time data, allowing for swift adaptation to new causal relationships. In parallel, DHAG merges short-term and long-term historical contexts, leveraging a bi-branch approach to enrich event prediction. Our framework demonstrates notable performance enhancements across diverse datasets, with significant Hit@k (k=1,3,10) improvements, showcasing its ability to augment large language models (LLMs) for event prediction without necessitating extensive retraining. The ONSEP framework not only advances the field of TKGF but also underscores the potential of neural-symbolic approaches in adapting to dynamic data environments.


Model Attribution in LLM-Generated Disinformation: A Domain Generalization Approach with Supervised Contrastive Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Model attribution for LLM-generated disinformation poses a significant challenge in understanding its origins and mitigating its spread. This task is especially challenging because modern large language models (LLMs) produce disinformation with human-like quality. Additionally, the diversity in prompting methods used to generate disinformation complicates accurate source attribution. These methods introduce domain-specific features that can mask the fundamental characteristics of the models. In this paper, we introduce the concept of model attribution as a domain generalization problem, where each prompting method represents a unique domain. We argue that an effective attribution model must be invariant to these domain-specific features. It should also be proficient in identifying the originating models across all scenarios, reflecting real-world detection challenges. To address this, we introduce a novel approach based on Supervised Contrastive Learning. This method is designed to enhance the model's robustness to variations in prompts and focuses on distinguishing between different source LLMs. We evaluate our model through rigorous experiments involving three common prompting methods: ``open-ended'', ``rewriting'', and ``paraphrasing'', and three advanced LLMs: ``llama 2'', ``chatgpt'', and ``vicuna''. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach in model attribution tasks, achieving state-of-the-art performance across diverse and unseen datasets.


Robust Active Learning (RoAL): Countering Dynamic Adversaries in Active Learning with Elastic Weight Consolidation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Despite significant advancements in active learning and adversarial attacks, the intersection of these two fields remains underexplored, particularly in developing robust active learning frameworks against dynamic adversarial threats. The challenge of developing robust active learning frameworks under dynamic adversarial attacks is critical, as these attacks can lead to catastrophic forgetting within the active learning cycle. This paper introduces Robust Active Learning (RoAL), a novel approach designed to address this issue by integrating Elastic Weight Consolidation (EWC) into the active learning process. Our contributions are threefold: First, we propose a new dynamic adversarial attack that poses significant threats to active learning frameworks. Second, we introduce a novel method that combines EWC with active learning to mitigate catastrophic forgetting caused by dynamic adversarial attacks. Finally, we conduct extensive experimental evaluations to demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. The results show that RoAL not only effectively counters dynamic adversarial threats but also significantly reduces the impact of catastrophic forgetting, thereby enhancing the robustness and performance of active learning systems in adversarial environments.


Enhancing Adversarial Attacks via Parameter Adaptive Adversarial Attack

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent times, the swift evolution of adversarial attacks has captured widespread attention, particularly concerning their transferability and other performance attributes. These techniques are primarily executed at the sample level, frequently overlooking the intrinsic parameters of models. Such neglect suggests that the perturbations introduced in adversarial samples might have the potential for further reduction. Given the essence of adversarial attacks is to impair model integrity with minimal noise on original samples, exploring avenues to maximize the utility of such perturbations is imperative. Against this backdrop, we have delved into the complexities of adversarial attack algorithms, dissecting the adversarial process into two critical phases: the Directional Supervision Process (DSP) and the Directional Optimization Process (DOP). While DSP determines the direction of updates based on the current samples and model parameters, it has been observed that existing model parameters may not always be conducive to adversarial attacks. The impact of models on adversarial efficacy is often overlooked in current research, leading to the neglect of DSP. We propose that under certain conditions, fine-tuning model parameters can significantly enhance the quality of DSP. For the first time, we propose that under certain conditions, fine-tuning model parameters can significantly improve the quality of the DSP. We provide, for the first time, rigorous mathematical definitions and proofs for these conditions, and introduce multiple methods for fine-tuning model parameters within DSP. Our extensive experiments substantiate the effectiveness of the proposed P3A method. Our code is accessible at: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/P3A-A12C/


Causal modelling without introducing counterfactuals or abstract distributions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The most common approach to causal modelling is the potential outcomes framework due to Neyman and Rubin. In this framework, outcomes of counterfactual treatments are assumed to be well-defined. This metaphysical assumption is often thought to be problematic yet indispensable. The conventional approach relies not only on counterfactuals but also on abstract notions of distributions and assumptions of independence that are not directly testable. In this paper, we construe causal inference as treatment-wise predictions for finite populations where all assumptions are testable; this means that one can not only test predictions themselves (without any fundamental problem) but also investigate sources of error when they fail. The new framework highlights the model-dependence of causal claims as well as the difference between statistical and scientific inference.


Assessing Language Models' Worldview for Fiction Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The use of Large Language Models (LLMs) has become ubiquitous, with abundant applications in computational creativity. One such application is fictional story generation. Fiction is a narrative that occurs in a story world that is slightly different than ours. With LLMs becoming writing partners, we question how suitable they are to generate fiction. This study investigates the ability of LLMs to maintain a state of world essential to generate fiction. Through a series of questions to nine LLMs, we find that only two models exhibit consistent worldview, while the rest are self-conflicting. Subsequent analysis of stories generated by four models revealed a strikingly uniform narrative pattern. This uniformity across models further suggests a lack of `state' necessary for fiction. We highlight the limitations of current LLMs in fiction writing and advocate for future research to test and create story worlds for LLMs to reside in. All code, dataset, and the generated responses can be found in https://github.com/tanny411/llm-reliability-and-consistency-evaluation.


Transformers and Large Language Models for Efficient Intrusion Detection Systems: A Comprehensive Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With significant advancements in Transformers LLMs, NLP has extended its reach into many research fields due to its enhanced capabilities in text generation and user interaction. One field benefiting greatly from these advancements is cybersecurity. In cybersecurity, many parameters that need to be protected and exchanged between senders and receivers are in the form of text and tabular data, making NLP a valuable tool in enhancing the security measures of communication protocols. This survey paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the utilization of Transformers and LLMs in cyber-threat detection systems. The methodology of paper selection and bibliometric analysis is outlined to establish a rigorous framework for evaluating existing research. The fundamentals of Transformers are discussed, including background information on various cyber-attacks and datasets commonly used in this field. The survey explores the application of Transformers in IDSs, focusing on different architectures such as Attention-based models, LLMs like BERT and GPT, CNN/LSTM-Transformer hybrids, emerging approaches like ViTs, among others. Furthermore, it explores the diverse environments and applications where Transformers and LLMs-based IDS have been implemented, including computer networks, IoT devices, critical infrastructure protection, cloud computing, SDN, as well as in autonomous vehicles. The paper also addresses research challenges and future directions in this area, identifying key issues such as interpretability, scalability, and adaptability to evolving threats, and more. Finally, the conclusion summarizes the findings and highlights the significance of Transformers and LLMs in enhancing cyber-threat detection capabilities, while also outlining potential avenues for further research and development.


A Quantum-Inspired Analysis of Human Disambiguation Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Formal languages are essential for computer programming and are constructed to be easily processed by computers. In contrast, natural languages are much more challenging and instigated the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP). One major obstacle is the ubiquity of ambiguities. Recent advances in NLP have led to the development of large language models, which can resolve ambiguities with high accuracy. At the same time, quantum computers have gained much attention in recent years as they can solve some computational problems faster than classical computers. This new computing paradigm has reached the fields of machine learning and NLP, where hybrid classical-quantum learning algorithms have emerged. However, more research is needed to identify which NLP tasks could benefit from a genuine quantum advantage. In this thesis, we applied formalisms arising from foundational quantum mechanics, such as contextuality and causality, to study ambiguities arising from linguistics. By doing so, we also reproduced psycholinguistic results relating to the human disambiguation process. These results were subsequently used to predict human behaviour and outperformed current NLP methods.


A Multi-Scale Cognitive Interaction Model of Instrument Operations at the Linac Coherent Light Source

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We describe a novel multi-agent, multi-scale computational cognitive interaction model of instrument operations at the Linac Coherent Light Source (LCLS). A leading scientific user facility, LCLS is the world's first hard x-ray free electron laser, operated by the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory for the U.S. Department of Energy. As the world's first x-ray free electron laser, LCLS is in high demand and heavily oversubscribed. Our overall project employs cognitive engineering methodologies to improve experimental efficiency and scientific productivity by refining experimental interfaces and workflows, simplifying tasks, reducing errors, and improving operator safety and stress levels. Our model simulates aspects of human cognition at multiple cognitive and temporal scales, ranging from seconds to hours, and among agents playing multiple roles, including instrument operator, real time data analyst, and experiment manager. The model can predict impacts stemming from proposed changes to operational interfaces and workflows. Because the model code is open source, and supplemental videos go into detail on all aspects of the model and results, this approach could be applied to other experimental apparatus and processes. Example results demonstrate the model's potential in guiding modifications to improve operational efficiency and scientific output. We discuss the implications of our findings for cognitive engineering in complex experimental settings and outline future directions for research.