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DiSciPLE: Learning Interpretable Programs for Scientific Visual Discovery

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Visual data is used in numerous different scientific workflows ranging from remote sensing to ecology. As the amount of observation data increases, the challenge is not just to make accurate predictions but also to understand the underlying mechanisms for those predictions. Good interpretation is important in scientific workflows, as it allows for better decision-making by providing insights into the data. This paper introduces an automatic way of obtaining such interpretable-by-design models, by learning programs that interleave neural networks. We propose DiSciPLE (Discovering Scientific Programs using LLMs and Evolution) an evolutionary algorithm that leverages common sense and prior knowledge of large language models (LLMs) to create Python programs explaining visual data. Additionally, we propose two improvements: a program critic and a program simplifier to improve our method further to synthesize good programs. On three different real-world problems, DiSciPLE learns state-of-the-art programs on novel tasks with no prior literature. For example, we can learn programs with 35% lower error than the closest non-interpretable baseline for population density estimation.


AI-in-the-Loop Sensing and Communication Joint Design for Edge Intelligence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent breakthroughs in artificial intelligence (AI), wireless communications, and sensing technologies have accelerated the evolution of edge intelligence. However, conventional systems still grapple with issues such as low communication efficiency, redundant data acquisition, and poor model generalization. To overcome these challenges, we propose an innovative framework that enhances edge intelligence through AI-in-the-loop joint sensing and communication (JSAC). This framework features an AI-driven closed-loop control architecture that jointly optimizes system resources, thereby delivering superior system-level performance. A key contribution of our work is establishing an explicit relationship between validation loss and the system's tunable parameters. This insight enables dynamic reduction of the generalization error through AI-driven closed-loop control. Specifically, for sensing control, we introduce an adaptive data collection strategy based on gradient importance sampling, allowing edge devices to autonomously decide when to terminate data acquisition and how to allocate sample weights based on real-time model feedback. For communication control, drawing inspiration from stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD), our joint optimization of transmission power and batch size converts channel and data noise into gradient perturbations that help mitigate overfitting. Experimental evaluations demonstrate that our framework reduces communication energy consumption by up to 77 percent and sensing costs measured by the number of collected samples by up to 52 percent while significantly improving model generalization -- with up to 58 percent reductions of the final validation loss. It validates that the proposed scheme can harvest the mutual benefit of AI and JSAC systems by incorporating the model itself into the control loop of the system.


SGS-GNN: A Supervised Graph Sparsification method for Graph Neural Networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose SGS-GNN, a novel supervised graph sparsifier that learns the sampling probability distribution of edges and samples sparse subgraphs of a user-specified size to reduce the computational costs required by GNNs for inference tasks on large graphs. SGS-GNN employs regularizers in the loss function to enhance homophily in sparse subgraphs, boosting the accuracy of GNNs on heterophilic graphs, where a significant number of the neighbors of a node have dissimilar labels. SGS-GNN also supports conditional updates of the probability distribution learning module based on a prior, which helps narrow the search space for sparse graphs. SGS-GNN requires fewer epochs to obtain high accuracies since it learns the search space of subgraphs more effectively than methods using fixed distributions such as random sampling. Extensive experiments using 33 homophilic and heterophilic graphs demonstrate the following: (i) with only 20% of edges retained in the sparse subgraphs, SGS-GNN improves the F1-scores by a geometric mean of 4% relative to the original graph; on heterophilic graphs, the prediction accuracy is better up to 30%. (ii) SGS-GNN outperforms state-of-the-art methods with improvement in F1-scores of 4-7% in geometric mean with similar sparsities in the sampled subgraphs, and (iii) compared to sparsifiers that employ fixed distributions, SGS-GNN requires about half the number of epochs to converge.


SPIRIT: Short-term Prediction of solar IRradIance for zero-shot Transfer learning using Foundation Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traditional solar forecasting models are based on several years of site-specific historical irradiance data, often spanning five or more years, which are unavailable for newer photovoltaic farms. As renewable energy is highly intermittent, building accurate solar irradiance forecasting systems is essential for efficient grid management and enabling the ongoing proliferation of solar energy, which is crucial to achieve the United Nations' net zero goals. In this work, we propose SPIRIT, a novel approach leveraging foundation models for solar irradiance forecasting, making it applicable to newer solar installations. Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art models in zero-shot transfer learning by about 70%, enabling effective performance at new locations without relying on any historical data. Further improvements in performance are achieved through fine-tuning, as more location-specific data becomes available. These findings are supported by statistical significance, further validating our approach. SPIRIT represents a pivotal step towards rapid, scalable, and adaptable solar forecasting solutions, advancing the integration of renewable energy into global power systems.


DiOpt: Self-supervised Diffusion for Constrained Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent advances in diffusion models show promising potential for learning-based optimization by leveraging their multimodal sampling capability to escape local optima. However, existing diffusion-based optimization approaches, often reliant on supervised training, lacks a mechanism to ensure strict constraint satisfaction which is often required in real-world applications. One resulting observation is the distributional misalignment, i.e. the generated solution distribution often exhibits small overlap with the feasible domain. In this paper, we propose DiOpt, a novel diffusion paradigm that systematically learns near-optimal feasible solution distributions through iterative self-training. Our framework introduces several key innovations: a target distribution specifically designed to maximize overlap with the constrained solution manifold; a bootstrapped self-training mechanism that adaptively weights candidate solutions based on the severity of constraint violations and optimality gaps; and a dynamic memory buffer that accelerates convergence by retaining high-quality solutions over training iterations. To our knowledge, DiOpt represents the first successful integration of self-supervised diffusion with hard constraint satisfaction. Evaluations on diverse tasks, including power grid control, motion retargeting, wireless allocation demonstrate its superiority in terms of both optimality and constraint satisfaction.


AdaPTS: Adapting Univariate Foundation Models to Probabilistic Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Pre-trained foundation models (FMs) have shown exceptional performance in univariate time series forecasting tasks. However, several practical challenges persist, including managing intricate dependencies among features and quantifying uncertainty in predictions. This study aims to tackle these critical limitations by introducing adapters; feature-space transformations that facilitate the effective use of pre-trained univariate time series FMs for multivariate tasks. Adapters operate by projecting multivariate inputs into a suitable latent space and applying the FM independently to each dimension. Inspired by the literature on representation learning and partially stochastic Bayesian neural networks, we present a range of adapters and optimization/inference strategies. Experiments conducted on both synthetic and real-world datasets confirm the efficacy of adapters, demonstrating substantial enhancements in forecasting accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to baseline methods. Our framework, AdaPTS, positions adapters as a modular, scalable, and effective solution for leveraging time series FMs in multivariate contexts, thereby promoting their wider adoption in real-world applications. We release the code at https://github.com/abenechehab/AdaPTS.


Forecasting time series with constraints

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Time series forecasting presents unique challenges that limit the effectiveness of traditional machine learning algorithms. To address these limitations, various approaches have incorporated linear constraints into learning algorithms, such as generalized additive models and hierarchical forecasting. In this paper, we propose a unified framework for integrating and combining linear constraints in time series forecasting. Within this framework, we show that the exact minimizer of the constrained empirical risk can be computed efficiently using linear algebra alone. This approach allows for highly scalable implementations optimized for GPUs. We validate the proposed methodology through extensive benchmarking on real-world tasks, including electricity demand forecasting and tourism forecasting, achieving state-of-the-art performance.


Here's How We Can Power the AI Boom Without Building a Ton of New Gas Plants

Mother Jones

This story was originally published on the author's substack, Field Notes with Alexander C Kaufman, to which you can subscribe here. Artificial intelligence is driving up demand for electricity--the only question is how much, and what provides the power. Over the next three years, the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory estimates, AI's thirst for power will double or triple. Last month, OpenAI unveiled its Stargate Project, a plan to invest 500 billion in the infrastructure for artificial intelligence over the next four years that includes adding 25 gigawatts of new electricity capacity. Right now, the most likely source of electricity to power those data centers is gas.


Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events โ€“ day 1,085

Al Jazeera

At least one person was killed and four others, including a nine-year-old child, were injured by a Russian missile strike in Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, the city's mayor, Vitali Klitschko, said. The strike caused damage and fires in at least four areas of the city. Regional Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov said a woman was killed by a Ukrainian drone in Russia's Belgorod region. Gladkov said the drone struck the victim's car and killed her instantly. Ukraine's military said it shot down six out of seven ballistic missiles launched by Russia in an overnight attack.


Russia braces for oil output cuts as sanctions and drones hit

The Japan Times

Russia may be forced to throttle back its oil output in the coming months as U.S. sanctions hamper its access to tankers to sail to Asia and Ukrainian drone attacks hobble its refineries. The United States imposed sanctions last month that targeted 180 Russian tankers while Kyiv has stepped up drone attacks to improve its bargaining position amid expectations that U.S. President Donald Trump will press Russian leader Vladimir Putin to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine. Trump has said stopping the conflict is a priority and that he could impose new sanctions on Russia if his goals are not achieved.