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chatClimate: Grounding Conversational AI in Climate Science

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large Language Models (LLMs) have made significant progress in recent years, achieving remarkable results in question-answering tasks (QA). However, they still face two major challenges: hallucination and outdated information after the training phase. These challenges take center stage in critical domains like climate change, where obtaining accurate and up-to-date information from reliable sources in a limited time is essential and difficult. To overcome these barriers, one potential solution is to provide LLMs with access to external, scientifically accurate, and robust sources (long-term memory) to continuously update their knowledge and prevent the propagation of inaccurate, incorrect, or outdated information. In this study, we enhanced GPT-4 by integrating the information from the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental (IPCC AR6), the most comprehensive, up-to-date, and reliable source in this domain. We present our conversational AI prototype, available at www.chatclimate.ai and demonstrate its ability to answer challenging questions accurately in three different QA scenarios: asking from 1) GPT-4, 2) chatClimate, and 3) hybrid chatClimate. The answers and their sources were evaluated by our team of IPCC authors, who used their expert knowledge to score the accuracy of the answers from 1 (very-low) to 5 (very-high). The evaluation showed that the hybrid chatClimate provided more accurate answers, highlighting the effectiveness of our solution. This approach can be easily scaled for chatbots in specific domains, enabling the delivery of reliable and accurate information.


Improving CFD simulations by local machine-learned correction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

High-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations for design space explorations can be exceedingly expensive due to the cost associated with resolving the finer scales. This computational cost/accuracy trade-off is a major challenge for modern CFD simulations. In the present study, we propose a method that uses a trained machine learning model that has learned to predict the discretization error as a function of largescale flow features to inversely estimate the degree of lost information due to mesh coarsening. This information is then added back to the low-resolution solution during runtime, thereby enhancing the quality of the under-resolved coarse mesh simulation. The use of a coarser mesh produces a non-linear benefit in speed while the cost of inferring and correcting for the lost information has a linear cost. We demonstrate the numerical stability of a problem of engineering interest, a 3D turbulent channel flow. In addition to this demonstration, we further show the potential for speedup without sacrificing solution accuracy using this method, thereby making the cost/accuracy trade-off of CFD more favorable.


The SZ flux-mass ($Y$-$M$) relation at low halo masses: improvements with symbolic regression and strong constraints on baryonic feedback

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Feedback from active galactic nuclei (AGN) and supernovae can affect measurements of integrated SZ flux of halos ($Y_\mathrm{SZ}$) from CMB surveys, and cause its relation with the halo mass ($Y_\mathrm{SZ}-M$) to deviate from the self-similar power-law prediction of the virial theorem. We perform a comprehensive study of such deviations using CAMELS, a suite of hydrodynamic simulations with extensive variations in feedback prescriptions. We use a combination of two machine learning tools (random forest and symbolic regression) to search for analogues of the $Y-M$ relation which are more robust to feedback processes for low masses ($M\lesssim 10^{14}\, h^{-1} \, M_\odot$); we find that simply replacing $Y\rightarrow Y(1+M_*/M_\mathrm{gas})$ in the relation makes it remarkably self-similar. This could serve as a robust multiwavelength mass proxy for low-mass clusters and galaxy groups. Our methodology can also be generally useful to improve the domain of validity of other astrophysical scaling relations. We also forecast that measurements of the $Y-M$ relation could provide percent-level constraints on certain combinations of feedback parameters and/or rule out a major part of the parameter space of supernova and AGN feedback models used in current state-of-the-art hydrodynamic simulations. Our results can be useful for using upcoming SZ surveys (e.g., SO, CMB-S4) and galaxy surveys (e.g., DESI and Rubin) to constrain the nature of baryonic feedback. Finally, we find that the an alternative relation, $Y-M_*$, provides complementary information on feedback than $Y-M$


FAENet: Frame Averaging Equivariant GNN for Materials Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Applications of machine learning techniques for materials modeling typically involve functions known to be equivariant or invariant to specific symmetries. While graph neural networks (GNNs) have proven successful in such tasks, they enforce symmetries via the model architecture, which often reduces their expressivity, scalability and comprehensibility. In this paper, we introduce (1) a flexible framework relying on stochastic frame-averaging (SFA) to make any model E(3)-equivariant or invariant through data transformations. (2) FAENet: a simple, fast and expressive GNN, optimized for SFA, that processes geometric information without any symmetrypreserving design constraints. We prove the validity of our method theoretically and empirically demonstrate its superior accuracy and computational scalability in materials modeling on the OC20 dataset (S2EF, IS2RE) as well as common molecular modeling tasks (QM9, QM7-X). A package implementation is available at https://faenet.readthedocs.io.


Enhancing Supply Chain Resilience: A Machine Learning Approach for Predicting Product Availability Dates Under Disruption

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The COVID 19 pandemic and ongoing political and regional conflicts have a highly detrimental impact on the global supply chain, causing significant delays in logistics operations and international shipments. One of the most pressing concerns is the uncertainty surrounding the availability dates of products, which is critical information for companies to generate effective logistics and shipment plans. Therefore, accurately predicting availability dates plays a pivotal role in executing successful logistics operations, ultimately minimizing total transportation and inventory costs. We investigate the prediction of product availability dates for General Electric (GE) Gas Power's inbound shipments for gas and steam turbine service and manufacturing operations, utilizing both numerical and categorical features. We evaluate several regression models, including Simple Regression, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, Elastic Net, Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), and Neural Network models. Based on real world data, our experiments demonstrate that the tree based algorithms (i.e., RF and GBM) provide the best generalization error and outperforms all other regression models tested. We anticipate that our prediction models will assist companies in managing supply chain disruptions and reducing supply chain risks on a broader scale.


Anomaly Segmentation for High-Resolution Remote Sensing Images Based on Pixel Descriptors

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Anomaly segmentation in high spatial resolution (HSR) remote sensing imagery is aimed at segmenting anomaly patterns of the earth deviating from normal patterns, which plays an important role in various Earth vision applications. However, it is a challenging task due to the complex distribution and the irregular shapes of objects, and the lack of abnormal samples. To tackle these problems, an anomaly segmentation model based on pixel descriptors (ASD) is proposed for anomaly segmentation in HSR imagery. Specifically, deep one-class classification is introduced for anomaly segmentation in the feature space with discriminative pixel descriptors. The ASD model incorporates the data argument for generating virtual ab-normal samples, which can force the pixel descriptors to be compact for normal data and meanwhile to be diverse to avoid the model collapse problems when only positive samples participated in the training. In addition, the ASD introduced a multi-level and multi-scale feature extraction strategy for learning the low-level and semantic information to make the pixel descriptors feature-rich. The proposed ASD model was validated using four HSR datasets and compared with the recent state-of-the-art models, showing its potential value in Earth vision applications.


Hierarchical and Decentralised Federated Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Federated learning has shown enormous promise as a way of training ML models in distributed environments while reducing communication costs and protecting data privacy. However, the rise of complex cyber-physical systems, such as the Internet-of-Things, presents new challenges that are not met with traditional FL methods. Hierarchical Federated Learning extends the traditional FL process to enable more efficient model aggregation based on application needs or characteristics of the deployment environment (e.g., resource capabilities and/or network connectivity). It illustrates the benefits of balancing processing across the cloud-edge continuum. Hierarchical Federated Learning is likely to be a key enabler for a wide range of applications, such as smart farming and smart energy management, as it can improve performance and reduce costs, whilst also enabling FL workflows to be deployed in environments that are not well-suited to traditional FL. Model aggregation algorithms, software frameworks, and infrastructures will need to be designed and implemented to make such solutions accessible to researchers and engineers across a growing set of domains. H-FL also introduces a number of new challenges. For instance, there are implicit infrastructural challenges. There is also a trade-off between having generalised models and personalised models. If there exist geographical patterns for data (e.g., soil conditions in a smart farm likely are related to the geography of the region itself), then it is crucial that models used locally can consider their own locality in addition to a globally-learned model. H-FL will be crucial to future FL solutions as it can aggregate and distribute models at multiple levels to optimally serve the trade-off between locality dependence and global anomaly robustness.


Joint Energy Dispatch and Unit Commitment in Microgrids Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Nowadays, the application of microgrids (MG) with renewable energy is becoming more and more extensive, which creates a strong need for dynamic energy management. In this paper, deep reinforcement learning (DRL) is applied to learn an optimal policy for making joint energy dispatch (ED) and unit commitment (UC) decisions in an isolated MG, with the aim for reducing the total power generation cost on the premise of ensuring the supply-demand balance. In order to overcome the challenge of discrete-continuous hybrid action space due to joint ED and UC, we propose a DRL algorithm, i.e., the hybrid action finite-horizon DDPG (HAFH-DDPG), that seamlessly integrates two classical DRL algorithms, i.e., deep Q-network (DQN) and deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG), based on a finite-horizon dynamic programming (DP) framework. Moreover, a diesel generator (DG) selection strategy is presented to support a simplified action space for reducing the computation complexity of this algorithm. Finally, the effectiveness of our proposed algorithm is verified through comparison with several baseline algorithms by experiments with real-world data set.


Graph Neural Networks on Factor Graphs for Robust, Fast, and Scalable Linear State Estimation with PMUs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As phasor measurement units (PMUs) become more widely used in transmission power systems, a fast state estimation (SE) algorithm that can take advantage of their high sample rates is needed. To accomplish this, we present a method that uses graph neural networks (GNNs) to learn complex bus voltage estimates from PMU voltage and current measurements. We propose an original implementation of GNNs over the power system's factor graph to simplify the integration of various types and quantities of measurements on power system buses and branches. Furthermore, we augment the factor graph to improve the robustness of GNN predictions. This model is highly efficient and scalable, as its computational complexity is linear with respect to the number of nodes in the power system. Training and test examples were generated by randomly sampling sets of power system measurements and annotated with the exact solutions of linear SE with PMUs. The numerical results demonstrate that the GNN model provides an accurate approximation of the SE solutions. Furthermore, errors caused by PMU malfunctions or communication failures that would normally make the SE problem unobservable have a local effect and do not deteriorate the results in the rest of the power system.


Optimal Scheduling in IoT-Driven Smart Isolated Microgrids Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, we investigate the scheduling issue of diesel generators (DGs) in an Internet of Things (IoT)-Driven isolated microgrid (MG) by deep reinforcement learning (DRL). The renewable energy is fully exploited under the uncertainty of renewable generation and load demand. The DRL agent learns an optimal policy from history renewable and load data of previous days, where the policy can generate real-time decisions based on observations of past renewable and load data of previous hours collected by connected sensors. The goal is to reduce operating cost on the premise of ensuring supply-demand balance. In specific, a novel finite-horizon partial observable Markov decision process (POMDP) model is conceived considering the spinning reserve. In order to overcome the challenge of discrete-continuous hybrid action space due to the binary DG switching decision and continuous energy dispatch (ED) decision, a DRL algorithm, namely the hybrid action finite-horizon RDPG (HAFH-RDPG), is proposed. HAFH-RDPG seamlessly integrates two classical DRL algorithms, i.e., deep Q-network (DQN) and recurrent deterministic policy gradient (RDPG), based on a finite-horizon dynamic programming (DP) framework. Extensive experiments are performed with real-world data in an IoT-driven MG to evaluate the capability of the proposed algorithm in handling the uncertainty due to inter-hour and inter-day power fluctuation and to compare its performance with those of the benchmark algorithms. J. Qi, L. Lei, and S. X. Yang are with the School of Engineering, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada (e-mail: jiaju@uoguelph.ca; K. Zheng is with the College of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, Ningbo University, Ningbo, 315211, China.