Education
Estimation Considerations in Contextual Bandits
Dimakopoulou, Maria, Athey, Susan, Imbens, Guido
Although many contextual bandit algorithms have similar theoretical guarantees, the characteristics of real-world applications oftentimes result in large performance dissimilarities across algorithms. We study a consideration for the exploration vs. exploitation framework that does not arise in non-contextual bandits: the way exploration is conducted in the present may affect the bias and variance in the potential outcome model estimation in subsequent stages of learning. We show that contextual bandit algorithms are sensitive to the estimation method of the outcome model as well as the exploration method used, particularly in the presence of rich heterogeneity or complex outcome models, which can lead to difficult estimation problems along the path of learning. We propose new contextual bandit designs, combining parametric and non-parametric statistical estimation methods with causal inference methods in order to reduce the estimation bias that results from adaptive treatment assignment. We provide empirical evidence that guides the choice among the alternatives in different scenarios, such as prejudice (non-representative user contexts) in the initial training data.
The 8 Neural Network Architectures Machine Learning Researchers Need to Learn
Why do we need Machine Learning? Machine learning is needed for tasks that are too complex for humans to code directly. Some tasks are so complex that it is impractical, if not impossible, for humans to work out all of the nuances and code for them explicitly. So instead, we provide a large amount of data to a machine learning algorithm and let the algorithm work it out by exploring that data and searching for a model that will achieve what the programmers have set it out to achieve. Let's look at these 2 examples: Then comes the Machine Learning Approach: Instead of writing a program by hand for each specific task, we collect lots of examples that specify the correct output for a given input. A machine learning algorithm then takes these examples and produces a program that does the job.
Paul Allen invests $125 million to teach computers common sense
Paul Allen puts a premium on common sense โ so much so that he's investing $125 million to teach it to computers. The Microsoft co-founder said Wednesday he would commit the money over the next three years to the Seattle-based Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence, known as AI2. The funds will go toward multiple AI2 projects, but specifically will be used for the new "Project Alexandria" that will try to bring together various technology elements used in artificial intelligence, with the goal of creating a system imbued with good sense and judgment. Currently, AI systems can scan and "read" text, interpret some pictures and play board games. But they can't react to unexpected situations or tell you, say, which way water would flow on a hill.
5G hype is hot. But get ready to wait
A drone taxi using 5G technology is displayed at the Mobile World Congress on Feb. 27, 2018. Visitors try out Virtual 5G technology during the Mobile World Congress on Feb. 27, 2018. A 5G antenna is displayed at the Deutsche Telekom stand on the first day of the Mobile World Congress. Docomo 5G Robot remote humanoid assistant draws some'sumi-e' style drawings on the first day of the Mobile World Congress. Visitors look at a US company Qualcomm stand announcing '5G' technology at the Mobile World Congress (MWC) in Barcelona, Spain, 26 February 2018 (Photo: EPA-EFE/ALBERTO ESTEVEZ) People walk by a 5G stand at the Mobile World Congress (MWC), the world's biggest mobile fair, on February 26, 2018 in Barcelona.
Time to Take Our Own Advice: Q&A With Elaine Biech
As ATD marks its 75th year, we want to take time to talk to industry luminaries about where the field of talent development has been, where it is going, and what professionals need to succeed. There is no better place to start than a conversation with Elaine Biech, whom many consider an industry treasure. As president of ebb associates inc, a strategic implementation, leadership development, and experiential learning consulting firm, Elaine has helped organizations develop their talent and navigate change. She has presented at dozens of national and international conferences, is the author of more than 80 books, and has been featured in such publications as The Wall Street Journal, Harvard Management Update, Investors Business Daily, and Fortune. A long-time volunteer for ATD, she has served on its National Board of Directors and been the recipient of numerous awards. More importantly, Elaine has led the charge in the evolution of training and talent development--helping it transform from an order-taking function to a fully realized profession and strategic partner that businesses need to excel. However, I still didn't know there was a profession called "training," and I'd never heard of Malcolm Knowles, Don Kirkpatrick, or of the other thought leaders in our field.
Video games and violence are linked โ but not the way Trump thinks
Following the school shooting in Parkland, Florida, responsible for the loss of 17 lives, Donald Trump held a meeting at the White House. Seemingly intended to disabuse the nation of the imminent threat of semi-automatic weapons, the president shifted attention to other possible culprits: violent video games. He said: "I'm hearing more and more people say the level of violence on [sic] video games is really shaping young people's thoughts." Considering he couldn't maintain focus on violent games for a full speech, let alone a news cycle, it's a challenge to muster concern about what Trump's bluster means for the future of the medium. Nor is the fate of the video game industry as pressing as the fate of the nation's populace, whose lives will remain in real peril, so long as Trump and his supporters continue to turn the conversation away from dramatic change in the commercial gun industry.
12 Best Deep Learning Books In 2018 - Ranked In Order Of Awesomeness!
I'm sure you'll agree that Artificial Intelligence, in particular Deep Learning, has made huge strides in the last 5 years or so. But what began as a relatively niche field with just a handful of researchers, has now become so mainstream that the apps and services that we use everyday now use Deep Learning to perform tasks that were unthinkable not that long ago. It's been around since the 1940s when Warren McCulloch and Walter Pitts created a computational model for neural networks based on mathematics and algorithms. However "Deep Learning" only began to gain in popularity in the mid-2000s when Geoffrey Hinton and Ruslan Salakhutdinov released a paper showed how a multi-layered neural network could be pre-trained one layer at a time. In 2009 it was discovered that with large enough datasets, you didn't actually need the pre-training and that error rates could drop significantly as a result.
How will artificial intelligence affect employment and education?
I'm skeptical of arguments that technology will have severe detrimental effects on employment for many reasons. But one reason is this: If artificial intelligence (AI) turns out to be as powerful as the worriers say, won't it be good at finding new nonobvious tasks for humans and also training them for these new occupations? An artificial Intelligence project utilizing a humanoid robot from French company Aldebaran and reprogramed for their specific campus makes its debut as an assistant for students attending Palomar College in San Marcos, California, REUTERS. Long before we cross such a science fiction threshold, however, we are beginning to see how technology will improve employment opportunities. For example, in the latest in a long series of reports on the topic,Michael Mandel shows yet again how technology usually helps workers.
Multi-Instance Dynamic Ordinal Random Fields for Weakly-supervised Facial Behavior Analysis
Ruiz, Adria, Rudovic, Ognjen, Binefa, Xavier, Pantic, Maja
We propose a Multi-Instance-Learning (MIL) approach for weakly-supervised learning problems, where a training set is formed by bags (sets of feature vectors or instances) and only labels at bag-level are provided. Specifically, we consider the Multi-Instance Dynamic-Ordinal-Regression (MI-DOR) setting, where the instance labels are naturally represented as ordinal variables and bags are structured as temporal sequences. To this end, we propose Multi-Instance Dynamic Ordinal Random Fields (MI-DORF). In this framework, we treat instance-labels as temporally-dependent latent variables in an Undirected Graphical Model. Different MIL assumptions are modelled via newly introduced high-order potentials relating bag and instance-labels within the energy function of the model. We also extend our framework to address the Partially-Observed MI-DOR problems, where a subset of instance labels are available during training. We show on the tasks of weakly-supervised facial behavior analysis, Facial Action Unit (DISFA dataset) and Pain (UNBC dataset) Intensity estimation, that the proposed framework outperforms alternative learning approaches. Furthermore, we show that MIDORF can be employed to reduce the data annotation efforts in this context by large-scale.