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Reconstructing commuters network using machine learning and urban indicators

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Human mobility has a significant impact on several layers of society, from infrastructural planning and economics to the spread of diseases and crime. Representing the system as a complex network, in which nodes are assigned to regions (e.g., a city) and links indicate the flow of people between two of them, physics-inspired models have been proposed to quantify the number of people migrating from one city to the other. Despite the advances made by these models, our ability to predict the number of commuters and reconstruct mobility networks remains limited. Here, we propose an alternative approach using machine learning and 22 urban indicators to predict the flow of people and reconstruct the intercity commuters network. Our results reveal that predictions based on machine learning algorithms and urban indicators can reconstruct the commuters network with 90.4% of accuracy and describe 77.6% of the variance observed in the flow of people between cities. We also identify essential features to recover the network structure and the urban indicators mostly related to commuting patterns. As previously reported, distance plays a significant role in commuting, but other indicators, such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and unemployment rate, are also driven-forces for people to commute. We believe that our results shed new lights on the modeling of migration and reinforce the role of urban indicators on commuting patterns. Also, because link-prediction and network reconstruction are still open challenges in network science, our results have implications in other areas, like economics, social sciences, and biology, where node attributes can give us information about the existence of links connecting entities in the network.


Global Artificial Intelligence (AI) Market in BFSI Sector 2019-2023 32% CAGR Projection Over the Next Five Years Technavio

#artificialintelligence

LONDON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--The global artificial intelligence (AI) market in BFSI sector is expected to post a CAGR of more than 32% during the period 2019-2023, according to the latest market research report by Technavio. A key factor driving the growth of the global artificial intelligence (AI) market size in BFSI sector is the push toward autonomous banking. Automation has become one of the most prioritized digital transformation strategies for banks. Financial institutions are increasingly focusing on developing more self-driving finance solutions owing to increased customer expectations for personalized services and rewards. Therefore, banks and credit unions are integrating AI and big data analytics to understand customer behavior.


Self-Organizing Maps with Variable Input Length for Motif Discovery and Word Segmentation

arXiv.org Machine Learning

--Time Series Motif Discovery (TSMD) is defined as searching for patterns that are previously unknown and appear with a given frequency in time series. Another problem strongly related with TSMD is Word Segmentation. This problem has received much attention from the community that studies early language acquisition in babies and toddlers. The development of biologically plausible models for word segmentation could greatly advance this field. Therefore, in this article, we propose the V ariable Input Length Map (VILMAP) for Motif Discovery and Word Segmentation. The model is based on the Self-Organizing Maps and can identify Motifs with different lengths in time series. In our experiments, we show that VILMAP presents good results in finding Motifs in a standard Motif discovery dataset and can avoid catastrophic forgetting when trained with datasets with increasing values of input size. We also show that VILMAP achieves results similar or superior to other methods in the literature developed for the task of word segmentation.


Estimating sex and age for forensic applications using machine learning based on facial measurements from frontal cephalometric landmarks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Facial analysis permits many investigations some of the most important of which are craniofacial identification, facial recognition, and age and sex estimation. In forensics, photo-anthropometry describes the study of facial growth and allows the identification of patterns in facial skull development by using a group of cephalometric landmarks to estimate anthropological information. In several areas, automation of manual procedures has achieved advantages over and similar measurement confidence as a forensic expert. This manuscript presents an approach using photo-anthropometric indexes, generated from frontal faces cephalometric landmarks, to create an artificial neural network classifier that allows the estimation of anthropological information, in this specific case age and sex. The work is focused on four tasks: i) sex estimation over ages from 5 to 22 years old, evaluating the interference of age on sex estimation; ii) age estimation from photo-anthropometric indexes for four age intervals (1 year, 2 years, 4 years and 5 years); iii) age group estimation for thresholds of over 14 and over 18 years old; and; iv) the provision of a new data set, available for academic purposes only, with a large and complete set of facial photo-anthropometric points marked and checked by forensic experts, measured from over 18,000 faces of individuals from Brazil over the last 4 years. The proposed classifier obtained significant results, using this new data set, for the sex estimation of individuals over 14 years old, achieving accuracy values greater than 0.85 by the F_1 measure. For age estimation, the accuracy results are 0.72 for measure with an age interval of 5 years. For the age group estimation, the measures of accuracy are greater than 0.93 and 0.83 for thresholds of 14 and 18 years, respectively.


A Deep Learning Approach for Tweet Classification and Rescue Scheduling for Effective Disaster Management

arXiv.org Machine Learning

It is a challenging and complex task to acquire information from different regions of a disaster-affected area in a timely fashion. The extensive spread and reach of social media and networks allow people to share information in real-time. However, the processing of social media data and gathering of valuable information require a series of operations such as (1) processing each specific tweet for a text classification, (2) possible location determination of people needing help based on tweets, and (3) priority calculations of rescue tasks based on the classification of tweets. These are three primary challenges in developing an effective rescue scheduling operation using social media data. In this paper, first, we propose a deep learning model combining attention based Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (BLSTM) and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to classify the tweets under different categories. We use pre-trained crisis word vectors and global vectors for word representation (GLoVe) for capturing semantic meaning from tweets. Next, we perform feature engineering to create an auxiliary feature map which dramatically increases the model accuracy. In our experiments using real data sets from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, it is observed that our proposed approach performs better compared to other classification methods based on Precision, Recall, F1-score, and Accuracy, and is highly effective to determine the correct priority of a tweet. Furthermore, to evaluate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed classification model a merged dataset comprises of 4 different datasets from CrisisNLP and another 15 different disasters data from CrisisLex are used. Finally, we develop an adaptive multitask hybrid scheduling algorithm considering resource constraints to perform an effective rescue scheduling operation considering different rescue priorities.


How-to Build a High-Impact Deep Learning Model for Tree Identification

#artificialintelligence

I participated in an amazing AI challenge through Omdena's community where we built a classification model for trees to prevent fires and save lives using satellite imagery. Omdena brings together AI enthusiasts from around the world to address real-world challenges through AI models. My primary responsibility was to manage the labeling task team. Afterward, I had the chance to take on another responsibility and build an AI model that delivered results beyond expectations. I am Leo from Rio de Janeiro, Brazil and I m a mechanical aeronautics engineer who currently works as a data scientist and management consultant in Brazil helping several companies to achieve better business results.


Artifical Intelligence Study

#artificialintelligence

Today, thousands of organizations around the world use Artificial Intelligence (AI) as a key to growing their companies or as a complement to this strategy. On all continents, a boom in new projects based on Artificial Intelligence are transforming business models. This movement is driven primarily by the ecosystems of startups and entrepreneurship. As a result of this movement, everis and Endeavor launched a pioneering study that traces an overview of AI in Latin American entrepreneurship. The study gathered information from more than 240 companies on 70 AI projects developed in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru.


Conditional independence testing: a predictive perspective

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Conditional independence testing is a key problem required by many machine learning and statistics tools. In particular, it is one way of evaluating the usefulness of some features on a supervised prediction problem. We propose a novel conditional independence test in a predictive setting, and show that it achieves better power than competing approaches in several settings. Our approach consists in deriving a p-value using a permutation test where the predictive power using the unpermuted dataset is compared with the predictive power of using dataset where the feature(s) of interest are permuted. We conclude that the method achives sensible results on simulated and real datasets.


Classi-Fly: Inferring Aircraft Categories from Open Data

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In recent years, air traffic communication data has become easy to access, enabling novel research in many fields. Exploiting this new data source, a wide range of applications have emerged, from weather forecasting to stock market prediction, or the collection of intelligence about military and government movements. Typically these applications require knowledge about the metadata of the aircraft, specifically its operator and the aircraft category. armasuisse Science + Technology, the R&D agency for the Swiss Armed Forces, has been developing Classi-Fly, a novel approach to obtain metadata about aircraft based on their movement patterns. We validate Classi-Fly using several hundred thousand flights collected through open source means, in conjunction with ground truth from publicly available aircraft registries containing more than two million aircraft. We show that we can obtain the correct aircraft category with an accuracy of over 88%. In cases, where no metadata is available, this approach can be used to create the data necessary for applications working with air traffic communication. Finally, we show that it is feasible to automatically detect sensitive aircraft such as police and surveillance aircraft using this method.


A Temporal Clustering Algorithm for Achieving the trade-off between the User Experience and the Equipment Economy in the Context of IoT

arXiv.org Machine Learning

We present here the Temporal Clustering Algorithm (TCA), an incremental learning algorithm applicable to problems of anticipatory computing in the context of the Internet of Things. This algorithm was tested in a specific prediction scenario of consumption of an electric water dispenser typically used in tropical countries, in which the ambient temperature is around 30-degree Celsius. In this context, the user typically wants to drinking iced water therefore uses the cooler function of the dispenser. Real and synthetic water consumption data was used to test a forecasting capacity on how much energy can be saved by predicting the pattern of use of the equipment. In addition to using a small constant amount of memory, which allows the algorithm to be implemented at the lowest cost, while using microcontrollers with a small amount of memory (less than 1Kbyte) available on the market. The algorithm can also be configured according to user preference, prioritizing comfort, keeping the water at the desired temperature longer, or prioritizing energy savings. The main result is that the TCA achieved energy savings of up to 40% compared to the conventional mode of operation of the dispenser with an average success rate higher than 90% in its times of use.