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Social Sentiment Analysis Toward the Clean Energy Transition

#artificialintelligence

The world is in the midst of an energy transition. This massive shift aims to move away from reliance on fuels that are destructive to the climate, the environment, and people's well-being. The goal established by the UN is to "ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all" by 2030. While governments, energy companies, and activists dominate the headlines, the progress with infrastructure and technology won't be sufficient. A successful energy transition for the good of all humanity depends on the action of individuals.


10 Ways Enterprises Are Getting Results From AI Strategies

#artificialintelligence

AI pilots are progressing into production based on their combined contributions to improving customer experience, stabilizing and increasing revenues, and reducing costs. The most successful AI use cases contribute to all three areas and deliver measurable results. Of the many use cases where AI is delivering proven value in enterprises today, the ten areas discussed below are notable for the measurable results they are providing. What each of these ten use cases has in common is the accuracy and efficiency they can analyze and recommend actions based on real-time monitoring of customer interactions, production, and service processes. Enterprises who get AI right the first time build the underlying data structures and frameworks to support the advanced analytics, machine learning, and AI techniques that show the best potential to deliver value.


Classification Aware Neural Topic Model and its Application on a New COVID-19 Disinformation Corpus

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The explosion of disinformation related to the COVID-19 pandemic has overloaded fact-checkers and media worldwide. To help tackle this, we developed computational methods to support COVID-19 disinformation debunking and social impacts research. This paper presents: 1) the currently largest available manually annotated COVID-19 disinformation category dataset; and 2) a classification-aware neural topic model (CANTM) that combines classification and topic modelling under a variational autoencoder framework. We demonstrate that CANTM efficiently improves classification performance with low resources, and is scalable. In addition, the classification-aware topics help researchers and end-users to better understand the classification results.


Logical Team Q-learning: An approach towards factored policies in cooperative MARL

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We address the challenge of learning factored policies in cooperative MARL scenarios. In particular, we consider the situation in which a team of agents collaborates to optimize a common cost. Our goal is to obtain factored policies that determine the individual behavior of each agent so that the resulting joint policy is optimal. In this work we make contributions to both the dynamic programming and reinforcement learning settings. In the dynamic programming case we provide a number of lemmas that prove the existence of such factored policies and we introduce an algorithm (along with proof of convergence) that provably leads to them. Then we introduce tabular and deep versions of Logical Team Q-learning, which is a stochastic version of the algorithm for the RL case. We conclude the paper by providing experiments that illustrate the claims.


A Data Scientist's Guide to Streamflow Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In recent years, the paradigms of data-driven science have become essential components of physical sciences, particularly in geophysical disciplines such as climatology. The field of hydrology is one of these disciplines where machine learning and data-driven models have attracted significant attention. This offers significant potential for data scientists' contributions to hydrologic research. As in every interdisciplinary research effort, an initial mutual understanding of the domain is key to successful work later on. In this work, we focus on the element of hydrologic rainfall--runoff models and their application to forecast floods and predict streamflow, the volume of water flowing in a river. This guide aims to help interested data scientists gain an understanding of the problem, the hydrologic concepts involved, and the details that come up along the way. We have captured lessons that we have learned while "coming up to speed" on streamflow prediction and hope that our experiences will be useful to the community.


Learning to Rank Learning Curves

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Many automated machine learning methods, such as those for hyperparameter and neural architecture optimization, are computationally expensive because they involve training many different model configurations. In this work, we present a new method that saves computational budget by terminating poor configurations early on in the training. In contrast to existing methods, we consider this task as a ranking and transfer learning problem. We qualitatively show that by optimizing a pairwise ranking loss and leveraging learning curves from other datasets, our model is able to effectively rank learning curves without having to observe many or very long learning curves. We further demonstrate that our method can be used to accelerate a neural architecture search by a factor of up to 100 without a significant performance degradation of the discovered architecture. In further experiments we analyze the quality of ranking, the influence of different model components as well as the predictive behavior of the model.


Hidden Markov models are recurrent neural networks: A disease progression modeling application

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are commonly used for sequential data modeling when the true state of the system is not fully known. We formulate a special case of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), which we name hidden Markov recurrent neural networks (HMRNNs), and prove that each HMRNN has the same likelihood function as a corresponding discrete-observation HMM. We experimentally validate this theoretical result on synthetic datasets by showing that parameter estimates from HMRNNs are numerically close to those obtained from HMMs via the Baum-Welch algorithm. We demonstrate our method's utility in a case study on Alzheimer's disease progression, in which we augment HMRNNs with other predictive neural networks. The augmented HMRNN yields parameter estimates that offer a novel clinical interpretation and fit the patient data better than HMM parameter estimates from the Baum-Welch algorithm.


Explainable Artificial Intelligence: a Systematic Review

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This has led to the development of a plethora of domain-dependent and context-specific methods for dealing with the interpretation of machine learning (ML) models and the formation of explanations for humans. Unfortunately, this trend is far from being over, with an abundance of knowledge in the field which is scattered and needs organisation. The goal of this article is to systematically review research works in the field of XAI and to try to define some boundaries in the field. From several hundreds of research articles focused on the concept of explainability, about 350 have been considered for review by using the following search methodology. In a first phase, Google Scholar was queried to find papers related to "explainable artificial intelligence", "explainable machine learning" and "interpretable machine learning". Subsequently, the bibliographic section of these articles was thoroughly examined to retrieve further relevant scientific studies. The first noticeable thing, as shown in figure 2 (a), is the distribution of the publication dates of selected research articles: sporadic in the 70s and 80s, receiving preliminary attention in the 90s, showing raising interest in 2000 and becoming a recognised body of knowledge after 2010. The first research concerned the development of an explanation-based system and its integration in a computer program designed to help doctors make diagnoses [3]. Some of the more recent papers focus on work devoted to the clustering of methods for explainability, motivating the need for organising the XAI literature [4, 5, 6].


COVID-19 diagnosis by routine blood tests using machine learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Physicians taking care of patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) have described different changes in routine blood parameters. However, these changes, hinder them from performing COVID-19 diagnosis. We constructed a machine learning predictive model for COVID-19 diagnosis. The model was based and cross-validated on the routine blood tests of 5,333 patients with various bacterial and viral infections, and 160 COVID-19-positive patients. We selected operational ROC point at a sensitivity of 81.9% and specificity of 97.9%. The cross-validated area under the curve (AUC) was 0.97. The five most useful routine blood parameters for COVID19 diagnosis according to the feature importance scoring of the XGBoost algorithm were MCHC, eosinophil count, albumin, INR, and prothrombin activity percentage. tSNE visualization showed that the blood parameters of the patients with severe COVID-19 course are more like the parameters of bacterial than viral infection. The reported diagnostic accuracy is at least comparable and probably complementary to RT-PCR and chest CT studies. Patients with fever, cough, myalgia, and other symptoms can now have initial routine blood tests assessed by our diagnostic tool. All patients with a positive COVID-19 prediction would then undergo standard RT-PCR studies to confirm the diagnosis. We believe that our results present a significant contribution to improvements in COVID-19 diagnosis.


Prada-Backed AI Startup To Create First Live Streamed 3D Virtual Fashion Show

#artificialintelligence

This Friday, Artificial Intelligence fashion startup Bigthinx, in partnership with Fashinnovation, will live stream the first fully digital 3D Virtual Fashion Show (including digitised human models) since the coronavirus pandemic forced the fashion industry online. The'virtual' aspect is that the models and clothes are being created using 3D digital design, rendering, and animation, based on technical data (including garment measurements) and photographs of the models and clothes. This will be the first time many fashion professionals have seen virtual fashion since the industry-wide discussions about implementing it ramped up, following the coronavirus-induced lockdown. The realization that digital fashion will be a critical long-term solution rather than a temporary measure is evident in industry announcements from Helsinki Fashion Week, the first to declare they will show 3D virtual fashion shows for the upcoming season and beyond, before Covid-19 forced Milan, New York and others to follow suit. In creating this 3D virtual show, with opportunity comes numerous challenges, especially for a technology company known for its'body scan' avatar solution based on just two photos and a selfie from a smartphone.