Shilling is the use of artificial bids to make competition appear stronger and push prices upward. We study repeated first-price auctions in which shilling affects feedback but not allocation: the learner wins or loses against the real competing bid, but after a loss observes the maximum of the real bid and an independent shill bid. Thus the manipulation changes what the learner observes and hence how it learns to bid, without changing the outcome of the current auction. We analyze regret with respect to the best bid benchmark, assuming that the shill-bid distribution is known. Even then, shilling can mask the real bid, while useful side information appears only through intermittent low-shill events. Our algorithm combines a robust interval-elimination branch, which ignores the shilled report and achieves the dynamic-pricing rate $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(T^{2/3})$, with an optimistic branch that debiases losing-side reports and exploits the resulting suffix information when it is reliable and achieves the first-price auctions rate $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T})$. A validation and racing procedure lets the algorithm use these optimistic updates without knowing the right scale or feedback geometry in advance. We complement the upper bounds with a matching lower bound, up to logarithmic factors, in the single-active-region case. Overall, the results show that even feedback-only shilling can sharply alter the statistical difficulty of repeated bidding.

We propose a new framework for generative modeling based on a discrete-time stochastic control formulation of measure transport. Adapting classic results from control theory, we formulate our problem as a linear program whose dual variables correspond to the \emph{optimal value function} of the control problem, which directly encodes the optimal control policy. Exploiting this LP formulation, we develop an efficient simulation-free primal-dual algorithm for computing approximately optimal value functions and the associated \emph{value-driven transport} (VDT) policies which approximate the true optimal policy. We show that well-trained VDT policies enjoy numerous favorable properties in comparison with other state-of-the-art methods based on flows, diffusions, or Schrödinger bridges: they lead to straight transport paths which can be simulated quickly and robustly, and can be enhanced in all the same ways as diffusion and flow-based models (e.g., conditional generation, classifier-free guidance, unpaired data-to-data translation are all easy to incorporate). We evaluate our methodology in a range of experiments, with results that indicate strong performance and good potential for scalability.

The Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) and its joint-independence extension $d\mathrm{HSIC}$ are degenerate $V$-statistics whose data-dependent weighted-$χ^2$ null limits force a permutation calibration that multiplies the per-test cost by the number of permutations, in practice two orders of magnitude. Adapting the recent martingale MMD construction for two-sample testing to the (joint) independence problem, we introduce two studentised statistics whose null distributions are standard normal regardless of the data law, so that a single normal-quantile lookup replaces the permutation step entirely. The first, $m\mathrm{HSIC}$, is a self-normalised lower-triangular sum of the Hadamard product of two empirically centred Gram matrices. Under independence and bounded-fourth-moment kernels it converges to a standard normal. It is consistent against every fixed alternative, and runs at quadratic cost in the sample size without any sample split, matching the biased HSIC $V$-statistic. Our second statistic, $md\mathrm{HSIC}$, achieves finite-sample consistency with a single half-sample split: the centring is estimated on one half and the lower-triangular self-normalised martingale is run on the other, shrinking the conditional-mean residual to a quantity that is exponentially small in $d$, so the statistic is asymptotically standard normal at every fixed number of jointly tested variables, with a per-test cost that grows only linearly in $d$. On synthetic data with per-variable input dimension from $1$ to $500$ and between $2$ and $10$ jointly tested variables, both statistics match the empirical type-I error rate and test power of permutation-calibrated baselines while running $25$ to $60\times$ faster.

Discrete diffusion models are often trained through clean-data prediction, but the prediction can be used in different ways to define the reverse dynamics. In Masked Diffusion Models (MDM) these choices largely coincide, whereas in Uniform Diffusion Models (UDM) they do not. We show that the standard plug-in bridge parameterization for UDM is not optimized by the denoising posterior, but by a leave-one-out posterior that predicts each clean token without using its own noisy observation. This identifies a mismatch between the plug-in ELBO and the usual cross-entropy denoising objective. We characterize the leave-one-out target and derive exact conversions between the denoiser, the leave-one-out posterior, and the score. These conversions allow us to disentangle parameterization and training objective. Our results also lead to inference improvements without any additional training through an informed predictor-corrector sampler and improved temperature sampling based on the leave-one-out predictor. We further introduce an absorbing-state reformulation of uniform diffusion that preserves the UDM joint law while decomposing it into masked-diffusion-like sampling operations, with simpler denoising posteriors, carry-over unmasking, and a natural remasking mechanism. On language modeling, leave-one-out parameterizations consistently improve UDM generation, while the absorbing construction matches or surpasses masked diffusion. These results suggest that the empirical gap between masked and uniform diffusion is driven less by the choice of marginals themselves than by parameterization and sampling design. The code and models can be found at https://github.com/samsongourevitch/rev_udm.

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility and introduce approximation errors. We propose the Survival Diffusion Probabilistic Model (SDPM), a generative approach to continuous-time survival analysis. SDPM models the conditional distribution of the survival outcome, represented by the pair of observed time and censoring indicator, $\mathbb{P}(T,δ\mid \mathbf{x})$, using a denoising diffusion model. Under the assumption of conditionally independent censoring, conditional samples generated by the model can be transformed into survival function estimates using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. This formulation avoids parametric assumptions on the event-time distribution and does not require a discretization of the output time space. The model operates in a transformed target space, using standardized log-times and a continuous Gaussian-mixture representation of the censoring indicator. We evaluate SDPM on ten real survival datasets and compare it with five strong baselines, including tree-based, boosting-based, and neural survival models. Results show that SDPM achieves competitive predictive performance across C-index, integrated time-dependent AUC, and integrated Brier score. A study on synthetic Cox-Weibull data demonstrates that SDPM can recover the shape of an underlying continuous survival distribution more accurately than a strong nonparametric baseline when sufficiently many samples are generated. An ablation study confirms the importance of the proposed target-space transformations, which improve event-rate calibration, reduce invalid generated times, and provide consistent gains in predictive discrimination. Codes implementing the proposed model are publicly available.

Meta Is in Crisis, Google Search's Makeover, and AI Gets Booed by Graduates This week on, the team discusses Meta's recent layoffs and what they've been hearing from employees about the increasingly grim vibes at the company. They also talk about Elon Musk losing his lawsuit against OpenAI and share highlights from Google's annual conference--including an ambitious AI vision to change how people search the web. Finally, what do recent college graduates and women whose spouses work in AI have in common? Google Search Goes Agentic--and Doesn't Need You Anymore Write to us at [email protected] . You can always listen to this week's podcast through the audio player on this page, but if you want to subscribe for free to get every episode, here's how: If you're on an iPhone or iPad, open the app called Podcasts, or just tap this link . We spoke to more than a dozen employees and it turns out the job cuts are far from the only reason why Meta employees are really going through it. He lost his lawsuit against Sam Altman and OpenAI in really as full a way as you can, as dramatically as possible. I know, Zoë, you're looking forward to talking about that. We're going to get into why young adults might be using AI, but they have very complicated feelings about it. And later in the show, we're going to hear about why women married to AI bros have had enough . This week, the company is letting go of roughly 10 percent of its workforce, which is about 8,000 employees total. It's the latest round of job cuts, adding to the roughly 25,000 jobs that have been cut in the past few years as part of Mark Zuckerberg's Year of Efficiency that started in 2023 and now the latest AI-forward workplace, which he is trying to develop and impose. And while these latest cuts are not as big as some of the rounds of layoffs that have already happened, they're getting a ton of attention because Mark Zuckerberg, the CEO, has said that the reason they're happening, in part at least, in large part, is because the company is spending so much money on AI and data centers.

This will be a paid add-on for Premium subscribers. Spotify just announced a partnership with Universal Music Group (UMG) to create a tool that lets fans make covers and remixes . It'll be a paid add-on for Premium subscribers, with some of that money going to the original artists whose work is being repurposed. Spotify says that artists have to opt in to the program. It's being marketed as a new way for artists and creators to make money, as the platform states the tool will open up additional revenue streams and new ways to drive discovery. Spotify co-CEO Alex Norström says the platform will evolve the music ecosystem into a richer, more beneficial experience for fans and a more rewarding outcome for artists and songwriters.

From a WWII submarine sewage disaster to a deadly medieval pit toilet collapse, doing your business can come with risks. More information Adding us as a Preferred Source in Google by using this link indicates that you would like to see more of our content in Google News results. Toilets can be surprisingly dangerous. Breakthroughs, discoveries, and DIY tips sent six days a week. In 1076, a Dutch nobleman named Duke Godfrey "the Hunchback" of Lower Lorraine was murdered in a most unusual way .

We propose a new regularized optimal transport (OT) formulation, termed sliced-regularized optimal transport (SROT). Unlike entropic OT (EOT), which regularizes the transport plan toward an independent coupling, SROT regularizes it toward a smoothened sliced OT (SOT) plan. To the best of our knowledge, SROT is the first approach to leverage a version of SOT plan as a reference to improve classical OT. We provide a formal definition of SROT, derive its dual formulation, and provide a post-Bayesian interpretation of SROT. We then develop a Sinkhorn-style algorithm for efficient computation, retaining the same scalability advantages as EOT. By incorporating a scalable SOT plan as a prior, SROT yields more accurate approximations of the exact OT plan than EOT under the same level of regularization. Moreover, the resulting transport plan improves upon the reference SOT plan itself. We further introduce the corresponding OT divergence induced by SROT, named SROT divergence, and analyze its topological and computational properties. Finally, we validate our approach through experiments on synthetic datasets and color transfer tasks, demonstrating that SROT is better than both EOT and SOT in approximating exact OT. Additional experiments on gradient flows further highlight the advantages of SROT divergence.

A convergence analysis is developed for the regularized Newton method for training neural networks (NNs) in the overparameterized limit. As the number of hidden units tends to infinity, the NN training dynamics converge in probability to the solution of a deterministic limit equation involving a ``Newton neural tangent kernel'' (NNTK). Explicit rates characterizing this convergence are provided and, in the infinite-width limit, we prove that the NN converges exponentially fast to the target data (i.e., a global minimizer with zero loss). We show that this convergence is uniform across the frequency spectrum, addressing the spectral bias inherent in gradient descent. The eigenvalues of the NTK for gradient descent accumulate at zero, leading to slow convergence for target data with high-frequency components. In contrast, the NNTK has uniformly lower bounded eigenvalues if the regularization parameter is selected appropriately, allowing Newton's method to converge more quickly for data with high-frequency components. Mathematical challenges that need to be addressed in our analysis include the implicit parameter update of the Newton method with a potentially indefinite Hessian matrix and the fact that the dimension of this linear system of equations tends to infinity as the NN width grows. This complicates deriving the training dynamics in the overparameterized limit as well as proving the convergence of the finite-width dynamics thereto. The analysis identifies a scaling formula for selecting the regularization parameter, which we show can vanish at a suitable rate as the number of hidden units becomes larger. We prove that, for sufficiently large numbers of hidden units, the regularized Hessian remains positive definite during training and the Newton updates for individual NN parameters converge to zero, showing that the model behaves as a linearization around the initialization.