Energy
LLM-empowered Agents Simulation Framework for Scenario Generation in Service Ecosystem Governance
Zhou, Deyu, Hou, Yuqi, Xue, Xiao, Lu, Xudong, Li, Qingzhong, Cui, Lizhen
As the social environment is growing more complex and collaboration is deepening, factors affecting the healthy development of service ecosystem are constantly changing and diverse, making its governance a crucial research issue. Applying the scenario analysis method and conducting scenario rehearsals by constructing an experimental system before managers make decisions, losses caused by wrong decisions can be largely avoided. However, it relies on predefined rules to construct scenarios and faces challenges such as limited information, a large number of influencing factors, and the difficulty of measuring social elements. These challenges limit the quality and efficiency of generating social and uncertain scenarios for the service ecosystem. Therefore, we propose a scenario generator design method, which adaptively coordinates three Large Language Model (LLM) empowered agents that autonomously optimize experimental schemes to construct an experimental system and generate high quality scenarios. Specifically, the Environment Agent (EA) generates social environment including extremes, the Social Agent (SA) generates social collaboration structure, and the Planner Agent (PA) couples task-role relationships and plans task solutions. These agents work in coordination, with the PA adjusting the experimental scheme in real time by perceiving the states of each agent and these generating scenarios. Experiments on the ProgrammableWeb dataset illustrate our method generates more accurate scenarios more efficiently, and innovatively provides an effective way for service ecosystem governance related experimental system construction.
Exploring Quantum Machine Learning for Weather Forecasting
da Silva, Maria Heloísa F., de Jesus, Gleydson F., Nascimento, Christiano M. S., da Silva, Valéria L., Cruz, Clebson
Weather forecasting plays a crucial role in supporting strategic decisions across various sectors, including agriculture, renewable energy production, and disaster management. However, the inherently dynamic and chaotic behavior of the atmosphere presents significant challenges to conventional predictive models. On the other hand, introducing quantum computing simulation techniques to the forecasting problems constitutes a promising alternative to overcome these challenges. In this context, this work explores the emerging intersection between quantum machine learning (QML) and climate forecasting. We present the implementation of a Quantum Neural Network (QNN) trained on real meteorological data from NASA's Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resources (POWER) database. The results show that QNN has the potential to outperform a classical Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) in terms of accuracy and adaptability to abrupt data shifts, particularly in wind speed prediction. Despite observed nonlinearities and architectural sensitivities, the QNN demonstrated robustness in handling temporal variability and faster convergence in temperature prediction. These findings highlight the potential of quantum models in short and medium term climate prediction, while also revealing key challenges and future directions for optimization and broader applicability.
Building surrogate models using trajectories of agents trained by Reinforcement Learning
Cestero, Julen, Quartulli, Marco, Restelli, Marcello
Sample efficiency in the face of computationally expensive simulations is a common concern in surrogate modeling. Current strategies to minimize the number of samples needed are not as effective in simulated environments with wide state spaces. As a response to this challenge, we propose a novel method to efficiently sample simulated deterministic environments by using policies trained by Reinforcement Learning. We provide an extensive analysis of these surrogate-building strategies with respect to Latin-Hypercube sampling or Active Learning and Kriging, cross-validating performances with all sampled datasets. The analysis shows that a mixed dataset that includes samples acquired by random agents, expert agents, and agents trained to explore the regions of maximum entropy of the state transition distribution provides the best scores through all datasets, which is crucial for a meaningful state space representation. We conclude that the proposed method improves the state-of-the-art and clears the path to enable the application of surrogate-aided Reinforcement Learning policy optimization strategies on complex simulators.
A novel parameter estimation method for pneumatic soft hand control applying logarithmic decrement for pseudo rigid body modeling
Zhang, Haiyun, Heung, Kelvin HoLam, Naquila, Gabrielle J., Hingwe, Ashwin, Deshpande, Ashish D.
The rapid advancement in physical human-robot interaction (HRI) has accelerated the development of soft robot designs and controllers. Controlling soft robots, especially soft hand grasping, is challenging due to their continuous deformation, motivating the use of reduced model-based controllers for real-time dynamic performance. Most existing models, however, suffer from computational inefficiency and complex parameter identification, limiting their real-time applicability. To address this, we propose a paradigm coupling Pseudo-Rigid Body Modeling with the Logarithmic Decrement Method for parameter estimation (PRBM plus LDM). Using a soft robotic hand test bed, we validate PRBM plus LDM for predicting position and force output from pressure input and benchmark its performance. We then implement PRBM plus LDM as the basis for closed-loop position and force controllers. Compared to a simple PID controller, the PRBM plus LDM position controller achieves lower error (average maximum error across all fingers: 4.37 degrees versus 20.38 degrees). For force control, PRBM plus LDM outperforms constant pressure grasping in pinching tasks on delicate objects: potato chip 86 versus 82.5, screwdriver 74.42 versus 70, brass coin 64.75 versus 35. These results demonstrate PRBM plus LDM as a computationally efficient and accurate modeling technique for soft actuators, enabling stable and flexible grasping with precise force regulation.
Speech Command Recognition Using LogNNet Reservoir Computing for Embedded Systems
Izotov, Yuriy, Velichko, Andrei
This paper presents a low-resource speech-command recognizer combining energy-based voice activity detection (VAD), an optimized Mel-Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC) pipeline, and the LogNNet reservoir-computing classifier. Using four commands from the Speech Commands da-taset downsampled to 8 kHz, we evaluate four MFCC aggregation schemes and find that adaptive binning (64-dimensional feature vector) offers the best accuracy-to-compactness trade-off. The LogNNet classifier with architecture 64:33:9:4 reaches 92.04% accuracy under speaker-independent evaluation, while requiring significantly fewer parameters than conventional deep learn-ing models. Hardware implementation on Arduino Nano 33 IoT (ARM Cor-tex-M0+, 48 MHz, 32 KB RAM) validates the practical feasibility, achieving ~90% real-time recognition accuracy while consuming only 18 KB RAM (55% utilization). The complete pipeline (VAD -> MFCC -> LogNNet) thus enables reliable on-device speech-command recognition under strict memory and compute limits, making it suitable for battery-powered IoT nodes, wire-less sensor networks, and hands-free control interfaces.
Self-Organising Memristive Networks as Physical Learning Systems
Caravelli, Francesco, Milano, Gianluca, Stieg, Adam Z., Ricciardi, Carlo, Brown, Simon Anthony, Kuncic, Zdenka
Learning with physical systems is an emerging paradigm that seeks to harness the intrinsic nonlinear dynamics of physical substrates for learning. The impetus for a paradigm shift in how hardware is used for computational intelligence stems largely from the unsustainability of artificial neural network software implemented on conventional transistor-based hardware. This Perspective highlights one promising approach using physical networks comprised of resistive memory nanoscale components with dynamically reconfigurable, self-organising electrical circuitry. Experimental advances have revealed the non-trivial interactions within these Self-Organising Memristive Networks (SOMNs), offering insights into their collective nonlinear and adaptive dynamics, and how these properties can be harnessed for learning using different hardware implementations. Theoretical approaches, including mean-field theory, graph theory, and concepts from disordered systems, reveal deeper insights into the dynamics of SOMNs, especially during transitions between different conductance states where criticality and other dynamical phase transitions emerge in both experiments and models. Furthermore, parallels between adaptive dynamics in SOMNs and plasticity in biological neuronal networks suggest the potential for realising energy-efficient, brain-like continual learning. SOMNs thus offer a promising route toward embedded edge intelligence, unlocking real-time decision-making for autonomous systems, dynamic sensing, and personalised healthcare, by enabling embedded learning in resource-constrained environments. The overarching aim of this Perspective is to show how the convergence of nanotechnology, statistical physics, complex systems, and self-organising principles offers a unique opportunity to advance a new generation of physical intelligence technologies.
Text Reinforcement for Multimodal Time Series Forecasting
Su, Chen, Tian, Yuanhe, Song, Yan, Zhang, Yongdong
Abstract--Recent studies in time series forecasting (TSF) use multimodal inputs, such as text and historical time series data, to predict future values. These studies mainly focus on developing advanced techniques to integrate textual information with time series data to perform the task and achieve promising results. Meanwhile, these approaches rely on high-quality text and time series inputs, whereas in some cases, the text does not accurately or fully capture the information carried by the historical time series, which leads to unstable performance in multimodal TSF . Therefore, it is necessary to enhance the textual content to improve the performance of multimodal TSF . In this paper, we propose improving multimodal TSF by reinforcing the text modalities. We propose a text reinforcement model (T eR) to generate reinforced text that addresses potential weaknesses in the original text, then apply this reinforced text to support the multimodal TSF model's understanding of the time series, improving TSF performance. T o guide the T eR toward producing higher-quality reinforced text, we design a reinforcement learning approach that assigns rewards based on the impact of each reinforced text on the performance of the multimodal TSF model and its relevance to the TSF task. We optimize the T eR accordingly, so as to improve the quality of the generated reinforced text and enhance TSF performance. Extensive experiments on a real-world benchmark dataset covering various domains demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach, which outperforms strong baselines and existing studies on the dataset. Time series forecasting (TSF) aims to predict future values based on historical time series and plays a crucial role in decision-making across various scenarios.
Do small language models generate realistic variable-quality fake news headlines?
McCutcheon, Austin, Brogly, Chris
Small language models (SLMs) have the capability for text generation and may potentially be used to generate falsified texts online. This study evaluates 14 SLMs (1.7B-14B parameters) including LLaMA, Gemma, Phi, SmolLM, Mistral, and Granite families in generating perceived low and high quality fake news headlines when explicitly prompted, and whether they appear to be similar to real-world news headlines. Using controlled prompt engineering, 24,000 headlines were generated across low-quality and high-quality deceptive categories. Existing machine learning and deep learning-based news headline quality detectors were then applied against these SLM-generated fake news headlines. SLMs demonstrated high compliance rates with minimal ethical resistance, though there were some occasional exceptions. Headline quality detection using established DistilBERT and bagging classifier models showed that quality misclassification was common, with detection accuracies only ranging from 35.2% to 63.5%. These findings suggest the following: tested SLMs generally are compliant in generating falsified headlines, although there are slight variations in ethical restraints, and the generated headlines did not closely resemble existing primarily human-written content on the web, given the low quality classification accuracy.
An Evolutionary Multi-objective Optimization for Replica-Exchange-based Physics-informed Operator Learning Network
Lu, Binghang, Mou, Changhong, Lin, Guang
In this paper, we propose an evolutionary Multi-objective Optimization for Replica-Exchange-based Physics-informed Operator learning Network, which is a novel operator learning network to efficiently solve parametric partial differential equations. In forward and inverse settings, this operator learning network only admits minimum requirement of noisy observational data. While physics-informed neural networks and operator learning approaches such as Deep Operator Networks and Fourier Neural Operators offer promising alternatives to traditional numerical solvers, they struggle with balancing operator and physics losses, maintaining robustness under noisy or sparse data, and providing uncertainty quantification. The proposed framework addresses these limitations by integrating: (i) evolutionary multi-objective optimization to adaptively balance operator and physics-based losses in the Pareto front; (ii) replica exchange stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics to improve global parameter-space exploration and accelerate convergence; and (iii) built-in Bayesian uncertainty quantification from stochastic sampling. The proposed operator learning method is tested numerically on several different problems including one-dimensional Burgers equation and the time-fractional mixed diffusion-wave equation. The results indicate that our framework consistently outperforms the general operator learning methods in accuracy, noise robustness, and the ability to quantify uncertainty.
BALM-TSF: Balanced Multimodal Alignment for LLM-Based Time Series Forecasting
Zhou, Shiqiao, Schöner, Holger, Lyu, Huanbo, Fouché, Edouard, Wang, Shuo
Time series forecasting is a long-standing and highly challenging research topic. Recently, driven by the rise of large language models (LLMs), research has increasingly shifted from purely time series methods toward harnessing textual modalities to enhance forecasting performance. However, the vast discrepancy between text and temporal data often leads current multimodal architectures to over-emphasise one modality while neglecting the other, resulting in information loss that harms forecasting performance. To address this modality imbalance, we introduce BALM-TSF (Balanced Multimodal Alignment for LLM-Based Time Series Forecasting), a lightweight time series forecasting framework that maintains balance between the two modalities. Specifically, raw time series are processed by the time series encoder, while descriptive statistics of raw time series are fed to an LLM with learnable prompt, producing compact textual embeddings. To ensure balanced cross-modal context alignment of time series and textual embeddings, a simple yet effective scaling strategy combined with a contrastive objective then maps these textual embeddings into the latent space of the time series embeddings. Finally, the aligned textual semantic embeddings and time series embeddings are together integrated for forecasting. Extensive experiments on standard benchmarks show that, with minimal trainable parameters, BALM-TSF achieves state-of-the-art performance in both long-term and few-shot forecasting, confirming its ability to harness complementary information from text and time series. Code is available at https://github.com/ShiqiaoZhou/BALM-TSF.