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Back to Bayesics: Uncovering Human Mobility Distributions and Anomalies with an Integrated Statistical and Neural Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Existing methods for anomaly detection often fall short due to their inability to handle the complexity, heterogeneity, and high dimensionality inherent in real-world mobility data. In this paper, we propose DeepBayesic, a novel framework that integrates Bayesian principles with deep neural networks to model the underlying multivariate distributions from sparse and complex datasets. Unlike traditional models, DeepBayesic is designed to manage heterogeneous inputs, accommodating both continuous and categorical data to provide a more comprehensive understanding of mobility patterns. The framework features customized neural density estimators and hybrid architectures, allowing for flexibility in modeling diverse feature distributions and enabling the use of specialized neural networks tailored to different data types. Our approach also leverages agent embeddings for personalized anomaly detection, enhancing its ability to distinguish between normal and anomalous behaviors for individual agents. We evaluate our approach on several mobility datasets, demonstrating significant improvements over state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods. Our results indicate that incorporating personalization and advanced sequence modeling techniques can substantially enhance the ability to detect subtle and complex anomalies in spatiotemporal event sequences.


X-ALMA: Plug & Play Modules and Adaptive Rejection for Quality Translation at Scale

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Large language models (LLMs) have achieved remarkable success across various NLP tasks, yet their focus has predominantly been on English due to Englishcentric pre-training and limited multilingual data. While some multilingual LLMs claim to support for hundreds of languages, models often fail to provide highquality response for mid-and low-resource languages, leading to imbalanced performance heavily skewed in favor of high-resource languages like English and Chinese. We prioritize quality over scaling number of languages, with a focus on multilingual machine translation task, and introduce X-ALMA, a model designed with to ensuring top-tier performance across 50 diverse languages, regardless of their resource levels. This is achieved by plug-and-play languagespecific module architecture to prevent language conflicts during training and a carefully designed training regimen with novel optimization methods to maximize the translation performance. After the final stage of training regimen, our proposed Adaptive-Rejection Preference Optimization (ARPO) surpasses existing preference optimization methods in translation tasks. Large language models (LLMs) such as the GPT series (Brown et al., 2020; OpenAI, 2023), Mistral (Jiang et al., 2023), LLaMA series (Touvron et al., 2023a;b; Dubey et al., 2024), Gemma series (Team et al., 2024a;b), inter alia, among others, have demonstrated impressive performance across various NLP tasks. However, the efficacy of LLMs has primarily been evaluated on English tasks, with their multilingual capabilities receiving less attention due to the models being predominantly pre-trained on English and the scarcity of multilingual data. Recently, there has been a shift towards multilingual studies in LLMs. For instance, LLaMA 3 and 3.1 (Dubey et al., 2024) expand the vocabulary from 32K to 128K and pre-train on multilingual texts; Üstün et al. (2024) have introduced Aya-101, a multilingual generative model supporting 101 languages; and BigTranslate (Yang et al., 2023) and LLaMAX (Lu et al., 2024) scale LLM-based multilingual translation models to over 100 languages. Despite the increased language support in LLMs, their performance across most languages falls short of practical application expectations, especially for mid-and low-resource languages (weakness 1). Work done during an internship at Microsoft.


Image First or Text First? Optimising the Sequencing of Modalities in Large Language Model Prompting and Reasoning Tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper examines how the sequencing of images and text within multi-modal prompts influences the reasoning performance of large language models (LLMs). We performed empirical evaluations using three commercial LLMs. Our results demonstrate that the order in which modalities are presented can significantly affect performance, particularly in tasks of varying complexity. For simpler tasks involving a single image, modality sequencing had a clear impact on accuracy. However, in more complex tasks involving multiple images and intricate reasoning steps, the effect of sequencing diminished, likely due to the increased cognitive demands of the task. Our findings also highlight the importance of question/prompt structure. In nested and multi-step reasoning tasks, modality sequencing played a key role in shaping model performance. While LLMs excelled in the initial stages of reasoning, they struggled to re-incorporate earlier information, underscoring the challenges of multi-hop reasoning within transformer architectures. This suggests that aligning the sequence of modalities with the logical flow of reasoning steps is more critical than modality order alone. These insights offer valuable implications for improving multi-modal prompt design, with broader applications across fields such as education, medical imaging, and cross-modal learning.


FactCheckmate: Preemptively Detecting and Mitigating Hallucinations in LMs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Language models (LMs) hallucinate. We inquire: Can we detect and mitigate hallucinations before they happen? This work answers this research question in the positive, by showing that the internal representations of LMs provide rich signals that can be used for this purpose. We introduce FactCheckMate, which preemptively detects hallucinations by learning a classifier that predicts whether the LM will hallucinate, based on the model's hidden states produced over the inputs, before decoding begins. If a hallucination is detected, FactCheckMate then intervenes, by adjusting the LM's hidden states such that the model will produce more factual outputs. FactCheckMate provides fresh insights that the inner workings of LMs can be revealed by their hidden states. Practically, both the detection and mitigation models in FactCheckMate are lightweight, adding little inference overhead; FactCheckMate proves a more efficient approach for mitigating hallucinations compared to many post-hoc alternatives. We evaluate FactCheckMate over LMs of different scales and model families (including Llama, Mistral, and Gemma), across a variety of QA datasets from different domains. Our results demonstrate the effectiveness of leveraging internal representations for early hallucination detection and mitigation, achieving over 70% preemptive detection accuracy. On average, outputs generated by LMs with intervention are 34.4% more factual compared to those without intervention. The average overhead difference in the inference time introduced by FactCheckMate is around 3.16 seconds.


Differentiation and Specialization of Attention Heads via the Refined Local Learning Coefficient

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Structure in the data distribution has long been recognized as central to the development of internal structure in artificial and biological neural networks (Rumelhart et al., 1986; Olshausen & Field, 1996; Rogers & McClelland, 2004). Recent observations have renewed interest in this topic: language models progress through distinct stages of development during training, acquiring increasingly sophisticated linguistic and reasoning abilities in ways that seem to reflect the structure of the data distribution (Olsson et al., 2022; Chen et al., 2024; Belrose et al., 2024; Tigges et al., 2024; Edelman et al., 2024; Hoogland et al., 2024). A deeper understanding of how structure in the data determines internal structure in trained models requires tools that provide information about which components of a model are being shaped in response to what structure in the data distribution. Our foundation for the study of such questions begins with the local learning coefficient (LLC; Lau et al. 2023) from singular learning theory (SLT; Watanabe 2009), which is a measure of model complexity. In this paper, we introduce the refined local learning coefficient (rLLC), which measures the complexity of a component of the model with respect to an arbitrary data distribution. We focus mainly on the rLLCs of individual attention heads and demonstrate the utility of these metrics in studying the progressive differentiation and specialization of heads. The diversity of attention heads at the end of training has been established in recent years through mechanistic interpretability, which has provided numerous examples of attention heads that appear to have specialized functions, including previous-token heads (Voita et al., 2019; Clark et al., 2019) and induction heads (Olsson et al., 2022) among other kinds (Wang et al., 2023; Gould et al., 2024).


MA-RLHF: Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback with Macro Actions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) has demonstrated effectiveness in aligning large language models (LLMs) with human preferences. However, token-level RLHF suffers from the credit assignment problem over long sequences, where delayed rewards make it challenging for the model to discern which actions contributed to successful outcomes. This hinders learning efficiency and slows convergence. In this paper, we propose MA-RLHF, a simple yet effective RLHF framework that incorporates macro actions -- sequences of tokens or higher-level language constructs -- into the learning process. By operating at this higher level of abstraction, our approach reduces the temporal distance between actions and rewards, facilitating faster and more accurate credit assignment. This results in more stable policy gradient estimates and enhances learning efficiency within each episode, all without increasing computational complexity during training or inference. We validate our approach through extensive experiments across various model sizes and tasks, including text summarization, dialogue generation, question answering, and program synthesis. Our method achieves substantial performance improvements over standard RLHF, with performance gains of up to 30% in text summarization and code generation, 18% in dialogue, and 8% in question answering tasks. Notably, our approach reaches parity with vanilla RLHF 1.7x to 2x faster in terms of training time and continues to outperform it with further training. We will make our code and data publicly available at https://github.com/ernie-research/MA-RLHF .


UncertaintyRAG: Span-Level Uncertainty Enhanced Long-Context Modeling for Retrieval-Augmented Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present UncertaintyRAG, a novel approach for long-context Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) that utilizes Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR)-based span uncertainty to estimate similarity between text chunks. This span uncertainty enhances model calibration, improving robustness and mitigating semantic inconsistencies introduced by random chunking. Leveraging this insight, we propose an efficient unsupervised learning technique to train the retrieval model, alongside an effective data sampling and scaling strategy. UncertaintyRAG outperforms baselines by 2.03% on LLaMA-2-7B, achieving state-of-the-art results while using only 4% of the training data compared to other advanced open-source retrieval models under distribution shift settings. Our method demonstrates strong calibration through span uncertainty, leading to improved generalization and robustness in long-context RAG tasks. Additionally, UncertaintyRAG provides a lightweight retrieval model that can be integrated into any large language model with varying context window lengths, without the need for fine-tuning, showcasing the flexibility of our approach.


Selective Attention Improves Transformer

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce Selective Attention, a simple parameter-free change to the standard attention mechanism which reduces attention to unneeded elements. Selective attention improves language modeling performance in a variety of model sizes and context lengths. For example, a range of transformers trained with the language modeling objective on C4 with selective attention perform equivalently to standard transformers with 2X more heads and parameters in their attention modules. Selective attention also allows decreasing the size of the attention's context buffer, leading to meaningful reductions in the memory and compute requirements during inference. For example, transformers with 100M parameters trained on C4 with context sizes of 512, 1,024, and 2,048 need 16X, 25X, and 47X less memory for their attention module, respectively, when equipped with selective attention, as those without selective attention, with the same validation perplexity. Different tasks have different memory requirements. On one extreme, copying an arbitrary sequence requires retaining all sequence elements in memory. On the other extreme, determining whether a specific element appeared at least once, only requires persisting a constant amount of memory. Transformers (Vaswani et al., 2017) keep the entire history in their context buffers, allowing them to solve tasks such as copying, while famously leading to their squared attention cost. RNNs (Rumelhart et al., 1986) and their modern structured state space variants (Gu et al., 2022; Gu & Dao, 2024) keep only a constant-sized sketch of the history, making inference cost linear, but rendering them incapable of solving tasks such as arbitrary string copying.


Distilling an End-to-End Voice Assistant Without Instruction Training Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Voice assistants, such as Siri and Google Assistant, typically model audio and text separately, resulting in lost speech information and increased complexity. Recent efforts to address this with end-to-end Speech Large Language Models (LLMs) trained with supervised finetuning (SFT) have led to models "forgetting" capabilities from text-only LLMs. Our work proposes an alternative paradigm for training Speech LLMs without instruction data, using the response of a text-only LLM to transcripts as self-supervision. Importantly, this process can be performed without annotated responses. We show that our Distilled Voice Assistant (DiVA) generalizes to Spoken Question Answering, Classification, and Translation. Furthermore, we show that DiVA better meets user preferences, achieving a 72% win rate compared with state-of-the-art models like Qwen 2 Audio, despite using >100x less training compute. Figure 1: Training Pipeline for Distilled Voice Assistant (DiVA), Red indicates trainable components while Blue indicates frozen pretrained modules. DiVA modifies a text-only LLM into a general purpose Speech LLM by using the model's own responses to transcribed speech as self-supervision. As Large Language Models (LLMs) capabilities increase, so does the value of bringing these capabilities to new modalities, including audio and speech (Shu et al., 2023; Wang et al., 2023; Gong et al., 2023). Speech is a natural interaction surface for language technology (Murad et al., 2019), offering measurable efficiency gains for users (Ruan et al., 2018). One straightforward method of integrating speech with LLMs is to feed audio to an Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) model and produce a text transcription for the LLM to use. All authors besides first and last sorted alphabetically.


CulturalBench: a Robust, Diverse and Challenging Benchmark on Measuring the (Lack of) Cultural Knowledge of LLMs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To make large language models (LLMs) more helpful across diverse cultures, it is essential to have effective cultural knowledge benchmarks to measure and track our progress. Effective benchmarks need to be robust, diverse, and challenging. We introduce CulturalBench: a set of 1,227 human-written and human-verified questions for effectively assessing LLMs' cultural knowledge, covering 45 global regions including the underrepresented ones like Bangladesh, Zimbabwe, and Peru. Questions - each verified by five independent annotators - span 17 diverse topics ranging from food preferences to greeting etiquettes. We evaluate models on two setups: CulturalBench-Easy and CulturalBench-Hard which share the same questions but asked differently. We find that LLMs are sensitive to such difference in setups (e.g., GPT-4o with 27.3% difference). Compared to human performance (92.6% accuracy), CulturalBench-Hard is more challenging for frontier LLMs with the best performing model (GPT-4o) at only 61.5% and the worst (Llama3-8b) at 21.4%. Moreover, we find that LLMs often struggle with tricky questions that have multiple correct answers (e.g., What utensils do the Chinese usually use?), revealing a tendency to converge to a single answer. Our results also indicate that OpenAI GPT-4o substantially outperform other proprietary and open source models in questions related to all but one region (Oceania). Nonetheless, all models consistently underperform on questions related to South America and the Middle East.