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Dynamic SBI: Round-free Sequential Simulation-Based Inference with Adaptive Datasets

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is emerging as a new statistical paradigm for addressing complex scientific inference problems. By leveraging the representational power of deep neural networks, SBI can extract the most informative simulation features for the parameters of interest. Sequential SBI methods extend this approach by iteratively steering the simulation process towards the most relevant regions of parameter space. This is typically implemented through an algorithmic structure, in which simulation and network training alternate over multiple rounds. This strategy is particularly well suited for high-precision inference in high-dimensional settings, which are commonplace in physics applications with growing data volumes and increasing model fidelity. Here, we introduce dynamic SBI, which implements the core ideas of sequential methods in a round-free, asynchronous, and highly parallelisable manner. At its core is an adaptive dataset that is iteratively transformed during inference to resemble the target observation. Simulation and training proceed in parallel: trained networks are used both to filter out simulations incompatible with the data and to propose new, more promising ones. Compared to round-based sequential methods, this asynchronous structure can significantly reduce simulation costs and training overhead. We demonstrate that dynamic SBI achieves significant improvements in simulation and training efficiency while maintaining inference performance. We further validate our framework on two challenging astrophysical inference tasks: characterising the stochastic gravitational wave background and analysing strong gravitational lensing systems. Overall, this work presents a flexible and efficient new paradigm for sequential SBI.


Uncovering Magnetic Phases with Synthetic Data and Physics-Informed Training

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We investigate the efficient learning of magnetic phases using artificial neural networks trained on synthetic data, combining computational simplicity with physics-informed strategies. Focusing on the diluted Ising model, which lacks an exact analytical solution, we explore two complementary approaches: a supervised classification using simple dense neural networks, and an unsupervised detection of phase transitions using convolutional autoencoders trained solely on idealized spin configurations. To enhance model performance, we incorporate two key forms of physics-informed guidance. First, we exploit architectural biases which preferentially amplify features related to symmetry breaking. Second, we include training configurations that explicitly break $\mathbb{Z}_2$ symmetry, reinforcing the network's ability to detect ordered phases. These mechanisms, acting in tandem, increase the network's sensitivity to phase structure even in the absence of explicit labels. We validate the machine learning predictions through comparison with direct numerical estimates of critical temperatures and percolation thresholds. Our results show that synthetic, structured, and computationally efficient training schemes can reveal physically meaningful phase boundaries, even in complex systems. This framework offers a low-cost and robust alternative to conventional methods, with potential applications in broader condensed matter and statistical physics contexts.


Hacia la interpretabilidad de la detecci\'on anticipada de riesgos de depresi\'on utilizando grandes modelos de lenguaje

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Early Detection of Risks (EDR) on the Web involves identifying at-risk users as early as possible. Although Large Language Models (LLMs) have proven to solve various linguistic tasks efficiently, assessing their reasoning ability in specific domains is crucial. In this work, we propose a method for solving depression-related EDR using LLMs on Spanish texts, with responses that can be interpreted by humans. We define a reasoning criterion to analyze users through a specialist, apply in-context learning to the Gemini model, and evaluate its performance both quantitatively and qualitatively. The results show that accurate predictions can be obtained, supported by explanatory reasoning, providing a deeper understanding of the solution. Our approach offers new perspectives for addressing EDR problems by leveraging the power of LLMs.


Revisiting Early Detection of Sexual Predators via Turn-level Optimization

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Online grooming is a severe social threat where sexual predators gradually entrap child victims with subtle and gradual manipulation. Therefore, timely intervention for online grooming is critical for proactive protection. However, previous methods fail to determine the optimal intervention points (i.e., jump to conclusions) as they rely on chat-level risk labels by causing weak supervision of risky utterances. For timely detection, we propose speed control reinforcement learning (SCoRL) (The code and supplementary materials are available at https://github.com/jinmyeongAN/SCoRL), incorporating a practical strategy derived from luring communication theory (LCT). To capture the predator's turn-level entrapment, we use a turn-level risk label based on the LCT. Then, we design a novel speed control reward function that balances the trade-off between speed and accuracy based on turn-level risk label; thus, SCoRL can identify the optimal intervention moment. In addition, we introduce a turn-level metric for precise evaluation, identifying limitations in previously used chat-level metrics. Experimental results show that SCoRL effectively preempted online grooming, offering a more proactive and timely solution. Further analysis reveals that our method enhances performance while intuitively identifying optimal early intervention points.


Lagrangian neural networks for nonholonomic mechanics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The laws of motion of a Lagrangian system are determined by the principle of stationary action, also known as Hamilton's principle. This principle states that the action is minimal (or stationary) throughout a mechanical process. From this statement, the differential equations known as Euler-Lagrange equations are derived. If the Lagrangian function of a given mechanical system is known, then Euler-Lagrange equations establish the relationship between accelerations, velocities, and positions; that is, the system dynamics are obtained from Euler-Lagrange equations. Hence, the goal of Lagrangian mechanics is to write an analytic expression for the Lagrangian function in appropriate generalized coordinates and then develop the Euler-Lagrange equations symbolically into a system of second-order differential equations whose solutions give the system's trajectory. In many cases, even when Euler-Lagrange equations are available, the solutions are not provided in analytical or explicit forms.


Galaxy 3D Shape Recovery using Mixture Density Network

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Since the turn of the century, astronomers have been exploiting the rich information afforded by combining stellar kinematic maps and imaging in an attempt to recover the intrinsic, three-dimensional (3D) shape of a galaxy. A common intrinsic shape recovery method relies on an expected monotonic relationship between the intrinsic misalignment of the kinematic and morphological axes and the triaxiality parameter. Recent studies have, however, cast doubt about underlying assumptions relating shape and intrinsic kinematic misalignment. In this work, we aim to recover the 3D shape of individual galaxies using their projected stellar kinematic and flux distributions using a supervised machine learning approach with mixture density network (MDN). Using a mock dataset of the EAGLE hydrodynamical cosmological simulation, we train the MDN model for a carefully selected set of common kinematic and photometric parameters. Compared to previous methods, we demonstrate potential improvements achieved with the MDN model to retrieve the 3D galaxy shape along with the uncertainties, especially for prolate and triaxial systems. We make specific recommendations for recovering galaxy intrinsic shapes relevant for current and future integral field spectroscopic galaxy surveys.


Improvement and generalization of ABCD method with Bayesian inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

To find New Physics or to refine our knowledge of the Standard Model at the LHC is an enterprise that involves many factors. We focus on taking advantage of available information and pour our effort in re-thinking the usual data-driven ABCD method to improve it and to generalize it using Bayesian Machine Learning tools. We propose that a dataset consisting of a signal and many backgrounds is well described through a mixture model. Signal, backgrounds and their relative fractions in the sample can be well extracted by exploiting the prior knowledge and the dependence between the different observables at the event-by-event level with Bayesian tools. We show how, in contrast to the ABCD method, one can take advantage of understanding some properties of the different backgrounds and of having more than two independent observables to measure in each event. In addition, instead of regions defined through hard cuts, the Bayesian framework uses the information of continuous distribution to obtain soft-assignments of the events which are statistically more robust. To compare both methods we use a toy problem inspired by $pp\to hh\to b\bar b b \bar b$, selecting a reduced and simplified number of processes and analysing the flavor of the four jets and the invariant mass of the jet-pairs, modeled with simplified distributions. Taking advantage of all this information, and starting from a combination of biased and agnostic priors, leads us to a very good posterior once we use the Bayesian framework to exploit the data and the mutual information of the observables at the event-by-event level. We show how, in this simplified model, the Bayesian framework outperforms the ABCD method sensitivity in obtaining the signal fraction in scenarios with $1\%$ and $0.5\%$ true signal fractions in the dataset. We also show that the method is robust against the absence of signal.


A Memetic Algorithm To Find a Hamiltonian Cycle in a Hamiltonian Graph

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present a memetic algorithm (\maa) approach for finding a Hamiltonian cycle in a Hamiltonian graph. The \ma is based on a proven approach to the Asymmetric Travelling Salesman Problem (\atspp) that, in this contribution, is boosted by the introduction of more powerful local searches. Our approach also introduces a novel technique that sparsifies the input graph under consideration for Hamiltonicity and dynamically augments it during the search. Such a combined heuristic approach helps to prove Hamiltonicity by finding a Hamiltonian cycle in less time. In addition, we also employ a recently introduced polynomial-time reduction from the \hamcyc to the Symmetric \tsp, which is based on computing the transitive closure of the graph. Although our approach is a metaheuristic, i.e., it does not give a theoretical guarantee for finding a Hamiltonian cycle, we have observed that the method is successful in practice in verifying the Hamiltonicity of a larger number of instances from the \textit{Flinder University Hamiltonian Cycle Problem Challenge Set} (\fhcpsc), even for the graphs that have large treewidth. The experiments on the \fhcpscc instances and a computational comparison with five recent state-of-the-art baseline approaches show that the proposed method outperforms those for the majority of the instances in the \fhcpsc.


Machine-Learned Exclusion Limits without Binning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Machine-Learned Likelihoods (MLL) combines machine-learning classification techniques with likelihood-based inference tests to estimate the experimental sensitivity of high-dimensional data sets. We extend the MLL method by including Kernel Density Estimators (KDE) to avoid binning the classifier output to extract the resulting one-dimensional signal and background probability density functions. We first test our method on toy models generated with multivariate Gaussian distributions, where the true probability distribution functions are known. Later, we apply the method to two cases of interest at the LHC: a search for exotic Higgs bosons, and a $Z'$ boson decaying into lepton pairs. In contrast to physical-based quantities, the typical fluctuations of the ML outputs give non-smooth probability distributions for pure-signal and pure-background samples. The non-smoothness is propagated into the density estimation due to the good performance and flexibility of the KDE method. We study its impact on the final significance computation, and we compare the results using the average of several independent ML output realizations, which allows us to obtain smoother distributions. We conclude that the significance estimation turns out to be not sensible to this issue.


A sparse coding approach to inverse problems with application to microwave tomography

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Inverse imaging problems that are ill-posed can be encountered across multiple domains of science and technology, ranging from medical diagnosis to astronomical studies. To reconstruct images from incomplete and distorted data, it is necessary to create algorithms that can take into account both, the physical mechanisms responsible for generating these measurements and the intrinsic characteristics of the images being analyzed. In this work, the sparse representation of images is reviewed, which is a realistic, compact and effective generative model for natural images inspired by the visual system of mammals. It enables us to address ill-posed linear inverse problems by training the model on a vast collection of images. Moreover, we extend the application of sparse coding to solve the non-linear and ill-posed problem in microwave tomography imaging, which could lead to a significant improvement of the state-of-the-arts algorithms.