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Prescriptive Process Monitoring Under Resource Constraints: A Reinforcement Learning Approach

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Prescriptive process monitoring methods seek to optimize the performance of business processes by triggering interventions at runtime, thereby increasing the probability of positive case outcomes. These interventions are triggered according to an intervention policy. Reinforcement learning has been put forward as an approach to learning intervention policies through trial and error. Existing approaches in this space assume that the number of resources available to perform interventions in a process is unlimited, an unrealistic assumption in practice. This paper argues that, in the presence of resource constraints, a key dilemma in the field of prescriptive process monitoring is to trigger interventions based not only on predictions of their necessity, timeliness, or effect but also on the uncertainty of these predictions and the level of resource utilization. Indeed, committing scarce resources to an intervention when the necessity or effects of this intervention are highly uncertain may intuitively lead to suboptimal intervention effects. Accordingly, the paper proposes a reinforcement learning approach for prescriptive process monitoring that leverages conformal prediction techniques to consider the uncertainty of the predictions upon which an intervention decision is based. An evaluation using real-life datasets demonstrates that explicitly modeling uncertainty using conformal predictions helps reinforcement learning agents converge towards policies with higher net intervention gain


Attention Schema in Neural Agents

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Attention has become a common ingredient in deep learning architectures. It adds a dynamical selection of information on top of the static selection of information supported by weights. In the same way, we can imagine a higher-order informational filter built on top of attention: an Attention Schema (AS), namely, a descriptive and predictive model of attention. In cognitive neuroscience, Attention Schema Theory (AST) supports this idea of distinguishing attention from AS. A strong prediction of this theory is that an agent can use its own AS to also infer the states of other agents' attention and consequently enhance coordination with other agents. As such, multi-agent reinforcement learning would be an ideal setting to experimentally test the validity of AST. We explore different ways in which attention and AS interact with each other. Our preliminary results indicate that agents that implement the AS as a recurrent internal control achieve the best performance. In general, these exploratory experiments suggest that equipping artificial agents with a model of attention can enhance their social intelligence.


Control Transformer: Robot Navigation in Unknown Environments through PRM-Guided Return-Conditioned Sequence Modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Learning long-horizon tasks such as navigation has presented difficult challenges for successfully applying reinforcement learning to robotics. From another perspective, under known environments, sampling-based planning can robustly find collision-free paths in environments without learning. In this work, we propose Control Transformer that models return-conditioned sequences from low-level policies guided by a sampling-based Probabilistic Roadmap (PRM) planner. We demonstrate that our framework can solve long-horizon navigation tasks using only local information. We evaluate our approach on partially-observed maze navigation with MuJoCo robots, including Ant, Point, and Humanoid. We show that Control Transformer can successfully navigate through mazes and transfer to unknown environments. Additionally, we apply our method to a differential drive robot (Turtlebot3) and show zero-shot sim2real transfer under noisy observations.


Bypassing the Simulation-to-reality Gap: Online Reinforcement Learning using a Supervisor

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) is a promising method to learn control policies for robots only from demonstration and experience. To cover the whole dynamic behaviour of the robot, DRL training is an active exploration process typically performed in simulation environments. Although this simulation training is cheap and fast, applying DRL algorithms to real-world settings is difficult. If agents are trained until they perform safely in simulation, transferring them to physical systems is difficult due to the sim-to-real gap caused by the difference between the simulation dynamics and the physical robot. In this paper, we present a method of online training a DRL agent to drive autonomously on a physical vehicle by using a model-based safety supervisor. Our solution uses a supervisory system to check if the action selected by the agent is safe or unsafe and ensure that a safe action is always implemented on the vehicle. With this, we can bypass the sim-to-real problem while training the DRL algorithm safely, quickly, and efficiently. We compare our method with conventional learning in simulation and on a physical vehicle. We provide a variety of real-world experiments where we train online a small-scale vehicle to drive autonomously with no prior simulation training. The evaluation results show that our method trains agents with improved sample efficiency while never crashing, and the trained agents demonstrate better driving performance than those trained in simulation.


Rank-based Decomposable Losses in Machine Learning: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent works have revealed an essential paradigm in designing loss functions that differentiate individual losses vs. aggregate losses. The individual loss measures the quality of the model on a sample, while the aggregate loss combines individual losses/scores over each training sample. Both have a common procedure that aggregates a set of individual values to a single numerical value. The ranking order reflects the most fundamental relation among individual values in designing losses. In addition, decomposability, in which a loss can be decomposed into an ensemble of individual terms, becomes a significant property of organizing losses/scores. This survey provides a systematic and comprehensive review of rank-based decomposable losses in machine learning. Specifically, we provide a new taxonomy of loss functions that follows the perspectives of aggregate loss and individual loss. We identify the aggregator to form such losses, which are examples of set functions. We organize the rank-based decomposable losses into eight categories. Following these categories, we review the literature on rank-based aggregate losses and rank-based individual losses. We describe general formulas for these losses and connect them with existing research topics. We also suggest future research directions spanning unexplored, remaining, and emerging issues in rank-based decomposable losses.


The Effectiveness of World Models for Continual Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

World models power some of the most efficient reinforcement learning algorithms. In this work, we showcase that they can be harnessed for continual learning - a situation when the agent faces changing environments. World models typically employ a replay buffer for training, which can be naturally extended to continual learning. We systematically study how different selective experience replay methods affect performance, forgetting, and transfer. We also provide recommendations regarding various modeling options for using world models. The best set of choices is called Continual-Dreamer, it is task-agnostic and utilizes the world model for continual exploration. Continual-Dreamer is sample efficient and outperforms state-of-the-art task-agnostic continual reinforcement learning methods on Minigrid and Minihack benchmarks.


Locally Adaptive Federated Learning via Stochastic Polyak Stepsizes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

State-of-the-art federated learning algorithms such as FedAvg require carefully tuned stepsizes to achieve their best performance. The improvements proposed by existing adaptive federated methods involve tuning of additional hyperparameters such as momentum parameters, and consider adaptivity only in the server aggregation round, but not locally. These methods can be inefficient in many practical scenarios because they require excessive tuning of hyperparameters and do not capture local geometric information. In this work, we extend the recently proposed stochastic Polyak stepsize (SPS) to the federated learning setting, and propose new locally adaptive and nearly parameter-free distributed SPS variants (FedSPS and FedDecSPS). We prove that FedSPS converges linearly in strongly convex and sublinearly in convex settings when the interpolation condition (overparametrization) is satisfied, and converges to a neighborhood of the solution in the general case. We extend our proposed method to a decreasing stepsize version FedDecSPS, that converges also when the interpolation condition does not hold. We validate our theoretical claims by performing illustrative convex experiments. Our proposed algorithms match the optimization performance of FedAvg with the best tuned hyperparameters in the i.i.d. case, and outperform FedAvg in the non-i.i.d. case.


Autotelic Reinforcement Learning in Multi-Agent Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the intrinsically motivated skills acquisition problem, the agent is set in an environment without any pre-defined goals and needs to acquire an open-ended repertoire of skills. To do so the agent needs to be autotelic (deriving from the Greek auto (self) and telos (end goal)): it needs to generate goals and learn to achieve them following its own intrinsic motivation rather than external supervision. Autotelic agents have so far been considered in isolation. But many applications of open-ended learning entail groups of agents. Multi-agent environments pose an additional challenge for autotelic agents: to discover and master goals that require cooperation agents must pursue them simultaneously, but they have low chances of doing so if they sample them independently. In this work, we propose a new learning paradigm for modeling such settings, the Decentralized Intrinsically Motivated Skills Acquisition Problem (Dec-IMSAP), and employ it to solve cooperative navigation tasks. First, we show that agents setting their goals independently fail to master the full diversity of goals. Then, we show that a sufficient condition for achieving this is to ensure that a group aligns its goals, i.e., the agents pursue the same cooperative goal. Our empirical analysis shows that alignment enables specialization, an efficient strategy for cooperation. Finally, we introduce the Goal-coordination game, a fully-decentralized emergent communication algorithm, where goal alignment emerges from the maximization of individual rewards in multi-goal cooperative environments and show that it is able to reach equal performance to a centralized training baseline that guarantees aligned goals. To our knowledge, this is the first contribution addressing the problem of intrinsically motivated multi-agent goal exploration in a decentralized training paradigm.


Enhancing Portuguese Sign Language Animation with Dynamic Timing and Mouthing

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Current signing avatars are often described as unnatural as they cannot accurately reproduce all the subtleties of synchronized body behaviors of a human signer. In this paper, we propose a new dynamic approach for transitions between signs, focusing on mouthing animations for Portuguese Sign Language. Although native signers preferred animations with dynamic transitions, we did not find significant differences in comprehension and perceived naturalness scores. On the other hand, we show that including mouthing behaviors improved comprehension and perceived naturalness for novice sign language learners. Results have implications in computational linguistics, human-computer interaction, and synthetic animation of signing avatars.


Outlier detection in regression: conic quadratic formulations

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In many applications, when building linear regression models, it is important to account for the presence of outliers, i.e., corrupted input data points. Such problems can be formulated as mixed-integer optimization problems involving cubic terms, each given by the product of a binary variable and a quadratic term of the continuous variables. Existing approaches in the literature, typically relying on the linearization of the cubic terms using big-M constraints, suffer from weak relaxation and poor performance in practice. In this work we derive stronger second-order conic relaxations that do not involve big-M constraints. Our computational experiments indicate that the proposed formulations are several orders-of-magnitude faster than existing big-M formulations in the literature for this problem.