Energy
Information Avoidance and Overvaluation in Sequential Decision Making under Epistemic Constraints
Decision makers involved in the management of civil assets and systems usually take actions under constraints imposed by societal regulations. Some of these constraints are related to epistemic quantities, as the probability of failure events and the corresponding risks. Sensors and inspectors can provide useful information supporting the control process (e.g. the maintenance process of an asset), and decisions about collecting this information should rely on an analysis of its cost and value. When societal regulations encode an economic perspective that is not aligned with that of the decision makers, the Value of Information (VoI) can be negative (i.e., information sometimes hurts), and almost irrelevant information can even have a significant value (either positive or negative), for agents acting under these epistemic constraints. We refer to these phenomena as Information Avoidance (IA) and Information OverValuation (IOV). In this paper, we illustrate how to assess VoI in sequential decision making under epistemic constraints (as those imposed by societal regulations), by modeling a Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDP) and evaluating non optimal policies via Finite State Controllers (FSCs). We focus on the value of collecting information at current time, and on that of collecting sequential information, we illustrate how these values are related and we discuss how IA and IOV can occur in those settings.
Mythic Launches Industry First Analog AI Chip
Please welcome new Cambrian-AI Analyst Gary Fritz, who contributed to this article. Artificial Intelligence applications are starting to show up in everything from cell phones to supertankers. But at the edge, they are running into the same roadblocks that traditional applications have fought for years: they need more speed. What's a burgeoning neural net to do? To make matters worse, machine learning models are growing at an exponential rate, doubling in size every 3.5 months.
Cockroaches could be steered remotely for search and rescue missions
Scientists have demonstrated how a live cockroach equipped with a computerised'backpack' could be steered remotely for search and rescue missions. The backpack, created by a team at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, is a small computer chip fitted with an infrared camera, carbon dioxide sensor and a temperature/humidity sensor, among other functions. In lab trials, the team fitted the backpack to a Madagascar hissing cockroach and successfully used it to find humans in a simulated disaster scene. The cockroach fitted with the backpack also had electrodes implanted in its cerci – the protruding appendages on its left and right side. Electrical currents were delivered to the two cerci via the electrodes to induce turning, allowing the scientists to control the direction it moved in.
AI automated our space weather predictions with just one simple trick
Artificial intelligence (AI) now has the capabilities to predict space weather that is caused by our Sun accurately. Researchers from the University of Graz have created a new neural network that allows for artificial intelligence to reliably predict changes in the Sun's coronal holes from space-based observations. As you already know, the light emitted from the Sun plays a vital role in our existence here on Earth. Additionally, the light from the Sun interacting with Earth's magnetic field can influence our electronics, and in extreme cases, when the Sun blasts Earth with too many charged particles, our electricity grids can be temporarily knocked offline by geomagnetic storms. Now, the researchers have developed a new neural network that examines some of the dark regions on the Sun called coronal holes.
A 2020 taxonomy of algorithms inspired on living beings behavior
Since the emerge of ideas about simulation of life in last decades, several algorithms have been proposed to solve complex problems inspired on nature phenomena; i.e. evolutionary computation or artificial life. A role of a naturalist or biologist is taken with the purpose for studying all living forms in a new ecosystem and trying to make a classification of all discoveries to form a taxonomy of living beings. This role is taken as a computer naturalist to make a compilation of algorithms inspired on behavior of living beings. There are several bio-inspired algorithms; however, this work focus on actions of living beings like the growth of plants, reproduction of mushrooms, living of bacteria, the individuals behavior of animals, etc.; however, highlights the interactions between individuals of a group of different animals like school of fishes, flock of birds, herd of mammals, or swarm of insects. Focusing on algorithms inspired in actions of living beings that belongs to any kingdom of the nature; nevertheless, it is important to locate all algorithms as possible. Only basic algorithms are considered, but derivations, variants and hybrids are omitted; at least, algorithms which involves an inspiration of any living being. Location of bio-inspired algorithms related with a specific species is made by a review of several papers of surveys which involve nature bio-inspired, swarm intelligence, and metaheuristics algorithms; however, several of these surveys consider different points of view. It was consider only survey papers from ten years old ago because it is expected a more complete reviews since then. Surveys span in many cases all kind of algorithms; however many of them have been proposed recently; it maybe because the year 2020 is iconic.
Seismic Inverse Modeling Method based on Generative Adversarial Network
Xie, Pengfei, Yin, YanShu, Hou, JiaGen, Chen, Mei, Wang, Lixin
Seismic inverse modeling is a common method in reservoir prediction and it plays a vital role in the exploration and development of oil and gas. Conventional seismic inversion method is difficult to combine with complicated and abstract knowledge on geological mode and its uncertainty is difficult to be assessed. The paper proposes an inversion modeling method based on GAN consistent with geology, well logs, seismic data. GAN is a the most promising generation model algorithm that extracts spatial structure and abstract features of training images. The trained GAN can reproduce the models with specific mode. In our test, 1000 models were generated in 1 second. Based on the trained GAN after assessment, the optimal result of models can be calculated through Bayesian inversion frame. Results show that inversion models conform to observation data and have a low uncertainty under the premise of fast generation. This seismic inverse modeling method increases the efficiency and quality of inversion iteration. It is worthy of studying and applying in fusion of seismic data and geological knowledge.
Reinforced Few-Shot Acquisition Function Learning for Bayesian Optimization
Hsieh, Bing-Jing, Hsieh, Ping-Chun, Liu, Xi
Bayesian optimization (BO) conventionally relies on handcrafted acquisition functions (AFs) to sequentially determine the sample points. However, it has been widely observed in practice that the best-performing AF in terms of regret can vary significantly under different types of black-box functions. It has remained a challenge to design one AF that can attain the best performance over a wide variety of black-box functions. This paper aims to attack this challenge through the perspective of reinforced few-shot AF learning (FSAF). Specifically, we first connect the notion of AFs with Q-functions and view a deep Q-network (DQN) as a surrogate differentiable AF. While it serves as a natural idea to combine DQN and an existing few-shot learning method, we identify that such a direct combination does not perform well due to severe overfitting, which is particularly critical in BO due to the need of a versatile sampling policy. To address this, we present a Bayesian variant of DQN with the following three features: (i) It learns a distribution of Q-networks as AFs based on the Kullback-Leibler regularization framework. This inherently provides the uncertainty required in sampling for BO and mitigates overfitting. (ii) For the prior of the Bayesian DQN, we propose to use a demo policy induced by an off-the-shelf AF for better training stability. (iii) On the meta-level, we leverage the meta-loss of Bayesian model-agnostic meta-learning, which serves as a natural companion to the proposed FSAF. Moreover, with the proper design of the Q-networks, FSAF is general-purpose in that it is agnostic to the dimension and the cardinality of the input domain. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that the FSAF achieves comparable or better regrets than the state-of-the-art benchmarks on a wide variety of synthetic and real-world test functions.
Bangla Natural Language Processing: A Comprehensive Review of Classical, Machine Learning, and Deep Learning Based Methods
Sen, Ovishake, Fuad, Mohtasim, Islam, MD. Nazrul, Rabbi, Jakaria, Hasan, MD. Kamrul, Baz, Mohammed, Masud, Mehedi, Awal, Md. Abdul, Fime, Awal Ahmed, Fuad, Md. Tahmid Hasan, Sikder, Delowar, Iftee, MD. Akil Raihan
The Bangla language is the seventh most spoken language, with 265 million native and non-native speakers worldwide. However, English is the predominant language for online resources and technical knowledge, journals, and documentation. Consequently, many Bangla-speaking people, who have limited command of English, face hurdles to utilize English resources. To bridge the gap between limited support and increasing demand, researchers conducted many experiments and developed valuable tools and techniques to create and process Bangla language materials. Many efforts are also ongoing to make it easy to use the Bangla language in the online and technical domains. There are some review papers to understand the past, previous, and future Bangla Natural Language Processing (BNLP) trends. The studies are mainly concentrated on the specific domains of BNLP, such as sentiment analysis, speech recognition, optical character recognition, and text summarization. There is an apparent scarcity of resources that contain a comprehensive study of the recent BNLP tools and methods. Therefore, in this paper, we present a thorough review of 71 BNLP research papers and categorize them into 11 categories, namely Information Extraction, Machine Translation, Named Entity Recognition, Parsing, Parts of Speech Tagging, Question Answering System, Sentiment Analysis, Spam and Fake Detection, Text Summarization, Word Sense Disambiguation, and Speech Processing and Recognition. We study articles published between 1999 to 2021, and 50% of the papers were published after 2015. We discuss Classical, Machine Learning and Deep Learning approaches with different datasets while addressing the limitations and current and future trends of the BNLP.
Recommending Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis Methods with A New Taxonomy-based Decision Support System
Cinelli, Marco, Kadziński, Miłosz, Miebs, Grzegorz, Gonzalez, Michael, Słowiński, Roman
We present the Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis Methods Selection Software (MCDA-MSS). This decision support system helps analysts answering a recurring question in decision science: Which is the most suitable Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis method (or a subset of MCDA methods) that should be used for a given Decision-Making Problem (DMP)?. The MCDA-MSS includes guidance to lead decision-making processes and choose among an extensive collection (over 200) of MCDA methods. These are assessed according to an original comprehensive set of problem characteristics. The accounted features concern problem formulation, preference elicitation and types of preference information, desired features of a preference model, and construction of the decision recommendation. The applicability of the MCDA-MSS has been tested on several case studies. The MCDA-MSS includes the capabilities of (i) covering from very simple to very complex DMPs, (ii) offering recommendations for DMPs that do not match any method from the collection, (iii) helping analysts prioritize efforts for reducing gaps in the description of the DMPs, and (iv) unveiling methodological mistakes that occur in the selection of the methods. A community-wide initiative involving experts in MCDA methodology, analysts using these methods, and decision-makers receiving decision recommendations will contribute to expansion of the MCDA-MSS.
Drones for Medical Delivery Considering Different Demands Classes: A Markov Decision Process Approach for Managing Health Centers Dispatching Medical Products
Asadi, Amin, Pinkley, Sarah Nurre
We consider the problem of optimizing the distribution operations of a hub using drones to deliver medical supplies to different geographic regions. Drones are an innovative method with many benefits including low-contact delivery thereby reducing the spread of pandemic and vaccine-preventable diseases. While we focus on medical supply delivery for this work, it is applicable to drone delivery for many other applications, including food, postal items, and e-commerce delivery. In this paper, our goal is to address drone delivery challenges by optimizing the distribution operations at a drone hub that dispatch drones to different geographic locations generating stochastic demands for medical supplies. By considering different geographic locations, we consider different classes of demand that require different flight ranges, which is directly related to the amount of charge held in a drone battery. We classify the stochastic demands based on their distance from the drone hub, use a Markov decision process to model the problem, and perform computational tests using realistic data representing a prominent drone delivery company. We solve the problem using a reinforcement learning method and show its high performance compared with the exact solution found using dynamic programming. Finally, we analyze the results and provide insights for managing the drone hub operations.