A new front opened in Russia's war on Ukraine that highlights the vulnerability of oil exports from the nation's western ports, after reports of drone attacks against facilities on the Baltic coast. Last week, the first ever Ukrainian drone reached Russia's Leningrad region, approximately 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) from the border. The aircraft was downed over the privately-owned Petersburg Oil Terminal without causing damage, according to Russian authorities. A second drone attack on Sunday, which an official with knowledge of the matter said was organized by Ukraine's secret services, was more disruptive. It caused a fire that shut down a Novatek PJSC gas-condensate plant in port of Ust-Luga that supplied fuel to the Russian army, they stated with the condition of anonymity.

The application of supervised learning techniques in combination with model predictive control (MPC) has recently generated significant interest, particularly in the area of approximate explicit MPC, where function approximators like deep neural networks are used to learn the MPC policy via optimal state-action pairs generated offline. While the aim of approximate explicit MPC is to closely replicate the MPC policy, substituting online optimization with a trained neural network, the performance guarantees that come with solving the online optimization problem are typically lost. This paper considers an alternative strategy, where supervised learning is used to learn the optimal value function offline instead of learning the optimal policy. This can then be used as the cost-to-go function in a myopic MPC with a very short prediction horizon, such that the online computation burden reduces significantly without affecting the controller performance. This approach differs from existing work on value function approximations in the sense that it learns the cost-to-go function by using offline-collected state-value pairs, rather than closed-loop performance data. The cost of generating the state-value pairs used for training is addressed using a sensitivity-based data augmentation scheme.

This paper presents Climinator, a novel AI-based tool designed to automate the fact-checking of climate change claims. Utilizing an array of Large Language Models (LLMs) informed by authoritative sources like the IPCC reports and peer-reviewed scientific literature, Climinator employs an innovative Mediator-Advocate framework. This design allows Climinator to effectively synthesize varying scientific perspectives, leading to robust, evidence-based evaluations. Our model demonstrates remarkable accuracy when testing claims collected from Climate Feedback and Skeptical Science. Notably, when integrating an advocate with a climate science denial perspective in our framework, Climinator's iterative debate process reliably converges towards scientific consensus, underscoring its adeptness at reconciling diverse viewpoints into science-based, factual conclusions. While our research is subject to certain limitations and necessitates careful interpretation, our approach holds significant potential. We hope to stimulate further research and encourage exploring its applicability in other contexts, including political fact-checking and legal domains.

We investigate the application of the factor graph framework for blind joint channel estimation and symbol detection on time-variant linear inter-symbol interference channels. In particular, we consider the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation, which typically suffers from high complexity as it requires the computation of the symbol-wise posterior distributions in every iteration. We address this issue by efficiently approximating the posteriors using the belief propagation (BP) algorithm on a suitable factor graph. By interweaving the iterations of BP and EM, the detection complexity can be further reduced to a single BP iteration per EM step. In addition, we propose a data-driven version of our algorithm that introduces momentum in the BP updates and learns a suitable EM parameter update schedule, thereby significantly improving the performance-complexity tradeoff with a few offline training samples. Our numerical experiments demonstrate the excellent performance of the proposed blind detector and show that it even outperforms coherent BP detection in high signal-to-noise scenarios.

The aim of this work is to create and apply a methodological approach for predicting gas traps from 3D seismic data and gas well testing. The proposed approach is based on binary classification algorithms with training on well data. The study includes the following sequence of operations: interpretation of gas well test results to determine the radius of radial gas filtration (IARF); correlation of the top and bottom of productive horizons based on seismic data in the near-wellbore space; creating volumes of space for positive and negative class; dividing the sample into training and validation; creation of a separate test sample for the metamodel; creation of a feature space - extraction of seismic wavefield attributes; creation of data sampling - assignment of a vector of seismic attributes to each point of space within the volumes of classes; selection of features; basic model training; generalized assessment of trait contribution; creation of an ensemble of classification models using a metamodel - logistic regression; prediction of the probability of space belonging to gas reservoirs; evaluation of forecast quality on a test sample. The paper formalizes an approach to creating a training dataset by selecting volumes with established gas saturation and filtration properties within a seismic wavefield. The volumes divide the studied space into positive and negative classes. Positive class is a volume of gas-saturated sands, identified by the results of detailed correlation of the gas sandstone top and bottom, within which there is a region with a boundary along the radius of continuous radial gas filtration.

Is there a canonical way to think of agency beyond reward maximisation? In this paper, we show that any type of behaviour complying with physically sound assumptions about how macroscopic biological agents interact with the world canonically integrates exploration and exploitation in the sense of minimising risk and ambiguity about states of the world. This description, known as active inference, refines the free energy principle, a popular descriptive framework for action and perception originating in neuroscience. Active inference provides a normative Bayesian framework to simulate and model agency that is widely used in behavioural neuroscience, reinforcement learning (RL) and robotics. The usefulness of active inference for RL is three-fold. \emph{a}) Active inference provides a principled solution to the exploration-exploitation dilemma that usefully simulates biological agency. \emph{b}) It provides an explainable recipe to simulate behaviour, whence behaviour follows as an explainable mixture of exploration and exploitation under a generative world model, and all differences in behaviour are explicit in differences in world model. \emph{c}) This framework is universal in the sense that it is theoretically possible to rewrite any RL algorithm conforming to the descriptive assumptions of active inference as an active inference algorithm. Thus, active inference can be used as a tool to uncover and compare the commitments and assumptions of more specific models of agency.

Recent advances in high-fidelity virtual environments serve as one of the major driving forces for building intelligent embodied agents to perceive, reason and interact with the physical world. Typically, these environments remain unchanged unless agents interact with them. However, in real-world scenarios, agents might also face dynamically changing environments characterized by unexpected events and need to rapidly take action accordingly. To remedy this gap, we propose a new simulated embodied benchmark, called HAZARD, specifically designed to assess the decision-making abilities of embodied agents in dynamic situations. HAZARD consists of three unexpected disaster scenarios, including fire, flood, and wind, and specifically supports the utilization of large language models (LLMs) to assist common sense reasoning and decision-making. This benchmark enables us to evaluate autonomous agents' decision-making capabilities across various pipelines, including reinforcement learning (RL), rule-based, and search-based methods in dynamically changing environments. As a first step toward addressing this challenge using large language models, we further develop an LLM-based agent and perform an in-depth analysis of its promise and challenge of solving these challenging tasks. HAZARD is available at https://vis-www.cs.umass.edu/hazard/.

Control barrier functions (CBFs) provide a simple yet effective way for safe control synthesis. Recently, work has been done using differentiable optimization (diffOpt) based methods to systematically construct CBFs for static obstacle avoidance tasks between geometric shapes. In this work, we extend the application of diffOpt CBFs to perform dynamic obstacle avoidance tasks. We show that by using the time-varying CBF (TVCBF) formulation, we can perform obstacle avoidance for dynamic geometric obstacles. Additionally, we show how to extend the TVCBF constraint to consider measurement noise and actuation limits. To demonstrate the efficacy of our proposed approach, we first compare its performance with a model predictive control based method and a circular CBF based method on a simulated dynamic obstacle avoidance task. Then, we demonstrate the performance of our proposed approach in experimental studies using a 7-degree-of-freedom Franka Research 3 robotic manipulator.

Most traditional AI safety research has approached AI models as machines and centered on algorithm-focused attacks developed by security experts. As large language models (LLMs) become increasingly common and competent, non-expert users can also impose risks during daily interactions. This paper introduces a new perspective to jailbreak LLMs as human-like communicators, to explore this overlooked intersection between everyday language interaction and AI safety. Specifically, we study how to persuade LLMs to jailbreak them. First, we propose a persuasion taxonomy derived from decades of social science research. Then, we apply the taxonomy to automatically generate interpretable persuasive adversarial prompts (PAP) to jailbreak LLMs. Results show that persuasion significantly increases the jailbreak performance across all risk categories: PAP consistently achieves an attack success rate of over $92\%$ on Llama 2-7b Chat, GPT-3.5, and GPT-4 in $10$ trials, surpassing recent algorithm-focused attacks. On the defense side, we explore various mechanisms against PAP and, found a significant gap in existing defenses, and advocate for more fundamental mitigation for highly interactive LLMs

Large Language Models (LLMs) are likely to play a prominent role in future AI-augmented business process management systems (ABPMSs) catering functionalities across all system lifecycle stages. One such system's functionality is Situation-Aware eXplainability (SAX), which relates to generating causally sound and yet human-interpretable explanations that take into account the process context in which the explained condition occurred. In this paper, we present the SAX4BPM framework developed to generate SAX explanations. The SAX4BPM suite consists of a set of services and a central knowledge repository. The functionality of these services is to elicit the various knowledge ingredients that underlie SAX explanations. A key innovative component among these ingredients is the causal process execution view. In this work, we integrate the framework with an LLM to leverage its power to synthesize the various input ingredients for the sake of improved SAX explanations. Since the use of LLMs for SAX is also accompanied by a certain degree of doubt related to its capacity to adequately fulfill SAX along with its tendency for hallucination and lack of inherent capacity to reason, we pursued a methodological evaluation of the quality of the generated explanations. To this aim, we developed a designated scale and conducted a rigorous user study. Our findings show that the input presented to the LLMs aided with the guard-railing of its performance, yielding SAX explanations having better-perceived fidelity. This improvement is moderated by the perception of trust and curiosity. More so, this improvement comes at the cost of the perceived interpretability of the explanation.