In this paper, we provide a general theorem that establishes a correspondence betweensurrogate loss functions in classification and the family of f-divergences. Moreover, we provide constructive procedures for determining the f-divergence induced by a given surrogate loss, and conversely for finding all surrogate loss functions that realize a given f-divergence. Next we introduce the notion of universal equivalence among loss functions and corresponding f-divergences, and provide necessary andsufficient conditions for universal equivalence to hold. These ideas have applications to classification problems that also involve a component ofexperiment design; in particular, we leverage our results to prove consistency of a procedure for learning a classifier under decentralization requirements.

We investigate whether our Visual system selects cues that guide search in an optimal manner.

This paper presents a novel technique for analyzing electromagnetic imaging data obtained using the stimulus evoked experimental paradigm. The technique is based on a probabilistic graphical model, which describes thedata in terms of underlying evoked and interference sources, and explicitly models the stimulus evoked paradigm.

We considered a gamma distribution of interspike intervals as a statistical modelfor neuronal spike generation. The model parameters consist of a time-dependent firing rate and a shape parameter that characterizes spiking irregularities of individual neurons. Because the environment changes with time, observed data are generated from the time-dependent firing rate, which is an unknown function. A statistical model with an unknown function is called a semiparametric model, which is one of the unsolved problem in statistics and is generally very difficult to solve. We used a novel method of estimating functions in information geometry to estimate the shape parameter without estimating the unknown function. We analytically obtained an optimal estimating function for the shape parameter independent of the functional form of the firing rate. This estimation is efficient without Fisher information loss and better than maximum likelihood estimation.

There is a longstanding controversy on the site of the cerebellar motor learning. Different theories and experimental results suggest that either the cerebellar flocculus or the brainstem learns the task and stores the memory. With a dynamical system approach, we clarify the mechanism of transferring the memory generated in the flocculus to the brainstem and that of so-called savings phenomena. The brainstem learning must comply with a sort of Hebbian rule depending on Purkinje-cell activities. In contrast to earlier numerical models, our model is simple but it accommodates explanationsand predictions of experimental situations as qualitative features of trajectories in the phase space of synaptic weights, without fine parameter tuning.

The network topology of neurons in the brain exhibits an abundance of feedback connections, but the computational function of these feedback connections is largely unknown. We present a computational theory that characterizes the gain in computational power achieved through feedback in dynamical systems with fading memory. It implies that many such systems acquire through feedback universal computational capabilities for analog computing with a non-fading memory. In particular, we show that feedback enables such systems to process time-varying input streams in diverse ways according to rules that are implemented through internal states of the dynamical system. In contrast to previous attractor-based computational models for neural networks, these flexible internal states are high-dimensional attractors of the circuit dynamics, that still allow the circuit state to absorb new information from online input streams. In this way one arrives at novel models for working memory, integration of evidence, and reward expectation in cortical circuits. We show that they are applicable to circuits of conductance-based Hodgkin-Huxley (HH) neurons with high levels of noise that reflect experimental data on invivo conditions.

We extend radial basis function (RBF) networks to the scenario in which multiple correlated tasks are learned simultaneously, and present the corresponding learningalgorithms. We develop the algorithms for learning the network structure, in either a supervised or unsupervised manner. Training data may also be actively selected to improve the network's generalization totest data. Experimental results based on real data demonstrate the advantage of the proposed algorithms and support our conclusions.

Gaussian processes are attractive models for probabilistic classification but unfortunately exact inference is analytically intractable. We compare Laplace's method and Expectation Propagation (EP) focusing on marginal likelihood estimates and predictive performance. We explain theoretically and corroborate empirically that EP is superior to Laplace. We also compare to a sophisticated MCMC scheme and show that EP is surprisingly accurate. In recent years models based on Gaussian process (GP) priors have attracted much attention in the machine learning community. Whereas inference in the GP regression model with Gaussian noise can be done analytically, probabilistic classification using GPs is analytically intractable. Several approaches to approximate Bayesian inference have been suggested, including Laplace's approximation, Expectation Propagation (EP), variational approximations and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, some of these in conjunction with generalisation bounds, online learning schemes and sparse approximations. Despite the abundance of recent work on probabilistic GP classifiers, most experimental studies provide only anecdotal evidence, and no clear picture has yet emerged, as to when and why which algorithm should be preferred.

Although nonparametric tests have already been proposed for that purpose, statisticalsignificance tests for nonstandard measures (different from the classification error) are less often used in the literature. This paper is an attempt at empirically verifying how these tests compare with more classical tests, on various conditions. More precisely, using a very large dataset to estimate the whole "population", we analyzed the behavior ofseveral statistical test, varying the class unbalance, the compared models, the performance measure, and the sample size. The main result isthat providing big enough evaluation sets nonparametric tests are relatively reliable in all conditions.

Dean P. Foster University of Pennsylvania We present a competitive analysis of some nonparametric Bayesian algorithms ina worst-case online learning setting, where no probabilistic assumptions about the generation of the data are made. We consider models which use a Gaussian process prior (over the space of all functions) andprovide bounds on the regret (under the log loss) for commonly usednon-parametric Bayesian algorithms -- including Gaussian regression and logistic regression -- which show how these algorithms can perform favorably under rather general conditions.