Energy
Bridging Today and the Future of Humanity: AI Safety in 2024 and Beyond
The advancements in generative AI inevitably raise concerns about their risks and safety implications, which, in return, catalyzes significant progress in AI safety. However, as this field continues to evolve, a critical question arises: are our current efforts on AI safety aligned with the advancements of AI as well as the long-term goal of human civilization? This paper presents a blueprint for an advanced human society and leverages this vision to guide current AI safety efforts. It outlines a future where the Internet of Everything becomes reality, and creates a roadmap of significant technological advancements towards this envisioned future. For each stage of the advancements, this paper forecasts potential AI safety issues that humanity may face. By projecting current efforts against this blueprint, this paper examines the alignment between the current efforts and the long-term needs, and highlights unique challenges and missions that demand increasing attention from AI safety practitioners in the 2020s. This vision paper aims to offer a broader perspective on AI safety, emphasizing that our current efforts should not only address immediate concerns but also anticipate potential risks in the expanding AI landscape, thereby promoting a safe and sustainable future of AI and human civilization.
DUET: Dual Clustering Enhanced Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Qiu, Xiangfei, Wu, Xingjian, Lin, Yan, Guo, Chenjuan, Hu, Jilin, Yang, Bin
Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial for various applications, such as financial investment, energy management, weather forecasting, and traffic optimization. However, accurate forecasting is challenging due to two main factors. First, real-world time series often show heterogeneous temporal patterns caused by distribution shifts over time. Second, correlations among channels are complex and intertwined, making it hard to model the interactions among channels precisely and flexibly. In this study, we address these challenges by proposing a general framework called DUET, which introduces dual clustering on the temporal and channel dimensions to enhance multivariate time series forecasting. First, we design a Temporal Clustering Module (TCM) that clusters time series into fine-grained distributions to handle heterogeneous temporal patterns. For different distribution clusters, we design various pattern extractors to capture their intrinsic temporal patterns, thus modeling the heterogeneity. Second, we introduce a novel Channel-Soft-Clustering strategy and design a Channel Clustering Module (CCM), which captures the relationships among channels in the frequency domain through metric learning and applies sparsification to mitigate the adverse effects of noisy channels. Finally, DUET combines TCM and CCM to incorporate both the temporal and channel dimensions. Extensive experiments on 25 real-world datasets from 10 application domains, demonstrate the state-of-the-art performance of DUET.
The best of CES 2025
CES 2025 is coming to a close, and team Engadget is ready to leave Las Vegas. Our reporters and editors have scoured endless carpeted convention halls, braved lines of chain smokers and fielded thousands of emails a day to find the best and most credible products at the show. As expected, the vast majority of things we saw this CES had an AI component, with a noticeable uptick in AR glasses, hearing aid earbuds, solar-powered tech, emotional support robots and robot vacuums. Apparently people really like robovacs that can pick up socks. Our team was encouraged to see more growth in tech built to improve the lives of those with disabilities and mobility issues, too. Our list of CES 2025 winners covers a variety of categories, ranging from typical areas like home entertainment, transportation and smart home to theme-based topics like sustainability and accessibility.
Trading Devil RL: Backdoor attack via Stock market, Bayesian Optimization and Reinforcement Learning
With the rapid development of generative artificial intelligence, particularly large language models, a number of sub-fields of deep learning have made significant progress and are now very useful in everyday applications. For example, well-known financial institutions simulate a wide range of scenarios for various models created by their research teams using reinforcement learning, both before production and after regular operations. In this work, we propose a backdoor attack that focuses solely on data poisoning. This particular backdoor attack is classified as an attack without prior consideration or trigger, and we name it FinanceLLMsBackRL. Our aim is to examine the potential effects of large language models that use reinforcement learning systems for text production or speech recognition, finance, physics, or the ecosystem of contemporary artificial intelligence models.
Intelligent Sailing Model for Open Sea Navigation
Krasowski, Hanna, Schärdinger, Stefan, Arcak, Murat, Althoff, Matthias
Autonomous vessels potentially enhance safety and reliability of seaborne trade. To facilitate the development of autonomous vessels, high-fidelity simulations are required to model realistic interactions with other vessels. However, modeling realistic interactive maritime traffic is challenging due to the unstructured environment, coarsely specified traffic rules, and largely varying vessel types. Currently, there is no standard for simulating interactive maritime environments in order to rigorously benchmark autonomous vessel algorithms. In this paper, we introduce the first intelligent sailing model (ISM), which simulates rule-compliant vessels for navigation on the open sea. An ISM vessel reacts to other traffic participants according to maritime traffic rules while at the same time solving a motion planning task characterized by waypoints. In particular, the ISM monitors the applicable rules, generates rule-compliant waypoints accordingly, and utilizes a model predictive control for tracking the waypoints. We evaluate the ISM in two environments: interactive traffic with only ISM vessels and mixed traffic where some vessel trajectories are from recorded real-world maritime traffic data or handcrafted for criticality. Our results show that simulations with many ISM vessels of different vessel types are rule-compliant and scalable. We tested 4,049 critical traffic scenarios. For interactive traffic with ISM vessels, no collisions occurred while goal-reaching rates of about 97 percent were achieved. We believe that our ISM can serve as a standard for challenging and realistic maritime traffic simulation to accelerate autonomous vessel development.
Comparison Study: Glacier Calving Front Delineation in Synthetic Aperture Radar Images With Deep Learning
Gourmelon, Nora, Heidler, Konrad, Loebel, Erik, Cheng, Daniel, Klink, Julian, Dong, Anda, Wu, Fei, Maul, Noah, Koch, Moritz, Dreier, Marcel, Pyles, Dakota, Seehaus, Thorsten, Braun, Matthias, Maier, Andreas, Christlein, Vincent
Calving front position variation of marine-terminating glaciers is an indicator of ice mass loss and a crucial parameter in numerical glacier models. Deep Learning (DL) systems can automatically extract this position from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery, enabling continuous, weather- and illumination-independent, large-scale monitoring. This study presents the first comparison of DL systems on a common calving front benchmark dataset. A multi-annotator study with ten annotators is performed to contrast the best-performing DL system against human performance. The best DL model's outputs deviate 221 m on average, while the average deviation of the human annotators is 38 m. This significant difference shows that current DL systems do not yet match human performance and that further research is needed to enable fully automated monitoring of glacier calving fronts. The study of Vision Transformers, foundation models, and the inclusion and processing strategy of more information are identified as avenues for future research.
Active Inference for Self-Organizing Multi-LLM Systems: A Bayesian Thermodynamic Approach to Adaptation
This paper introduces a novel approach to creating adaptive language agents by integrating active inference with large language models (LLMs). While LLMs demonstrate remarkable capabilities, their reliance on static prompts limits adaptation to new information and changing environments. We address this by implementing an active inference framework that acts as a cognitive layer above an LLM-based agent, dynamically adjusting prompts and search strategies through principled information-seeking behavior. Our framework models the environment using three state factors (prompt, search, and information states) with seven observation modalities capturing quality metrics. By framing the agent's learning through the free energy principle, we enable systematic exploration of prompt combinations and search strategies. Experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach, with the agent developing accurate models of environment dynamics evidenced by emergent structure in observation matrices. Action selection patterns reveal sophisticated exploration-exploitation behavior, transitioning from initial information-gathering to targeted prompt testing. The integration of thermodynamic principles with language model capabilities provides a principled framework for creating robust, adaptable agents, extending active inference beyond traditional low-dimensional control problems to high-dimensional, language-driven environments.
Generalization of Urban Wind Environment Using Fourier Neural Operator Across Different Wind Directions and Cities
Chen, Cheng, Tian, Geng, Qin, Shaoxiang, Yang, Senwen, Geng, Dingyang, Zhan, Dongxue, Yang, Jinqiu, Vidal, David, Wang, Liangzhu Leon
Simulation of urban wind environments is crucial for urban planning, pollution control, and renewable energy utilization. However, the computational requirements of high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) methods make them impractical for real cities. To address these limitations, this study investigates the effectiveness of the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) model in predicting flow fields under different wind directions and urban layouts. In this study, we investigate the effectiveness of the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO) model in predicting urban wind conditions under different wind directions and urban layouts. By training the model on velocity data from large eddy simulation data, we evaluate the performance of the model under different urban configurations and wind conditions. The results show that the FNO model can provide accurate predictions while significantly reducing the computational time by 99%. Our innovative approach of dividing the wind field into smaller spatial blocks for training improves the ability of the FNO model to capture wind frequency features effectively. The SDF data also provides important spatial building information, enhancing the model's ability to recognize physical boundaries and generate more realistic predictions. The proposed FNO approach enhances the AI model's generalizability for different wind directions and urban layouts.
Shrink the longest: improving latent space isotropy with symplicial geometry
Kudriashov, Sergei, Karpik, Olesya, Klyshinsky, Eduard
Although transformer-based models have been dominating the field of deep learning, various studies of their embedding space have shown that they suffer from "representation degeneration problem" -- embeddings tend to be distributed in a narrow cone, making the latent space highly anisotropic. Increasing the isotropy has shown to improve performance in downstream tasks both in static and contextual language models. However, most of approaches either add inference overhead or require substantial amount of data for model reparametrization. We propose a novel regularization technique based on simplicial geometry to improve the isotropy of latent representations. The core idea of our method is based on maximizing the persistent entropy of barcodes obtained using Vietoris-Rips filtration from contextual embeddings in the underlying latent space. We demonstrate that the method leads to an increase in downstream performance while significantly lowering the anisotropy during fine-tuning by exploiting existing geometric structures instead of reparametrization.
Physics-Driven Learning for Inverse Problems in Quantum Chromodynamics
Aarts, Gert, Fukushima, Kenji, Hatsuda, Tetsuo, Ipp, Andreas, Shi, Shuzhe, Wang, Lingxiao, Zhou, Kai
The integration of deep learning techniques and physics-driven designs is reforming the way we address inverse problems, in which accurate physical properties are extracted from complex data sets. This is particularly relevant for quantum chromodynamics (QCD), the theory of strong interactions, with its inherent limitations in observational data and demanding computational approaches. This perspective highlights advances and potential of physics-driven learning methods, focusing on predictions of physical quantities towards QCD physics, and drawing connections to machine learning(ML). It is shown that the fusion of ML and physics can lead to more efficient and reliable problem-solving strategies. Key ideas of ML, methodology of embedding physics priors, and generative models as inverse modelling of physical probability distributions are introduced. Specific applications cover first-principle lattice calculations, and QCD physics of hadrons, neutron stars, and heavy-ion collisions. These examples provide a structured and concise overview of how incorporating prior knowledge such as symmetry, continuity and equations into deep learning designs can address diverse inverse problems across different physical sciences.