The mutual information of two random variables z and J with joint probabilities {7rij} is commonly used in learning Bayesian nets as well as in many other fields. The chances 7rij are usually estimated by the empirical sampling frequency nij In leading to a point estimate J(nij In) for the mutual information. To answer questions like "is J (nij In) consistent with zero?" or "what is the probability that the true mutual information is much larger than the point estimate?"

The first is the widely used optimistic Q-learning, which initializes the Q-values to large initial values and then follows a greedy policy with respect to the Q-values. We show that setting the initial value sufficiently large guarantees the converges to an E optimal policy. The second is a new and novel algorithm incremental Q-learning, which gradually promotes the values of actions that are not taken. We show that incremental Q-learning converges, in the limit, to the optimal policy. Our incremental Q-learning algorithm can be viewed as derandomization of the E-greedy Q-learning. 1 Introduction One of the challenges of Reinforcement Learning is learning in an unknown environment.

In K-means clusters are represented by centers of mass of their members, and it can be shown that the K-means algorithm of alternating between assigning cluster membership for each data vector to the nearest cluster center and computing the center of each cluster as the centroid of its member data vectors is equivalent to finding the minimum of a sum-of-squares cost function using coordinate descend. Despite the popularity of K means clustering, one of its major drawbacks is that the coordinate descend search method is prone to local minima. Much research has been done on computing refined initial points and adding explicit constraints to the sum-of-squares cost function for K-means clustering so that the search can converge to better local minimum [1,2]. In this paper we tackle the problem from a different angle: we find an equivalent formulation of the sum-of-squares minimization as a trace maximization problem with special constraints; relaxing the constraints leads to a maximization problem that possesses optimal global solutions. As a byproduct we also have an easily computable lower bound for the minimum of the sum-of-squares cost function. Our work is inspired by [9, 3] where connection to Gram matrix and extension of K means method to general Mercer kernels were investigated. The rest of the paper is organized as follows: in section 2, we derive the equivalent trace maximization formulation and discuss its spectral relaxation. In section 3, we discuss how to assign cluster membership using pivoted QR decomposition, taking into account the special structure of the partial eigenvector matrix. Finally, in section 4, we illustrate the performance of the clustering algorithms using document clustering as an example.

In packet switches, packets queue at switch inputs and contend for outputs. The contention arbitration policy directly affects switch performance. The best policy depends on the current state of the switch and current traffic patterns. This problem is hard because the state space, possible transitions, and set of actions all grow exponentially with the size of the switch. We present a reinforcement learning formulation of the problem that decomposes the value function into many small independent value functions and enables an efficient action selection.

We present an algorithm that induces a class of models with thin junction trees--models that are characterized by an upper bound on the size of the maximal cliques of their triangulated graph. By ensuring that the junction tree is thin, inference in our models remains tractable throughout the learning process. This allows both an efficient implementation of an iterative scaling parameter estimation algorithm and also ensures that inference can be performed efficiently with the final model. We illustrate the approach with applications in handwritten digit recognition and DNA splice site detection.

The curse of dimensionality gives rise to prohibitive computational requirements that render infeasible the exact solution of large-scale stochastic control problems. We study an efficient method based on linear programming for approximating solutions to such problems. The approach "fits" a linear combination of pre-selected basis functions to the dynamic programming cost-to- go function. We develop bounds on the approximation error and present experimental results in the domain of queueing network control, providing empirical support for the methodology.

The information bottleneck method is an unsupervised model independent data organization technique. Given a joint distribution peA, B), this method constructs a new variable T that extracts partitions, or clusters, over the values of A that are informative about B. In a recent paper, we introduced a general principled framework for multivariate extensions of the information bottleneck method that allows us to consider multiple systems of data partitions that are interrelated. In this paper, we present a new family of simple agglomerative algorithms to construct such systems of interrelated clusters. We analyze the behavior of these algorithms and apply them to several real-life datasets.

Over the last years, particle filters have been applied with great success to a variety of state estimation problems. We present a statistical approach to increasing the efficiency of particle filters by adapting the size of sample sets on-the-fly. The key idea of the KLD-sampling method is to bound the approximation error introduced by the sample-based representation of the particle filter. The name KLD-sampling is due to the fact that we measure the approximation error by the Kullback-Leibler distance. Our adaptation approach chooses a small number of samples if the density is focused on a small part of the state space, and it chooses a large number of samples if the state uncertainty is high. Both the implementation and computation overhead of this approach are small. Extensive experiments using mobile robot localization as a test application show that our approach yields drastic improvements over particle filters with fixed sample set sizes and over a previously introduced adaptation technique.

We introduce a new type of Self-Organizing Map (SOM) to navigate in the Semantic Space of large text collections. We propose a "hyperbolic SOM" (HSOM) based on a regular tesselation of the hyperbolic plane, which is a non-euclidean space characterized by constant negative gaussian curvature. The exponentially increasing size of a neighborhood around a point in hyperbolic space provides more freedom to map the complex information space arising from language into spatial relations. We describe experiments, showing that the HSOM can successfully be applied to text categorization tasks and yields results comparable to other state-of-the-art methods.

Singularities are ubiquitous in the parameter space of hierarchical models such as multilayer perceptrons. At singularities, the Fisher information matrix degenerates, and the Cramer-Rao paradigm does no more hold, implying that the classical model selection theory such as AIC and MDL cannot be applied. It is important to study the relation between the generalization error and the training error at singularities. The present paper demonstrates a method of analyzing these errors both for the maximum likelihood estimator and the Bayesian predictive distribution in terms of Gaussian random fields, by using simple models. 1 Introduction A neural network is specified by a number of parameters which are synaptic weights and biases. Learning takes place by modifying these parameters from observed input-output examples.